The 2020 Emilia-Romagna regional election took place in Emilia-Romagna, Italy, on 26 January 2020. The result was the victory of the centre-left coalition and the confirmation of Stefano Bonaccini as President of Emilia-Romagna, with more than 51% of votes, nearly doubling the number of votes received in 2014.
Electoral system In Emilia-Romagna, a new electoral law was approved by the Legislative Assembly in July 2014, abolishing the blocked list. The voter can express one or two preference votes for the candidates on the chosen list; in the case of the expression of two preferences, these must concern candidates of different sex according to "gender preference" (under penalty of annulment of the second preference). As regards the election of the councilors, the law guarantees in any case at least 27 seats on the lists that support the elected president (majority prize), obtaining effects that are very similar to those of the list but acting on the provincial lists. The first 40 seats are distributed on a proportional basis. A seat is then attributed to the candidate for president who came second. The remaining 9 seats are assigned by majority method to the lists that support the elected president if these lists have obtained less than 25 seats with the previous procedure, otherwise the "prize" will be only 4 seats. If at the end of these assignments, the majority lists have not obtained at least 27 seats, these will be guaranteed by removing some of the seats already assigned to the opposition lists.
Background Despite Emilia-Romagna having always been considered one of the "red regions" – a stronghold of left-wing parties since the end of the World War II – in the 2018 general election the centre-right coalition became the largest political force in the region. The 2020 regional election has been considered as the first competitive one in the history of the region.
The centre-left nominated incumbent governor Stefano Bonaccini at the head of a coalition including the Democratic Party (PD) and its left-wing allies of Free and Equal (LeU) and Green Europe (EV), as well as More Europe (+E). Bonaccini also launched a personal civic list, named "Bonaccini for President", which included, among others, members from Matteo Renzi's Italia Viva (IV), Carlo Calenda's Action and Federico Pizzarotti's Italia in Comune (IiC).Regionali, Italia Viva presenta i suoi candidati a sostegno di Bonaccini The centre-right proposed Senator Lucia Borgonzoni, member of the League (Lega) and former undersecretary to cultural activities in Giuseppe Conte's first government. The centre-right coalition included also Brothers of Italy (FdI), Forza Italia (FI) and Cambiamo! (C!).
Campaign
The official election campaign was opened on 14 November by the League, which organized a rally at the PalaDozza, the sport arena of Bologna. On that occasion Matteo Salvini presented the centre-right candidate Lucia Borgonzoni. At the same time, a flash mob named "6000 Sardines against Salvini" was organized in Piazza Maggiore, to peacefully protest against Salvini's campaign in Emilia-Romagna. On the following day, Nicola Zingaretti's Democratic Party held a three-day convention in Bologna, known as Tutta un'altra storia ("A whole different story").
On 19 November, Bonaccini and Borgonzoni had their first television debate, hosted by the talk show #Cartabianca by Bianca Berlinguer on Rai 3. The debate was followed by about 1.6 million viewers (6% share).
After a period of uncertainty regarding its participation in the regional elections, and after a decline in opinion polls and poor election results in 2019 Umbrian election, on 21 November the Five Star Movement launched a survey on its on-line platform "Rousseau", to ask its members if they should participate in the following regional elections. Almost 70% of members voted to run in the elections, and therefore M5S leader Luigi Di Maio announced the presentation of M5S electoral lists and a M5S candidate for the regional presidency, without party alliances.
On 7 December, more than 10,000 people gathered Piazza Maggiore in Bologna for the launch of Bonaccini's electoral campaign.
