Opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential election

This article covers opinion polling for the 2022 Philippine presidential and vice presidential elections. Opinion polling in Philippines is conducted by Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, RP-Mission and Development Foundation Inc. (RPMD), OCTA Research, and other pollsters. Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The front-runner is in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.

Calendar

Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2021 Deadline in substituting a candidate for it to appear on the ballot: November 15, 2021 Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 8 to May 7, 2022 Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 25 to May 7, 2022 Election day: May 9, 2022

Polling for president Graphical summary

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AbellaInd. De GuzmanPLM GonzalesPDSP LacsonInd. MangondatoKatipunan MarcosPFP MontemayorDPP MorenoAksyon PacquiaoPROMDI RobredoInd. Others /None May 9Election results0.210.170.171.660.5658.770.113.596.8127.94 Exit poll Publicus Asia — — — 3 — 58 — 6 7 25 1 — — May 2–5 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 1 2 1 4 — 54 — 8 2 22 0 6 / 0 — Apr 22–30 Mobilis–TruthWatch ±2% — — — 2 — 55 — 3 5 32 1 — — Apr 22–25 OCTA ±2% — 0.2 0.2 2 1 58 — 8 5 25 — 0.1 / 0.04 0.3 Apr 19–21 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 1 2 0 4 — 57 — 6 2 21 0 6 / 0 — Apr 16–21Pulse Asia ±2.0% 1 0.3 0.1 2 1 56 0.1 4 7 23 — — / 1 5 Apr 14–20Laylo ±2.0% — — — 2 — 64 — 5 5 21 0.4 3 / — — Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH ±1.13% 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.6 0.6 52.9 0.3 8.2 5.8 24.3 — 3.9 / — — Apr 4–15 ±3.0% 0.375 1 0.125 5 0.375 55 0.125 11.75 6.5 18.5 — 1.25 / — — Apr 2–6 OCTA ±3% 1 0.1 0.001 4 0.1 57 — 9 7 22 — 0.5 / 0.008 — Publicus Asia ±3.0% 1 0 0 4 — 56 — 9 2 23 0 5 / 1 —Apr 1–4RMN–APCORE 2,400 ±2.0% — — — 1.8 — 59 — 8.3 4.2 20.7 <1 5.5 / — —April 3Second COMELEC presidential debateMarch 24Lacson resigns from Partido Reporma; Reporma switches endorsement from Lacson to Robredo Mar 22–Apr 1 Mobilis–TruthWatch ±3% — — — 2 — 52 — 10 4 30 — 2 / — — Mar 15–22Laylo ±2.0% — — — 2 — 61 — 9 6 19 — 2 / — — Mar 15–22 ±1.0% — — — 7 — 53 — 9 2 28 — 1 / — —March 21PDP–Laban endorses Marcos Mar 17–21Pulse Asia ±2.0% 0.1 0.02 0 2 1 56 0.05 8 6 24 — 1 / 1 0.5March 19First COMELEC presidential debate Mar 9–14 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 0.5 0.7 0.3 4.2 — 55.1 — 8.2 1.8 21 0.1 7.9 / 0.3 — Mar 7–13 ±3.0% 0.5 1 0.25 7.75 0.25 51.25 0.25 10.25 4.5 20.75 — 3.25 / — — Mar 12 MBC–DZRH ±1.13% 0.2 0.5 0.2 4.7 1.2 49.8 0.3 9.8 8 21.4 — 3.9 / — — Mar 2–5RMN–APCORE ±2.0% — — — 3 — 55 — 12 5 18 2 6 / — —February 27CNN Philippines presidential debate Feb 22–28 ±1.0% — — — 4 — 53 — 11 5 25 — 2 / — — Feb 18–23Pulse Asia ±2.0% 0 0.1 0 2 0.4 60 0.01 10 8 15 — 3 / 10.4 Feb 14–21Laylo ±2.0% — — — 3 — 63 — 7 7 17 — 3 / — — Feb 12–17 OCTA ±3.0% — — — 3 — 55 — 11 10 15 — 5 / 0.31 Feb 11–16 Publicus Asia ±2.6% 0.5 0.7 — 3.3 — 52.3 — 8.9 2.7 22.3 0.1 8.9 / 0.5 —February 15SMNI presidential debate Feb 9–15 ±3.0% 0.25 1.13 — 8.75 0.13 53 0.25 11.25 6 16.75 — 2.5 / — —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AbellaInd. De GuzmanPLM GonzalesPDSP LacsonReporma MangondatoKatipunan MarcosPFP MontemayorDPP MorenoAksyon PacquiaoPROMDI RobredoInd. Others /None 2022Jan 28–31SWS1,200±3.0%0.04 0.3 0 6 0.04 50 0.1 11 11 19 — 3 / — — Jan 26–30RMN–APCORE ±2.0% 0.3 0.2 0.2 3 — 57 — 12 4 17 — 6 / — — Jan 22–30 ±1.0% 0.34 — — 8 — 45.02 — 16.25 9.71 20.06 — — —Jan 10–26Laylo ±0.8% — — — 3 — 64 — 6 6 16 — — — Jan 19–24Pulse Asia ±2.0% 0.05 0.02 0 4 0.3 60 0 8 8 16 — 2 / 1 1Jan 17–23Laylo ±2% — — — 4 — 64 — 7 7 16 — 3 / — — Jan 10–16 ±3% 0.25 1 0.25 8 — 51 — 14 10 11 — 3.5 —2021 Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH ±1.13% — 0.3 — 4.9 — 49.2 — 10.4 8.2 16.2 6.3 4.5 / —— Dec 7–12 OCTA ±3.0% 0.02 0.001 — 5 — 54 — 12 10 14 — 1 / 4 0.1 Dec 6–12 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 2 0.25 13 — 43 — 11 16 12 1 1.5 / — — Dec 6–10 Publicus Asia ±2.6% 0.5 — — 3.4 — 51.9 — 7.9 2.3 20.2 3.9 8.3 / 0.9 — Dec 1–6 Pulse Asia ±2.0% — 0.004 0 6 — 53 — 8 8 20 0.01 3 / 1 1November 30Bong Go announces his withdrawal from the presidential election. Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE ±3.0% 0.17 0.17 0.08 3 — 55 — 13 4 13 8 4 / — — Nov 16–24 10,000 ±2.0% 0.1 — — 6.35 — 23.94 — 21.75 15.94 15.1 14.25 2.56 Nov 16–20 1,200 ±3.0% 0.25 0.875 0.125 12 — 36.5 — 10.75 16.75 13 8.25 1.5 / ——November 9–15Ronald dela Rosa withdraws; Bong Go substitutes for Grepor Belgica for president. Nov 16–18 Publicus Asia 1,500 ±2.6% 0.4 0.3 — 2.9 — 56.7 — 6.9 3.0 15.4 4.3 8.8 / 1.5 — Oct 17–26 ±2.0% 0.81 — — 7.08 — 23.10 — 25.39 17.88 18.31 3.41 4.02 Oct 20–23 SWS ±3.0% — — — 5 — 47 — 13 9 18 5 3 / — — Oct 11–18 Publicus Asia ±2.6% 0.6 — — 2.9 — 49.3 — 8.8 2.8 21.3 4 8.6 / 1.7 — ±2.5% — 3.25 1.25 12.5 — 23.5 — 1819.75 14 7.75 ——

