2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

The 2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma. Incumbent senator James Lankford won re-election to a second full term, defeating cybersecurity professional Madison Horn (no relation to former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn, who ran for the concurrent special election to the Class II seat) in a landslide, winning all 77 counties with more than 50% of the vote in each.

Lankford was first elected in 2014 special election with 68% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Tom Coburn. He won re-election to a first full term in 2016 with 68% of the vote.

The primary elections for the Republican, Democratic, and Libertarian parties' nominations took place on June 28, 2022, with runoffs taking place on August 23, 2022. All candidates had to file between the days of April 13–15, 2022.

Despite his comfortable victory, with slightly over 64% of the vote received this was Lankford's worst performance in his career, as in each of his previous two elections he won nearly 68%. This also marked the best performance by a Democratic candidate since 2004 in the Class III seat.

Republican primary On March 16, 2021, Jackson Lahmeyer announced his campaign for the Republican nomination for United States Senate seat held by James Lankford. While Lankford had not formally announced, he was expected to run for reelection. On April 6, Lankford officially announced he would seek reelection in an interview with the Tulsa World. The Oklahoman reported that Joan Farr announced her candidacy for the Oklahoma and Kansas U.S. Senate seats sometime in August. On September 28, state senator Nathan Dahm announced his campaign for Lankford's seat. In November the Tulsa World reported that Jessica Jean Garrison, the daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison, would also campaign in the contested Republican primary. On February 28, 2022, Nathan Dahm announced he had switched his campaign to the special election in the Class 2 seat. Jessica Jean Garrison also switched her campaign to the special election when filing. Lankford won the June primary with 67% of the vote. Candidates Nominee James Lankford, incumbent U.S. Senator

Eliminated in primary Joan Farr, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2020 Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan Church, former Oklahoma State Coordinator for Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, and former Crusade Director for Christ for All Nations

Withdrew before filing Nathan Dahm, State Senator for the 33rd district (2013–2024) (ran for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat) Jessica Jean Garrison, author, dietician, and daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison (ran for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)

Endorsements James Lankford and Jackson Lahmeyer courted the endorsement of Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States, but Trump did not endorse a candidate prior to the primary.

On June 29, 2021, Lankford's campaign published its supposed endorsement by state representative Kevin McDugle. McDugle later went on social media claiming to have never made the endorsement; Lankford's campaign subsequently removed his name from their endorsement list.

Debates The Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma offered to host a debate for the Republican primary. Invitations were extended to candidates Jackson Lahmeyer and James Lankford, but Lankford refused the invitation. + 2022 Republican primary debates Date Host Moderator Link ParticipantsKey: Participant  Absent  Non-invitee  Invitee Withdrawn JoanFarr JacksonLahmeyer JamesLankford 1 Cancelled Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma - -

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoanFarr JacksonLahmeyer JamesLankford Other UndecidedAmber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R)June 6–9, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%4%12%68%–15%SoonerPollSoonerPollApril 25 – May 11, 2022306 (LV)± 5.6%2%8%74%–16%Amber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R)March 24–27, 2022455 (LV)± 4.6%0%10%63%3%24%Amber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R)December 15–19, 2021253 (RV)± 6.2%–8%56%12%24%Amber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R)September 29 – October 3, 2021253 (RV)± 6.2%–21%62%4%12%

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Madison Horn, cybersecurity professional

Eliminated in runoff Jason Bollinger, attorney and former State Department employee

Eliminated in initial primary Arya Azma, security trader Dennis Baker Jo Glenn, attorney Brandon Wade, machinery assembler

Failed to file Bevon Rogers, businessman and 2020 candidate for Oklahoma Senate

Declined Kendra Horn, former U.S. representative (running in the concurrent special election for the Class 2 seat)