Electoral programmes Stefano Bonaccini, being the outgoing regional president, claimed the results achieved by his administration (including the "Pact for Labour" of 2015), and proposed four priority points summed up into the slogan "A step forward": to create free kindergartens for all children in the region, to break down the waiting lists for health interventions and access times to first aid, to carry out preventive maintenance and safety of the regional territory, and to reduce the phenomenon of NEET. The League of Lucia Borgonzoni proposed the introduction of some practices already existing in the other regions governed by the centre-right (in particular Lombardy and Veneto), including the opening of hospitals during public holidays and at night to carry out medical exams and laboratory tests, and the reduction of the regional IRPEF with introduction of 1.23% flat rate. The Five Star Movement of Simone Benini focused its programme on social, infrastructural and environmental issues, including the repeal of the regional legislation on urban planning, the rethinking of the Cispadana regional motorway project in favour of a fast road without toll, the reduction of waste to shut down incinerators and landfills, and generally introducing new environmental sustainability policies in the region. Stefano Lugli (The Other Emilia-Romagna) proposed a "safe" region in the sense of "fair, public and sustainable", i.e. based on social equality, the fight against the privatization of services and the relaunch of environmental policies. Marta Collot (Power to the People) presented a "rupture programme" based on equality, in particular proposing a guaranteed minimum wage of 9 euros per hour, redesigning the regional urban planning policies, and withdrawing the request for differentiated regional autonomy already presented by Emilia-Romagna in 2019. The Communist Party put poverty, social justice and equality at the centre of its programme. The 3V Movement "Vaccines We Want Truth" called for the lift of mandatory vaccinations recently enforced by the government for the access of children and infants to public schools and kindergartens.
Endorsements
Newspapers and magazines
Stefano Bonaccini:
Il Fatto Quotidiano La Notizia HuffPost Italia
Lucia Borgonzoni:
Il Giornale Libero La Verità L'Occidentale (party newspaper of Identity and Action) La Croce (party newspaper of The People of the Family)
Parties and candidates Political party or allianceConstituent listsPrevious resultCandidateVotes (%)Seats Centre-left coalition Democratic Party 44.5 29 Bonaccini for President (incl. IV, A, IiC, CD, Pos and CpE) Brave Emilia-Romagna (incl. Art.1, SI and èViva) More Europe – PSI – PRI Green Europe Volt Emilia-Romagna Centre-right coalition League Emilia-Romagna (LNE and LNR)19.48 Forza Italia (incl. UDC) 8.42 Brothers of Italy1.91 Cambiamo! – The People of the Family (incl. IdeA) Borgonzoni for President Young People for the Environment (formed by Youth League) Five Star Movement 13.3 5 The Other Emilia-Romagna (incl. PRC, PCI, PdS, PU) 3.7 1 Power to the People Communist Party 3V Movement
