In the run up to the 2015 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities in Andalusia are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 22 May 2011, to the day the next elections were held, on 24 May 2015.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities Algeciras Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 45.8 43.9 21.6 7.2 3.4 1.1 11.9 7.4 22.3 Tresochenta/La Verdad 22 Apr–8 May 2015 600 61.7 41.0 17.0 6.4 5.7 – 11.8 9.5 24.0 Insobel/8TV 30 Apr 2015 600? 49.1 15.3 6.0 5.8 – 10.7 9.2 33.8 Commentia/Grupo Joly 20–22 Apr 2015 300 52 41.6 23.9 4.7 2.2 – 12.6 12.6 17.7 Insobel/8TV 10–16 Dec 2014 600? 49.5 19.3 8.5 6.4 2.0 10.6 – 30.2 Insobel/8TV 26–30 May 2014 600? 50.2 16.9 8.8 7.3 3.8 8.6 – 33.3 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 50.4 51.8 18.7 12.2 7.7 3.1 – – 33.1

Almería

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV GASSP Ahora Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 52.8 40.4 27.0 7.0 2.2 3.5 10.0 3.7 13.4 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015?? 38.1? 8.5 – 5.8 11.2 –? Deimos/La Voz de Almería 17 May 2015?? 41.2 26.1 5.7 – 6.6 16.2 5.7 15.1 Commentia/Grupo Joly 22–24 Apr 2015 400? 46.4 22.3 5.4 – 12.5 10.2 – 24.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 56.6 58.5 22.8 8.6 3.7 – – – 35.7

Andújar Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 63.0 37.0 43.7 6.7 6.3 4.9 6.7 Progressive Andújar Forum Jan–Feb 2014 137? 34.0 39.0 19.0 3.0 – 5.0 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 68.3 48.5 36.3 7.9 5.3 – 12.2

Arcos de la Frontera Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout AiPro IULV AeC Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 65.4 26.0 17.0 39.3 4.8 4.0 6.8 13.3 Insobel/8TV 24–31 Mar 2015 450 66.0 35.5 15.1 30.7 4.2 3.9 5.0 4.8 Insobel/8TV 2–9 Dec 2014 450 66.9 34.5 18.9 28.4 3.8 – 7.9 6.1 Insobel/8TV 19–22 May 2014 450? 32.5 26.6 24.7 5.1 4.1 – 5.9 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 68.4 30.8 27.5 27.3 5.0 3.5 – 3.3

Cádiz

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV GanarCádiz PCSSP Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 65.3 33.8 17.3 1.1 1.4 8.4 27.9 7.2 5.9 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015?? 29.4 17.8 – – 9.7 28.3 9.1 1.1 Insobel/8TV 5–8 May 2015 600? 34.6 18.9 – – 5.4 21.1 13.5 13.5 Commentia/Grupo Joly 16–29 Apr 2015 400 60 36.2 16.9 2.3 – 5.0 21.6 15.0 14.6 IMC/La Voz 27–28 Apr 2015 400? 43.7 16.1 – – 5.3 15.0 15.3 27.6 Insobel/8TV 29 Oct–6 Nov 2014 600? 51.3 22.9 9.9 3.8 – 5.8 – – 28.4 Insobel/8TV 9 May 2014?? 48.6 23.9 12.5 5.5 – – – – 24.7 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 56.8 56.3 22.2 9.5 3.6 2.0 – – – 34.1

Carmona Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV UPC CCD Participa Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 57.6 42.1 20.7 22.7 4.5 3.6 5.0 19.4 RS22/El Día de Carmona 29 Apr–3 May 2015 300 62 44.6 19.0 21.6 4.5 3.5 5.4 23.0 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 63.2 38.3 33.0 17.8 6.7 2.0 – 5.3

Chiclana de la Frontera Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PVRE IULV PChSSP GCH Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 48.7 26.6 36.8 1.9 11.1 – 1.7 9.9 5.8 10.2 Insobel/8TV 27–30 Apr 2015 600 63.1 28.0 36.2 1.0 9.5 – – 15.1 3.6 8.2 Insobel/8TV 25 Nov–1 Dec 2014 600 62 31.2 32.7 3.7 6.5 5.1 – 14.1 – 1.5 Insobel/8TV 22–26 Apr 2014 600 53.3 32.9 34.2 4.4 12.4 – 3.0 – – 1.3 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 52.4 37.3 32.9 9.3 7.6 2.8 1.9 – – 4.4

