In the run-up to the 2024 Austrian legislative election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Austria. Results of such polls are displayed in this list; the date range for these opinion polls are from the 2019 Austrian legislative election, held on 29 September, to the present day. The next election will be held on 29 September 2024.
VdMI quality criteria In 2017, the Association of Market and Opinion Research Institutes of Austria (VdMI) published quality standards for polls. While some frequent pollsters like Peter Hajek Public Opinion Strategies, IFES, IMAS, SORA, or Spectra are members of the VdMI, others like Unique Research are not, though they adhere to their quality standards. OGM used to be a member but was kicked out in late October 2021 for the use of online-only polling instead of a mix of phone and online polling. OGM argued that while a mixed method was ideal 15 years ago, today it is not necessary any longer, as 90% of households have internet access and younger voters cannot be reached by phone any longer. Other institutes are not members, such as Market or IFDD, and conduct some or all of their polls only online. The polling company Research Affairs, which came under scrutiny amid the Kurz corruption probe, was never a member of the VdMI; they once applied for membership but were rejected because of inadequate methodology.
In May of 2024, the VdMI quality criteria were changed. The most relevant changes were the sample size as well as the section about the polling method. Instead of an overall minimum of 800 respondents, a minimum of 1000 respondents for nationwide polls and a minimum of 800 respondents for polls in any of the states (Bundesländer) was now required. For local election polls in cities or other lower-level units, no recommendation is given. The sentence about online-only polling not being suited was removed; instead, it was now simply recommended to combine multiple polling methods.
Graphical summary
Poll results
From June 2024 to now Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS KPÖ KEINE BIER LMP Others Lead 2024 legislative election 29 Sep 2024 – – 26.3 21.1 28.8 8.2 9.1 2.4 0.6 2.0 0.6 0.8 2.5IFDD19–22 Sep 20241000Online2521 27993–3–3 2Market-Lazarsfeld16–22 Sep 20242000Online2521 2681231311 1OGM16–18 Sep 20241022Online2521 2610931311 1Market16–17 Sep 2024800In Person & Online2520 279113–3–2 2Market-Lazarsfeld9–17 Sep 20242000Online2520 2781141301 2INSA9–11 Sep 20241000Online2321 29883–5–– 6 Unique Research 5–11 Sep 2024 800 Phone & Online 25 21 28 9 8 3 – 4 1 1 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 9–10 Sep 2024 2,000 Online 25 20 28 7 10 3 1 4 1 1 3 Spectra 2–9 Sep 2024 1,000 Phone & Online 24 21 27 8 10 3 – 5 – 2 3 IFES Sep 2024 ? ? 22 23 27 9 10 3 – 4 – 2 4 IFDD 2–6 Sep 2024 1,000 Online 25 20 27 8 9 3 – 5 – 3 2 Market-Lazarsfeld 2–4 Sep 2024 2,000 Online 26 20 28 7 10 3 1 4 1 0 2 Unique Research 28 Aug–4 Sep 2024 1,200 Phone & Online 24 20 28 9 9 3 0 6 1 0 4 Triple M Matzka26 Aug–3 Sep 2024 1,000 Online 23 21 28 8 9.5 3.5 – 5 – 2 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 26–27 Aug 2024 2,000 Online 23 20 27 8 12 3 1 4 1 1 4 IFDD 23–26 Aug 2024 972 Online 25 21 27 9 8 2 1 5 1 1 2 OGM 19–22 Aug 2024 1,545 Online 24 21 27 9 9 2 1 5 1 1 3 OGM Aug 2024 ? Online 23 21 27 9 9 3 1 6 1 0 4 Market-Lazarsfeld 19–20 Aug 2024 2,000 Online 22 21 29 7 11 2 1 5 1 1 7 INSA 5–7 Aug 2024 1,000 Online 19 21 31 