In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island cabildos in the Canary Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities Las Palmas de Gran Canaria Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout LV LPGCP Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 57.0 28.8 19.7 5.6 7.5 3.2 3.5 1.4 16.1 7.7 9.1 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015?? 31.0–32.0 18.0–19.0 5.0–6.0 6.0–7.0 5.0–6.0 – – – 7.0–8.0 11.0–12.0 13.0 Focus Investigación 21 Apr 2015?? 33.3 20.7 – 4.0 5.1 – 5.8 – 17.2 7.6 12.6 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015?? 31.0–32.0 19.0–20.0 – 7.0–8.0 4.0–5.0 – – – 8.0–9.0 13.0–14.0 12.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015?? 30.1 19.5 1.9 9.1 – – – – 16.7 8.5 10.6 NC Report/Canarias7 9 Feb 2014?? 33.5 21.1 5.8 10.5 6.1 5.1 5.5 – – – 12.4 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 25 Nov–5 Dec 2013? 50.2 34.9 21.6 8.9 9.9 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.7 – – 13.3 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 56.1 43.2 23.0 7.0 6.1 4.9 3.4 1.9 1.7 – – 20.2

Mogán Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout CIUCA CGCa Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 67.6 35.3 41.6 8.1 5.1 2.5 4.3 – 6.3 Investigación & Desarrollo/PP 5 Feb 2015 450? 50.7 20.0 7.6 6.5 2.8 4.2 8.0 30.7 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 66.5 50.7 25.5 10.2 7.2 5.2 – – 25.2

San Cristóbal de La Laguna Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 58.1 23.9 15.2 18.1 9.6 7.2 18.5 5.4 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015?? 25.0–26.0 13.0–14.0 18.0–19.0 13.0–14.0 8.0–9.0 12.0–13.0 7.0 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015?? 26.0–27.0 19.0–20.0 17.0–18.0 10.0–11.0 5.0–6.0 12.0–13.0 7.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015?? 27.2 13.7 13.6 4.6 – 12.0 16.3 9.0 – 10.9 ULL/PSOE 2 Mar 2015 995???? – –? – – – Tie 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 59.0 39.8 20.6 15.1 9.1 5.8 – – – – 19.2

Santa Cruz de Tenerife Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout CSC CCN Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 55.1 17.5 24.3 13.2 12.1 5.1 – 1.8 1.8 9.5 6.8 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015?? 18.0–19.0 30.0–31.0 15.0–16.0 8.0–9.0 4.0–5.0 – – 4.0–5.0 8.0–9.0 12.0 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015?? 19.0–20.0 27.0–28.0 14.0–15.0 8.0–9.0 5.0–6.0 – – – 8.0–9.0 8.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015?? 17.4 22.8 12.3 12.5 4.1 – 3.5 8.9 15.2 5.4 MírameTV 23 Apr 2014??????? – – – –? Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 25 Nov–5 Dec 2013? 51.0 24.7 24.6 14.4 9.9 6.8 7.7 – – – 0.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 56.6 28.4 27.4 15.6 7.5 5.8 5.4 – – 1.0

Telde Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout +xT SPGT CCD Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 61.9 20.7 8.7 12.6 11.5 13.5 8.2 7.3 3.6 5.3 7.2 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015?? 20.0–21.0 12.0–13.0 8.0–9.0 15.0–16.0 9.0–10.0 10.0–11.0 6.0–7.0 6.0–7.0 – 5.0 Focus Investigación 21 Apr 2015?????????? –? Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015?? 16.0–17.0 12.0–13.0 10.0–11.0 16.0–17.0 8.0–9.0 8.0–9.0 5.0–6.0 15.0–16.0 – Tie TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015?? 18.9 12.0??? 11.4 14.8? – 4.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 61.3 27.6 27.4 12.4 8.9 8.0 6.2 – – – 0.2

