This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1940 United States presidential election.
Presidential election Franklin Roosevelt vs Wendell Willkie
+Polling aggregates key Color Candidate Franklin Roosevelt Wendell Willkie Undecided
Poll Source Field Date(s) Sample Size Franklin Roosevelt Wendell Willkie Others Undecided Leading by(points) Election Results November 5, 194054.7% 44.8% 0.5% -10.0Gallup Poll News ServiceNovember 2, 19403,094 (A)51.1% 47.4% 0.4% 1.1%3.7Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 24, 194010,325 (A)47.7% 44.2% 0.2% 7.9%3.5Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 23, 19403,161 (A)48.2% 43.5% 0.3% 8.00%4.7Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 22, 194011,860 (A)49.9% 41.8% 0.4% 7.9%8.1Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 19, 19405,525 (A)48.3% 45.1% 0.5% 6.2%3.2Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 9, 19403,134 (A)50.0% 41.4% 0.6% 7.9%8.6Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 5, 19406,221 (A)46.7% 45.6% 0.4% 7.5%1.1Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 30, 19403,089 (A)48.8% 42.0% 0.3% 8.8%6.8Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 20, 19402,957 (A)48.3% 40.7% 0.1% 11.0%7.6Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 14, 19407,489 (A)47.6% 42.4% 0.5% 9.5%5.2Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 3, 19404,536 (A)42.7% 42.8% 0.3% 14.2%0.1Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 21, 19403,117 (A)43.2% 43.6% 0.3% 12.2%0.4Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 9, 19403,117 (A)40.3% 43.8% 0.6% 13.8%3.5Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 8, 19405,790 (A)42.1% 46.0% 0.9% 11.1%3.9Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 31, 19403,060 (A)43.6% 45.8% 0.3% 10.3%2.2Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 19, 19403,117 (A)42.7% 43.4% 0.5% 13.4%0.7Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 16, 19401,626 (A)44.3% 43.1% 0.3% 12.4%1.2Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 11, 19402,490 (A)46.4% 39.8% - 13.8%6.6Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 3, 19403,121 (A)42.0% 45.7% - 12.3%3.6Gallup Poll News ServiceJun 11, 19403,091 (A)52.7% 29.9% - 17.3%22.9Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 29, 19403,159 (A)54.5% 29.3% - 15.9%25.2
Franklin Roosevelt vs Bruce Barton
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt Bruce Barton Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 10, 1938 45.5% 30.9% 23.6%14.6
Franklin Roosevelt vs Thomas Dewey
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt Thomas Dewey Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 11, 1940 54.0% 34.7% 11.3%19.3Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 29, 1940 53.7% 35.6% 10.5%18.1Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 23, 1940 54.3% 37.2% 8.5%17.1Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 16, 1940 54.2% 35.7% 11.6%18.5Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 3, 1940 45.0% 47.6% 11.6%2.6Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 23, 1940 48.3% 44.3% 7.5%4.0Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 9, 1940 48.4% 43.3% 8.4%5.1Gallup Poll News ServiceJanuary 30, 1940 47.6% 43.2% 9.3%4.4Gallup Poll News ServiceJanuary 30, 1940 45.4% 43.0% 11.6%2.4Gallup Poll News ServiceDecember 2–7, 1939 42.4% 43.3% 14.7%0.9Gallup Poll News ServiceNovember 8, 1939 42.2% 45.0% 12.8%2.8Gallup Poll News ServiceSeptember 22, 1939 50.8% 36.4% 12.9%14.4Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 7, 1939 42.9% 44.6% 12.5%1.7Gallup Poll News ServiceFebruary 17, 1939 40.1% 49.3% 10.5%9.2Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 10, 1938 42.9% 36.3% 20.8%6.6
Franklin Roosevelt vs Herbert Hoover
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt Herbert Hoover Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 11, 194061.0% 26.3% 12.7%34.7Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 18, 193953.4% 36.2% 10.4%17.2
Franklin Roosevelt vs Alf Landon
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt Alf Landon Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 10, 193848.8% 38.4% 12.8%10.4
Franklin Roosevelt vs Robert Taft
