Opinion polling for the 2021 Canadian federal election

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted from the 2019 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2021 Canadian federal election, which took place on September 20, 2021. For riding-specific polls see the list of 2021 constituency polls.

National polls Campaign period

Polling firm Last dateof polling Link CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC Others Marginof error Samplesize Polling method Lead 2021 election HTML 33.7 32.6 17.8 7.6 2.3 4.9 1.1 17,042,591 1.1 Nanos Research 31.2 32.4 17.5 7.5 4.5 6.6 0.3 ±3.6 pp 832 telephone 1.2 Forum Research 33.0 29.4 16.2 6.9 2.9 10.3 1.3 ±3 pp 1,181 IVR 3.6 Research Co. 32 32 19 7 4 6 1 ±3.1 pp 1,800 online 0 Mainstreet Research 30.4 33.4 18.1 6.0 2.1 9.3 0.7 ±2.1 pp 2,211 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 3.0 Abacus Data 32 31 19 7 4 6 2 ±2.0 pp 2,431 online 1 EKOS 27.3 32.6 18.0 7.3 3.9 9.9 1 ±2.4 pp 1,662 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 5.3 Counsel 30 31 19 7 4 7 2 ±1.7 pp 3,298 online 1 EKOS 26.9 32.1 18.5 7.2 4.4 10.0 0.9 ±2.7 pp 1,327 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.2 Nanos Research 30.5 30.8 21.0 6.5 4.7 5.6 1.0 ±2.5 pp 1,679 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 0.3 Mainstreet Research 30.5 31.9 19.0 6.4 2.5 8.9 0.8 ±1.9 pp 2,494 (1/2) IVR (rolling) 1.4 Abacus Data 31 32 21 6 3 6 1 ±2.8 pp 1,271 (1/3) online (rolling) 1 Ipsos 32 31 21 7 3 4 1 ±2.3 pp 2,359 online/telephone 1 Angus Reid 32 30 20 7 3 5 1 ±2.2 pp 2,042 online 2 EKOS 27.7 30.6 20.0 7.3 4.5 9.1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,422 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9 Nanos Research 29.2 31.3 20.9 6.4 3.9 7.3 1.0 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1 Mainstreet Research 30.8 31.0 19.9 6.6 2.5 8.4 0.9 ±2.2 pp 1,871 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2 Abacus Data 32 33 21 6 2 5 1 ±2.7 pp 1,333 (1/3) online (rolling) 1 Leger 33 32 19 7 2 6 1 ±2.5 pp 2,147 online 1 EKOS 30.6 30.4 18.5 7.0 4.1 8.5 0.9 ±2.6 pp 1,384 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.2 Nanos Research 30.4 31.9 20.3 5.8 3.2 7.5 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,228 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5 Mainstreet Research 31.9 29.5 19.5 6.4 3.0 8.8 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,749 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.4 Abacus Data 30 34 21 6 3 5 1 ±2.9 pp 1,604 (1/3) online (rolling) 4 Campaign Research 31 31 21 7 4 5 1 ±1 pp 5,163 online 0 EKOS 30.4 32.1 18.4 6.3 3.8 8.2 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,446 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7 Nanos Research 30.3 31.9 21.2 6.4 3.2 6.7 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,237 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.6 Mainstreet Research 32.0 30.2 18.9 6.4 2.9 8.7 0.8 ±2.3 pp 1,753 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.8 Abacus Data 31 33 22 5 3 5 2 ±2.9 pp 1,578 online (rolling) 2 EKOS 31.8 31.8 19.1 6.4 3.3 6.9 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,322 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.0 Nanos Research 31.2 30.5 21.4 6.2 3.7 6.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,281 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7 Mainstreet Research 31.4 31.4 17.5 7.0 3.3 8.7 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,774 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.0 EKOS 32.2 31.2 19.4 6.2 3.1 7.3 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.0 Research Co. 30 34 20 7 3 5 1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 4 Nanos Research 31.2 32.3 18.9 6.4 3.8 6.7 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,264 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1 Mainstreet Research 29.5 33.5 16.4 7.5 3.3 9.1 0.7 ±2.3 pp 1,732 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.0 Ipsos 32 32 21 7 4 3 1 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online/telephone 0 Leger 32 32 20 7 3 5 1 ±2.19 pp 2,001 online 0 YouGov 32 29 19 6 5 5 4 ±3.4 pp 925 online 3 Earnscliffe/Leger 32 32 20 7 4 