First round Results

Runoff Results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 19, 2021 Inside Elections January 7, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 3, 2021PoliticoApril 1, 2022RCPJanuary 10, 2022Fox News May 12, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The Economist September 7, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Polling Aggregate polls Source of pollaggregationDatesadministeredDatesupdated JamesLankford (R) MadisonHorn (D) OtherMarginFiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightSeptember 15 – November 7, 2022November 7, 202256.9%34.9%8.2%Lankford +22.0270towin270towinOctober 11 - November 7, 2022November 7, 202254.3%36.8%8.9%Lankford +17.5Average55.6%35.8%8.6%Lankford +19.8 Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JamesLankford (R) MadisonHorn (D) Other UndecidedAscend Action (R)Ascend Action (R)November 5–6, 2022682 (LV)± 3.8%56%36%3%4%Amber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R)October 26–28, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%52%38%7%3%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeOctober 25–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%57%33%3%8%62%34%4%–Ascend Action (R)Ascend Action (R)October 24–28, 2022749 (LV)± 3.6%51%35%5%9%Amber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R)October 13–15, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%36%7%4%Ascend Action (R)Ascend Action (R)October 10–12, 2022638 (LV)± 3.9%51%37%3%9%SoonerPollSoonerPollOctober 3–6, 2022301 (LV)–52%40%2%6%Amber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R)September 19–21, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%34%–14%–(L)–(L)September 15–18, 20222,989 (LV)± 3.2%49%27%11%13%SoonerPollSoonerPollSeptember 2–7, 2022402 (LV)± 4.9%52%35%4%13%Echelon InsightsEchelon InsightsAugust 31 – September 7, 2022522 (RV)± 6.3%59%29%–12%

