Opinion polling for the 2020 Irish general election

Numerous polls of support for political parties in Ireland were taken between the 2016 general election and the 2020 general election, which was held on Saturday 8 February 2020. Opinion polls on voting intentions are conducted regularly.

The most frequent were commissioned by media organisations and were published on an approximately monthly basis by The Sunday Times (which uses Behaviour and Attitudes on an exclusive basis) and The Sunday Business Post (which uses the Red C polling company).

Less frequently polls were published by The Irish Times, the Sunday Independent, RTÉ, and others.

Opinion polling for Irish general elections Previous Next ← 2016 election 2024 election → ← 2016 polling 2024 polling →

Graphical summary

Key polls As methodologies and results differ, even where polls are taken over the same dates, the results of the two main polling companies are shown separately:

Sunday Business Post / Red C poll

The Sunday Times / B&A poll

National opinion polls All opinion polls shown below were commissioned by print or broadcast media outlets, with the exception of the Survation poll conducted up to 2 February 2020, which was commissioned by Sinn Féin.

Last dateof polling Polling firm / Commissioner Samplesize FG FF SF Lab S–PBP SD GP RI IA This column includes figures for Independents 4 Change and Aontú when available.8 February 2020General election20.922.224.54.42.62.97.10.3 -12.2Aontú is on 1.9%.The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.8 February 2020Ipsos MRBI/RTÉ/Irish Times/TG4/UCD5,30022.422.222.34.62.83.47.914.52 February 2020Survation/Sinn Féin1,07417222565391121 February 2020Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times1,2002023254228< 116Aontú is on 1%.The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.30 January 2020Red C/Business Post1,000212424513713Aontú is on 2%.The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.30 January 2020Panelbase/The Times (Ireland)1,00019232155510??1225 January 2020Ireland Thinks/Irish Mail on Sunday1,03122272061310IA are not mentioned.1123 January 2020Red C/Business Post1,000232619423815Aontú is on 1%.The figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.18 January 2020Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times1,200232521522811314 January 2020Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times9232032194217131024 December 2019Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail1,58528251553371617 December 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times936272720631629Aontú is on 0%.The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.21 November 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003024116227414Aontú has 1%.12 November 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times92327251762260411Aontú is on 0%.The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.24 October 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,000322411412741515 October 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times?2928165316029Aontú is on 0%.The 9% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.13 October 2019Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times1,2002925146118<11417 September 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times92926292031151410The 10% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.12 September 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,00029281261170313The 13% figure for 'Others/Independents' is the remainder when all others are removed. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.16 July 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times902263014521714811 June 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times900232812521111313 24 May 2019Red C/RTÉ/TG4 2,671 26 23 15 5 2 3 12 1 2 1116 May 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post2,00028241352271216Aontú is on 2%.The 16% figure for 'Others/Independents' is got by adding the cited 2% for Aontú to the 14% cited for 'other Independent candidates'. As with all such calculations, the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.14 May 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 9332828194315398 May 2019Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,500 2926167418The 18% figure shown for Independents/Others is calculated by subtracting the cited source's 4% for the Greens from that source's 22% for Independents and all other parties except Fine Gael, Fianna Fáil, Sinn Féin, and Labour, so the 18% figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects. The cited source does not give figures for other parties or alliances, but states that it includes the Green Party, Social Democrats and Solidarity-PBP.17 April 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003323145123217A figure for 'Others/Independents' is not mentioned in the cited source, but has been calculated by subtracting the other parties from 100%, so the figure shown may be slightly inaccurate due to rounding effects.16 April 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 933282921411141028 March 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,00031251352330Renua has less than 1%.315Aontú has less than 1%.12 March 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 930 312519510302125 March 2019Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,200 302421621211320 February 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003124185122021512 February 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times9103026185212121424 January 2019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003222136223051415 January 2019Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times907302620421221321 December 2018Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail1,54632231674341318 December 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times911312917522321013 December 2018Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent92032272151214622 November 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003427136023051013 November 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times90530272362111926 October 2018Red C/RTÉ News3,47435221572340111This figure includes 2% for Independents 4 Change.17 October 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,000332515502441216 