Córdoba

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 57.1 34.7 5.7 12.0 20.6 1.0 0.5 12.6 8.6 14.1 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015?????? – –??? Enquest/Diario Córdoba 28–30 Apr 2015?? 32.3 2.3 16.0 20.9 1.6 0.5 14.0 11.3 11.4 Commentia/Grupo Joly 16–29 Apr 2015 400 60 36.5 – 14.2 17.2 – – 13.6 14.4 19.3 IMC 6–9 Apr 2015?? 41.1 3.2 9.4 18.5 – – 11.2 10.6 22.6 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 63.5 48.8 15.2 14.8 12.0 1.8 0.9 – – 33.6

El Ejido Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PdeAL IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 45.3 48.0 24.9 3.8 6.2 6.6 5.4 23.1 Deimos/La Voz de Almería 16 May 2015 600? 54.6 23.6 1.3 2.0 1.0 11.1 31.0 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 60.6 49.1 16.1 15.3 9.2 8.1 – 33.0

El Puerto de Santa María Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV IP L Qp Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 50.7 31.7 6.4 20.3 10.4 2.1 9.5 15.2 2.8 11.4 Commentia/Grupo Joly 20–22 Apr 2015 300? 30.1 3.8 20.0 8.6 – 20.5 11.0 – 9.6 Noticias Locales 26 Jan 2015 736????? ????? Insobel/8TV 22–29 Oct 2014 600? 30.5 15.4 12.2 14.4 4.6 5.8 5.0 6.2 15.1 Celeste-Tel/Grupo Viva 8 Apr 2014 560 50.3 30.7 17.1 13.7 17.2 15.1 – – – – 13.5 Celeste-Tel/8TV 9–16 Mar 2014 560 49.4 30.4 17.6 14.1 18.2 13.7 5.0 – – – 12.2 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 53.4 38.0 17.2 13.8 13.1 11.4 3.2 – – – 20.8

Granada

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV LV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 59.8 35.6 25.9 5.9 2.1 – 12.8 14.1 9.7 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015?? 36.4 25.4 5.0 – – 13.9 13.3 11.0 Commentia/Grupo Joly 22–24 Apr 2015 400 63 41.0 29.5 6.2 – – 11.1 10.1 11.5 PSOE Nov 2013?? 39.5 36.5 8.2 6.8 3.2 – – 3.0 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 63.1 51.9 27.2 7.8 5.3 2.6 – – 24.7

Huelva

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV PH Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 52.1 26.7 35.3 10.0 6.4 1.0 5.3 10.1 8.6 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015?? 23.0 33.5 12.0 – – – 9.0 10.5 Commentia/Grupo Joly 28–29 Apr 2015 400 58 33.3 32.7 8.8 – – 10.6 10.4 0.6 Dialoga Consultores/PP 14–17 Apr 2015 1,002? 37.6 28.7 7.2 3.5 4.2 8.5 5.7 8.9 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 55.7 45.3 30.5 10.1 5.4 1.9 – – 14.8

Jaén

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 60.9 38.4 29.5 4.1 1.3 0.9 10.3 11.3 8.9 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015?? 36.0 30.0 3.5 – – 11.0 12.0 6.0 AEMMO/Diario Jaén 12 Jul 2014 1,000? 47.8 26.0 5.7 6.1 1.4 9.5 – 21.8 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 69.2 51.8 35.1 5.9 3.2 1.3 – – 16.7

Jerez de la Frontera Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout FCJ IULV GJ Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 54.7 34.1 24.2 7.3 3.3 2.2 1.3 16.2 8.9 9.9 Commentia/Grupo Joly 25–27 Apr 2015 400 60 33.4 29.6 – 5.4 – – 18.0 11.3 3.8 Celeste-Tel/Grupo Viva 17–24 Sep 2014 600 56.7 46.4 13.4 12.3 8.3 2.7 2.4 11.0 – 33.0 Insobel/8TV 5–10 May 2014 600? 49.9 12.7 8.5 13.4 4.5 5.3 – – 36.5 Celeste-Tel/Grupo Viva 28 Apr–8 May 2014 600 57.1 44.8 16.0 13.6 13.4 3.8 4.8 – – 28.8 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 60.6 46.6 14.6 14.0 11.5 4.0 3.1 – – 32.0

La Línea de la Concepción Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV G Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 45.4 20.4 34.1 6.4 5.2 1.7 31.0 3.1 Tresochenta/La Verdad 22 Apr–8 May 2015 450 63.2 29.2 38.5 7.0 5.4 1.3 16.4 9.3 Insobel/8TV 21–25 Apr 2015 450? 31.2 36.0 6.8 5.1 1.3 16.0 4.8 Insobel/8TV 12–17 Nov 2014 450? 26.7 36.8 7.7 6.6 5.2 7.5 4.0 – 10.1 Insobel/8TV 2–6 Jun 2014 450? 27.8 36.9 7.2 9.8 5.3 7.6 – – 9.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 52.6 40.9 35.1 8.8 8.6 – – – – 5.8