9 8 2 – 7 – 3 10 Market-Lazarsfeld 5–6 Aug 2024 2,000 Online 23 22 27 8 10 2 1 5 1 1 4 Market-Lazarsfeld 22–30 Jul 2024 2,000 Online 23 22 27 8 10 3 – 5 1 1 4 IFDD 25–26 Jul 2024 1,100 Online 25 23 26 9 9 3 – 5 – 0 1 Market-Lazarsfeld 15–24 Jul 2024 2,000 Online 24 23 27 8 10 3 – 5 0 0 3 Spectra 12–21 Jul 2024 1,000 Phone & Online 22 22 27 9 9 4 – 6 – 1 5 Unique Research 8–12 Jul 2024 1,000 Phone & Online 23 20 28 9 9 4 – 6 – 1 5 Market 8–11 Jul 2024 815 Online 22 22 27 9 11 3 – 5 – 1 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 8–10 Jul 2024 2,000 Online 22 21 28 9 11 3 – 5 0 1 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 1–2 Jul 2024 2,000 Online 24 21 27 9 11 2 – 4 – 2 3 OGM 24–26 Jun 2024 1,023 Online 24 21 27 11 8 3 – 5 – 1 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 24–25 Jun 2024 2,000 Online 24 21 27 10 9 2 – 5 1 1 3 2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 – – 37.5 21.2 16.2 13.9 8.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 – 2.5 16.3
From April 2023 to June 2024 Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Method ÖVP SPÖ FPÖ Grüne NEOS KPÖ BIER Others Lead Unique Research 12–19 Jun 2024 1,008 Phone & Online 23 21 27 9 10 2 7 1 4 Market-Lazarsfeld 10–19 Jun 2024 2,000 Online 23 22 25 10 10 3 6 1 2 Unique Research 10–13 Jun 2024 800 Phone & Online 23 21 28 10 8 2 7 1 5 OGM 10–11 Jun 2024 1,245 Online 23 24 27 9 8 3 5 1 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 10–11 Jun 2024 2,000 Online 22 24 26 8 10 3 6 1 2 EP Election 9 Jun 2024 3,584,456 Election 24.5 23.2 25.4 11.1 10.1 3.0 – 2.7 0.9 INSA 3–5 Jun 2024 1,000 Online 20 21 32 8 8 3 6 0 11 Market-Lazarsfeld 3–4 Jun 2024 2,000 Online 20 24 26 8 11 3 6 2 2 Market 24–28 May 2024 814 Online & CAPI 20 22 28 8 12 3 6 1 6 IFDD 22–24 May 2024 800 Online 23 23 28 7 8 3 7 1 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 17–21 May 2024 2,000 Online 20 21 29 8 12 3 6 1 8 IFDD 15–17 May 2024 1,000 Online 23 23 28 7 9 4 6 0 5 INSA 14–16 May 2024 1,000 Online 20 21 31 8 8 4 6 0 10 Peter Hajek 8–16 May 2024 1,200 Phone & Online 21 20 31 8 8 3 8 0 10 Market-Lazarsfeld 13–14 May 2024 2,000 Online 19 22 30 8 11 3 6 1 8 Market-Lazarsfeld 6–8 May 2024 2,000 Online 20 23 28 10 10 3 5 1 5 Triple M Matzka 3–7 May 2024 800 Online 19 22 29 9 8 4 8 1 7 Market-Lazarsfeld 26–29 Apr 2024 2,000 Online 20 23 28 10 10 3 5 1 5 Market 22–25 Apr 2024 842 Online & CAPI 20 23 29 9 10 3 5 1 6 Unique Research 22–25 Apr 2024 800 Phone & Online 20 21 30 9 8 4 7 1 9 OGM Apr 2024 ? Online 22 22 27 9 9 4 7 0 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 22–24 Apr 2024 2,000 Online 19 23 29 10 9 4 5 1 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 15–17 Apr 2024 2,000 Online 19 23 28 10 10 4 5 1 5 INSA 8–10 Apr 2024 1,000 Online 20 21 31 9 9 5 – 5 10 Market-Lazarsfeld 8–10 Apr 2024 2,000 Online 20 24 27 9 10 4 5 1 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 29 Mar–3 Apr 2024 2,000 Online 20 22 27 10 9 5 6 1 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 25–27 Mar 2024 2,000 Online 20 21 27 10 10 4 7 1 6 Unique Research 18–21 Mar 2024 800 Phone & Online 21 21 30 8 8 5 7 0 9 OGM Mar 2024 ? Online 21 23 27 8 8 4 7 2 4 Market-Lazarsfeld 18–20 Mar 2024 2,000 Online 19 23 27 9 9 5 7 1 4 IFDD 12–15 Mar 2024 1,505 Online 23 22 27 8 8 5 6 1 4 Market 12–14 Mar 2024 800 Online & CAPI 21 22 29 9 10 3 5 1 7 Market-Lazarsfeld 11–13 Mar 2024 2,000 Online 20 22 28 9 10 4 6 