Opinion polling for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primary in New Hampshire

This article contains opinion polling in New Hampshire for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

Polling

Winner: Donald Trump

Primary date: February 9, 2016

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rdOtherPrimary resultsPrimary resultsFebruary 9, 2016 Donald Trump35.23% John Kasich15.72% Ted Cruz11.63% Jeb Bush 10.96%, Marco Rubio 10.52%, Chris Christie 7.38%, Carly Fiorina 4.12%, Ben Carson 2.28%, Rand Paul 0.68%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Jim Gilmore 0.05%ARG Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 418February 7–8, 2016Donald Trump33% John Kasich17% Marco Rubio14% Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 6%CNN/UNH/WMUR Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362February 4–8, 2016Donald Trump31% Marco Rubio17% Ted Cruz14% John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7%Gravis Marketing/One America News Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 705February 7, 2016Donald Trump28% John Kasich17% Marco Rubio15% Jeb Bush 14%, Ted Cruz 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 0.5%ARG Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 427February 6–7, 2016Donald Trump30% John Kasich16% Marco Rubio16% Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 9%UMass Lowell/7 News Margin of error: ± 5.13% Sample size: 464February 5–7, 2016Donald Trump34% Marco Rubio13% Ted Cruz13% Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 9%Emerson College Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 686February 4–7, 2016Donald Trump31% Jeb Bush16% John Kasich13% Marco Rubio 12%, Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%, ARG Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 422February 5–6, 2016Donald Trump31% John Kasich17% Marco Rubio17% Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 8%Monmouth University Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 508February 4–6, 2016Donald Trump30% John Kasich14% Marco Rubio13% Jeb Bush 13%, Ted Cruz 12%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%UMass Lowell/7 News Margin of error: ± 4.82% Sample size: 516February 4–6, 2016Donald Trump36% Marco Rubio14% Ted Cruz13% Jeb Bush 10%, John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Undecided 7%CNN/UNH/WMUR Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 362February 3–6, 2016Donald Trump33% Marco Rubio16% Ted Cruz14% John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Someone Else 1%, Not Sure 6%Franklin Pierce University/RKM/Boston Herald Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 433February 2–6, 2016Donald Trump31% Ted Cruz16% Marco Rubio15% John Kasich 11%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Unsure 3%ARG Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 415February 4–5, 2016Donald Trump34% John Kasich17% Marco Rubio16% Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6%UMass Lowell/7 News Margin of error: ± 4.86% Sample size: 501February 3–5, 2016Donald Trump35% Marco Rubio14% Ted Cruz13% John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Undecided 9%Suffolk University/Boston Globe Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500February 3–4, 2016Donald Trump28.8% Marco Rubio19.4% John Kasich13% Jeb Bush 9.8%, Ted Cruz 6.6%, Chris Christie 5.2%, Ben Carson 4.4%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Other 1%, Undecided 8%ARG Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 420February 3–4, 2016Donald Trump36% Marco Rubio15% John Kasich14% Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 6%MassINC/WBUR Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 410February 2–4, 2016Donald Trump29% Marco Rubio12% Ted Cruz12% Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 9%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Jim Gilmore <1% Other <1%, Won't Vote 1%, Don't Know 5%UMass Lowell/7 News Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 500February 2–4, 2016Donald Trump34% Marco Rubio15% Ted Cruz14% Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 6%CNN/UNH/WMUR Margin of error: ± 6.8% Sample size: 209February 2–4, 2016Donald Trump29% Marco Rubio18% Ted Cruz13% John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 8% NBC News/WSJ/Marist Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 653February 2–3, 2016Donald Trump30% Marco Rubio17% Ted Cruz15% John Kasich 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%ARG Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 600February 2–3, 2016Donald Trump34% Marco Rubio14% John Kasich13% Ted Cruz 12%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 2%, Undecided 8%UMass Lowell/7 News Margin of error: ± 4.87% Sample size: 487February 1–3, 2016Donald Trump36% Marco Rubio15% Ted Cruz14% Jeb Bush 8%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8%Harper Polling Margin of error: ± 4.75% Sample size: 425February 1–2, 2016Donald Trump31% Jeb Bush14% John Kasich12% Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 8%UMass Lowell/7 News Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 502January 31–February 2, 2016Donald Trump38% Ted Cruz14% Marco Rubio12% Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 4%UMass Amherst/WBZ-TV/YouGov Margin of