5 1 1,549 online 0 Innovative Research 28 33 22 7 4 4 1 3,203 online 5 EKOS 31.9 30.3 20.3 6.0 3.7 7.0 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,115 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.6 Nanos Research 30.2 33.2 18.6 6.8 3.8 6.6 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,268 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.0 Mainstreet Research 28.6 33.5 17.1 7.9 3.7 8.4 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,711 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.9 Abacus Data 32 32 21 6 3 4 2 ±2.1 pp 2,000 online 0 Angus Reid 32 30 21 7 2 6 2 ±2.5 pp 1,840 online 2 Counsel 30.2 29.7 21.9 6.5 4.4 5.6 1.7 ±1.7 pp 3,320 online 0.5 EKOS 32.8 31.1 19.0 4.7 3.9 7.8 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,162 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1.7 Nanos Research 30.7 34.0 18.6 6.6 4.1 5.1 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,252 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.3 Mainstreet Research 29.4 33.4 17.6 7.4 3.1 8.1 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,706 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.0 Forum Research 31 28 18 8 4 9 2 ±3 pp 1,579 IVR 3 EKOS 30.9 30.4 19.9 4.6 4.3 9.1 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,238 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.5 Nanos Research 30.1 34.4 19.0 6.4 4.6 5.0 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,249 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.3 Mainstreet Research 30.2 33.9 17.9 6.4 2.6 7.9 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,751 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.7 September 9, 2021 Leaders' Debates Commission English debate EKOS 33.2 29.7 16.7 4.3 3.8 11.7 0.6 ±2.7 pp 1,303 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.5 Nanos Research 33.3 31.3 19.2 6.6 3.8 5.0 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,269 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0 Mainstreet Research 32.0 32.9 18.5 5.3 2.2 8.4 0.8 ±2.3 pp 1,776 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.9 September 8, 2021 Leaders' Debates Commission French debate EKOS 33.6 30.7 15.7 4.1 4.1 11.2 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,365 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9 Nanos Research 32.6 30.6 20.3 5.5 4.2 5.3 1.4 ±2.8 pp 1,266 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.0 Mainstreet Research 32.9 32.3 19.0 5.5 1.9 7.9 0.5 ±2.3 pp 1,768 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.6 EKOS 34.3 31.8 16.4 4.0 3.2 9.5 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,202 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5 Mainstreet Research 33.5 30.0 20.7 5.5 2.2 7.6 0.4 ±2.3 pp 1,755 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.5 Nanos Research 32.6 31.6 21.1 5.0 4.4 4.3 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,288 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.0 EKOS 33.7 30.8 19.2 3.8 3.8 7.9 0.8 ±3.0 pp 1,062 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9 Mainstreet Research 33.5 31.1 19.6 6.4 2.4 6.4 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,794 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.4 Leger 33 33 21 6 3 3 <1 ±1.8 pp 3,002 online 0 Ipsos 35 32 21 7 2 2 ±2.9 pp 1,500 online 3 Angus Reid 35 32 20 6 2 5 1 ±2.5 pp 1,709 online 3 Abacus Data 32 32 21 7 3 3 1 ±1.9 pp 2,875 online 0 Earnscliffe/Leger 33 33 21 6 3 4 1 1,521 online 0 EKOS 34.1 27.9 20.3 5.6 3.6 7.9 0.7 ±3.0 pp 1,053 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.2 Nanos Research 32.0 34.1 20.9 4.0 4.5 3.8 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,269 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1 Mainstreet Research 34.0 31.1 18.4 6.2 2.6 6.7 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,857 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9 EKOS 34.5 28.1 20.5 4.8 4.4 6.9 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,158 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.4 Nanos Research 34.9 33.4 18.9 4.8 4.2 3.5 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.5 Mainstreet Research 34.6 31.8 17.5 6.3 2.3 6.3 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,842 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.8 Abacus Data 33 32 21 7 3 3 1 ±1.9 pp 2,692 online 1 EKOS 35.0 28.8 19.6 4.9 4.6 6.3 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,274 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.2 Nanos Research 35.5 33.0 18.7 4.1 4.4 3.9 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,214 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.5 Mainstreet Research 34.3 32.1 18.2 5.6 2.2 6.5 1.2 ±2.3 pp 1,820 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.2 September 2, 2021 TVA French leaders' debate EKOS 35.8 29.5 19.4 3.9 4.5 5.8 0.9 ±2.9 pp 1,161 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.3 Nanos Research 35.7 30.7 18.3 5.5 4.5 4.8 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.0 Mainstreet Research 35.9 30.7 18.8 5.1 2.4 5.9 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,792 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.2 EKOS 35.5 30.7 18.8 4.7 3.7 5.8 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,152 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.8 Nanos Research 34.2 30.5 20.1 6.0 4.0 4.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,270 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.7 Mainstreet Research 36.0 30.9 18.7 4.8 2.6 5.8 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,757 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.1 Campaign Research 33 30 22 6 4 4 1 ±2 pp 3,011 online 3 EKOS 36.0 30.7 18.9 5.3 3.2 5.2 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,122 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.3 Nanos Research 33.7 31.0 20.3 6.8 3.5 4.1 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,275 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.7 Mainstreet Research 37.1 29.2 19.1 4.7 2.8 5.7 1.3 ±2.3 pp 1,703 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.9 EKOS 35.9 31.3 18.0 5.8 3.2 5.0 0.7 ±3.2 pp 942 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.6 Research Co. 32 33 22 6 4 3 <1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 online 1 Nanos Research 32.5 33.2 19.2 6.4 4.6 3.3 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,308 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.7 Mainstreet Research 36.9 29.2 18.8 5.7 2.7 5.7 1.0 ±2.3 pp 1,763 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.7 Ipsos 32 31 23 7 4 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,501 online 1 Leger 34 30 24 7 2 3 1 ±2.18 pp 2,005 online 4 Innovative Research 29 32 23 8 4 4 1 2,806 online 3 Earnscliffe/Leger 34 30 24 7 3 2 1 1,544 online 4 Angus Reid 33 30 21 7 3 4 2 ±2.5 pp 1,639 online 3 Nanos Research 32.7 31.3 20.0 5.8 5.9 3.6 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,267 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.4 Mainstreet Research 37.6 28.5 19.3 6.3 2.5 5.1 0.6 ±2.3 pp 1,767 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.1 EKOS 36.8 29.4 19.3 5.6 3.2 5.0 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,232 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 7.4 Abacus Data 32 33 22 8 2 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 1 Nanos Research 33.2 31.1 19.9 5.5 5.7 4.2 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.1 Mainstreet Research 37.8 28.3 19.4 6.9 2.2 4.9 0.5 ±2.3 pp 1,759 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.5 EKOS 36.7 29.1 17.7 5.5 3.7 6.5 0.7 ±2.9 pp 1,166 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 7.6 Nanos Research 33.3 30.8 21.7 5.3 4.9 3.8 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,243 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 2.5 Mainstreet Research 37.4 29.3 19.6 6.2 2.4 4.5 0.6 ±2.38 pp 1,684 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.1 EKOS 34.8 28.5 19.8 5.5 3.8 6.8 0.8 ±2.6 pp 1,426 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 6.3 Nanos Research 33.6 33.4 19.9 5.3 4.6 3.1 0.2 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.2 Mainstreet Research 36.8 31.4 18.5 5.4 2.6 4.3 1.0 ±2.43 pp 1,619 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5.4 EKOS 34.5 29.0 20.3 5.1 4.2 6.3 0.6 ±2.6 pp 1,424 