The Ratnapura Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ratnapura Electoral District, in the Sabaragamuwa Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ratnapura has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Ratnapura is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 SLPP SLPP 0.54% SLPP 7.32% 2015 UPFA UPFA 0.62% NDF 7.48% 2010 UPFA UPFA 0.21% UPFA 5.74% 2005 UPFA UPFA 0.06% UPFA 2.71% 1999 PA PA 1.59% PA 2.35% 1994 PA PA 0.57% PA 3.57% 1988 SLFP UNP 4.35% UNP 4.06% 1982 SLFP UNP 3.78% UNP 6.74% Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 1.47% 8/8 5.00%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPP 64,809 60.58% 448,044 59.93% 6,924,255 52.25% NDF 37,400 34.96% 264,503 35.38% 5,564,239 41.99% NMPP 2,733 2.55% 18,887 2.53% 418,553 3.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,044 1.91% 16,237 2.17% 345,452 2.61% Valid Votes 106,986 99.24% 747,671 99.22% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 818 0.76% 5,853 0.78% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 107,804 86.96% 753,524 87.11% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 123,967 864,979 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 54,989 55.24% 379,053 55.74% 5,768,090 47.58% NDF 43,608 43.80% 292,514 43.01% 6,217,162 51.28% Other Parties (with < 1%) 955 0.96% 8,517 1.25% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 99,552 98.93% 680,084 98.89% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 1,074 1.07% 7,656 1.11% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 100,626 83.09% 687,740 82.69% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 121,108 831,712 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 55,225 63.95% 377,734 63.76% 6,015,934 57.88% NDF 29,891 34.61% 203,566 34.36% 4,173,185 40.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,240 1.44% 11,126 1.88% 204,494 1.97% Valid Votes 86,356 99.34% 592,426 99.26% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 575 0.66% 4,430 0.74% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 86,931 80.40% 596,856 79.75% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 108,122 748,404 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 43,251 53.02% 294,260 53.01% 4,887,152 50.29% UNP 37,253 45.67% 252,838 45.55% 4,706,366 48.43% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,068 1.31% 7,976 1.44% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 81,572 99.13% 555,074 99.02% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 720 0.87% 5,510 0.98% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 82,292 82.10% 560,584 82.57% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 100,230 678,909 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 38,665 54.29% 250,409 52.13% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 29,298 41.14% 202,621 42.18% 3,602,748 42.71% JVP 1,914 2.69% 16,482 3.43% 343,927 4.08% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,338 1.88% 10,852 2.26% 176,679 2.09% Valid Votes 71,215 98.25% 480,364 98.15% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 1,267 1.75% 9,038 1.85% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 72,482 80.97% 489,402 81.27% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 89,518 602,172 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 38,221 58.76% 257,265 58.07% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 25,858 39.76% 177,924 40.16% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 963 1.48% 7,842 1.77% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 65,042 98.49% 443,031 98.31% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 996 1.51% 7,595 1.69% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 66,038 79.10% 450,626 80.02% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 83,492 563,174 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLFP 27,658 50.15% 159,879 45.81% 2,289,857 44.95% UNP 26,029 47.20% 180,622 51.75% 2,569,199 50.43% SLMP 1,460 2.65% 8,516 2.44% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 55,147 98.91% 349,017 98.84% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 608 1.09% 4,113 1.16% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 55,755 79.60% 353,130 76.64% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 70,048 460,735 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLFP 25,402 49.37% 152,506 44.13% 2,546,348 39.05% UNP 24,765 48.13% 175,903 50.90% 3,450,815 52.93% JVP 860 1.67% 11,283 3.26% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 426 0.83% 5,912 1.71% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 51,453 99.04% 345,604 99.02% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 499 0.96% 3,407 0.98% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 51,952 83.81% 349,011 85.91% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 61,986 406,275 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ratnapura has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Ratnapura is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the Ratnapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ratnapura and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 UPFA UPFA 0.47% UNP 4.58% 2010 UPFA UPFA 1.76% UPFA 4.31% 2004 UPFA UPFA 1.77% UPFA 3.61% 2001 UNP UNP 1.05% UNP 3.11% 2000 PA PA 0.57% PA 3.67% 1994 PA PA 1.12% PA 2.73% 1989 UNP UNP 8.93% UNP 5.52% Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 2.24% 7/7 3.93%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 47,596 51.72% 323,636 51.21% 4,732,664 42.48% UNP 40,943 44.49% 284,117 44.96% 5,098,916 45.77% JVP 3,111 3.38% 21,525 3.41% 544,154 4.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 381 0.41% 2,720 0.43% 83,333 0.75% Valid Votes 92,031 97.16% 631,998 96.46% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 2,677 2.83% 23,026 3.51% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 94,725 78.22% 655,222 80.88% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 121,108 810,082 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 42,637 67.02% 305,327 68.87% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 19,013 29.89% 125,076 28.21% 2,357,057 29.37% DNA 1,755 2.76% 11,053 2.49% 441,251 5.50% Other Parties (with < 1%) 215 0.34% 1,853 0.42% 35,498 0.44% Valid Votes 63,620 92.41% 443,309 92.28% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 5,215 7.58% 37,022 7.71% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 68,842 63.67% 480,395 64.02% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 108,122 750,416 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 37,386 51.06% 261,450 53.14% 4,223,126 45.70% UNP 29,670 40.53% 205,490 41.77% 3,486,792 37.73% JHU 5,605 7.66% 20,801 4.23% 552,723 5.98% Other Parties (with < 1%) 552 0.75% 4,262 0.87% 58,082 0.63% Valid Votes 73,213 94.91% 492,003 94.55% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 3,926 5.09% 28,346 5.45% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 77,139 79.23% 520,349 80.42% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 97,357 647,035 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 33,702 45.73% 227,202 46.41% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 33,136 44.96% 212,794 43.46% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 5,334 7.24% 40,377 8.25% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,525 2.07% 9,205 1.88% 131,990 1.47% Valid Votes 73,697 95.27% 489,578 94.14% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 3,657 4.73% 30,483 5.86% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 77,354 82.05% 520,061 83.41% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 94,271 623,506 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 36,981 51.49% 244,142 50.63% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 30,189 42.04% 204,017 42.30% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 3,165 4.41% 22,222 4.61% 518,725 6.03% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,482 2.06% 11,873 2.46% 239,421 2.78% Valid Votes 71,817 N/A 482,254 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 35,045 51.95% 233,687 50.77% 3,887,805 48.94% UNP 31,619 46.87% 220,750 47.96% 3,498,370 44.04% Other Parties (with < 1%) 794 1.18% 5,848 1.27% 223,848 2.82% Valid Votes 67,458 95.35% 460,285 95.12% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 3,291 4.65% 23,611 4.88% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 70,749 84.74% 483,890 85.77% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 83,492 564,194 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ratnapura Ratnapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 26,289 49.62% 196,323 57.89% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 25,112 47.40% 123,360 36.38% 1,785,369 31.90% USP 1,359 2.57% 17,323 5.11% 17,323 0.31% Other Parties (with < 1%) 219 0.41% 2,116 0.62% 68,609 1.23% Valid Votes 52,979 94.90% 339,122 94.37% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 2,847 5.10% 20,248 5.63% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 55,826 81.27% 359,370 78.60% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 68,694 457,224 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Ratnapura Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (78.9%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Ratnapura Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%)

Religion

The Ratnapura Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (78.2%) and a significant Hindu population (14.0%) . In comparison, the Ratnapura Electoral District (which contains the Ratnapura Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (86.7%)

References