Island Cabildos El Hierro Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2015 island council election 24 May 2015 74.8 45.1 24.9 13.6 2.0 6.6 6.7 – 20.2 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015 100? 44.0–45.0 22.0–23.0 14.0–15.0 – 8.0–9.0 – – 22.0 Focus Investigación/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2015????? – –? –? Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 100? 37.0–38.0 27.0–28.0 20.0–21.0 – – 5.0–6.0 8.0–9.0 10.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 100? 44.2 19.8? – – 5.1 5.3 24.4 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 10–28 Nov 2014 150???? – – – –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de Avisos 5–16 Apr 2014 150? 48.9 26.5 17.4 3.2 4.0 – – 22.4 2011 island council election 22 May 2011 75.7 39.4 36.0 19.6 1.7 – – – 3.4

Fuerteventura Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PPM AMF LV Lead 2015 island council election 24 May 2015 59.4 30.6 11.9 17.6 8.3 4.7 5.8 1.3 10.6 2.9 13.0 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015 400? 30.0–31.0 11.0–12.0 16.0–17.0 8.0–9.0 – 4.0–5.0 – 7.0–8.0 6.0–7.0 14.0 Focus Investigación/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2015????? – – – –??? Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 400? 29.0–30.0 10.0–11.0 17.0–18.0 5.0–6.0 4.0–5.0 4.0–5.0 – 7.0–8.0 8.0–9.0 12.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 304? 29.9 8.8 16.5 9.4 2.8 6.5 – 16.3 6.7 13.4 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 10–28 Nov 2014 400????? – – –? –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de Avisos 5–16 Apr 2014 400? 37.7 15.1 15.7 10.6 8.9 5.6 2.0 – – 22.0 2011 island council election 22 May 2011 64.1 36.0 18.1 14.9 13.8 7.3 3.6 2.0 – – 17.9

Gran Canaria Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout LV Lead 2015 island council election 24 May 2015 61.6 17.5 14.5 26.5 5.6 1.5 0.8 13.4 4.3 11.3 9.1 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015 800? 23.0–24.0 16.0–17.0 17.0–18.0 7.0–8.0 – – – 10.0–11.0 6.0–7.0 13.0–14.0 6.0 Focus Investigación/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2015?????? – – –???? Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 800? 22.0–23.0 18.0–19.0 13.0–14.0 7.0–8.0 – – – 10.0–11.0 11.0–12.0 8.0–9.0 4.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 814? 21.5 17.2 20.7 4.5 – – – 11.2 7.2 11.3 0.8 IAP 15–21 Jan 2015 600? 28.7 11.8 19.8 5.1 – 1.8 – 11.2 – – 8.9 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 10–28 Nov 2014 500 66.3??? 7.9 – – – 12.0 – –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de Avisos 5–16 Apr 2014 800? 33.8 20.6 20.6 12.0 3.3 3.7 2.8 – – – 13.2 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 25 Nov–5 Dec 2013? 56.9 33.4 18.5 18.3 9.0 3.4 3.7 2.8 – – – 14.9 2011 island council election 22 May 2011 62.3 38.8 20.7 15.3 9.2 2.7 1.5 1.2 – – – 18.1

La Gomera Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout LV CCN Lead 2015 island council election 24 May 2015 77.0 15.3 9.3 6.3 9.0 – – – 0.3 – – 50.2 9.2 34.9 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015 100? 15.0–16.0 12.0–13.0 7.0–8.0 5.0–6.0 – – – – 5.0–6.0 – 46.0–47.0 – 31.0 Focus Investigación/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2015????? – – – – –? –? – Tie Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 100? 22.0–23.0 14.0–15.0 12.0–13.0 – – – – – 5.0–6.0 6.0–7.0 27.0–28.0 – 5.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 150? 11.6 19.9 9.8 8.6 – – – – – 5.8 38.7 – 18.8 Celeste-Tel 24 Feb 2015 600 71.8 12.7 20.2? – – – – – – – 46.6? 26.4 Celeste-Tel 13 Jan 2015?? 9.9?? – – – – –? – 41.2 –?? 47.2?? – – – – –? – – –? Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 10–28 Nov 2014 150? 54.0 14.7 11.7 4.3 2.2 3.6 – – 8.2 – – – 39.3 Celeste-Tel/PSOE 1 Nov 2014 500 72.1 51.4 18.9 8.8 4.4 3.5 4.4 – – 8.6 – – –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de Avisos 5–16 Apr 2014 150? 45.7 18.9 15.3 9.7 3.5 – 4.5 2.4 – – – – 26.8 2011 island council election 22 May 2011 78.1 52.1 26.5 12.6 4.2 3.5 – – – – – – 25.6

