Opinion polling for the 2020 Polish presidential election

During the weeks leading up to the 2020 Polish presidential election, various organizations carry out opinion polling to gauge voters' intentions in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous presidential election, held on 24 May 2015, to election day.

First round

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredDon't know/AbstainOthers Duda Trzaskowski Biedroń Kosiniak-Kamysz Bosak Hołownia LATE POLL: IPSOS LATE POLL 28 June 2020 - 1.6%42.5%30.3% 2.5% 2.5% 7.1% 13.5% EXIT POLL: IPSOS 21:00 UTC+2 28 June 2020 - 1.6% 41.8% 30.4% 2.9% 2.6% 7.4% 13.3%28 June 2020 28 June 2020 (first round) IBSP 25–26 June 2020 - 1.14% 42.31% 31.03% 2.54% 1.69% 7.41% 13.88% Indicator 23–26 June 2020 - - 41.1% 30.2% 3.8% 5.4% 7.2% 12.3% IBRiS 25 June 2020 - 1.0% 41.2% 30.7% 3.9% 4.1% 7.2% 12.0% Estymator 24–25 June 2020 - 1.1% 42.7% 28.4% 3.6% 6.3% 7.6% 10.3% Kantar 24–25 June 2020 8% - 40% 27% 3% 2% 7% 13% Pollster 24–25 June 2020 - 1.30% 41.27% 30.30% 3.35% 5.81% 7.23% 10.74% PGB Opinium 23–25 June 2020 - 0.7% 40.5% 29.7% 3.8% 7.0% 7.3% 11.0% CBOS 15–25 June 2020 14% - 45% 20% 2% 4% 4% 11% IBRiS 24 June 2020 6.6% 1.3% 41.1% 26.4% 4.9% 5.4% 4.6% 9.7% IPSOS 22–23 June 2020 4% 1% 40% 27% 4% 5% 7% 10% Social Changes 19–23 June 2020 - 2% 41% 29% 4% 4% 7% 13% Pollster 22 June 2020 - 0.76% 41.38% 29.86% 2.93% 6.55% 7.34% 11.18% Maison & Partners 19–22 June 2020 5.5% - 33.1% 28.2% 6.2% 3.4% 7.8% 15.8% IBRiS 20 June 2020 4.7% 1.2% 41.0% 27.1% 4.2% 7.3% 5.6% 8.9% IBRiS 19–20 June 2020 1.2% - 43.1% 27.4% 4.5% 7.5% 6.2% 10.1% United Survey 19 June 2020 5.9% 0.2% 41.5% 28.3% 2.2% 8.0% 5.4% 8.6% Estymator 18–19 June 2020 - 0.9% 44.6% 29.3% 2.1% 6.9% 7.3% 8.9% IBRiS 18 June 2020 4.5% 1.3% 41.3% 28.2% 3.8% 8.3% 4.6% 8.1% Kantar 17–18 June 2020 6% - 40% 32% 2% 3% 7% 10% Pollster 16–17 June 2020 - 1.58% 40.82% 30.28% 3.28% 6.06% 6.24% 11.74% IPSOS 16–17 June 2020 6% - 40% 30% 2% 4% 7% 10% Social Changes 12–16 June 2020 - 2% 39% 28% 3% 6% 7% 15% Maison & Partners 12–15 June 2020 5.0% - 37.0% 28.4% 4.0% 4.4% 6.3% 14.8% PGB Opinium 12–15 June 2020 - - 40.5% 28.9% 3.8% 8.6% 7.3% 10.6% Estymator 12–13 June 2020 - 0.5% 44.1% 28.3% 2.7% 6.6% 7.1% 10.7% IBRiS 12–13 June 2020 3.6% - 40.7% 28.0% 3.0% 9.7% 7.1% 7.8% Pollster 9–10 June 2020 - 1.51% 41.17% 28.14% 5.22% 4.99% 