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021

Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE Others / 2021October 1–8Filing of certificates of candidacies Manny Pacquiao submits his presidential candidacy under the PROMDI banner. Bongbong Marcos resigns from the Nacionalista Party and swears in as chairperson of PFP. Leni Robredo submits her presidential candidacy as an independent. Sara Duterte files her candidacy for mayor of Davao City.Sep 6–11 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% — 0.1 — — 4 20 3 — 6 15 13 12 9 8 0.1 1 0.3 7 Jul 24–31 MBC–DZRH 7,500 ±1.13% — — 2.8 — 2.1 25.4 3.5 1 3.3 17.7 11.2 10 10 8.3 — 1.6 — 2.8 Jul 13–19 Publicus Asia 1,500 ±2.6% — — 0.3 0.2 0.8 20.8 3.3 0.8 2.9 17.8 11.3 3.6 5.1 13.2 1 — 4.3 11.8 Jul 12–18 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% — — 2 0 5 28 4 1 2 13 11 10 10 5 — 1 3 6 Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% 0.1 — 2 0.3 2 28 3 0.3 4 13 14 8 10 6 0.1 2 0.1 8 Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% — — 3 0.2 2 27 5 1 2 13 12 11 12 7 0.3 — 0.1 4 Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% — — — — — 22 — — — 12 11 12 13 5 — — — —2020 Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% — — — 0.1 3 26 4 0.2 4 14 12 10 14 8 — — 1 4