La Palma Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout LV Lead 2015 island council election 24 May 2015 66.7 29.4 22.9 31.4 2.7 2.9 1.1 5.0 2.9 2.0 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015?? 29.0–30.0 21.0–22.0 30.0–31.0 – – – – 6.0–7.0 – 1.0 Focus Investigación/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2015????? – – – –?? Tie Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 400? 31.0–32.0 21.0–22.0 27.0–28.0 – – – – 4.0–5.0 5.0–6.0 4.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 302? 35.8 20.5 23.6 5.1 – – – – 5.7 12.2 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 10–28 Nov 2014 300???? – – – –? –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de Avisos 5–16 Apr 2014 400? 34.7 25.3 28.1 5.0 1.4 4.0 0.8 – – 6.6 2011 island council election 22 May 2011 71.1 39.6 28.2 24.5 2.2 1.9 1.5 0.7 – – 11.4

Lanzarote Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PIL SL Lead 2015 island council election 24 May 2015 52.5 24.2 12.0 19.1 6.7 6.9 6.6 2.0 12.5 5.3 5.1 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015 400? 25.0–26.0 14.0–15.0 23.0–24.0 6.0–7.0 5.0–6.0 4.0–5.0 – 7.0–8.0 6.0–7.0 2.0 Focus Investigación/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2015?????? – – –??? Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 400? 27.0–28.0 14.0–15.0 14.0–15.0 7.0–8.0 – 6.0–7.0 – 13.0–14.0 7.0–8.0 13.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 302? 29.2 14.5 14.6 11.8 6.4 7.3 – 7.8 – 14.6 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 10–28 Nov 2014 400????? – – –? –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de Avisos 5–16 Apr 2014 400? 30.9 17.5 19.4 15.6 5.4 3.6 5.1 – – 11.5 2011 island council election 22 May 2011 54.9 31.3 22.3 15.7 12.7 5.1 4.2 1.8 – – 9.0

Tenerife Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout LV Lead 2015 island council election 24 May 2015 61.6 28.6 19.4 20.6 2.7 – 1.0 2.2 13.9 5.5 8.0 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 4–14 May 2015 800? 28.0–29.0 18.0–19.0 16.0–17.0 – – – – – 10.0–11.0 9.0–10.0 10.0 Focus Investigación/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2015?? 31.8 18.4 22.9? – – – – 10.8 6.2 8.9 Perfiles/Diario de Avisos 7–20 Apr 2015 800? 27.0–28.0 18.0–19.0 19.0–20.0 4.0–5.0 – – – – 9.0–10.0 8.0–9.0 8.0 TSA/Canarias7 26 Mar–9 Apr 2015 807? 33.5 17.9 18.1 – – – – 6.5 9.7 7.9 15.4 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 10–28 Nov 2014 500 67.4??? –? – –?? –? Celeste-Tel/Diario de Avisos 5–16 Apr 2014 800? 34.1 20.5 19.4 8.7 7.9 2.8 2.5 – – – 13.6 Hamalgama Métrica/La Provincia 25 Nov–5 Dec 2013? 57.8 34.4 24.7 18.2 7.2 6.7 – – – – – 9.7 2011 island council election 22 May 2011 63.8 38.3 24.9 19.7 4.8 4.5 2.0 0.9 – – – 13.4

Notes

References