The 2023 Ceuta Assembly election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 8th Assembly of the autonomous city of Ceuta. All 25 seats in the Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Electoral system The Assembly of Ceuta was the top-tier administrative and governing body of the autonomous city of Ceuta. Voting for the Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over eighteen, registered and residing in the municipality of Ceuta and in full enjoyment of their political rights, as well as resident non-national European citizens and those whose country of origin allowed Spanish nationals to vote in their own elections by virtue of a treaty.

The 25 members of the Assembly of Ceuta were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with a threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied.

The Mayor-President was indirectly elected by the plenary assembly. A legal clause required that mayoral candidates earned the vote of an absolute majority of councillors, or else the candidate of the most-voted party in the assembly was to be automatically appointed to the post. In the event of a tie, the appointee would be determined by lot.

Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.

Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Graphical summary

Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 13 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Assembly of Ceuta.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout MDyC CY! Lead 2023 Assembly election 28 May 2023 54.8 34.3 21.0 20.6 11.2 0.7 0.6 10.0 – 13.3 EM-Analytics/El Plural 11–17 May 2023 250? 34.1 25.0 21.3 10.3 0.8 – 7.4 – 9.1 EM-Analytics/El Plural 4–10 May 2023 250? 33.4 25.3 21.6 10.4 0.8 – 7.4 – 8.1 EM-Analytics/El Plural 26 Apr–3 May 2023 250? 33.5 25.5 21.2 10.5 0.8 – 7.5 – 8.0 EM-Analytics/El Plural 19–25 Apr 2023 250? 33.5 25.8 20.8 10.2 0.6 – 7.8 – 7.7 GAD3/RTVCE 20–24 Apr 2023 803? 39.3 19.5 21.3 10.8 0.3 1.1 6.0 – 18.0 EM-Analytics/El Plural 12–18 Apr 2023 250? 29.7 25.6 20.2 9.7 0.6 – 8.3 4.9 4.1 SyM Consulting 7–11 Apr 2023 818 49.6 24.9 21.9 31.8 10.7 – – 7.3 – 6.9 EM-Analytics/El Plural 5–11 Apr 2023 250? 30.4 25.1 19.9 9.8 0.6 – 8.3 4.9 5.3 Dialoga Consultores/CeutaTV 9 Apr 2023 600? 35.0 31.2 18.9 5.5 0.3 0.3 3.5 4.2 3.8 EM-Analytics/El Plural 27 Mar–4 Apr 2023 250? 31.0 24.7 19.5 9.8 0.6 – 8.4 4.8 6.3 GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta 23 Jan–10 Feb 2023 1,004? 38.4 21.9 19.1 9.6 0.4 – 5.0 3.1 16.5 SyM Consulting 5–9 Dec 2022 1,279 52.8 25.4 20.2 32.8 7.4 – – 9.3 1.9 7.4 GAD3/El Pueblo de Ceuta 2–14 Sep 2022 684? 36.3 20.2 18.4 7.1 0.4 – 6.0 9.9 16.1 SyM Consulting 6–10 Jul 2022 1,116 53.8 25.4 20.8 31.9 9.2 – – 7.2 2.2 6.5 NC Report/El Faro de Ceuta 3 Feb 2022? 57.9 33.8 27.4 23.4 5.1 1.4 1.4 5.7 – 6.4 SyM Consulting 16–19 Dec 2021 740 56.0 23.8 22.1 32.9 11.6 – – 5.8 – 9.1 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 30 Sep 2021?? 28.6 23.6 25.7 10.3 9.0 1.5 – – – 2.9 SyM Consulting 20–23 May 2021 732 53.2 26.6 23.3 28.2 10.1 7.8 – – – – 1.6 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 15 Feb 2021 400? 31.7 21.1 22.4 10.2 10.4 1.9 – – – 9.3 SyM Consulting 9–12 Dec 2020 652 49.8 25.0 20.1 28.3 8.9 12.7 – – – – 3.3 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 16 Aug–26 Sep 2020?? 38.9 22.1 15.6 10.9 8.9 2.3 – – – 16.8 SyM Consulting 12–13 Sep 2020 687 50.8 29.8 20.5 23.4 11.4 9.7 – – – – 6.4 SyM Consulting 22–23 Jun 2020 564 59.3 35.4 26.1 14.5 8.3 9.2 1.8 – – – 9.3 SyM Consulting 25–26 May 2020 541 65.9 39.3 18.2 8.4 16.8 12.0 1.4 – – – 21.1 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 1 Apr–15 May 2020?? 40.0 24.2 16.4 7.6 6.4 2.4 – – – 15.8 SyM Consulting 1–2 Feb 2020 534 61.7 39.1 24.9 7.9 12.5 10.1 1.6 – – – 14.2 November 2019 general election 10 Nov 2019 54.0 22.3 31.3 35.2 2.5 – 3.4 3.9 – – 3.9 2019 Assembly election 26 May 2019 54.5 31.1 25.6 22.4 7.0 6.2 4.5 1.5 – – 5.5

Results + ← Summary of the 28 May 2023 Assembly of Ceuta election results → Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− People's Party (PP) 11,774 34.34 +3.22 9 ±0 Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 7,198 21.00 –4.60 6 –1 Vox (Vox) 7,073 20.63 –1.74 5 –1 Movement for Dignity and Citizenship (MDyC) 3,848 11.22 +4.26 3 +1 Ceuta Now! (Ceuta Ya!)1 3,442 10.04 +3.82 2 +1 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (CS) 239 0.70 –3.84 0 ±0 We Can (Podemos)2 192 0.56 –0.93 0 ±0 Free (LB) 122 0.36 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 394 1.15 +0.55 Total 34,282 25 ±0 Valid votes 34,282 98.84 –0.30 Invalid votes 403 1.16 +0.30 Votes cast / turnout 34,685 54.79 +0.25 Abstentions 28,616 45.21 –0.25 Registered voters 63,301 Sources

Aftermath Investiture Ballot → 17 June 2023 Required majority → 13 out of 25 Absentees Sources

Notes

References Opinion poll sources

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