2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin

The 2024 United States presidential election in Wisconsin took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Wisconsin voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Wisconsin awarded ten electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Wisconsin was considered to be a crucial battleground in 2024, with almost all major news organizations marking the state as a tossup. The Wisconsin Green Party attained ballot access after not appearing in 2020. Trump won Wisconsin with 49.6% of the vote, the highest percentage a Republican candidate has received in Wisconsin since Reagan's 1984 landslide. When Wisconsin was called for Trump, a number of networks simultaneously declared Trump the president-elect, winning a second, non-consecutive term. Wisconsin also weighed in as 0.6% more Democratic than the nation at-large.

Primary elections Democratic primary

The Wisconsin Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

Republican primary

The Wisconsin Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside contests in Connecticut, New York, and Rhode Island.

General election

Campaign Convention The Republican Party held their presidential nomination convention in the Wisconsin city of Milwaukee, where Donald Trump and JD Vance were formally nominated as the GOP ticket. This year marked the first time that Milwaukee hosted the Republican National Convention. The Democratic National Convention was selected for Milwaukee in 2020 but much of the convention activity was cancelled due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

Candidates The following candidates have qualified for the general election ballot: Kamala Harris — Democratic Donald Trump — Republican Chase Oliver — Libertarian Randall Terry — Constitution Jill Stein — Green Robert F. Kennedy Jr. — Independent Cornel West — Independent Claudia De la Cruz — Independent

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 4, 2024 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 4, 2024 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill November 4, 2024 CNN November 4, 2024 CNalysis November 4, 2024 The Economist November 4, 2024 538 November 4, 2024 Inside Elections November 4, 2024 NBC News November 4, 2024