4.97% 14.00% Kantar 5–10 June 2020 11% - 38% 27% 4% 6% 6% 8% Social Changes 5–9 June 2020 - 1% 40% 29% 4% 4% 7% 15% N/A N/A June 2020 12% 5% 36% 31% 2% 8% N/A 6% IBRiS 5–6 June 2020 5.2% 0.1% 42.7% 26.6% 3.4% 7.4% 6.9% 7.7% Estymator 3–4 June 2020 - 0.4% 43.1% 25.3% 2.6% 6.8% 7.4% 14.4% CBOS 22 May–4 June 2020 13.4% 0.8% 48.6% 16.2% 1.8% 4.3% 4.2% 10.7%3 June 2020 Election is announced to be held on June 28. The campaign starts Pollster 2–3 June 2020 - 1% 40% 28% 4% 6% 7% 14% Social Changes 29 May–2 June 2020 - 1% 41% 29% 5% 5% 6% 13% IBRiS 29–30 May 2020 5.0% - 41.0% 26.1% 2.3% 7.1% 6.5% 12.0% United Survey 29 May 2020 4.0% - 41.2% 27.0% 2.2% 7.0% 6.6% 12.0% SWPS 28–29 May 2020 - 1% 32% 25% 6% 5% 9% 22% PGB Opinium 26–29 May 2020 7.6% 0.4% 36.5% 25.0% 3.5% 8.4% 6.5% 12.0% Pollster 26–27 May 2020 - 1.74% 38.94% 26.60% 5.14% 5.46% 5.71% 16.41% Social Changes 22–25 May 2020 - 1% 40% 27% 4% 5% 6% 17% Maison & Partners N/A May 2020 - - 40.9% 23.2% 3.7% 3.5% 6.9% 17.5% IBRiS 22–23 May 2020 6.1% - 41.0% 26.7% 3.0% 8.2% 5.0% 10.0% IBRiS 22–23 May 2020 7.1% - 42.3% 23.2% 2.7% 9.3% 4.0% 11.4% Estymator 21–22 May 2020 - 1.1% 44.8% 22.1% 3.1% 9.2% 5.6% 14.1% PBS 19–20 May 2020 - - 35% 21% 8% 5% 13% 19% Kantar 18–19 May 2020 12% 4% 39% 18% 2% 3% 8% 15% Maison & Partners 15–18 May 2020 10% - 34% 17% 6% 6% 7%21% 15–18 May 2020 6% - 43% 15% 5% 5% 8%20% Social Changes 11–18 May 2020 - 2% 41% 21% 5% 7% 6% 18% Pollster 15–17 May 2020 - 2.13% 43.76% 16.54% 5.51% 9.73% 6.45% 15.88% IBRiS 16 May 2020 7.7% - 43.2% 16.0% 6.8% 9.6% 6.8% 9.9% United Survey 15 May 2020 7.1% - 43.7% 14.0% 5.2% 9.8% 6.9% 13.3% Kantar Public 15 May 2020 6% 1%51% 11% 3% 6% 5% 17%15 May 2020 Rafał Trzaskowski is declared as a new candidate of the Civic Coalition Estymator 14–15 May 2020 - 1.3%52.7% 10.2% 5.7% 11.8% 7.8% 10.5%

Poll sourceDate(s) administeredDon't know/AbstainOthers Duda Kidawa-Błońska Biedroń Kosiniak-Kamysz Bosak Hołownia Social Changes 12–14 May 2020 - 1% 49% 5% 4% 12% 7% 22%10 May 2020 Election de iure takes place despite no voting is held. The campaign ends IBRiS 8–9 May 2020 3.1% 0.0% 45.0% 4.5% 2.6% 16.6% 9.0% 19.2%6 May 2020 Postal election is announced to be cancelled in May Social Changes 6–7 May 2020 - 4% 54% 5% 5% 9% 8% 15% 6–7 May 2020 - 4% 64% 2% 3% 7% 7% 13% Pollster 30 April-4 May 2020 - - 40.57% 10.49% 9.56% 14.39% 4.65% 