error: ± 7.1% Sample size: 390January 29–February 2, 2016Donald Trump35% Marco Rubio15% John Kasich11% Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Other 8%, Unsure 3%ARG Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 29–31, 2016Donald Trump34% John Kasich16% Marco Rubio11% Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Undecided 6%UMass Lowell/7 News Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 461January 29–31, 2016Donald Trump38% Ted Cruz12% John Kasich9% Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Other 2%, Not Sure 5%CNN/UNH/WMUR Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 409January 27–30, 2016Donald Trump30% Ted Cruz12% Marco Rubio11% John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Not Sure 10%Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston Herald Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 439January 26–30, 2016Donald Trump38% Ted Cruz13% Jeb Bush10% Marco Rubio 10%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 2%Suffolk University Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500January 25–27, 2016Donald Trump26.6% John Kasich12% Ted Cruz11.8% Jeb Bush 11.2%, Marco Rubio 9.6%, Chris Christie 5.6%, Ben Carson 4.8%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 1.6%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0.4%, Undecided 11.8%Adrian GrayConsulting Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 583January 25–27, 2016Donald Trump27% Marco Rubio15% Ted Cruz13% John Kasich 12%, Jeb Bush 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 5%Emerson College Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 373January 25–26, 2016Donald Trump35% Jeb Bush18% John Kasich14% Marco Rubio 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 1%ARG Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 23–25, 2016Donald Trump31% John Kasich17% Ted Cruz12% Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 6%Franklin Pierce/RKM/Boston Herald Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 444January 20–24, 2016Donald Trump33% Ted Cruz14% John Kasich12% Jeb Bush 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 1%, Unsure 3%NBC/WSJ/Marist Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 612 January 17–23, 2016Donald Trump31% Ted Cruz12% Marco Rubio/John Kasich11% Jeb Bush 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%Fox News Margin of error: ± 5.0% Sample size: 401January 19–21, 2016Donald Trump31% Ted Cruz14% Marco Rubio13% John Kasich 9%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, None of the above 1%, Don't know 5%CBS/YouGov Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 476January 19–21, 2016Donald Trump34% Ted Cruz16% Marco Rubio 14% John Kasich 10%, Chris Christie 7%, Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0%ARG Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 15–18, 2016Donald Trump27% John Kasich20% Marco Rubio10% Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 5%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 7%CNN/UNH/WMUR Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414January 13–18, 2016Donald Trump34% Ted Cruz14% Marco Rubio10% Jeb Bush 10%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 6%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Don't know 6%Mason-Dixon/AARP Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 503January 12–16, 2016Donald Trump32% Marco Rubio14% John Kasich13% Chris Christie 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Ben Carson 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 4%ARG Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600January 7–10, 2016Donald Trump25% Marco Rubio/John Kasich14% Chris Christie10% Ted Cruz 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 8%Monmouth University Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 414January 7–10, 2016Donald Trump32% John Kasich/Ted Cruz14% Marco Rubio 12% Chris Christie 8%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Ben Carson 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%NBC/WSJ/Marist Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 569January 2–7, 2016Donald Trump30% Marco Rubio14% Chris Christie12% Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 9%, Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee <1%, Other <1%, Undecided 5%NH1/Reach Margin of error: ± 3.1% Sample size: 1000January 7, 2016Donald Trump31.7% Jeb Bush11.9% John Kasich 11.8% Chris Christie 11.0%, Ted Cruz 9.7%, Marco Rubio 8.9%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Ben Carson 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 1.0%Fox News Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 414January 4–7, 2016Donald Trump33% Marco Rubio15% Ted Cruz 12% Jeb Bush 9%, John Kasich 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Ben Carson 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 4%Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 515January 4–6, 2016Donald Trump29% Marco Rubio15% Chris Christie/John Kasich11% Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 10%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Ben Carson 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecided 2%

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rdOtherAmerican Research GroupAmerican Research Group Margin of error: ± 4%