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 5.5 Nanos Research 34.4 33.6 18.9 5.3 4.3 3.1 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,288 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.8 Mainstreet Research 34.7 31.8 19.1 5.4 3.1 4.6 1.3 ±2.6 pp 1,549 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.9 EKOS 32.8 29.4 20.7 6.0 3.8 6.7 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,352 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 3.4 Nanos Research 32.7 35.9 16.8 5.6 4.8 3.7 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,261 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.2 Mainstreet Research 33.7 31.2 19.0 6.0 3.1 5.8 1.2 ±2.6 pp 1,417 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.5 EKOS 32.2 31.4 20.5 5.7 3.5 5.7 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.8 Nanos Research 33.2 33.5 18.9 5.4 4.7 3.6 0.7 ±2.8 pp 1,205 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 0.3 Mainstreet Research 32.3 30.0 19.0 7.0 3.3 7.4 0.9 ±2.6 pp 1,369 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.3 EKOS 32.8 32.0 19.6 6.2 3.5 5.0 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,192 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.8 Ipsos 32 33 21 6 5 2 1 ±3.5 pp 1,500 online 1 Angus Reid 31 33 22 7 3 3 1 ±2.5 pp 1,692 online 2 Earnscliffe/Leger 30 33 21 7 4 3 1 1,527 online 3 Leger 31 33 21 7 4 3 1 ±2.2 pp 2,002 online 2 Nanos Research 31.4 32.5 20.8 6.1 5.1 3.3 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,200 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.1 Mainstreet Research 31.7 32.4 18.2 5.9 3.3 6.6 1.0 ±2.6 pp 1,467 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 0.7 EKOS 31.7 32.9 17.0 6.9 4.3 6.3 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,207 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.2 Abacus Data 29 33 23 6 3 4 2 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 4 Nanos Research 32.4 34.3 19.3 6.3 4.5 2.4 0.8 ±2.8 pp 1,209 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 1.9 Mainstreet Research 30.9 34.0 19.7 5.9 3.4 5.1 1.0 ±2.6 pp 1,425 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.1 EKOS 32.8 32.4 16.6 6.1 5.2 6.1 0.8 ±2.7 pp 1,293 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.4 Nanos Research 32.3 34.2 20.2 6.1 4.3 2.1 0.9 ±2.8 pp 1,200 telephone (rolling) 1.9 EKOS 32.9 31.4 18.3 6.2 4.9 5.7 0.6 ±2.6 pp 1,444 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.5 Mainstreet Research 32.6 33.9 19.3 4.9 3.7 4.4 1.3 ±2.6 pp 1,449 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.3 EKOS 31.9 32.5 19.2 5.7 4.9 5.2 0.7 ±2.6 pp 1,426 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.6 Mainstreet Research 33.1 33.4 19.8 5.0 3.6 4.0 1.1 ±2.6 pp 1,433 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.3 Counsel 28.5 30.3 21.7 7.8 4.8 4.3 2.6 ±1.7 pp 3,499 online 1.8 EKOS 32.0 33.3 20.1 5.5 4.5 3.9 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,281 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 1.3 Mainstreet Research Twitter 33.0 33.6 18.4 5.5 4.0 4.5 1.1 ±2.59 pp 1,571 (1/4) IVR (rolling) 0.6 EKOS 30.6 34.3 21.0 5.4 4.2 3.7 0.8 ±3.2 pp 913 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3.7 Mainstreet Research Twitter 31.7 33.8 18.9 6.1 3.9 4.5 1.1 ±2.7 pp 1,385 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2.1 Angus Reid 30 36 20 6 4 4 1 ±2.5 pp 1,614 online 6 EKOS 29.4 33.7 20.5 5.4 5.7 4.2 1.1 ±3.4 pp 840 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4.3 Mainstreet Research Twitter 30 33 20 6 4 5 ±2.7 pp 1,372 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3 Ipsos 31 36 20 6 5 1 1 ±2.5 pp 2,001 online/telephone 5 Innovative Research 26 38 21 6 4 3 1 1,412 online 12 Abacus Data 28 33 22 7 5 3 1 ±2.6 pp 1,500 online 5 Forum Research 31 28 19 7 8 5 3 ±3 pp 1,203 IVR 3 Earnscliffe/Leger 29 35 20 7 6 2 2 1,515 online 6 EKOS 30.3 34.8 17.4 4.2 6.9 5.1 1.2 ±3.4 pp 856 IVR (rolling) 4.5 Leger 30 35 20 7 5 2 1 ±2.18 pp 2,007 online 5 Mainstreet Research 30.1 33.1 19.1 5.9 3.9 5.6 2.2 ±2.7 pp 1,331 IVR (rolling) 3.0 Polling firm Last dateof polling Link Others Marginof error Samplesize Polling method Lead CPC LPC NDP BQ GPC PPC

Pre-campaign period