The 2023 Chicago mayoral election was held on February 28, 2023, to elect the mayor of Chicago, Illinois. With no candidate receiving a majority of votes in the initial round of the election, a runoff election was held on April 4. This two-round election took place alongside other 2023 Chicago elections, including races for City Council, city clerk, city treasurer, and police district councils. The election was officially nonpartisan, with winner Brandon Johnson (a member of the Cook County Board of Commissioners) being elected to a four-year term which began on May 15.
Incumbent Lori Lightfoot ran for a second term in office, but placed third in the first round. Former CEO of Chicago Public Schools Paul Vallas and Cook County Commissioner Brandon Johnson advanced to a runoff. Other candidates eliminated in the first round included U.S. Representative Chuy Garcia and businessman Willie Wilson. Johnson defeated Vallas in the runoff, in what was considered an upset. This was the first Chicago mayoral election since adopting nonpartisan two-round system elections in which the candidate who won the most votes in the first round did not win the runoff.
Candidates Advanced to the runoff The following candidates advanced to the runoff election held on April 4 Candidate Experience Announced Cook County commissioner from the 1st district since 2018Website Chief Executive Officer of Chicago Public Schools (1995–2001)Candidate for mayor in 2019Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor in 2014 Democratic candidate for governor in 2002
Eliminated in the first round The following candidates were eliminated in the first round and did not advance to the runoff election Candidate Experience Announced Illinois state representative since 2019Website(endorsed Johnson) U.S. Representative from Illinois's 4th congressional district since 2019Cook County commissioner from the 7th district (2011–2019)Illinois state senator from the 1st district (1993–1999)Candidate for mayor in 2015(endorsed Johnson) Marketing executiveCommunity activistCandidate for mayor in 2019Website (endorsed Vallas) Alderman from the 4th ward since 2016(endorsed Vallas) Mayor of Chicago from 2019 to 2023Website Alderman from the 6th ward since 2011Son of former mayor Eugene SawyerWebsite(endorsed Vallas) Medical supplies company founderPerennial candidateWebsite (endorsed Vallas)
Disqualified Frederick Collins, Chicago Police Department officer and candidate for mayor in 2015 Johnny Logalbo, freelance counselor (ran a write-in campaign)
Withdrew John Catanzara, president of the Chicago Fraternal Order of Police (endorsed Vallas) Montelle Gaji Bradley Laborman, actor and realtor Raymond Lopez, alderman from the 15th ward since 2015 (ran for reelection, endorsed Wilson in first round and Vallas in runoff)
Declined The following speculated potential candidates did not run: Bill Conway, portfolio manager, former assistant Cook County state's attorney, and candidate for Cook County state's attorney in 2020 (ran for city council) Stacy Davis Gates, president of the Chicago Teachers Union Arne Duncan, former U.S. secretary of education (2009–2016) and former chief executive officer of Chicago Public Schools (2001–2009) (endorsed Vallas) La Shawn Ford, Illinois state representative from the 8th district (2007–present) and candidate for mayor in 2019 Janice Jackson, former chief executive officer of Chicago Public Schools Mike Quigley, U.S. representative from Illinois's 5th congressional district since 2009 (endorsed García) Pat Quinn, former governor of Illinois (2009–2015) (endorsed García in the first round, then endorsed Vallas in the runoff) Jesse Sharkey, former president of the Chicago Teachers Union Tom Tunney, alderman from the 44th Ward (2003–2023) and vice-mayor (2019–2023) (endorsed Vallas) Anna Valencia, Chicago City Clerk since 2017 and candidate for Illinois secretary of state in 2022 (ran for reelection)
First round First round campaign
Lightfoot's administration faced criticism due to rising crime rates in Chicago and accusations of covering up police misconduct. During her term, she clashed with members of the Chicago City Council, the Chicago Teachers Union, and Illinois governor J. B. Pritzker's administration. The New York Times remarked that she had an "uncanny ability to make political enemies." However, Lightfoot received praise for her efforts to build affordable housing, repair dilapidated areas of the city, and raise the minimum wage.
A wide field of nine challengers qualified for the ballot. Polling of the race was largely inconsistent but indicated that Lightfoot was in danger of losing re-election and that the candidates with the best chance of making a runoff were Lightfoot, U.S. Representative Chuy García, Cook County commissioner Brandon Johnson, former Chicago Public Schools CEO Paul Vallas, and businessman Willie Wilson. Polling also showed that Garcia enjoyed heavy support from Latino voters, while a plurality of white voters backed Vallas and a plurality of black voters backed Lightfoot. Vallas and Wilson were considered more moderate than Lightfoot, with García and Johnson being more progressive. However, many organizations in the coalition of labor unions and progressive groups that supported García in his 2015 mayoral campaign instead backed Johnson in 2023.