20.34% IPSOS 27–29 April 2020 11% - 42% 7% 6% 12% 6% 15% IPSOS 27–29 April 2020 5% - 63% 2% 5% 7% 7% 11% IBRiS 27 April 2020 8.9% - 49.7% 6.7% 6.4% 14.1% 5.0% 9.2% Social Changes 24–27 April 2020 - 1% 54% 7% 6% 10% 8% 14% Social Changes 24–27 April 2020 - 1% 64% 3% 3% 8% 7% 14% CBOS 23–27 April 2020 10% 1% 52% 5% 5% 6% 7% 14% Estymator 23–24 April 2020 - 0.4% 51.7% 8.4% 7.7% 16.6% 6.4% 8.8% Social Changes 17–20 April 2020 - 1% 57% 11% 5% 11% 6% 9% Social Changes 17–20 April 2020 - 2% 65% 5% 5% 6% 7% 10% Kantar 16–17 April 2020 11% 3% 59% 4% 5% 7% 5% 7% Social Changes 10–13 April 2020 - 1% 59% 9% 5% 10% 8% 8% Estymator 8–9 April 2020 - 0.3% 53.1% 13.4% 9.4% 15.6% 3.3% 4.9% IBRiS 7 April 2020 7.1% - 52.9% 11.4% 7.3% 12.6% 3.2% 5.5% Pollster 6–7 April 2020 - - 44.53% 14.23% 6.70% 15.25% 6.21% 13.08% Maison & Partners 3–7 April 2020 27.9% - 29.5% 10.5% 7.1% 10.6% 3.4% 11.2% Social Changes 3–6 April 2020 - 2% 53% 11% 5% 13% 7% 9% IBRiS 3–4 April 2020 9.9% - 47.6% 12.4% 6.7% 12.0% 5.4% 6.0% IBSP 31 March-2 April 2020 - 0.29% 44.29% 15.77% 6.24% 15.87% 5.24% 12.30%29 March 2020 Małgorzata Kidawa-Błońska calls to boycott May postal election Social Changes 27–30 March 2020 - 1% 55% 14% 6% 10% 5% 9% IBRiS 27–28 March 2020 5.6% - 45.1% 17.2% 8.5% 12.1% 7.5% 3.9% 27–28 March 2020 5.3% - 54.6% 12.1% 8.7% 6.4% 9.2% 3.7% Estymator 25–26 March 2020 - 0.9% 49.8% 17.1% 10.8% 15.4% 3.1% 2.9% Kantar 23–24 March 2020 6% - 65% 10% 5% 4% 6% 4% 23–24 March 2020 10% - 44% 19% 7% 8% 5% 7% Social Changes 20–23 March 2020 - - 47% 19% 10% 11% 6% 7% United Survey 20 March 2020 16.7% - 42.7% 16.6% 5.7% 8.7% 6.6% 2.9% Pollster 17–18 March 2020 - - 43.19% 21.13% 9.54% 12.96% 4.44% 8.74% Social Changes 13–17 March 2020 - - 41% 23% 9% 13% 4% 10% CBOS 5–15 March 2020 10% - 50% 15% 5% 9% 3% 6% Estymator 12–13 March 2020 - 0.2% 46.4% 20.4% 11.4% 10.1% 4.6% 6.9% IBSP 10–13 March 2020 - 0.15% 51.36% 19.79% 7.59% 8.98% 5.51% 6.62% Kantar 6–11 March 2020 13% - 43% 22% 6% 9% 3% 4% Social Changes 6–10 March 2020 - - 45% 22% 8% 9% 5% 11%4 March 2020 First case of COVID-19 confirmed in Poland IBRiS 2 March 2020 5.9% - 41.2% 23.1% 6.1% 11.4% 4.8% 7.6% Social Changes 28 February-2 March 2020 - - 42% 24% 11% 9% 5% 9% Estymator 27–28 February 2020 - 0.1% 44.8% 24.4% 9.7% 10.4% 4.9% 5.7% Indicator 26–28 February 2020 4.3% 1.2% 42.9% 23.3% 9.3% 8.1% 3.7% 