The following is a Mackerras pendulum for the 2020 Queensland state election.

"Safe" seats require a swing of over 10 per cent to change, "fairly safe" seats require a swing of between 6 and 10 per cent, while "marginal" seats require a swing of less than 6 per cent. Labor seats (52)MarginalBundabergTom SmithALP0.01NicklinRobert SkeltonALP0.1Hervey BayAdrian TantariALP2.0CaloundraJason HuntALP2.5Barron RiverCraig CrawfordALP3.1TownsvilleScott StewartALP3.1ThuringowaAaron HarperALP3.2RedlandsKim RichardsALP3.9MundingburraLes WalkerALP3.9AspleyBart MellishALP5.2PumicestoneAli KingALP5.3CairnsMichael HealyALP5.6KeppelBrittany LaugaALP5.6Fairly safeRedcliffeYvette D'AthALP6.1CookCynthia LuiALP6.3Pine RiversNikki BoydALP6.7MackayJulieanne GilbertALP6.7MansfieldCorrine McMillanALP6.8GavenMeaghan ScanlonALP7.8SpringwoodMick de BrenniALP8.3RockhamptonBarry O'RourkeALP8.6MacalisterMelissa McMahonALP9.5CapalabaDon BrownALP9.8SafeCooperJonty BushALP10.5Ferny GroveMark FurnerALP11.0McConnelGrace GraceALP11.1MurrumbaSteven MilesALP11.3BulimbaDi FarmerALP11.4StaffordJimmy SullivanALP11.9MaryboroughBruce SaundersALP11.9MulgraveCurtis PittALP12.2Mount OmmaneyJess PughALP12.6BancroftChris WhitingALP12.8KurwongbahShane KingALP13.1GreenslopesJoe KellyALP13.2LyttonJoan PeaseALP13.4LoganLinus PowerALP13.4MillerMark BaileyALP13.8Ipswich WestJim MaddenALP14.3TooheyPeter RussoALP14.5StrettonDuncan PeggALP14.8NudgeeLeanne LinardALP15.1WaterfordShannon FentimanALP16.0IpswichJennifer HowardALP16.5MorayfieldMark RyanALP16.7JordanCharis MullenALP17.1SandgateStirling HinchliffeALP17.3AlgesterLeeanne EnochALP17.8BundambaLance McCallumALP20.7 v ONPGladstoneGlenn ButcherALP23.5WoodridgeCameron DickALP26.2InalaAnnastacia PalaszczukALP28.2

Liberal National seats (34)MarginalCurrumbinLaura GerberLNP0.5CoomeraMichael CrandonLNP1.1BurleighMichael HartLNP1.2ChatsworthSteve MinnikinLNP1.3ClayfieldTim NichollsLNP1.6Glass HouseAndrew PowellLNP1.6EvertonTim ManderLNP2.2WhitsundayAmanda CammLNP3.3TheodoreMark BoothmanLNP3.3MoggillChristian RowanLNP3.6NinderryDan PurdieLNP4.1Mermaid BeachRay StevensLNP4.4OodgerooMark RobinsonLNP4.5BuderimBrent MickelbergLNP5.3SouthportRob MolhoekLNP5.4Fairly safeBurdekinDale LastLNP7.0Toowoomba NorthTrevor WattsLNP7.3GympieTony PerrettLNP8.5MaroochydoreFiona SimpsonLNP9.1KawanaJarrod BleijieLNP9.3SafeBonneySam O'ConnorLNP10.1MudgeerabaRos BatesLNP10.1Toowoomba SouthDavid JanetzkiLNP10.2BurnettStephen BennettLNP10.8Scenic RimJon KrauseLNP11.5LockyerJim McDonaldLNP11.5NanangoDeb FrecklingtonLNP12.2Southern DownsJames ListerLNP14.1CallideColin BoyceLNP15.8Surfers ParadiseJohn-Paul LangbroekLNP16.2BroadwaterDavid CrisafulliLNP16.6GregoryLachlan MillarLNP17.2CondaminePat WeirLNP19.2WarregoAnn LeahyLNP23.1Crossbench seats (7)South BrisbaneAmy MacMahonGRN5.3 v ALPMaiwarMichael BerkmanGRN6.3 v LNPMiraniStephen AndrewONP9.0 v ALPHinchinbrookNick DamettoKAP14.8 v LNPNoosaSandy BoltonIND15.8 v LNPHillShane KnuthKAP22.5 v ALPTraegerRobbie KatterKAP24.7 v ALP

References