Lightfoot faced controversy when she emailed public school teachers offering school credit for students who interned on her campaign and when she told South Side residents to either vote for her or not vote at all, while Vallas faced accusations that he lived outside the city. Lightfoot ran ads tying García to Sam Bankman-Fried and Michael Madigan and accusing Johnson of wanting to reduce police budgets. She and García also ran ads accusing Vallas of being an anti-abortion Democrat in name only. García also questioned whether Johnson could be objective as mayor given his close relationship with the Chicago Teachers Union, while Johnson in turn accused García of "abandoning the progressive movement" by adopting a more moderate policy platform in his 2023 campaign.
Several days before the election, Fran Spielman of the Chicago Sun-Times opined that polls demonstrated Paul Vallas to be the top front-runner, being likely to place either first or second in the initial round of voting and advance to a runoff, with Garcia, Johnson, and Lightfoot in contention for the second runoff spot.
First round polling
Only showing polls by more-established polling sources: Bendixen & Amandi, GBAO, Impact Research, Lester & Associates, Mason–Dixon, Ogden & Fry, Public Policy Polling, and Victory Research
Pollster Pollster'sratingfrom538 Poll sponsor Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamBuckner ChuyGarcía Ja'MalGreen BrandonJohnson SophiaKing LoriLightfoot RaymondLopez RoderickSawyer PaulVallas WillieWilson Other UndecidedVictory ResearchVictory Research B/C February 23–26, 2023806 (LV)± 3.45% – 15.6% –20.2% – 18.7% – –26.8% 11.4% – –1983 Labs February 22–25, 20231,458 (RV)± 2.57% 3.39% 15.85% 4.87% 14.49% 5.76%17.97% – 0.58%23.91% 11.88% 1.30% – M3 Strategies February 20–21, 2023416 (LV)± 4.6% – 11.6% –18.0% – 13.6% – –32.0% – – 14%Victory ResearchVictory Research B/C February 12–15, 2023806 (LV)± 3.45% 0.7% 13.8% 0.7% 16.1% 3.6%17.1% – 0.7%22.8% 11.8% –12.5%1983 Labs1983 Labs February 9–13, 2023988 (LV)± 3.12% 4.52% 9.93% 6.95% 7.42% 5.03%14.83% – 1.43%13.28% 12.12% –21.93%BSP ResearchBSP Research February 5–10, 2023643 (RV)± 3.9% 4%17% 6% 9% 5% 14% – 3%19% 12% –20%M3 StrategiesM3 Strategies February 6–8, 2023722 (LV)± 3.65% – 13.2%–16.5% –16.6%––31% – – 11%GBAOGBAO B/C Lori Lightfoot campaignFebruary 5–7, 2023501 (LV)± 4.4% – 13%–15% –24%––20%14% – 7%Mason–DixonMason–DixonB/C January 31 – February 3, 2023625 (RV)± 4%1%20%2%11%1%17%–0%18%12%–18%Lake Research PartnersLake Research Partners A/B Brandon Johnson campaignJanuary 30 – February 2, 2023600 (LV)± 4% 1% 11% – 15% 2%16%––24% 10% – 16%IZQ Strategies (D)IZQ Strategies (D) January 27–February 2, 20231,040 (LV)± 3%5%12%2%15%2%12%–1%25%11%–16%Cor Strategies (R)Cor Strategies (R) January 26–30, 2023614 (LV)± 3.95%1%13%3%7%3%23%–1%21%8%– 20%1983 Labs1983 Labs January 23–27, 2023554± 4.25%6.07%7.46%5.97%9.36%6.17%16.28%–1.34%10.23%13.86% 1.35%21.92%Victory Research B/C Illinois PollJanuary 23–25, 2023806 (LV)± 3.45%0.7%16.6%0.9%15.5%3.1%19.2%–0.6%19.5%11.7% – 12.2%1983 Labs January 20–24, 2023554± 4.25%7.65%6.66%6.85%9.96%5.61%17.11%–1.57%10.74%14.77% 1.49%17.59%GBAOGBAO B/C Lori Lightfoot campaignJanuary 18–22, 2023800 (LV)± 3.5%2%18%–9%2%25%––22%11% 2% 10%M3 StrategiesM3 Strategies January 15–17, 2023531 (LV)± 4.25%2.3%19.0%1.3%12.2%0.8%9.8%–0.2%26.0%8.5%–20.0%Lester & Associates (D)Lester & Associates (D)B/C Sophia King campaignJanuary 9–14, 2023600 (LV)± 4.9%5%21%5%8%8%15%––10%5%–27%GBAO B/C December 15–20, 2022800 (LV)± 3.5%3%35%–4%2%24%––14%8% 2% 10%Impact Research (D)Impact Research (D) B/C December 10–15, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.1% –28%–––21% – – 12% 13% 26%PolcoPolco Crain's Chicago Businessand The Daily LineNovember 29 – December 14, 20221,757 (A)± 3%5%25%3%25%3%11%–2%15%3%1%7%M3 StrategiesM3 Strategies December 11–13, 2022440 (LV)± 4.65%1.4%27.6%–3.2%1.8%14.5%––19.1%13.1%–19.1%Impact Research (D)Impact Research (D) B/C International Union ofOperating Engineers Local 150November 10–17, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%–25%–––18%–14%10%29%14%Public Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) A– Chuy Garcia campaignOctober 26–27, 2022616 (LV)± 4.0%–14%–3%3%22%7%–8%12%4%25%Bendixen & AmandiBendixen & Amandi B/C Nuestro PAC September 1–5, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9% 24% *25% 9%13% 23%Ogden & Fry (R)Multiple Sources: (source for poll results) (source for dates, sample, and margin of error) B/C November 13, 2021457 (LV)± 4.5% – – – – –20% 8% – – –17%39%
Note: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters with letter grades ranging from A+ to F, with A+ being the highest rating and F being the lowest (see more)
Aggregates of first round polls Aggregator KamBuckner ChuyGarcía Ja'MalGreen BrandonJohnson SophiaKing LoriLightfoot RoderickSawyer PaulVallas WillieWilson Other UndecidedBallotpediaBallotpedia 3% 14% 3% 11% 3%15% 1%19% 12% 18%CrowdWisdom360CrowdWisdom360 13.8% 16.2% 16.2% 26.2% 11.8% Frank CalabreseFrank Calabrese 2.3%16.8%2.5%11.6%2.6%17.5% 0.7%21.6%10.4%
First round endorsements
First round results
The Chicago Board of Elections claimed that early voting turnout in its 2023 municipal election was higher than early voting turnout in any previous Chicago municipal election. Vallas and Johnson advanced to the April runoff.
Runoff Runoff polling
Only showing polls by more-established polling sources: BSP Research, Emerson, Lake Research Partners, Mason–Dixon, Victory Research
Pollster Pollster'sratingfrom538 Poll sponsor Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error BrandonJohnson PaulVallas UndecidedIZQ StrategiesIZQ StrategiesApril 1–3, 2023632 (LV)± 4%50%45%6%Victory ResearchVictory ResearchB/CMarch 31–April 2, 2023900 (LV)± 3.27%45.4%49.6%5%EmersonA−March 23–25, 20231,000 (LV)± 3%40.6%46.3%13%BSP ResearchBSP ResearchB/CMarch 15–23, 20231,500 (LV)± 2.8%44%44%12%Victory ResearchB/CMarch 20–23, 2023806 (LV)± 3.45%44.2%46.3%10%IZQ StrategiesIZQ StrategiesMarch 15–16, 2023680 (LV)± 4%46%44%10%Victory ResearchVictory Research B/C March 6–9, 2023 806 (LV)± 3.45% 39.1%44.9% 16%Lake Research PartnersLake Research Partners A/B Johnson campaign March 2–7, 2023 800 (LV)± 3.46%45% 40% 14%1983 Labs March 2–6, 2023 583 (RV)± 4.06% 32.47%43.52% 24.01% Vallas campaign March 1–6, 2023 800 (LV)± 3.5% 38%47% 15%1983 Labs February 22–25, 20231,458 (RV)± 2.57% 30.75%44.13% 25.12%Victory Research B/C February 12–15, 2023806 (LV)± 3.45% 32.6%46.0% 21.3%Mason–Dixon B/C January 31 – February 3, 2023625 (RV)± 4%39%38%
Note: FiveThirtyEight rates pollsters with letter grades ranging from A+ to F, with A+ being the highest rating and F being the lowest (see more)
Aggregates of runoff polls