1 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 4–6 Mar 2024 2,000 Online 21 23 26 8 12 3 6 1 3 INSA 1–5 Mar 2024 1,000 Online 22 22 31 9 8 – – 8 9 Peter Hajek 26–29 Feb 2024 800 Phone & Online 21 22 30 8 8 3 8 0 8 Market-Lazarsfeld 19–21 Feb 2024 2,000 Online 20 23 26 10 10 3 7 1 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 12–14 Feb 2024 2,000 Online 20 22 27 9 11 3 7 1 5 Market 5–7 Feb 2024 800 Online & CAPI 22 23 29 8 11 2 4 1 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 5–7 Feb 2024 2,000 Online 21 21 28 8 12 3 6 1 7 Market-Lazarsfeld 29–31 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 23 22 27 8 11 2 6 1 4 IFDD 25–28 Jan 2024 1,000 Online 23 23 28 8 9 2 6 1 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 22–24 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 22 23 26 9 10 2 6 2 3 INSA 22–24 Jan 2024 1,000 Online 21 22 31 9 9 – – 8 9 OGM 18–24 Jan 2024 2,017 Online 22 22 28 7 10 – 6 5 6 Triple M 12–22 Jan 2024 800 Online 20 23 31 9 10 4 – 3 8 Market-Lazarsfeld 15–17 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 23 24 26 10 11 3 – 3 2 OGM 10–12 Jan 2024 1,005 Online 21 25 29 10 10 2 – 3 4 INSA 8–10 Jan 2024 1,000 Online 20 23 32 9 9 – – 7 9 Market-Lazarsfeld 8–10 Jan 2024 2,000 Online 21 24 27 10 12 3 – 3 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 20–27 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 21 23 29 9 11 3 – 4 6 Market 18–21 Dec 2023 800 Online & CAPI 21 24 30 8 10 2 3 2 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 18–20 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 30 9 9 3 – 3 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 11–13 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 21 24 30 9 10 3 – 3 6 INSA 4–6 Dec 2023 1,000 Online 20 23 30 10 10 – – 7 7 Market-Lazarsfeld 4–6 Dec 2023 2,000 Online 19 24 30 9 12 3 – 3 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 27–29 Nov 2023 1,000 Online 19 24 31 9 13 3 – 1 7 Unique Research 22–29 Nov 2023 1,600 Phone & Online 22 22 32 9 9 4 – 2 10 Market 21–23 Nov 2023 800 Online & CAPI 20 24 30 8 11 2 3 2 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 20–22 Nov 2023 2,000 Online 20 26 29 9 10 4 – 2 3 OGM 13–16 Nov 2023 1,072 Online 23 25 29 8 9 – – 6 4 Market-Lazarsfeld 13–15 Nov 2023 2,000 Online 20 26 29 9 10 3 – 3 3 Unique Research 6–9 Nov 2023 800 Phone & Online 20 23 32 9 10 3 – 3 9 Market-Lazarsfeld 6–8 Nov 2023 2,000 Online 20 25 29 9 10 4 – 3 4 INSA 30 Oct–2 Nov 2023 1,000 Online 21 23 29 9 10 – – 8 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 27–30 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 20 24 30 9 11 3 – 3 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 23–25 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 20 24 29 9 12 3 – 3 5 Market 16–19 Oct 2023 800 Online & CAPI 21 24 29 9 10 2 4 1 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 16–18 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 21 24 29 9 11 4 – 2 5 Peter Hajek 9–12 Oct 2023 800 Phone & Online 22 21 32 10 9 3 – 3 10 Market-Lazarsfeld 9–11 Oct 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 30 9 10 3 – 2 5 INSA 2–5 Oct 2023 1,000 Online 23 23 29 9 9 – – 7 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 2–4 Oct 2023 1,000 Online 19 27 30 8 10 2 – 3 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 25–27 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 29 9 11 3 – 2 4 Market 18–20 Sep 