October 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times940 312719620202912 October 2018Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,200 33252443121610 October 2018Red C/Paddy Power1,0003227145213031318 September 2018 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times940322520530304813 September 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003322146222141324 August 2018Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail94229241961221717 July 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times9313421223112041012 June 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times931312424421203916 May 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,000342516631204915 May 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times935302324421231030 April 2018Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent1,00334272251Social Democrats are not mentioned.35226 April 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003225146222121318 April 2018Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail?29261654341317 April 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times928 3325216112121017 April 2018Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times1,200 31262252131922 March 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003324166222211213 March 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times900322719621231022 February 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,0003229146122131014 February 2018 Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent970362820411231113 February 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 92636251653114925 January 2018Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,003322615632403923 January 2018Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times1,200 342519421311116 January 2018Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times920 32261862124924 December 2017Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times913 34261752224822 December 2017Ireland Thinks/Irish Daily Mail1,144 3326166322127 December 2017 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,200 3625194113110 Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,004 27261663341410 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 919 34 31 14 3 3 1 2 0 3 8Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,004 2925146424041210 October 2017Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times915 31271941120312Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times1,2003129194223019Red C/The Sunday Business Post1,00430261654421210 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 937 33 25 19 5 1 1 2 0 4 10 Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent 956 30 29 20 7 1 0 2 Renua is not mentioned. 5 7 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 923 29 30 18 5 2 1 2 0 4 9 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,000 27 24 18 6 4 2 4 3 4 8 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 1,004 29 29 18 5 1 1 3 1 5 9 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,004 29 21 15 6 3 4 3 1 3 15Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 945 28 27 18 4 1 1 2 1 4 14 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,004 24 28 18 6 4 4 3 1 2 10 Behaviour and Attitudes/The Sunday Times 937 29 28 18 5 2 2 2 11 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,004 24 26 17 6 4 3 4 0 3 13 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times93422 28236212069 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,200 2829 21 4 3 1 3 Renua is featured in Others. 2 9 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,004 24 26 19 4 6 3 4 1 3 10 Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent 960 25 33 20 6 3 2 2 5 4 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 955 21 32 19 6 3 2 2 0 5 10 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,004 24 27 14 5 4 4 4 1 3 14 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 921 23 29 17 5 5 1 3 0 3 15 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 924 26 28 19 5 3 1 3 1 5 9 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,200 2730 17 6 3 2 3 2 10 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,000 25 24 16 5 5 4 3 1 4 12 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 924 28 30 17 3 3 0 2 0 5 11 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,002 25 26 13 5 9 3 3 0 6 10 Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent 942 29 27 20 8 5 1 2 5 3 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 917 26 30 17 5 2 1 2 1 4 11 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,200 26 26 19 5 3 2 3 The poll makes no distinction between different groupings of Independents, the Independent Alliance is included in the figure for Others. 15 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,002 25 27 15 7 6 4 2 0 4 10 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 911 23 28 18 7 4 1 2 0 4 12 Red C/Paddy Power 1,000 27 28 15 4 4 3 3 0 5 10 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,004 26 29 13 6 5 4 4 1 5 8 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 909 25 30 14 6 5 2 2 0 4 12 Ipsos MRBI/Irish Times 1,200 24 33 16 5 2 2 4 2 11 Millward Brown/The Sunday Independent 1,000 30 26 20 7 4 2 3 8 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 913 25 26 17 5 4 1 3 1 6 11 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,004 26 26 15 6 5 4 2 0 4 11 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 898 26 27 16 5 4 2 4 0 7 9 Red C/Paddy Power 1,015 27 25 16 5 6 4 3 1 3 10 Behaviour & Attitudes/The Sunday Times 926 23 26 17 4 4 2 3 1 8 12 Red C/The Sunday Business Post 1,006 27 25 15 4 4 5 3 2 5 9 General election 25.5 24.3 13.8 6.6 3.9 3.0 2.7 2.2 4.2 13.7This figure includes 1.5% for Independents 4 Change.

Preferred Taoiseach Date(s)conductedPolling organisationSample size Leo Varadkar Micheál MartinLeadAmárach Research1,00047%53%6%Amárach Research1,00043%57%14%Amárach Research1,00045%55%10%

Constituency opinion polls

Donegal Last dateof polling Polling firm / Commissioner Samplesize FF SF FGGPAon Pringle O'Donnell Casey McConnellLead8 February 2020General election20.4 45.113.82.13.17.16.11.50.824.723 January 2020TG4/Ipsos MRBI55022392043642117General election31.027.515.40.6 8.5 3.5

Galway West