2022 Idaho gubernatorial election

The 2022 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on November 8 to elect the next governor of Idaho. Incumbent Brad Little, first elected in 2018, was elected to a second term, the eighth consecutive win by a Republican.

The statewide primary was held on May 17; Little defeated incumbent lieutenant governor Janice McGeachin in the Republican primary, while Stephen Heidt won the Democratic primary. Little convincingly won the general election, but there was a relatively strong performance by far-right independent candidate Ammon Bundy, who finished roughly three points behind Heidt, and ahead of Heidt in 34 of Idaho's 44 counties.

Bundy's share of the vote was the best non-major party performance or the best outside both major parties performance since 1926. This was the worst Democratic performance since 1924, and one of only three times since then in which the Democratic candidate failed to achieve 30% of the vote.

Republican primary

Candidates Nominee Brad Little, incumbent governor

Eliminated in primary Steve Bradshaw, Bonner County commissioner Ben Cannady, candidate for governor in 2018 Walter French Ed Humphreys, financial advisor and Region IV chair of the Idaho Republican Party Ashley Jackson, actress, marijuana legalization activist Lisa Marie, entrepreneur, humanitarian, mother Janice McGeachin, lieutenant governor of Idaho Cody Usabel

Withdrawn Ammon Bundy, anti-government militant, activist, and leader of the Occupation of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge (ran as an independent) Chris Hammond

Declined Raúl Labrador, former U.S. representative from ID-01, former chair of the Idaho Republican Party, and candidate for governor in 2018 (successfully ran for Idaho attorney general)

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error SteveBradshaw AmmonBundy EdHumphreys AshleyJackson BradLittle LisaMarie JaniceMcGeachin CodyUsabel UndecidedZoldak Research (R)Zoldak Research (R)April 9–12, 2022549 (LV)± 4.0%3%–6%1%60%<1%29%<1%–––19%–62%–––19%––––62%–33%–6% February 17, 2022 Bundy withdraws from the raceZoldak Research (R)Zoldak Research (R)December 20–21, 2021575 (LV)± 4.1%1%6%2%–59%–18%0%14%10%–––64%–––26%–15%––70%–––15%––11%–65%–––24%––––64%–24%–12%

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Stephen Heidt, college instructor (Marsing)

Write-in candidates David J. Reilly, activist and media personality Shelby Rognstad, mayor of Sandpoint (failed to change party registration and ran as write-in candidate instead)

Withdrew Melissa Sue Robinson, perennial candidate

Declined AJ Balukoff, former Boise School District trustee, nominee for governor in 2014, and candidate in 2018 (endorsed Shelby Rognstad)

Endorsements

Primary results

Write-in count Shelby Rognstad received 6,736 votes (21.2%). David Reilly received 21 votes (0.07%).

Libertarian primary Candidates Declared John Dionne Jr. Paul Sand, White Bird city councilman, retired software engineer

Primary results

Constitution primary Candidates Declared Chantyrose Davison

Write In Ryan Cole, member of the Central Idaho Health District board and pathologist (failed to change party registration and running as write-in candidate instead)

Withdrew Pro-Life, organic strawberry farmer and perennial candidate (ran for lieutenant governor)

Primary results

Write-in count Dr. Ryan Cole received 25 votes/6.7%.

Independents Declared Ammon Bundy, leader of the Occupation of the Malheur National Wildlife Refuge

Withdrawn John Dionne (running as a Libertarian) Pro Life (ran for lieutenant governor)

General election Predictions Source Ranking As of The Cook Political Report July 26, 2022Inside Elections July 22, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 29, 2022PoliticoApril 1, 2022 RCPJanuary 10, 2022Fox News May 12, 2022538July 31, 2022Elections DailyNovember 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Results