2023 800 Online & CAPI 22 24 29 10 9 3 2 1 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 18–20 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 22 25 28 10 10 3 – 2 3 OGM 11–14 Sep 2023 1,029 Online 23 23 27 9 10 – – 8 4 Unique Research 11–14 Sep 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 21 32 9 9 2 – 3 8 Market-Lazarsfeld 11–13 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 23 23 29 9 10 3 – 3 6 INSA 4–7 Sep 2023 1,000 Online 23 22 29 10 10 – – 6 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 4–6 Sep 2023 2,000 Online 22 23 30 10 8 4 – 3 7 IFDD 29 Aug–1 Sep 2023 1,250 Online 24 23 27 12 8 3 – 3 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 28–30 Aug 2023 2,000 Online 22 23 30 10 9 3 – 3 7 Market 4–8 Aug 2023 805 Online & CAPI 21 22 28 11 10 3 4 1 6 INSA 31 Jul–3 Aug 2023 1,000 Online 24 22 30 10 8 – – 6 6 OGM 18–20 Jul 2023 920 Online 24 25 27 9 9 – – 6 2 Market-Lazarsfeld 3–12 Jul 2023 2,000 Online 23 23 30 11 8 3 – 2 7 INSA 4–6 Jul 2023 1,000 Online 23 22 32 9 9 – – 5 9 Market-Lazarsfeld 26 Jun–5 Jul 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 28 10 11 4 – 1 3Unique Research 26–29 Jun 2023 800 Phone & Online 21 23 30 10 8 5 – 3 7 20 20 28 8 7 4 12 1 8 Market-Lazarsfeld 19–28 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 22 23 26 10 13 4 – 2 3 OGM 19–22 Jun 2023 1,177 Online 23 24 28 9 9 4 – 3 4Peter Hajek 19–22 Jun 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 22 30 9 9 4 – 2 6 23 19 29 8 6 4 11 – 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 12–21 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 21 23 27 11 11 4 – 3 4 Unique Research 12–15 Jun 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 20 30 11 9 5 – 1 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 5–14 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 23 23 28 11 9 4 – 2 5 Market 5–7 Jun 2023 800 Online & CAPI 22 20 27 12 11 4 4 – 5 INSA 5–7 Jun 2023 1,000 Online 24 20 30 10 9 – – 7 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 26 May–7 Jun 2023 2,000 Online 24 21 28 11 11 4 – 1 4 Market-Lazarsfeld 26–31 May 2023 489 Online 22 20 27 10 14 6 – 1 5 511 26 19 31 7 9 3 – 3 5 IFDD 25–27 May 2023 1,208 Online 22 25 26 10 9 6 – 2 1 24 26 27 8 8 4 – 3 1 OGM 22–24 May 2023 1,186 Online 20 24 26 10 10 8 – 2 2 23 26 28 8 9 4 – 2 2 Market-Lazarsfeld 15–24 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 28 10 12 – – 4 3 IFDD 16–18 May 2023 1,250 Online 24 21 27 9 8 7 – 4 3 Market 12–16 May 2023 800 Online & CAPI 22 24 27 10 10 3 4 – 3 Market-Lazarsfeld 8–16 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 26 11 11 – – 6 1 Unique Research 8–11 May 2023 800 Phone & Online 23 23 29 10 9 – – 6 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 28 Apr–10 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 26 12 10 – – 6 1 OGM 24 Apr–4 May 2023 2,289 Online 23 20 28 9 9 7 – 4 5 INSA 2–4 May 2023 1,000 Online 23 23 30 9 9 – – 6 7 Market-Lazarsfeld 24 Apr–3 May 2023 2,000 Online 21 25 28 10 11 – – 5 3 IFDD 29 Apr–1 May 2023 1,250 Online 24 22 27 9 8 6 – 4 3 Peter Hajek 24–27 Apr 2023 800 Phone & Online 24 22 29 10 9 3 2 1 5 Market-Lazarsfeld 24–26 Apr 2023 1,000 Online 22 22 28 9 11 5 – 3 6 OGM 24–26 Apr 2023 1,021 Online 23 20 29 9 8 7 – 4 6 Market-Lazarsfeld 17–26 Apr 2023 2,000 Online 22 25 27 10 12 – – 4 2 2019 legislative election 29 Sep 2019 – – 37.5 21.2 16.2 13.9 8.1 0.7 0.1 3.0 16.3
October 2022 to April 2023