The Mullaitivu Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Vanni Electoral District, in the Northern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mullaitivu has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Mullaitivu is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the Vanni Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 NDF NDF 3.91% SLPP 41.93% 2015 NDF NDF 0.65% NDF 28.42% 2010 NDF NDF 6.86% UPFA 36.23% 2005 UPFA UNP 35.66% UPFA 6.73% 1999 PA UNP 35.58% PA 10.65% 1994 PA PA 8.95% PA 13.62% 1988 UNP UNP 2.29% UNP 9.54% 1982 ACTC UNP 15.40% UNP 19.27% Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 4/8 13.66% 8/8 20.80%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % NDF 47,594 86.19% 174,739 82.12% 5,564,239 41.99% SLPP 4,252 7.70% 26,105 12.27% 6,924,255 52.25% Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,469 4.47% 9,388 4.41% 729,468 5.50% DUNF 902 1.63% 2,546 1.20% 34,537 0.26% Valid Votes 55,217 98.26% 212,778 98.48% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 979 1.74% 3,294 1.52% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 56,196 77.47% 216,072 76.59% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 72,538 282,119 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % NDF 35,441 78.95% 141,417 78.47% 6,217,162 51.28% UPFA 7,935 17.68% 34,377 19.07% 5,768,090 47.58% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,513 3.37% 4,431 2.46% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 44,889 97.71% 180,225 98.14% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 1,052 2.29% 3,416 1.86% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 45,941 71.87% 183,641 70.25% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 63,920 261,422 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % NDF 6,882 73.47% 70,367 66.86% 4,173,185 40.15% UPFA 1,726 18.43% 28,740 27.31% 6,015,934 57.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 423 4.52% 3,333 3.17% 141,978 1.37% DUNF 237 2.53% 2,021 1.92% 39,226 0.38% UDF 99 1.06% 791 0.75% 23,290 0.22% Valid Votes 9,367 97.32% 105,252 97.75% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 258 2.68% 2,428 2.25% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 9,625 14.00% 107,680 19.60% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 68,729 549,344 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 510 57.24% 17,197 20.36% 4,887,152 50.29% UNP 372 41.75% 65,798 77.89% 4,706,366 48.43% Other Parties (with < 1%) 9 1.01% 1,481 1.75% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 891 98.78% 84,476 98.37% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 11 1.22% 1,398 1.63% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 902 1.35% 85,874 16.66% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 66,596 515,573 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 751 63.54% 16,202 25.84% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 389 32.91% 43,803 69.87% 3,602,748 42.71% Other Parties (with < 1%) 27 2.28% 2,203 3.51% 176,679 2.09% JVP 15 1.27% 482 0.77% 343,927 4.08% Valid Votes 1,182 97.52% 62,690 97.68% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 30 2.48% 1,490 2.32% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 1,212 2.30% 64,180 31.13% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 52,688 206,176 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 1,128 76.32% 33,585 85.30% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 330 22.33% 4,493 11.41% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 20 1.35% 1,294 3.29% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 1,478 98.21% 39,372 98.30% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 27 1.79% 681 1.70% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 1,505 2.88% 40,053 22.27% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 52,197 179,858 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 3,098 52.90% 10,580 55.78% 2,569,199 50.43% SLFP 1,639 27.99% 4,889 25.77% 2,289,857 44.95% SLMP 1,119 19.11% 3,500 18.45% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 5,856 94.68% 18,969 96.40% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 329 5.32% 708 3.60% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 6,185 14.86% 19,677 20.70% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 41,624 95,061 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % ACTC 6,654 40.97% 11,521 16.29% 173,934 2.67% SLFP 5,471 33.69% 23,221 32.83% 2,546,348 39.05% UNP 3,678 22.65% 32,834 46.42% 3,450,815 52.93% Other Parties (with < 1%) 234 1.44% 877 1.24% 75,526 1.16% JVP 204 1.26% 2,286 3.23% 273,428 4.19% Valid Votes 16,241 94.36% 70,739 96.66% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 971 5.64% 2,447 3.34% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 17,212 49.93% 73,186 60.87% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 34,472 120,235 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mullaitivu has matched the final country result 1 out of 7 times.