By county County Brad LittleRepublican Stephen HeidtDemocratic Ammon BundyIndependent Paul SandLibertarian Chantyrose DavisonConstitution Lisa MarieIndependent (write-in) Other write-in Margin Total Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %Ada105,27656.84%53,69328.99%22,86712.35%2,1901.18%1,2000.65%30.00%00.00%51,58027.85%185,229Adams1,28763.71%23911.83%44622.08%231.14%251.24%00.00%00.00%84141.63%2,020Bannock14,94558.51%7,00627.43%2,90711.38%3791.48%2631.03%10.00%410.16%7,93931.08%25,542Bear Lake1,41262.31%1406.18%67829.92%170.75%190.84%00.00%00.00%73432.39%2,266Benewah2,09760.71%39711.49%87125.22%441.27%451.30%00.00%00.00%1,22635.50%3,454Bingham8,75070.66%1,27710.31%2,02216.33%1441.16%1701.37%00.00%00.00%6,72854.42%12,363Blaine4,02241.32%5,14952.90%4244.36%800.82%450.46%00.00%140.14%-1,127-11.58%9,734Boise1,93256.10%45313.15%97028.16%371.07%461.34%60.17%00.00%96227.93%3,444Bonner12,13658.36%3,12115.01%5,11024.57%1980.95%2291.10%00.00%00.00%7,02633.79%20,794Bonneville24,52569.11%5,31014.96%4,80313.53%4511.27%3951.11%30.01%00.00%19,21554.15%35,487Boundary3,08458.87%4378.34%1,60230.58%490.94%561.07%110.21%00.00%1,48228.29%5,239Butte63562.93%747.33%26626.36%191.88%151.49%00.00%00.00%36936.57%1,009Camas33765.18%6111.80%10420.12%81.55%71.35%00.00%00.00%23445.26%517Canyon34,31658.83%9,23615.83%13,55423.24%6821.17%5380.92%30.01%00.00%20,76235.59%58,329Caribou1,49570.52%1426.70%43620.57%221.04%251.18%00.00%00.00%1,05949.95%2,120Cassia4,07470.06%3716.78%1,22621.08%681.17%631.08%00.00%130.22%2,84848.98%5,815Clark14569.71%125.77%4521.63%20.96%41.92%00.00%00.00%10048.08%208Clearwater2,22071.13%36811.79%46714.96%351.12%240.77%70.22%00.00%1,75356.17%3,121Custer1,22860.31%23211.39%53826.42%150.74%221.08%10.00%00.00%69033.89%2,036Elmore4,26064.25%1,02315.43%1,14617.29%1071.61%941.42%00.00%00.00%3,11446.97%6,630Franklin2,74463.27%2134.91%1,29429.84%330.76%531.22%00.00%00.00%1,45033.43%4,337Fremont3,07372.10%3478.14%73717.29%410.96%641.50%00.00%00.00%2,33654.81%4,262Gem4,58260.04%5997.85%2,31030.27%720.94%680.89%00.00%00.00%2,27229.77%7,631Gooding2,45860.68%43010.61%1,07526.54%400.99%471.16%10.02%00.00%1,38334.14%4,051Idaho4,84064.79%6388.54%1,81624.31%981.31%781.04%00.00%00.00%3,02440.48%7,470Jefferson6,59172.52%5806.38%1,66818.35%951.05%1541.69%10.01%00.00%4,92354.16%9,089Jerome3,16164.91%54011.09%1,05121.58%591.21%470.97%00.00%120.25%2,11043.33%4,870Kootenai38,29661.29%9,29914.88%13,72721.97%5170.83%4510.72%60.01%1830.29%24,56939.32%62,479Latah8,25654.88%5,04333.52%1,4039.33%1841.22%870.58%00.00%700.47%3,21321.36%15,043Lemhi2,46567.35%42111.50%71319.48%340.93%260.71%10.03%00.00%1,75247.87%3,660Lewis1,01374.43%1239.04%21015.43%60.44%90.66%00.00%00.00%80359.00%1,361Lincoln84163.66%15211.51%29222.10%181.36%181.36%00.00%00.00%54941.56%1,321Madison6,03772.42%6948.33%1,38816.65%851.02%1321.58%00.00%00.00%4,64955.77%8,336Minidoka3,22268.25%3998.45%98020.76%611.29%591.25%00.00%00.00%2,24247.49%4,721Nez Perce9,25268.63%2,65919.72%1,3289.85%1541.14%880.65%00.00%00.00%6,59348.91%13,481Oneida1,03165.21%704.29%49930.59%90.55%181.10%00.00%40.25%53232.62%1,631Owyhee1,88157.17%3009.12%1,01530.85%441.34%491.49%10.03%00.00%86626.32%3,290Payette4,87464.06%7239.50%1,84624.26%841.10%821.08%00.00%00.00%3,02839.79%7,609Power1,41171.41%29715.03%21010.63%241.21%301.52%00.00%40.20%1,11456.38%1,976Shoshone2,61463.32%76718.58%66916.21%421.02%360.87%00.00%00.00%1,84744.74%4,128Teton2,16946.23%1,98942.39%4539.65%621.32%190.40%00.00%00.00%1803.84%4,692Twin Falls13,88460.29%3,42814.89%5,11122.19%2911.26%2791.21%00.00%360.16%8,77338.10%23,029Valley3,21161.37%1,34425.69%57811.05%621.19%360.69%10.02%00.00%1,86735.68%5,232Washington2,51664.12%3649.28%98024.97%290.74%350.89%00.00%00.00%1,53639.14%3,924

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Latah (largest municipality: Moscow) Ada (largest municipality: Boise) Teton (largest municipality: Victor)

By congressional district Little won both congressional districts. District Little Heidt Bundy Representative 61% 17% 20%Russ Fulcher 60% 24% 14%Mike Simpson

2022 Idaho gubernatorial election

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