Polling for vice president Graphical summary

From the start of the campaign period to Election Day

Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AtienzaPROMDI BelloPLM DavidDPP DuterteLakas LopezWPP OngAksyon PangilinanLP SerapioKatipunan SottoNPC Others /None May 9Election results0.520.190.1161.530.313.5917.820.1715.76 Exit poll Publicus Asia — — — 67 — 4 16 — 11 2 — — May 2–5 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 1 1 — 59 — 9 16 — 9 0 4 / 1 — Apr 22–30 Mobilis–TruthWatch ±2% 1 — — 55 — 4 13 — 24 3 — — Apr 22–25 OCTA ±2.0% 1 0.03 — 56 0.1 4 16 0.001 22 — 0.5 / 0.7 0.1 Apr 19–21 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 1 1 — 59 — 8 15 — 9 — 6 / 1 — Apr 16–21Pulse Asia ±2.0% 0.5 0.4 0.1 55 1 3 16 0.3 18 — — / 1 5 Apr 14–20Laylo ±2.0% 1 — — 62 — 4 12 — 18 0.4 3 / — — Apr 18–19 MBC–DZRH ±1.13% 1.1 0.2 0.2 54.2 0.4 6.6 15.1 0.5 16.9 — 4.8 / — — Apr 4–15 ±3.0% 2 0.375 0.5 50.5 0 9 8 0.125 27.5 — 2 / — — Apr 2–6 OCTA ±3.0% 0.7 0.1 0.02 57 0.1 7 12 0 23 — 0.4 / 0.001 0 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 1 1 — 58 — 9 15 — 11 — 6 / 1 —Apr 1–4RMN–APCORE 2,400 ±2.0% 1 — — 57.3 — 4.8 12.8 — 17.4 — 6 / — — Mar 22–Apr 1 Mobilis–TruthWatch ±3% 1 — — 50 — 6 18 — 21 — 4 / — — Mar 15–22Laylo ±2.0% 2 — — 60 — 7 12 — 17 — 2 / — — Mar 15–22 ±1.0% 1 — — 54 — 2 7 — 35 — —— Mar 17–21Pulse Asia ±2.0% 1 0.1 0.01 56 0.3 5 15 0.01 20 — 2 / 1 0.4March 20COMELEC vice presidential debate Mar 9–14 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 0.7 0.9 — 56.5 — 10.6 12.8 — 9.9 0.3 7.7 / 0.5 — Mar 7–13 ±3.0% 2.5 0.5 1 48.75 0.25 10.75 8 0.25 25.25 — 2.75 / — — Mar 12 MBC–DZRH ±1.13% 1.2 0.3 0.5 51.8 0.5 7.7 14.2 0.7 17.9 — 5.1 / — — Mar 2–5RMN–APCORE ±2.0% 1 — — 53 — 6 12 — 19 2 7 / — —February 26CNN Philippines vice presidential debate Feb 22–28 ±1.0% 1 — — 58 — 4 7 — 29 — 1 / —— Feb 18–23Pulse Asia ±2.0% 1 0.1 0 53 0.1 6 11 0.01 24 — 3 / 1 0.1 Feb 14–21Laylo ±2.0% 3 — — 60 — 4 11 — 19 — 3 / — — Feb 12–17 OCTA ±3.0% 1 0 0 43 0 7 10 0.1 33 — 4 / 1 2 Feb 11–16 Publicus Asia ±3.0% 1.3 0.2 — 53.5 — 12.6 13.7 — 9.2 0.1 8.6 / 0.8 — Feb 9–15 ±3.0% 2 0.5 — 54 — 11 4 — 25 — 3.5 / — —