7.2% Pollster 24–26 February 2020 - - 42.44% 22.14% 9.45% 11.71% 4.92% 9.34% Social Changes 21–24 February 2020 - - 43% 24% 10% 7% 5% 11% United Survey 22 February 2020 5.8% - 41.9% 22.2% 8.2% 10.4% 4.1% 7.4% IPSOS 20–22 February 2020 6% - 41% 25% 9% 7% 5% 7% IBSP 18–20 February 2020 - 0.58% 45.16% 26.42% 8.78% 6.56% 4.44% 8.06% Social Changes 14–18 February 2020 - - 40% 25% 9% 9% 5% 12% CBOS 6–16 February 2020 12% 3% 50% 20% 4% 5% 1% 5% Dobra Opinia 10–14 February 2020 - - 41.34% 24.02% 11.21% 8.11% 5.31% 10.01% Estymator 12–13 February 2020 - 0.2% 45.3% 26.4% 7.4% 10.1% 4.7% 5.9% Kantar 7–12 February 2020 17% 1% 40% 21% 7% 5% 3% 6% Social Changes 7–11 February 2020 - - 46% 24% 9% 7% 5% 9% IBRiS 7–8 February 2020 4.3% - 43.7% 29.2% 6.9% 4.0% 3.8% 8.1% IBRiS N/A 8.2% - 41.7% 26.3% 7.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.3%5 February 2020 Election is officially announced to be held on May 10. The campaign starts Social Changes 1–4 February 2020 - 2% 42% 25% 10% 6% 3% 12% Kantar 29-30 January 2020 7% 1% 44% 24% 8% 4% 3% 9% Maison & Partners 24–28 January 2020 10.0% - 38.3% 22.3% 9.0% 6.3% 3.2% 10.9% Social Changes 24–27 January 2020 - 2% 43% 24% 10% 7% 4% 10% Estymator 23–24 January 2020 - 0.4% 47.1% 24.1% 8.9% 9.3% 4.6% 5.6%18 January 2020 Krzysztof Bosak is declared as a candidate of the Confederation Social Changes 17–21 January 2020 - - 44% 24% 8% 9% 4% 11% Kantar 9-15 January 2020 22% 2% 38% 20% 7% 4% 1% 6% IBSP 14–16 January 2020 - - 43.73% 26.61% 7.26% 7.77% 5.07% 9.56% Pollster 14–16 January 2020 - - 44.96% 23.11% 9.09% 7.86% 5.12% 9.86% Social Changes 10–14 January 2020 - - 45% 22% 9% 8% 3% 13% United Survey 10–11 January 2020 7.4% - 43.0% 23.3% 7.3% 7.0% 5.3% 6.7% IBRiS 10-11 January 2020 8.2% - 44% 23.3% 6.6% 7.0% 5.1% 5.7% Estymator 9–10 January - 47.7% 22.7% 8.8% 9% 4.3% 6.9%5 January 2020 Robert Biedroń is declared as a candidate of the LeftSocial Changes 3–7 January 2020 - 6% 42% 26% - 9% 4% 13% Social Changes 27–31 December 2019 - 5%43% 26% - 6% 4% 16% Social Changes 20–24 December 2019 - 7%43% 24% - 9% 4% 13% Estymator 19–20 December 2019 - 8.3% 46.6% 22.4% - 9.2% 4.6% 7.9% IBSP 17–20 December 2019 - 7.4% 43.9% 26.3% - 7.3% 5.4% 9.7% Social Changes 13–17 December 2019 - 7%46% 23% - 7% 4% 13% Social Changes 28 November-3 December 2019 14% 11%37% 22% - 8% - 8%

