2022 Vermont gubernatorial election

The 2022 Vermont gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Vermont. Incumbent Republican governor Phil Scott won re-election to a fourth term in a landslide, defeating Democratic nominee Brenda Siegel.

This race was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 presidential election. During the 2022 season, Scott enjoyed one of the highest approval ratings of any governor in the nation, and was expected to easily win reelection. As such, he carried every municipality in the state, this time with the largest margin in a Vermont gubernatorial race since Howard Dean's landslide in 1996. Scott's 47-point victory margin was the largest for a Republican candidate since 1950, even while Democratic congressman Peter Welch won the concurrent U.S. Senate election by a 40-point margin. This was the second-most lopsided gubernatorial election of the 2022 cycle, only behind the election in Wyoming.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Phil Scott, incumbent governor

Eliminated in primary Stephen Bellows, landscaping contractor Peter Duval, engineer and former Underhill selectman

Declined H. Brooke Paige, historian and perennial candidate (running for multiple statewide offices)

Results

Progressive primary Candidates Withdrew after winning primary Susan Hatch Davis, former state representative

Replacement nominee Brenda Siegel, nonprofit executive, candidate for governor in 2018, and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020 (cross-endorsement of Democratic nominee)

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Brenda Siegel, nonprofit executive, candidate for governor in 2018, and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020

Declined Becca Balint, President pro tempore of the Vermont Senate (running for U.S. House) T. J. Donovan, former Vermont Attorney General Molly Gray, Lieutenant Governor of Vermont (ran for U.S. House) Jill Krowinski, Speaker of the Vermont House of Representatives (running for re-election) Doug Racine, former lieutenant governor of Vermont and candidate for governor in 2002 and 2010

Endorsements

Results

Independents Candidates Declared Peter Duval, engineer and former Underhill selectman Kevin Hoyt, candidate for governor in 2020 Bernard Peters, perennial candidate

Write-ins Due to Vermont's completely unrestricted write-in laws, many high school students across the United States were legally able to run for governor.

Candidates Declared Jackson Williams, high school student from Las Vegas Landon Best, high school student from Indiana

General election Predictions Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report March 4, 2022Inside Elections July 22, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball August 18, 2022PoliticoNovember 3, 2022 RCPNovember 1, 2022Fox News August 22, 2022538August 26, 2022Elections DailyNovember 7, 2022

Polling Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error PhilScott (R) BrendaSiegel (D/P) Other UndecidedData for Progress (D)Data for Progress (D)October 21–26, 20221,039 (LV)± 3.0%65%24%5%6%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireSeptember 29 – October 3, 2022865 (LV)± 3.5%48%31%9%13%The Trafalgar Group (R)The Trafalgar Group (R)September 3–7, 20221,072 (LV)± 2.9%68%15%5%12%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireJuly 21–25, 2022651 (LV)± 3.8%60%16%8%16%

Phil Scott vs. generic opponent Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error PhilScott (R) GenericOpponent UndecidedUniversity of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireApril 14–18, 2022583 (LV)± 4.1%50%25%24%

Results

By county

CountyPhil ScottRepublicanBrenda SiegelDemocraticVarious candidatesOther parties#%#%#%Addison12,85671.45%4,44724.72%6903.83%Bennington10,64267.24%3,74123.64%1,4449.12%Caledonia9,50774.51%2,42519.0%8286.49%Chittenden52,21568.88%21,19327.96%2,4013.16%Essex1,88079.16%31413.22%1817.62%Franklin15,66779.53%2,74113.91%1,2916.56%Grand Isle3,11578.78%65416.54%1854.68%Lamoille8,62575.21%2,31720.2%5264.59%Orange10,01372.36%3,13722.67%6874.97%Orleans7,84073.62%1,75516.48%1,0549.9%Rutland20,13477.03%4,30716.48%1,6966.49%Washington18,93868.07%7,79928.03%1,0863.9%Windham11,73759.7%6,88735.03%1,0355.27%Windsor18,97870.78%6,53124.36%1,3024.86% Totals202,14770.98%68,24823.96%14,4065.06%

2022 Vermont gubernatorial election

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