From the end of candidacy filing to the start of the campaign period Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize MoE AtienzaPROMDI BelloPLM DavidDPP DuterteLakas LopezWPP OngAksyon PangilinanLP SerapioKatipunan SottoNPC Others /None 2022Jan 28–31SWS ±3.0% 2 0.3 0.4 44 1 7 10 0.2 33 — 3 / — — Jan 26–30 RMN–APCORE ±2.0% 1.9 0.1 — 45.3 — 7.6 9.9 — 26 — 5 / — — Jan 22–30 ±1.0% 1.62 — — 52.05 — 3.60 6.22 — 35.95 — — — Jan 10–26 Laylo ±0.8% 1 — — 60 — 5 9 — 19 1 4 / — — Jan 19–24Pulse Asia ±2.0% 1 0.02 0.02 50 0.1 5 11 0.1 29 — 1 / 1 1January 21The Cusi faction of PDP–Laban endorses Duterte Jan 10–16 ±3.0% 3 1.5 — 54 — 6 9 — 25 — 2.5 / — —2021 Dec 11–12 MBC–DZRH ±1.13% 2.2 0.9 — 50.5 — 8.4 10.2 — 20.7 — 7.2 / — — Dec 7–12 OCTA ±3.0% 1 0.07 — 50 — 4 9 — 33 — 2 / 1 0 Dec 6–12 1,200 ±3.0% 5 1 — 36 — 4 8 — 44 — 2 / — — Dec 6–10 Publicus Asia ±2.6% 1.5 0.7 — 54.8 — 11.2 9.7 — 11 0.19.5 / 1.5 — Dec 1–6 Pulse Asia ±2.0% 1 0.01 — 45 — 6 12 — 31 — 3 / 21 Nov 23–29 RMN–APCORE ±3.0% 2 0.08 — 48 — 9 11 — 25 — 5 / — — Nov 16–24 ±2.0% 2.11 — — 44.88 — 6.96 11.34 — 33.2 — 1.5 Nov 16–20 ±3.0% 3 1 — 30 — 10 11 — 43 — 2 / —— Nov 16–18 Publicus Asia ±2.6% 1.3 0.4 — 54.4 — 8.9 9 — 10.1 0.3 13.7 / 1.9 —November 9–13Sara Duterte resigns from HNP; swears in as chairperson of Lakas, substitutes Lyle Fernando Uy to run for vice president. Oct 17–26 ±2.0% 2.15 — — 33.11 — 8.94 11.13 — 26.87 14.92 2.88 Oct 20–23 SWS ±3.0% 3 — — 25 — 13 13 — 44 — 2 / —— Oct 11–18 Publicus Asia ±2.6% 2.6 — — — — 19 12.3 — 17.325.6 16.9 / 6.3 — ±2.5% 8.5 — — — — 8 18 — 44 21.5 ——

Until candidacy filing ended in October 2021 Fieldworkdate(s) Pollster Samplesize Marginof error Others / 2021 Sep 6–11Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% — 2 6 1 14 — — 7 12 12 7 — 4 25 0.5 2 2 0.1 5 Jul 24–31MBC–DZRH 7,500 ±1.13% — 1.5 5 — 15.6 10.5 5.3 4.9 10.8 10.5 6.5 10.8 — 9.3 0.6 — 2.5 4.1 —Jul 12–18 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% — — 10 1 18 — 5 4 9 11 6 10 — 7 0 2 1 9 7 Jun 7–16 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% 0.3 3 8 0.2 18 0.03 7 5 10 14 9— 4 10 1 2 2 0.1 6 Feb 22 – Mar 3 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% — 3 7 1 — 15 7 9 11 16 15 — — 11 0.5 — 3 0.1 4Jan 26 – Feb 1 OCTA 1,200 — — — — — — 14 — — — 11 11 10 — — — — — — —2020 Nov 23 – Dec 2 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% — 2 5 2 — 16 6 9 11 17 11 — — 14 — — 2 1 4

Footnotes

References