2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Kelly Armstrong was re-elected with 69.0% of the vote in 2020. His only opponent in the general election was Independent Cara Mund after Democratic nominee Mark Haugen withdrew.

Although Armstrong won by a large margin, his 62.2% showing was his worst since his first election in 2018, and Mund's 37.6% was the best showing for a non-Republican in a North Dakota U.S. House race since 2014. Mund's vote share was at least 10% higher than every 2022 statewide Democratic–NPL candidate in North Dakota, and nearly 6% higher than incumbent president Democrat Joe Biden's vote share in the 2020 presidential election. Mund also had the second-best performance of any Independent in the 2022 congressional elections, only surpassed by Evan McMullin in the Utah Senate race.

Republican primary Candidates Declared Kelly Armstrong, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Withdrew after winning primary Mark Haugen, student counselor and nominee for state treasurer in 2020

Endorsements

Results

Aftermath Following the overturning of Roe v. Wade in June 2022, Haugen faced criticism among Democrats for his anti-abortion beliefs. Many within the Democratic–NPL Party preferred independent candidate Cara Mund, who is pro-choice, and urged Haugen to drop out of the race. Haugen ended his campaign in September, and the Democratic–NPL Party endorsed Mund shortly after.

Independents Declared Cara Mund, lawyer and former Miss America

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report October 5, 2021 Inside Elections October 11, 2021 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 5, 2021PoliticoApril 5, 2022RCPJune 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KellyArmstrong (R) CaraMund (I) Other UndecidedDFM Research (D)DFM Research (D)September 19–21, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%44%40%2%14%Axis Research (R)Axis Research (R)September 16–19, 2022402 (LV)± 5.0%52%30%–18%1982 Polling (R)1982 Polling (R)September 10–12, 2022518 (LV)± 4.3%48%31%–13%Odney (R)Odney (R)August 18–28, 2022403 (LV)± 4.9%49%20%15%16%

Results

By county CountyKelly AmrstrongRepublicanCara MundIndependentWrite-insMarginTotalvotes#%#%#%#%Adams69074.9%23125.1%00.0%45949.8%921Barnes2,37561.4%1,48438.4%60.2%89123.0%3,865Benson79555.4%63844.4%30.2%15811.0%1,436Billings43982.7%9217.3%00.0%34765.4%531Bottineau2,02771.3%80828.4%60.2%1,21942.9%2,841Bowman1,07479.3%28020.7%10.1%79458.6%1,355Burke61479.2%16020.6%10.1%45458.6%775Burleigh21,91562.1%13,28537.6%1090.3%8,63024.5%35,309Cass26,10748.8%27,28151.0%1510.3%-1,174-2.2%53,539Cavalier1,11772.4%42227.3%40.3%69545.1%1,543Dickey1,23169.7%53530.3%00.0%69639.4%1,766Divide73371.8%28728.1%10.1%44643.7%1,021Dunn1,30178.9%34420.9%30.2%95758.0%1,648Eddy63367.8%29932.0%10.1%33435.8%933Emmons1,21279.9%30119.8%40.3%91160.1%1,517Foster89672.3%34227.6%10.1%55444.7%1,239Golden Valley61579.7%15520.1%20.3%46059.6%772Grand Forks10,56056.4%8,11943.4%450.2%2,44113.0%18,724Grant87178.9%23020.8%30.3%64158.1%1,104Griggs67067.7%31832.1%20.2%35235.6%990Hettinger81379.2%21320.7%10.1%60048.5%1,027Kidder76872.6%29027.4%00.0%47845.2%1,058LaMoure1,13969.8%49130.1%10.1%64839.7%1,631Logan63977.8%17921.8%30.4%46056.0%821McHenry1,59674.4%54625.4%40.2%1,05049.0%2,146McIntosh79172.2%30427.8%00.0%48744.4%1,095McKenzie2,46877.3%72122.6%50.2%1,74754.7%3,194McLean2,96070.3%1,23629.4%120.3%1,72440.9%4,208Mercer2,71075.8%86024.0%70.2%1,85041.8%3,577Morton7,38565.3%3,89734.5%220.2%3,48830.8%11,304Mountrail1,70265.7%88434.1%50.2%81831.6%2,591Nelson95563.3%55336.6%10.1%40226.7%1,509Oliver65478.9%17421.0%10.1%48057.9%829Pembina1,74171.4%69728.6%20.1%1,04442.8%2,440Pierce99767.3%48332.6%10.1%51434.7%1,481Ramsey2,59865.1%1,39334.9%00.0%1,20530.2%3,991Ransom95652.7%85347.0%40.2%1035.7%1,813Renville69077.6%19822.3%10.1%49255.3%889Richland3,60360.9%2,31339.1%50.1%1,29021.8%5,921Rolette1,13342.9%1,50256.9%60.2%-369-14.0%2,641Sargent91257.6%67142.4%00.0%24115.2%1,583Sheridan48177.6%13722.1%20.3%34455.5%620Sioux19634.3%37365.2%30.5%-177-30.9%572Slope25283.2%5016.5%10.3%20265.7%303Stark7,10678.0%1,98721.8%190.2%5,11956.2%9,112Steele45758.3%32541.5%20.3%13216.8%784Stutsman4,28164.2%2,38235.7%90.1%1,89928.5%6,672Towner55865.6%29234.4%00.0%26631.2%850Traill1,74959.4%1,18640.3%100.3%56319.1%2,945Walsh2,42770.2%1,02629.7%50.1%1,40140.5%3,458Ward11,26667.6%5,35532.1%440.3%5,91135.5%16,665Wells1,25474.9%41224.6%80.5%84250.3%1,674Williams5,28771.9%2,05027.9%160.2%3,23744.0%7,353 Totals148,39962.20%89,64437.57%5430.23%139,43524.63%238,586

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent Cass (largest city: Fargo)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent Rolette (largest CDP: Belcourt) Sioux (largest CDP: Cannon Ball)

See also 2022 North Dakota elections

Notes

Partisan clients

References

External links Official campaign websites Kelly Armstrong (R) for Congress Cara Mund (I) for Congress