Polling Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls Source of pollaggregationDatesadministeredDatesupdatedKamalaHarrisDonaldTrump Other /UndecidedMargin270ToWin270ToWinOctober 23 – November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.8%47.7%3.5%Harris +1.1%538538through November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.3%47.3%4.4%Harris +1.0%Silver BulletinSilver Bulletinthrough November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.7%47.7%3.6%Harris +1.0%The Hill/DDHQThe Hill/DDHQthrough November 4, 2024November 4, 202448.4%48.7%2.9%Trump +0.3%Average48.6% 47.9%3.5%Harris +0.7%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedHarrisXNovember 3–5, 20241,727 (RV)± 2.4%47%46%7%51%49%–1,549 (LV)49%47%4%51%49%–AtlasIntelNovember 3–4, 2024869 (LV)± 3.0%49%50%1%Research Co.November 2–3, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%49%46%5%Trafalgar Group (R)November 1–3, 20241,086 (LV)± 2.9%48%47%5%Patriot PollingNovember 1–3, 2024835 (RV)± 3.0%49%49%2%InsiderAdvantage (R)November 1–2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%49%3%AtlasIntelNovember 1–2, 2024728 (LV)± 4.0%49%50%1%Emerson CollegeOctober 30 – November 2, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%49%49%2%50%50%–Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityOctober 25 – November 2, 2024798 (RV)± 3.5%49%48%3%786 (LV)49%48%3%The New York Times/Siena CollegeOctober 25 – November 2, 20241,305 (RV)± 3.5%49%47%4%1,305 (LV)49%47%4%ActiVoteOctober 10 – November 1, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%51%49%–AtlasIntelOctober 30–31, 2024673 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%OnMessage Inc. (R)October 29–31, 2024800 (LV)–47%48%5%YouGovOctober 25–31, 2024889 (RV)± 4.5%51%47%2%876 (LV)51%47%2%Morning ConsultOctober 22−31, 2024540 (LV)± 4.0%48%49%3%TIPP InsightsOctober 28–30, 20241,038 (RV)± 3.5%48%46%6%831 (LV)48%48%4%Marist CollegeOctober 27–30, 20241,444 (RV)± 3.3%50%48%2%1,330 (LV)± 3.4%50%48%2%Echelon InsightsOctober 27–30, 2024600 (LV)± 4.5%49%49%2%Quantus Insights (R)October 28–29, 2024637 (LV)± 3.8%49%49%2%SoCal Strategies (R)October 28–29, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%49%2%Rasmussen Reports (R)October 25–29, 2024818 (LV)± 3.0%47%50%3%AtlasIntelOctober 25–29, 20241,470 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2%CNN/SSRSOctober 23–28, 2024736 (LV)± 4.8%51%45%4%InsiderAdvantage (R)October 26–27, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3%CES/YouGovOctober 1–25, 20241,552 (A)–51%46%3%1,542 (LV)50%47%3%Marquette University Law SchoolOctober 16–24, 2024834 (RV)± 4.4%48%46%6%51%49%–753 (LV)48%47%5%50%49%1%Emerson CollegeOctober 21–22, 2024800 (LV)± 3.4%48%49%3%49%50%1%Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 17–21, 20241,108 (LV)± 2.9%48%48%4%Trafalgar Group (R)October 18−20, 20241,083 (LV)± 2.9%47%47%6%Bloomberg/Morning ConsultOctober 16–20, 2024635 (RV)± 4.0%48%48%4%624 (LV)48%48%4%The Bullfinch GroupOctober 11−18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%50%47%3%48%46%7%AtlasIntelOctober 12–17, 2024932 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3%RMG ResearchOctober 10−16, 2024787 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3%49%50%1%Morning ConsultOctober 6−15, 2024527 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%5%The Washington Post/Schar SchoolSeptember 30 – October 15, 2024695 (RV)± 4.6%50%46%4%695 (LV)50%47%3%Patriot PollingOctober 12–14, 2024803 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%Rasmussen Reports (R)October 9–14, 20241,004 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%4%InsiderAdvantage (R)October 8–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%48%48%4%Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)/McLaughlin & Associates (R)October 6–9, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%48%49%3%Emerson CollegeOctober 5–8, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%2%49%50%1%The Wall Street JournalSeptember 28 – October 8, 2024600 (RV)± 5.0%48%48%4%Research Co.October 5–7, 2024450 (LV)± 4.6%47%45%8%50%48%2%Quinnipiac UniversityOctober 3–7, 20241,073 (LV)± 3.0%47%49%4%Arc InsightsOctober 2–6, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%47%48%5%OnMessage Inc. (R)September 24 – October 2, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%46%47%7%Trafalgar Group (R)September 28–30, 20241,079 (LV)± 2.9%46%47%7%Global Strategy Group (D)/North Star Opinion Research (R)September 23–29, 2024408 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%6%ActiVoteAugust 29 – September 29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%48%–The New York Times/Siena CollegeSeptember 21–26, 2024680 (RV)± 4.0%49%47%4%680 (LV)49%47%4%Marquette University Law SchoolSeptember 18–26, 2024882 (RV)± 4.4%50%45%5%52%48%–798 (LV)50%45%5%52%48%–AtlasIntelSeptember 20–25, 20241,077 (LV)± 3.0%48%50%2%Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)September 19–25, 2024411 (LV)–49%47%4%Bloomberg/Morning ConsultSeptember 19–25, 2024849 (RV)± 3.0%50%48%2%785 (LV)51%48%1%Rodriguez Gudelunas StrategiesSeptember 19–23, 2024400 (LV)–51%45%4%RMG ResearchSeptember 17–23, 2024788 (LV)± 3.5%50%49%1%Rasmussen Reports (R)September 19−22, 20241,071 (LV)± 3.0%49%49%1%Emerson CollegeSeptember 15–18, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%48%49%3%49%50%1%MassINC Polling GroupSeptember 12−18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.8%53%46%1%Morning ConsultSeptember 9−18, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%50%44%6%Marist CollegeSeptember 12−17, 20241,312 (RV)± 3.5%50%47%3%1,194 (LV)± 3.6%50%49%1%Quinnipiac UniversitySeptember 12–16, 20241,075 (LV)± 3.0%49%48%3%Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)September 11–14, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%49%48%3%InsiderAdvantage (R)September 11–12, 2024800 (LV)± 3.5%49%47%4%Morning ConsultAugust 30 – September 8, 2024638 (LV)± 4.0%49%46%5%co/efficient (R)September 4–6, 2024917 (LV)± 3.2%47%47%6%CBS News/YouGovSeptember 3–6, 2024946 (LV)± 4.0%51%49%–Marquette University Law SchoolAugust 28 – September 5, 2024822 (RV)± 4.6%49%45%6%52%48%–738 (LV)± 4.7%49%44%7%52%48%–Patriot PollingSeptember 1–3, 2024826 (RV)–48%48%4%Trafalgar Group (R)August 28–30, 20241,083 (LV)± 2.9%46%47%7%Emerson College August 25–28, 2024 850 (LV) ± 3.3%48%49%3%49%50%1%Bloomberg/Morning ConsultAugust 23–26, 2024648 (LV)± 4.0%53%44%3%701 (RV)52%44%4% August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.YouGovAugust 15–23, 2024500 (A)± 5.3%48%42%10%– (LV)± 5.9%51%46%3% August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National ConventionBK StrategiesAugust 19–21, 2024600 (LV)–48%45%7%Fabrizio Ward (R)August 19–21, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%49%45%6%Spry Strategies (R)August 14–20, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%45%7%Rasmussen Reports (R)August 13–19, 20241,099 (LV)± 3.0%48%47%5%FocaldataAugust 6–16, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%52%48%–Quantus Insights (R)August 14–15, 2024601 (RV)± 4.0%46%45%9%TIPP InsightsAugust 12–14, 20241,015 (RV)± 3.4%47%46%7%976 (LV)47%47%6%The Bullfinch GroupAugust 8–11, 2024500 (RV)± 4.4%51%42%7%InsiderAdvantage (R)August 6–8, 2024800 (LV)–48%49%3%Navigator Research (D)July 31 – August 8, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%48%48%4%Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)July 26 – August 8, 2024404 (LV)–49%46%5%The New York Times/Siena CollegeAugust 5–8, 2024661 (RV)± 4.3%50%46%4%661 (LV)50%46%3% August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.RMG Research July 31 – August 5, 2024800 (RV)± 3.5%48%45%7%Marquette University Law SchoolJuly 24 – August 1, 2024877 (RV)± 4.6%47%44%9%49%50%1%801 (LV)± 4.8%49%45%6%50%49%1%Public Opinion Strategies (R)July 23–29, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%48%46%6%Bloomberg/Morning ConsultJuly 24–28, 2024700 (RV)± 4.0%49%47%4%Fox NewsJuly 22–24, 20241,046 (RV)± 3.0%49%50%1%Emerson CollegeJuly 22–23, 2024845 (RV)± 3.3%47%47%6%51%49%– July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president. July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention July 13, 2024 Attempted assassination of Donald TrumpPublic Policy Polling (D)July 10–11, 2024548 (RV)–48%49%3%North Star Opinion Research (R)July 6–10, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%47%48%5%Bloomberg/Morning ConsultMay 7–13, 2024693 (RV)± 4.0%41%49%10%Emerson CollegeFebruary 20–24, 20241,000 (RV)± 3.0%44%47%9%The New York Times/Siena CollegeOctober 22 – November 3, 2023603 (RV)± 4.8%46%47%7%603 (LV)46%48%6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver