Opinion polling for the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2023 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 29 February 2020, to September 30th, 2023.

Electoral polling Graphical summary

Voting intention estimates Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.

Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last parliamentary election or oscillate above 4% in the polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties (lacking in this year's election). 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.

2023 Legend

Polling firmDateSamplesizeOĽaNO and FriendsSmerSRĽSNSPSSASKAKDHMFAllianceModrí, Most–HídDemocratsSNSHlasREP OthersOĽaNOZĽSMK/MKPMKÖ–MKSMost–HídModríDVHlas 2023 elections 30 Sep 2023 2,967,896 8.90% 22.95% 2.21% 0.84% 17.96% 6.32% 6.82% 0.12%4.39%0.27% 2.93% 5.63%14.70% 4.75% 1.21%Focus30 Sep 2023—8.0%21.9%–– 23.5%6.4%5.3%–4.3%–3.0%4.4%12.2%6.0%5.0%Median30 Sep 202316,8059.5%19.1%3.3%– 20.0%6.4%6.4%–4.2%–3.4%5.4%11.2%6.1%5.0%28 Sep 2023Election silence starting two days before election dayMedian25–26 Sep 20231,0046.2% 19.8%4.1%–19.3%7.4%7.7%–2.5%2.1%3.8%4.8%11.9%8.0%2.4%Focus22–26 Sep 20231,0178.2%18.0%4.1%1.7%16.6%5.8%6.5%0.6%3.5%0.7%4.0%6.4%13.7%7.7%2.5%AKO20–26 Sep 20231,0009.4%17.7%5.1%0.3% 18.0%7.3%6.1%0.6%2.8%1.0%4.3%6.0%15.0%5.4%1.0%Ipsos22–25 Sep 20231,0008.2%20.6%4.0%1.6%19.8%7.0%5.9%0.1%3.4%0.6%3.3%5.7%11.9%7.6%0.4%SANEP17–25 Sep 20231,6976.0%22.6%5.5%1.4%16.1%5.4%5.1%–3.3%1.3%3.4%6.0%15.3%7.4%0.7%NMS21–24 Sep 20231,4119.5%19.4%5.2%1.8% 19.7%5.7%5.4%0.3%3.1%1.1%2.3%5.4%10.5%8.5%2.1%Polis Slovakia16–20 Sep 20231,1105.7%24.4%5.3%1.9%15.1%6.4%5.7%0.6%5.4%1.2%2.0%5.8%12.6%6.8%1.1%Ipsos15–19 Sep 20231,0268.2%20.3%4.2%2.6%17.2%6.1%5.3%0.6%4.0%0.9%3.4%5.6%13.1%8.6%0.9%SANEP10–15 Sep 20231,7826.0%22.2%5.9%1.7%15.7%4.8%5.6%–2.8%1.2%3.1%5.8%15.2%7.5%2.5%Focus 6–13 Sep 20231,0016.3%18.9%4.9%1.8%16.5%5.1%6.2%0.8%3.6%1.5%3.7%6.4%14.6%8.0%1.7%AKO5–11 Sep 20231,0007.0%19.4%5.3%0.6%18.2%7.4%6.0%0.3%2.9%1.4%3.5%6.0%15.1%5.2%1.7%NMS5–9 Sep 20231,4106.1%22.0%5.8%1.0%18.1%4.2%4.7%0.4%3.2%0.9%3.8%7.3%11.4%8.3%2.8%Polis Slovakia1–6 Sep 20231,0025.4%24.5%5.8%–14.6%6.8%5.4%–––1.2%6.0%12.8%7.6%9.9%SANEP27 Aug–2 Sep 20231,6356.5%21.4%5.9%2.0%15.6%6.1%6.0%–2.7%1.2%3.0%5.5%15.0%8.4%0.7%Median25–31 Aug 20231,0027.1% 17.8%8.2%2.3%17.8%6.7%7.3%–––3.6%5.3%9.4%10.2%4.4%Median21–24 Aug 20231,0056.2% 20.2%5.8%2.4%17.6%7.3%6.7%–––4.1%5.3%10.0%10.0%4.4%Polis Slovakia11–16 Aug 20231,0095.6%23.4%5.3%2.2%14.2%6.5%5.2%1.1%5.3%1.8%2.3%6.1%12.9%6.6%1.5%Focus9–16 Aug 20231,0096.4%20.0%5.1%2.1%15.0%6.1%6.1%0.7%3.4%1.7%3.1%5.3%14.2%8.8%2.0%Ipsos10–14 Aug 20231,0037.7%19.7%5.5%2.9%16.9%5.7%6.2%0.7%3.6%1.4%2.9%5.1%13.3%7.9%0.5%AKO7–14 Aug 20231,0007.2%19.2%5.7%0.3%17.8%6.6%6.2%0.8%2.5%2.1%2.9%5.9%15.0%6.3%1.4%SANEP6–13 Aug 20231,7266.7%22.0%6.2%1.8%15.8%6.0%5.9%–2.9%1.2%3.1%5.4%13.0%8.1%1.9%NMS1–7 Aug 20231,4166.3%23.3%5.6%2.8%17.0%4.5%5.0%0.4%3.0%1.6%2.6%6.0%11.5%7.5%2.6%Ipsos26 Jul–1 Aug 20231,0017.9%20.3%5.6%2.2%16.9%6.7%5.4%0.5%2.2%1.6%2.6%5.2%13.4%8.8%–SANEP23–30 Jul 20231,6756.9%20.9%6.4%1.4%15.5%6.1%6.0%–2.7%1.1%3.3%5.2%14.1%8.8%4.0%AKO24–28 Jul 20231,0006.7%19.9%6.1%1.2%16.4%6.6%6.0%0.9%2.2%1.5%2.2%5.8%15.2%6.7%2.6%Polis Slovakia22–27 Jul 20231,0346.2% 23.1%4.5%3.1%13.6%5.2%5.5%1.6%5.4%2.5%3.0%5.4%12.5%8.4%–Focus 21–26 Jul 20231,0246.2%18.1%5.6%2.3%14.3%5.2%5.6%1.2%4.0%1.8%3.8%5.1%16.0%8.7%–Median21–26 Jul 20231,0105.3% 21.5%7.4%–17.1%6.5%6.2%–2.4%–3.4%4.2%12.1%9.7%4.2%Ipsos17–21 Jul 20231,0057.1%19.4%6.4%2.6%15.9%5.0%5.9%0.8%3.5%1,8%2.1%5.0%14.9%8.6%1.1%Median19–21 Jul 20231,0085.5%20.1%6.1%2.3%19.1%6.1%6.5%––2.5%4.2%4.1%11.1%10.0%2.4%AKO10–17 Jul 20231,0007.2%18.1%6.2%1.7%15.4%7.6%5.9%1.4%1.7%1.3%2.2%5.1%16.5%6.8%–SANEP9–16 Jul 20231,5428.5%18.9%6.4%–13.8%6.7%6.0%––––5.1%15.5%8.0%–NMS4–9 Jul 20231,4136.9%20.6%5.3%2.9%15.6%4.7%5.7%0.4%3.4%1.3%2.8%4.6%11.4%10.4%–2 Jul 2023OĽaNO, For the People and Christian Union form an electoral coalitionSANEP21–28 Jun 20231,6716.7%–18.6%6.8%–13.4%6.4%6.2%–––––16.5%8.2%–Focus21–28 Jun 20231,0126.0%0.7%19.0%6.1%2.1%13.5%5.0%6.0%1.4%3.9%1.6%3.6%5.5%16.3%9.0%–Median15 May–20 Jun 20231,0367.1%1.5%18.0%7.0%3.0%11.6%6.6%6.5%–––4.7%4.6%14.1%8.2%7.1%Ipsos12–16 Jun 20231,0016.4%–18.9%7.2%–15.5%7.2%5.6%–3.1%–4.0%4.3%14.8%8.3%–AKO6–9 June 20231,0007.1%0.6%19.0%6.2%1.0%14.4%7.8%6.5%2.1%1.3%1.3%2.8%4.7%17.2%7.0%NMS2–8 Jun 20231,4466.3%1.8%19.6%6.8%3.1%15.2%4.7%6.0%0.8%3.4%1.1%1.8%3.9%14.1%9.4%Focus 24–31 May 20231,0125.3%1.1%18.0%6.6%2.5%12.5%5.3%5.5%1.1%4.0%1.5%1.0%3.2%4.7%17.4%9.7%0.6%Ipsos 16–19 May 20231,0047.0%2.2%16.9%7.5%1.8%13.3%6.1%5.2%0.7%3.8%1.5%3.4%3.8%15.6%9.0%2.1%NMS3–17 May 20231,2337.3%1.0%21.3%5.9%1.7%14.2%6.2%5.5%0.7%2.6%0.9%2.7%3.1%14.0%8.7%16 May 2023Part of Most–Híd leaves AllianceAKO4–10 May 20231,0007.4%1.9%18.0%5.6%0.7%14.3%8.3%6.6%3.1%1.1%1.1%3.4%4.4%16.5%6.9%Polis Slovakia29 Apr–6 May 20231,0116.6%1.0%24.2%6.9%2.4%11.7%6.5%5.8%0.6%3.0%–2.1%4.9%17.0%7.2%Median1 Apr–6 May 20231,9437.9%1.8%16.3%9.2%2.5%11.6%8.2%6.8%–2.5%–4.0%3.5%–13.9%7.0%–28 Apr 2023Good Choice decided to run with HlasFocus19 Apr–26 Apr 20231,0135.6%1.0%17.7%6.1%2.7%13.1%5.2%6.0%1.7%4.3%–3.6%4.0%1.1%17.0%9.8%–Ipsos10 Apr–14 Apr 20231,0007.0%1.8%16.8%6.4%2.3%14.1%6.4%4.8%–2.4%–3.6%4.2%–16.2%8.8%–AKO4 Apr–11 Apr 20231,0005.8%1.8%17.9%7.1%1.4%14.1%8.3%6.4%2.1%2.1%–4.1%4.3%0.5%16.3%6.6%–NMS28 Mar–2 Apr 20231,0185.2%2.0%22.4%5.7%1.9%12.8%5.1%6.3%1.3%3.0%0.8%3.0%2.4%–14.2%9.9%Focus14–22 Mar 20231,0184.3%1.2%17.6%7.7%2.7%12.1%5.1%5.8%1.5%4.7%–5.0%3.4%1.4%17.1%9.6%AKO12 Mar 20231,0005.0%1.6%17.6%6.8%1.2%15.1%8.1%6.7%2.2%1.9%–4.9%4.2%1.0%16.1%6.8%–IpsosMar 20231,0174.8%2.9%16.2%8.5%2.2%11.1%6.4%5.7%–3.8%–4.8%3.0%–16.0%8.6%–7 Mar 2023Modrá koalícia refounded as DemocratsMedian1 Feb–5 Mar 20231,0768.5%2.2% 19.5%7.4%3.1%11.4%9.2%6.3%–2.6%–4.2%–14.5%6.1%–AKO7–13 Feb 20231,0007.3%2.3%16.3%7.1%1.5%13.7%7.9%6.9%2.8%2.1%1.3%4.0%–18.9%6.6%0.7%Focus1–8 Feb 20231,0176.4%1.0%14.6%7.7%2.9%11.0%5.3%6.9%1.9%4.5%2.0%3.6%1.4%20.8%8.5%1.5%Median9 Jan–5 Feb 20231,0298.7%2.0%17.9%10.9%2.4%9.6%7.8%6.4%–4.0%1.8%2.0%1.8%15.6%4.5%–Polis Slovakia28 Jan–1 Feb 20231,0027.2%3.1%21.0%6.5%2.3%9.5%5.2%5.0%0.6%4.7%1.0%3.8%3.5%19.4%7.1%27 Jan 2023SPOLU refounded as Modrá koalícia21 Jan 20232023 Slovak constitutional referendumIpsos18–20 Jan 20231,0108.1%2.0%13.6%8.0%3.2%12.6%6.9%6.5%–3.2%––2.9%–18.2%8.1%–AKO10–16 Jan 20231,0008.7%2.9%15.9%6.8%1.9%13.2%9.1%6.2%1.9%2.1%–0.1%4.1%0.6%17.6%7.3%1.6%Median19–23 Dec 2022 1,0066.3%2.0%16.7%6.0%2.0%14.1%6.5%6.1%–2.7%––––19.1%9.6%–