Results

By county CountyJames LankfordRepublicanMadison HornDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Adair3,65270.3%1,37626.5%1672.2%2,27663.00%5,195Alfalfa1,49085.9%17310.0%724.1%1,31775.9%1,735Atoka3,20482.0%60515.5%1002.6%2,59966.5%3,909Beaver1,46787.3%1358.0%794.7%1,33279.3%1,681Beckham4,50882.4%80714.8%1532.8%3,70167.6%5,468Blaine2,30377.6%53818.1%1284.3%1,76559.5%2,969Bryan8,74376.4%2,33020.3%3783.3%6,41356.1%11,451Caddo5,02271.2%1,79225.4%2383.4%3,23045.8%7,052Canadian34,20768.3%13,86727.7%2,0234.0%20,34040.6%50,097Carter9,82973.5%3,07623.0%4763.5%6,75350.5%13,381Cherokee8,10660.0%4,90536.3%5003.7%3,20123.7%13,511Choctaw3,23880.2%66616.5%1323.3%2,57263.7%4,036Cimarron65189.3%385.2%405.5%61384.1%729Cleveland49,40054.2%38,15041.9%3,5353.9%11,25012.3%91,085Coal1,49779.4%33317.7%552.9%1,16461.7%1,885Comanche14,47361.5%7,98333.9%1,0944.6%6,49027.6%23,550Cotton1,49881.3%25213.7%935.0%1,24667.6%1,843Craig3,33874.6%97521.8%1593.5%2,36352.8%4,472Creek16,48273.9%4,94222.2%8793.9%11,54051.7%22,303Custer5,69876.0%1,56720.9%2283.0%4,13155.1%7,493Delaware10,10176.6%2,72420.7%3662.8%7,37755.9%13,191Dewey1,53487.0%1609.1%704.0%1,37477.9%1,764Ellis1,29787.3%15210.2%372.5%1,14577.1%1,486Garfield12,21575.5%3,29720.4%6744.1%8,91855.1%16,186Garvin6,31477.9%1,51918.7%2753.4%4,79559.2%8,108Grady13,84777.8%3,36318.9%5883.3%10,48458.9%17,798Grant1,32182.8%20713.0%684.3%1,11469.8%1,596Greer1,04978.2%24118.0%523.9%80860.2%1,342Harmon52380.8%11317.5%111.7%41063.3%647Harper99885.6%1119.5%574.9%88776.1%1,166Haskell2,67579.0%63318.7%772.2%2,04260.3%3,385Hughes2,66675.4%72220.4%1504.3%1,94455.0%3,538Jackson4,37279.5%91216.6%2133.9%3,46062.9%5,497Jefferson1,28179.7%25315.7%744.6%1,02864.0%1,608Johnston2,37380.2%49016.6%953.2%1,88363.6%2,958Kay8,99371.9%3,03924.3%4743.8%5,95447.6%12,506Kingfisher4,06283.3%62712.9%1863.8%3,43570.4%4,875Kiowa1,91677.9%49620.2%461.9%1,42057.7%2,458Latimer2,33276.3%60119.7%1244.1%1,73156.6%3,057LeFlore9,46978.2%2,23218.4%4043.3%7,23759.8%12,105Lincoln8,64878.0%1,98017.9%4564.1%6,66860.1%11,084Logan12,31072.5%3,98523.5%6844.0%8,32549.0%16,979Love2,17479.5%47317.3%883.2%1,70162.2%2,735McClain11,52076.7%2,98819.9%5203.5%8,53256.8%15,028McCurtain6,64480.7%1,32616.1%2603.2%5,31864.6%8,230McIntosh4,58771.2%1,67626.0%1812.8%2,91145.2%6,444Major2,32886.5%2388.8%1244.6%2,09077.7%2,690Marshall3,48479.4%78818.0%1162.6%2,69661.4%4,388Mayes9,25973.3%2,85122.6%5174.1%6,40850.7%12,627Murray3,24276.4%83319.6%1674.0%2,40956.8%4,242Muskogee11,50464.8%5,64131.8%6193.5%5,86333.0%17,764Noble2,86475.2%78420.6%1634.3%2,08054.6%3,811Nowata2,61178.8%57717.4%1243.8%2,03461.4%3,312Okfuskee2,08571.0%72724.8%1254.2%1,35856.2%2,937Oklahoma112,09350.5%102,41746.1%7,4863.3%9,6764.4%221,996Okmulgee6,97765.7%3,24630.6%3963.7%3,73135.1%10,619Osage9,98766.2%4,53130.1%5603.7%5,45636.1%15,078Ottawa5,53472.2%1,84224.0%2943.9%3,69248.2%7,670Pawnee3,75274.3%1,08721.5%2104.2%2,66552.8%5,049Payne13,12159.4%8,16737.0%8103.7%4,95422.4%22,098Pittsburg9,45074.6%2,83922.4%3823.1%6,61152.2%12,671Pontotoc7,53967.4%3,23928.9%4133.7%4,30038.5%11,191Pottawatomie14,48470.0%5,38326.0%8174.0%9,10144.0%20,684Pushmataha2,65680.9%53216.2%942.9%2,12464.7%3,282Roger Mills1,13986.7%1199.1%564.3%1,02077.6%1,314Rogers25,06574.0%7,52522.2%1,2863.8%17,54051.8%33,876Seminole4,18471.4%1,48325.3%1913.2%2,70146.1%5,858Sequoyah7,66974.9%2,22421.7%3513.4%5,44553.2%10,244Stephens10,29278.5%2,26017.2%5554.2%8,03261.3%13,107Texas3,01882.6%45312.4%1815.0%2,56570.2%3,652Tillman1,44478.3%33017.9%703.8%1,11460.4%1,844Tulsa108,75756.2%78,23140.4%6,5503.4%30,52615.8%193,538Wagoner19,33372.1%6,51124.3%9793.7%12,82247.8%26,823Washington12,47072.9%4,01023.5%6183.6%8,46049.4%17,098Washita2,99583.9%46513.0%1113.1%2,53070.9%3,571Woods2,14979.6%46817.3%823.0%1,68162.3%2,699Woodward4,44882.6%73913.7%1963.6%3,70968.9%5,383Totals739,96064.3%369,37032.1%41,4023.6%370,59032.2%1,150,732

By congressional district Lankford won all five congressional districts. District Lankford Horn Representative 59.0% 37.6%Kevin Hern73.3%23.3%Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress)Josh Brecheen (118th Congress) 70.0% 26.1%Frank Lucas 63.1% 33.0%Tom Cole 57.6% 38.9%Stephanie Bice

See also 2022 United States Senate elections 2022 Oklahoma elections 118th United States Congress

Notes

References

External links Official campaign websites

Michael Delaney (I) for Senate

James Lankford (R) for Senate