Year Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the Vanni Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mullaitivu and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 ITAK ITAK 11.73% UNP 32.00% 2010 ITAK ITAK 11.41% UPFA 32.48% 2004 ITAK ITAK 18.68% UPFA 40.65% 2001 PA TULF 27.52% UNP 7.60% 2000 PA TELO 20.13% PA 15.16% 1994 DPLF DPLF 5.90% PA 23.50% 1989 TULF TULF 7.23% UNP 34.73% Matches/Mean MAE 1/7 0/7 14.66% 7/7 26.59%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % ITAK 27,269 71.14% 89,886 54.79% 515,963 4.63% UNP 6,244 16.29% 39,513 24.09% 5,098,916 45.77% UPFA 2,582 6.74% 20,965 12.78% 4,732,664 42.48% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,267 3.31% 11,569 7.05% 652,154 5.85% EPDP 970 2.53% 2,120 1.29% 33,481 0.30% Valid Votes 38,332 86.16% 164,053 90.17% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 6,012 13.51% 17,155 9.43% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 44,487 69.60% 181,930 71.89% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 63,920 253,058 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % ITAK 5,241 53.79% 41,673 39.02% 233,190 2.91% UPFA 2,238 22.97% 37,522 35.13% 4,846,388 60.38% EPDP 593 6.09% 2,867 2.68% 2,867 0.04% DPLF 527 5.41% 5,900 5.52% 6,036 0.08% EDF 393 4.03% 1,394 1.31% 3,709 0.05% UNP 169 1.73% 12,783 11.97% 2,357,057 29.37% IG9V 145 1.49% 262 0.25% 262 0.00% IG1V 131 1.34% 1,979 1.85% 1,979 0.02% TULF 124 1.27% 1,073 1.00% 9,223 0.11% DUA 114 1.17% 506 0.47% 1,270 0.02% Other Parties (with < 1%) 69 0.71% 852 0.80% 489,044 6.09% Valid Votes 9,744 85.76% 106,811 91.15% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 1,610 14.17% 10,208 8.71% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 11,362 16.53% 117,185 38.53% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 68,729 304,111 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % ITAK 27,667 96.85% 90,252 74.68% 633,203 6.85% Other Parties (with < 1%) 509 1.78% 24,181 20.01% 4,110,386 44.48% UPFA 391 1.37% 6,415 5.31% 4,223,126 45.70% Valid Votes 28,567 93.78% 120,848 92.59% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 1,895 6.22% 9,665 7.41% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 30,462 57.00% 130,513 57.60% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 53,439 226,604 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 298 49.50% 7,831 8.29% 3,330,815 37.19% UNP 237 39.37% 26,575 28.12% 4,086,026 45.62% JVP 56 9.30% 683 0.72% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 11 1.83% 59,417 62.87% 568,341 6.35% Valid Votes 602 95.56% 94,506 92.33% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 28 4.44% 7,855 7.67% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 630 1.19% 102,361 46.77% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 53,158 218,861 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 439 67.33% 6,323 9.45% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 182 27.91% 10,618 15.88% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 18 2.76% 412 0.62% 518,725 6.03% Other Parties (with < 1%) 13 1.99% 49,522 74.05% 667,193 7.76% Valid Votes 652 N/A 66,875 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % DPLF 7,080 32.63% 11,567 27.36% 11,567 0.15% PA 4,869 22.44% 5,583 13.21% 3,887,805 48.94% UNP 4,497 20.73% 7,850 18.57% 3,498,370 44.04% TULF 1,756 8.09% 3,039 7.19% 132,461 1.67% EPRLF 1,465 6.75% 3,465 8.20% 9,411 0.12% SLMC 1,412 6.51% 8,142 19.26% 143,307 1.80% IND1 502 2.31% 624 1.48% 48,199 0.61% Other Parties (with < 1%) 116 0.53% 2,001 4.73% 19,127 0.24% Valid Votes 21,697 92.47% 42,271 93.35% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 1,766 7.53% 3,009 6.65% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 23,463 32.39% 45,280 25.23% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 72,434 179,435 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mullaitivu Vanni Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % TULF 2,937 38.03% 17,271 39.99% 188,594 3.37% IND 2,882 37.32% 7,879 18.24% 12,285 0.22% SLMC 1,440 18.65% 7,945 18.40% 202,016 3.61% UNP 426 5.52% 8,525 19.74% 2,838,005 50.71% Other Parties (with < 1%) 37 0.48% 1,568 3.63% 1,785,369 31.90% Valid Votes 7,722 85.52% 43,188 90.64% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 1,307 14.48% 4,462 9.36% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 9,029 22.45% 47,650 33.69% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 40,224 141,448 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Mullaitivu Polling Division has a Sri Lankan Tamil majority (85.8%) . In comparison, the Vanni Electoral District (which contains the Mullaitivu Polling Division) has a Sri Lankan Tamil majority (82.5%)

Religion

The Mullaitivu Polling Division has a Hindu majority (75.2%) . In comparison, the Vanni Electoral District (which contains the Mullaitivu Polling Division) has a Hindu majority (58.5%) and a significant Roman Catholic population (21.1%)

References