2022 Polling firmDateSample sizeOĽaNOSMER-SDSRĽSNSPSSPOLUSaSZĽKDHMFALISNSDVHLAS-SDREP OthersM-HSMK-MKPÖ-SFocus16–20 Dec 20221,1807.4%16.6%8.2%3.1%12.8%1.0%5.6%2.2%5.9%1.1%4.4%3.4%1.1%19.0%6.9%1.3%15 Dec 2022Heger Cabinet loses vote of no-confidenceAko6–12 Dec 20221,0008.0%16.1%7.7%1.7%11.8%0.2%9.9%1.7%5.5%1.3%3.1%4.0%0.9%20.2%6.6%1.4%Focus30 Nov–7 Dec 20221,0077.0%15.8%7.3%3.0%10.3%0.7%7.7%2.7%6.0%1.6%5.1%3.7%1.1%19.9%7.9%0.2%Polis Slovakia25–30 Nov 20221,0586.1%20.0%5.5%2.1%8.8%–7.0%3.1%5.0%–4.8%3.6%2.9%20.1%7.2%3.8%Ipsos22–28 Nov 20221,0238.0%15.6%7.0%2.9%10.4%–7.8%3.4%7.4%–3.8%2.6%–19.7%6.0%5.4%AKO8–11 Nov 20221,0007.5%16.0%6.9%1.9%11.5%0.4%10.8%1.9%6.1%1.8%2.6%4.2%1.5%19.5%6.3%1.1%Median25 Oct–8 Nov 20221,0113.9%14.2%5.8%3.9%9.8%–6.5%2.4%5.8%––––18.6%11.8%17.3%Ipsos18–21 Oct 20221,0187.9%14.8%7.5%2.6%10.9%1.0%8.5%2.8%6.5%1.0%2.9%3.0%1.1%20.2%6.8%2.5%Focus21–27 Sep 20221,0097.2%15.3%7.0%2.9%9.6%0.7%8.2%2.4%6.2%1.7%4.6%3.9%1.5%20.3%7.8%Ipsos14–20 Sep 20221,0187.8%15.5%7.5%2.7%11.6% –9.3%1.7%6.5%–2.1%2.8%–18.3%7.0%7.2%AKO8 Sep–14 Sep 202210007.9% 15.0%7.6%2.3%10.0%–12.9%2.3%6.2%–2.7%4.2%1.0%19.3%5.2%4.4%PolisSlovakia28 Aug–4 Sep 20221,0036.1%19.1%6.9%3.4%7.1%0.2%15.6%–5.1%–4.5%3.4%2.2%17.0%7.1%2.3%AKO15–18 Aug 20221,0008.4%14.9%6.6%2.1%9.9%–13.1%2.1%6.9%–2.5%4.1%1.2%19.2%5.3%3.7%Ipsos29 Jul–8 Aug 20221,0387.8%15.5%6.4%2.9%11.4%–12.2%3.0%6.3%–2.1%2.3%–17.2%7.3%5.6%AKO7–14 Jul 20221,0009.2%14.6%6.0%1.5%9.8%–14.7%2.2%7.2%1.8%1.1%4.1%1.5%20.0%5.4%8.3%6 Jul 2022SaS terminates its coalition agreement with the other government parties.Focus20–27 Jun 20221,0057.1%14.4%7.6%3.3%9.1%1.0%9.6%2.1%6.7%1.8%4.1%4.0%1.2%20.5%6.8%8.7%AKO7–10 Jun 20221,0008.5%14.8%5.7%1.8%9.9%–14.3%2.2%7.3%1.9%1.9%4.2%–20.2%5.2%8.2%Focus25–31 May 20221,0088.1%14.9%5.6%2.8%9.1%1.1%11.1%3.1%6.5%1.1%3.7%3.7%1.4%20.3% 6.8%8.0%AKO10–16 May 20221,00010.7%13.5%6.1%1.1%9.7%–14.3%2.1%7.7%2.0%2.4%4.0%1.5%18.2%6.2%8.0%PolisSlovakia18–23 Apr 20221,0037.8%17.9%7.2%3.1%5.7%0.5%13.2%1.0%5.3%–6.1%3.1%2.8%17.9%6.0%8.8%AKO5–11 Apr 20221,0008.9%14.5%6.6%3.0%8.7%0.6%14.0%2.0%6.5%2.1%2.6%3.9%0.9%18.9%6.2%8.1%Focus1,0078.1% 15.1% 7.5% 4.5% 7.3% 0.6%10.3% 2.5% 6.3% 1.6%4.4% 3.6%1.9%19.0%6.9% 8.1%Median1–3 Mar 20221,00010.7%14.1%6.7%2.3%11.0%1.6%13.2%2.8%6.8%–2.9%1.1%2.0%14.1%7.0%8.4%Focus22 Feb–1 Mar 20221,0037.8%15.6%6.3%3.8%8.1%–12.0%2.7%6.0%–4.6%3.8%1.1%18.5%7.0%7.6%AKO8–14 Feb 20221,0008.0%14.5%6.9%2.5%8.7%1.2%14.2%2.3%7.2%0.3%4.1%3.8%1.2%17.5%6.9%7.2%Median27 Jan–1 Feb 20221,0069.5%15.6%5.7%4.1%10.6%0.9%13.5%2.5%5.0%–3.4%3.3%–13.5%5.6%11.0%Focus19–26 Jan 20221,0178.0%16.3%6.1%4.3%8.3%0.7%11.1%3.0%5.8%–4.4%3.9%17.8%7.8%7.1%

2020–2021