Los Barrios Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PIBA IULV LBSSP Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 59.9 38.5 13.9 23.4 7.5 2.5 5.4 15.1 Celeste-Tel/Grupo Viva Mar 2014 700 57.6 41.2 19.6 18.1 13.1 8.1 – 21.6 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 67.0 45.3 22.3 16.8 10.3 3.3 – 23.0

Linares Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV CILUS Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 54.8 36.1 28.5 14.6 1.0 1.9 – 9.4 5.9 7.6 NC Report 25 Jul 2014? 58.2 33.7 34.2 6.8 6.7 3.7 11.2 – – 0.5 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 60.1 40.8 40.0 11.0 4.1 1.8 – – – 0.8

Málaga

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 54.4 36.6 26.2 7.4 1.2 13.3 10.4 10.4 TNS Demoscopia/RTVE–FORTA 24 May 2015????? – 13.6?? Celeste-Tel/La Opinión de Málaga 10 May 2015 800 55.6 45.2 22.6 10.3 1.8 8.3 10.3 22.6 Sigma Dos/Diario Sur 28 Apr–4 May 2015 500? 44.4 19.4 8.0 – 11.4 13.2 25.0 Commentia/Grupo Joly 16–29 Apr 2015 400? 41.0 22.6 6.9 – 14.2 12.3 18.4 Ganemos Málaga 17 Jan 2015??????? –? Llorente & Cuenca 31 Oct 2014??????? –? PSOE Jun 2014 800???? –? –? Metroscopia/PP 4–8 Apr 2014 1,200????? – –? 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 55.6 53.5 24.8 11.0 3.5 – – 28.7

Marbella Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout OSP IULV CM Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 53.6 41.0 26.3 9.2 6.8 8.2 2.0 14.7 Sigma Dos/Diario Sur 4–5 May 2015 500? 49.2 21.8 5.8 4.6 8.5 4.2 27.4 GESPA/PP 23 Jun–2 Jul 2014 600 60 48.6 22.5 10.1 9.9 – – 26.1 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 54.9 50.1 25.2 9.8 7.7 – – 24.9

Mijas Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout GIM AM IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 54.5 36.4 26.2 – 3.7 2.2 3.7 2.4 7.3 17.1 10.2 Mijas Información 1–16 Oct 2014 800? 32.8 31.3 – 6.0 3.0 5.6 9.5 5.3 – 1.5 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 59.0 50.0 25.1 6.8 5.3 4.3 3.9 3.0 – – 24.9

Roquetas de Mar Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV INDAPA TD Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 50.0 40.9 21.1 12.8 4.6 12.2 5.8 19.8 Deimos/La Voz de Almería 16 May 2015?? 45.5 22.3 7.0 3.1 12.8 5.7 23.2 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 54.6 58.9 18.2 11.2 5.6 – – 40.7

San Fernando Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout CxSF IULV SSPSF Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 52.5 23.2 29.8 12.4 – 4.7 1.6 14.4 10.7 6.6 Insobel/8TV 28 Apr–4 May 2015 600? 20.4 25.3 10.5 – 6.2 2.0 17.1 15.8 4.9 Commentia/Grupo Joly 16–29 Apr 2015 300? 25.2 28.7 7.2 – 5.1 – 13.5 16.1 3.5 Aurea Project/Grupo Viva 16–23 Apr 2015 400 55.8 34.5 19.0 6.1 – 4.8 – 15.6 11.0 15.5 Insobel/8TV 19–24 Nov 2014 600? 26.1 27.5 5.1 6.3 8.1 6.1 16.6 – 1.4 Aurea Project/Grupo Viva 3–22 Oct 2014 439? 35.2 21.7 4.9 <5.0 <5.0 <5.0 18.5 – 13.5 Insobel/8TV 5–10 May 2014 600? 33.9 28.1 9.2 11.2 8.5 5.9 – – 5.8 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 53.6 35.0 34.0 11.4 7.3 5.3 4.5 – – 1.0

Seville

Utrera Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 57.0 43.6 31.8 7.3 7.8 4.3 – 11.8 Diálogo Demoscopia 1–5 Sep 2014 600? 43.4 20.1 14.8 5.5 6.1 5.9 23.3 2011 municipal election 22 May 2011 60.8 34.9 33.2 15.4 6.7 5.4 – 1.7

Notes

References