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt Robert Taft Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 11, 1940 55.6% 31.0% 13.3%24.6Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 23, 1940 52.0% 38.7% 9.2%13.3Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 17, 1940 50.9% 38.1% 11.0%12.8Gallup Poll News ServiceJanuary 30, 1940 48.9% 42.7% 8.4%6.2Gallup Poll News ServiceDecember 2–7, 193945.3% 39.0% 15.7%6.3Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 10, 193947.5% 41.8% 10.8%5.7Gallup Poll News ServiceMarch 21, 193943.3% 42.8% 13.8%0.5
Franklin Roosevelt vs Arthur Vandenberg
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt Arthur Vandenberg Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 23, 194051.1% 38.3% 10.7%12.8Gallup Poll News ServiceDecember 2–7, 193946.4% 37.1% 15.9%9.3Gallup Poll News ServiceOctober 3, 193953.2% 33.0% 13.9%20.2Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 17, 193944.2% 43.5% 12.3%0.7Gallup Poll News ServiceMarch 21, 193944.5% 37.8% 17.6%6.7Gallup Poll News ServiceAugust 10, 193844.5% 36.8% 18.7%7.7
James Farley vs Thomas Dewey
Poll source Date James Farley Thomas Dewey Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 3, 1940 31.9% 53.0% 15.0%21.1Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 3, 1940 33.3% 54.0% 12.7%20.7Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 6, 1939 33.5% 54.2% 12.3%20.7Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 21, 1938 29.8% 38.7% 31.6%8.9
James Farley vs Robert Taft
Poll source Date James Farley Robert Taft Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 6, 1939 39.4% 45.3% 15.2%5.9
James Farley vs Arthur Vandenberg
Poll source Date James Farley Arthur Vandenberg Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 21, 1938 32.7% 37.6% 29.8%4.9
John Garner vs Thomas Dewey
Poll source Date John Garner Thomas Dewey Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 18–23, 1939 39.4% 46.8% 13.8%7.4Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 7, 1939 40.3% 42.2% 17.5%1.9Gallup Poll News ServiceFebruary 17, 1939 43.5% 41.4% 15.1%2.1
John Garner vs Robert Taft
Poll source Date John Garner Robert Taft Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 17, 1940 36.7% 42.3% 21.1%5.6Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 2, 1939 40.8% 36.0% 23.2%4.8
John Garner vs Arthur Vandenberg
Poll source Date John Garner Arthur Vandenberg Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMarch 30, 1939 46.9% 43.1% 10.1%3.8Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 21, 1938 34.8% 35.7% 29.5%0.9
Harry Hopkins vs Thomas Dewey
Poll source Date Harry Hopkins Thomas Dewey Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 19, 1939 30% 48% 22%18
Cordell Hull vs Thomas Dewey
Poll source Date Cordell Hull Thomas Dewey Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 23, 1940 46.1% 39.9% 13.5%6.2Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 16, 1940 43.6% 38.2% 18.2%5.4Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 3, 1940 44.4% 41.6% 14.0%2.8Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 23, 1940 42.3% 43.7% 14.1%1.4Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 9, 1940 42.9% 42.3% 14.8%0.6Gallup Poll News ServiceFebruary 6, 1940 41.3% 43.5% 15.2%2.2Gallup Poll News ServiceJanuary 30, 1940 39.2% 42.3% 18.5%3.1Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 17, 1939 38.7% 42.7% 18.6%4.0Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 19, 1939 41.0% 42.1% 16.9%1.1
Cordell Hull vs Robert Taft
Poll source Date Cordell Hull Robert Taft Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 3, 1940 50.4% 32.8% 16.9%17.6Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 23, 1940 46.7% 34.8% 18.6%11.9Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 17, 1940 49.0% 31.4% 19.6%17.6Gallup Poll News ServiceJanuary 30, 1940 43.4% 40.8% 15.7%2.6Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 2, 1939 36.9% 35.7% 27.4%1.2
Cordell Hull vs Arthur Vandenberg
Poll source Date Cordell Hull Arthur Vandenberg Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 3, 1940 49.8% 31.4% 18.8%18.4Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 23, 1940 46.5% 33.5% 19.9%13.0Gallup Poll News ServiceMarch 25, 1940 48.4% 38.6% 13.0%9.8Gallup Poll News ServiceFebruary 6, 1940 39.5% 43.3% 17.2%3.8