Pre-2020 opinion polls Poll sourceDate(s) administeredDon't know/AbstainOthers Duda Other Tusk Other Czarzasty Kukiz Petru Lubnauer Kosiniak-Kamysz Biedroń Zandberg Korwin-Mikke Rzepliński Nowacka Social Changes19–24 July 2019 -1.9% 45% - 21%6.9% -6.7% - -4.3%8.2% -3.4% -2.7% Kantar Public 16–19 May 2019 2% - 41% - 27% - - 7% - - 6% 11% 1% 5% - - Kantar Public 8–10 May 2019 8% - 41% - 28% - - 7% - - 5% 6% 1% 4% - - IBSP 7–9 May 2019 - 0.4% 43.7% - 34.7% - 1.3% 5.2% - - 6.3% 6.9% - 1.4% - - Pollster 4–6 April 2019 - - 38% - 27% - 1% 6% - 0% 5% 16% 2% 5% - - Ariadna 22–26 February 2019 24% - 34% - 20% - - 6% - - 1% 12% 1% - - 2% IBSP 31 January-6 February 2019 3.0% - 38.8% - 37.8% - 0.7% 2.2% - - 6.1% 8.9% - 2.4% - - IBRiS 13 November 2018 9% - 37% - 36% - - 4% - - 3% 10% - 1% - - Ariadna 17–21 August 2018 14% 34% 7% 21% - - 6% - - 1% 14% 1% 2% - - Pollster 11–12 July 2018 - 19% 32% - 21% - - 7% - - - 17% - 4% - - Millward Brown 25–26 April 2018 6% 4% 44% - 24% - - 4% - - 2% 15% 1% - - - Pollster 5 April 2018 - 4% 36% - 26% - - 7% - 3% 2% 19% - 3% - - IBRiS 4 April 2018 9.3% - 33.5% - 33.0% - - 6.8% - - 3.0% 11.4% 1.3% 1.7% - - Pollster 3–5 January 2018 - - 39% - 21% - 1% 9% - 2% 3% 15% 3% 4% - 3% Ariadna 29 September-2 October 2017 14.3% - 42.7% - 17.1% - 0.4% 9.6% - - 0.9% 12.7% 1.0% - - 1.3% Pollster 16–17 August 2017 - - 39% 6% 31% 1% 3% 7% 2% - 3% - 3% 5% - - Ariadna 28–31 July 2017 14% - 37% - 23% - 0% 7% - - 2% 14% 2% - - 1% IBRiS 26–27 July 2017 9.9% 1.2% 36.2% - 20.5% - - 7.7% 1.5% - 4.1% 16.3% - 2.6% - - Ariadna 23–26 June 2017 14% - 35% - 23% - 2% 11% - - 4% 9% 1% - -1% Ariadna 9–12 June 2017 14% -32% - 27% -1%9% - -1% 12% 1% - -3%21% -34% - - 8%1%8% - -4%17%2% - -5% Ariadna 12–16 May 2017 15.4% - 31.9% - 26.9% - - 8% - - - 17.8% - - - - Kantar Public 26–27 April 2017 10% 1% 38% - 31% - - 12% - - - 8% - - - - Dobra Opinia 30 March-3 April 2017 - - 37.4% - 25.8% - - 9.5% 7.9% - 4.8% 11.1% - 3.5% - - Pollster 7–8 March 2017 - 8% 45% - 25% 4% 5% 2% - - 8% - 3% - - Pollster 2–3 January 2017 - 17.18% 41.23% 2.19% 11.55% 4.37% - 7.36% 7.89% - - 2.62% 0.44% 3.93% 1.27% - IPSOS 19–21 December 2016 16% 1% 36% 1% 18% 1% 5% 8% - - 8% 1% - - - Pollster 5–8 February 2016 - 9% 38% - 16% - 14% 17% - 3% - - - - - Presidential election 10 May 2015 - 7.3% 34.8% - - 33.8% - 20.8% - - - - - 3.3% - - Second round Duda v. Trzaskowski