2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary

The 2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on March 1, 2016, as part of the 2016 Republican Party primaries for the 2016 presidential election. 49 delegates from Virginia to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote. Donald Trump edged out a narrow plurality of pledged delegates, with Marco Rubio coming in second place and Ted Cruz placing in a distant third.

The Virginia Democratic primary occurred on the same day.

Polling

Winner: Donald Trump Primary date: March 1, 2016 Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rdOtherMarch 1, 2016 Donald Trump34.80% Marco Rubio31.98% Ted Cruz16.69% John Kasich 9.54%, Ben Carson 5.87%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.14%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Jim Gilmore 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, Rick Santorum 0.04%CBS/YouGov Margin of error: ± 8.6% Sample size: 481February 22–26, 2016Donald Trump40% Marco Rubio27% Ted Cruz22% John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Undecided 1%Monmouth University Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 421February 22–24, 2016Donald Trump41% Marco Rubio27% Ted Cruz14% John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 4%Roanoke College Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 466February 16–24, 2016Donald Trump38% Ted Cruz15% Marco Rubio13% John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 19%Christopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 368February 3–14, 2016Donald Trump28% Marco Rubio22% Ted Cruz19% Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6% University of Mary Washington Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 333 November 4–9, 2015Ben Carson29%Donald Trump24% Marco Rubio 11% Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Don't know 2%Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 412 September 29 – October 8, 2015Donald Trump23% Ben Carson17% Marco Rubio14% Carly Fiorina 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 5%Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 546 August 2–3, 2015Donald Trump27.9% Jeb Bush14.8% Scott Walker10.1% Ben Carson 8%, Carly Fiorina 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.4%, Rand Paul 5.1%, Marco Rubio 3.5%, John Kasich 3.2%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Mike Huckabee 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, George Pataki 0.7%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.2% Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 502 July 13–15, 2015Jeb Bush18%Donald Trump14%Scott Walker14% Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else/Not sure 3%Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ? April 13–24, 2015Jeb Bush17%Marco Rubio16% Chris Christie10% Rand Paul 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Donald Trump 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich <1%, Rick Perry <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Someone else <1%, Undecided 7%Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 794 January 30 – February 10, 2015Jeb Bush21% Scott Walker16% Chris Christie10% Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Pence 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rob Portman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 4%Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 338 February 23–28, 2014Chris Christie19%Jeb Bush18% Mike Huckabee13% Paul Ryan 13%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 13%University of Mary WashingtonUniversity of Mary Washington Margin of error: ±? Sample size: ? September 25–29, 2013Chris Christie20% Jeb Bush10% Rand Paul10% Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, None 14%, Don't know 19%Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.8% Sample size: 415 July 11–14, 2013Jeb Bush16%Chris Christie16%Rand Paul15% Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Bob McDonnell 8%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 7%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 500 May 24–26, 2013Marco Rubio17%Chris Christie15%Jeb Bush14% Bob McDonnell 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 11%Chris Christie20%Marco Rubio20%Jeb Bush17% Paul Ryan 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%University of Mary Washington Margin of error: ±3.5 Sample size: 1004 March 20–24, 2013Chris Christie18% Bob McDonnell12% Rand Paul11% Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Other 1%, None 10%, Don't know 16%

Results

See also 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries 2016 United States presidential election

References