Cordell Hull vs Wendell Willkie
Poll source Date Cordell Hull Wendell Willkie Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 14, 1940 36.3% 45.4% 18.0%9.1
Paul McNutt vs Robert Taft
Poll source Date Paul McNutt Robert Taft Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 16, 1940 30.0% 38.6% 31.5%8.6Gallup Poll News ServiceJuly 26, 1939 31.1% 39.0% 30.0%7.9
Paul McNutt vs Arthur Vandenberg
Poll source Date Paul McNutt Arthur Vandenberg Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 16, 1940 31.1% 39.8% 29.1%8.7
Paul McNutt vs Wendell Willkie
Poll source Date Paul McNutt Wendell Willkie Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 16, 1940 32.0% 29.4% 42.7%2.6
Henry Wallace vs Thomas Dewey
Poll source Date Henry Wallace Thomas Dewey Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 10, 1939 31.7% 51.2% 17.2%19.5
Henry Wallace vs Robert Taft
Poll source Date Henry Wallace Robert Taft Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceApril 3, 1940 33.2% 45.9% 20.9%12.7Gallup Poll News ServiceMay 10, 1939 34.2% 42.5% 23.3%8.3
Franklin Roosevelt vs Thomas Dewey vs John Garner
Poll source Date Franklin Roosevelt Thomas Dewey John Garner Undecided Leading by(points)Gallup Poll News ServiceJune 7, 1939 37.8% 36.9% 14.0% 11.3%0.9
Polling for the Republican presidential nomination
+Polling aggregates Candidates Wendell Willkie Thomas Dewey Robert Taft Arthur Vandenberg Herbert Hoover Undecided
Poll source Date Leading by(points) GallupNovember 27, 1938 - 33% 18% 18% 6% 6% - 5% - - - - - 17% - 15 GallupFebruary 17, 1939 - 14.04% 8.32% 10.92% 2.08% 3.64% 2.08% - - 2.08% - - - 8.84% 48%3.12 GallupMarch 22, 1939 - 23.00% 5.98% 6.90% 2.30% 1.84% 0.92% 0.92% - - - - - 4.14% 54%16.10 GallupMay 10, 1939 - 31.86% 8.85% 7.67% 2.36% 1.77% 1.77% 0.59% 0.59% 0.59% - - 0.59% 2.36% 41%16.10 GallupJuly 7, 1939 - 47% 13% 19% 6% 4% 3% 1% 1% 2% - - - 4% - 28 GallupAugust 13, 1939 - 26.55% 8.26% 14.75% 3.54% 1.77% 1.18% - 1.18% - - - - 1.77% 41%11.80 GallupOctober 13, 1939 - 33.54% 14.62% 23.22% 3.54% 3.44% 2.58% - 0.86% - 0.86% 0.86% - 2.58% 14%10.32GallupNovember 10, 1939 - 39% 18% 26% 5% 3% 3% 1% - - 1% 1% - 4% - 13 - 44% 31% 25% - - - - - - - - - - - 13 GallupJanuary 7, 1940 - 37.80% 6.93% 10.08% 3.15% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% 0.63% - - - - 1.89% 37%27.72 GallupMay 8, 1940 2.16% 48.24% 8.64% 10.08% 1.44% - - - - - - - - 2.16% 28%38.16 GallupMay 17, 1940 3.70% 45.88% 10.36% 9.62% 1.48% - - - - - - - - 2.96% 26%35.52 GallupMay 31, 1940 6.80% 38.08% 10.88% 8.16% 1.36% - - - - - - - - 2.72% 32%27.20 GallupJune 12, 1940 13.43% 41.08% 10.27% 9.48% 1.56% 0.79% - - - - - - - 2.37% 21%27.65 GallupJune 21, 1940 19.14% 31.02% 5.28% 5.28% 3.96% - - - - - - - - 1.32% 34%11.88 GallupJuly 8, 1940 44% 29% 13% - - - - - - - - - - 14% - 15
Polling for the Democratic presidential nomination
Poll source Date Leading by(points) GallupJuly 31, 1938 - 23% 12% 16% 5% 2% - - - 2% 3% - - 3% - - 5% 25% - 7 GallupMarch 26, 1939 - 42% 10% 10% 5% 2% - - - 2% - 8% 2% 3% - - - 14% - 32 GallupMay 21, 1939 - 50% 13% 9% 3% 3% - - - 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% - - - 11% - 37 GallupJune 14, 1939 - 23.03% 5.88% 7.84% 1.47% 1.47% - - - 0.49% 1.47% 2.45% 0.98% - - - - 3.43% 51%15.19 GallupAugust 4, 1939 - 46% 12% 12% 13% 2% - - - 1% 1% 3% 1% - - - - 8% - 33 GallupSeptember 13, 1939 - 45% 10% 10% 21% 2% - - - 1% - 1% 1% - - - - 9% - 24GallupNovember 6, 1939 83% 8% 3% 1% 3% - - - - - - - - - - - - 2% - 75 - 45% 13% 8% 18% 3% - - - 2% - - 1% - 2% 1% - 8% - 75GallupJanuary 3, 1940 58.85% 9.75% 1.50% 0.75% 3.00% 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - - 0.75% 25%49.10 - 27.84% 3.84% 2.40% 8.16% - - - - - - - - - - - - 5.76% 52%19.68GallupFebruary 19, 1940 58.50% 7.50% 4.50% 0.75% 1.50% - 0.75% - - - - - - - - - - 1.50% 25%51.00 - 20.00% 12.50% 4.00% 5.50% 0.50% 2.00% 0.50% 1.50% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 50%7.50 GallupMay 15, 1940 - 11.55% 25.85% 8.80% 3.30% - 2.20% 0.55% 0.55% - - - - - - - - 2.20% 45%14.30GallupJuly 1, 1940 76.36% 1.66% 2.49% 0.83% 0.83% - - - - - - - - - - - - 0.83% 17%73.87 - 11.96% 24.44% 6.24% 4.68% - 1.56% 0.56% 0.56% - - - - - - - - 2.08% 48%12.48
Notes
References