Opinion polls Candidates Date Polling firm/Client Sample size Bonaccini Borgonzoni Benini Others Undecided Lead 26 Jan 2020 Opinio (exit poll) – 48.0–52.0 43.0–47.0 2.0–5.0 – – 5.0 25–26 Jan 2020 Tecnè (intention poll) 12,000 46.5–50.5 43.5–47.5 2.0–6.0 – – 3.0 9 Jan 2020 SWG 1,000 47.0 45.0 5.0 3.0 19.0 2.0 9 Jan 2020 EMG 1,000 44.0 43.0 7.5 5.5 1.0 6–8 Jan 2020 Demopolis 1,000 46.5 44.5 6.5 2.5 24.0 2.0 7 Jan 2020 Noto 1,000 45.0 43.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 5 Jan 2020 Affaritaliani.it – 45.0 43.0 7.0 5.0 2.0 30–31 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 44.0 43.0 7.5 5.5 1.0 27–30 Dec 2019 MG Research – 45.5 43.5 7.5 3.5 2.0 28 Dec 2019 Opinio Italia 1,000 46.5 43.5 7.5 2.5 3.0 22–23 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 46.0 44.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 18–22 Dec 2019 Demopolis 4,008 46.0 44.0 7.0 3.0 25.0 2.0 14–18 Dec 2019 EMG 1,000 46.5 43.5 6.5 3.5 3.0 17 Dec 2019 Ixè 1,000 47.2 40.1 7.8 4.9 25.0 7.1 13 Dec 2019 MG Research – 44.5 44.5 8.5 2.5 Tie 12 Dec 2019 Noto – 47.0 43.0 6.0 4.0 4.0 9–12 Dec 2019 Ipsos 1,000 44.2 42.1 8.4 5.3 2.1 10–11 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 45.0 44.0 7.0 4.0 1.0 2–4 Dec 2019 EMG 1,000 46.5 44.0 5.5 4.0 2.5 29 Nov–2 Dec 2019 IZI 1,007 45.4 40.6 9.9 4.1 4.9 29 Nov 2019 MG Research – 44.5 45.0 8.0 2.5 0.5 25 Nov 2019 Piepoli – 44.0 43.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 24 Nov 2019 Affaritaliani.it – 46.0 44.0 7.0 3.0 25.0 2.0 22–24 Nov 2019 Tecnè 1,000 45.0 45.0 8.0 2.0 Tie 50.5 47.5 2.0 3.0 21 Nov 2019 Noto – 45.0 44.0 8.0 3.0 1.0 52.0 46.0 2.0 6.0 49.0 46.0 5.0 3.0 19 Nov 2019 Ixè 1,000 40.0 29.2 5.0 7.7 18.1 10.8 41.2 29.4 8.8 20.3 11.8 13–19 Nov 2019 SWG 1,000 43.0 45.0 7.0 5.0 15.0 2.0 15 Nov 2019 MG Research – 44.0 46.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 9–14 Nov 2019 ScenariPolitici–Winpoll 1,000 50.7 42.1 6.2 1.0 8.6 9–10 Nov 2019 Tecnè 800 46.0 45.0 7.0 2.0 1.0 51.0 47.0 2.0 4.0 50.0 48.0 2.0 2.0 8 nov 2019Affari Italiani — 41.0 45.0 12.0 2.0 4.0 31 Oct–4 Nov 2019 EMG 1,000 45.5 44.0 7.0 3.5 1.5 20 Sep 2019 Repubblica – 45.0 36.0 9.0 20 Sep 2019 Il Resto del Carlino – 48.0 31.0 6.5 13.7 17.0 6–12 Sep 2019 SWG 1,000 41.0 42.0 13.0 4.0 25.0 1.0 23 November 2014 Election results – 49.1 29.8 13.3 7.7 – 25.1
Parties Date Polling firm Sample sizeCentre-leftCentre-rightM5S Others Undecided LeadPDERCBPOtherLegaFIFdIOther 26 Jan 2020 Election results – 34.7 3.8 5.8 3.9 31.9 2.6 8.6 2.3 4.5 1.5 – 2.8 6–8 Jan 2020 Demopolis 1,000 44.5 45.0 7.8 2.7 24.0 0.5 30–31 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 28.5 7.0 7.0 30.0 4.5 5.0 4.5 7.5 6.0 1.5 27–30 Dec 2019 MG Research – 28.5 6.5 9.0 33.0 7.0 5.0 7.5 3.5 4.5 22–23 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 31.0 14.0 30.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 7.0 3.0 1.0 18–22 Dec 2019 Demopolis 4,008 44.0 45.0 8.0 3.0 25.0 1.0 13–17 Dec 2019 Ixè 1,000 29.4 7.8 6.8 27.8 4.2 7.9 2.0 8.8 5.3 1.6 13 Dec 2019 MG Research – 34.5 1.0 5.5 32.5 5.5 7.0 2.0 9.5 2.5 2.0 9–12 Dec 2019 Ipsos 1,000 22.9 20.2 25.9 2.0 10.1 4.8 8.2 5.9 3.0 10–11 Dec 2019 Tecnè 1,000 30.0 14.0 30.0 5.0 7.0 3.0 7.0 4.0 Tie 29 Nov–2 Dec 2019IZI 1,007 24.7 11.0 5.2 29.8 5.1 9.4 1.1 10.9 2.8 5.1 29 Nov 2019 MG Research – 34.0 1.5 5.5 33.0 5.5 7.5 1.5 9.0 2.5 1.0 22–24 Nov 2019 Tecnè 1,000 31.0 13.0 31.0 5.0 6.0 4.0 8.0 2.0 Tie 31.0 13.0 32.0 5.0 6.0 5.0 6.0 2.0 1.0 19 Nov 2019 Ixè 1,000 34.3 30.9 5.1 6.0 10.4 13.3 3.4 13–19 Nov 2019 SWG 1,000 27.0 2.5 10.5 32.0 4.5 7.0 5.0 8.5 3.0 16.0 5.0 29.0 3.5 12.5 33.5 4.5 7.5 5.0 4.5 18.0 4.515 Nov 2019MG Research – 35.0 2.0 3.5 34.0 5.0 8.0 1.0 8.5 4.5 1.0 9–14 Nov 2019 ScenariPolitici–Winpoll 1,000 33.9 2.5 8.4 33.0 4.4 6.1 4.1 6.0 1.6 0.9 4 Nov 2019 Termometro Politico –46.048.5 2.5 1 Nov 2019 MG Research – 27.0 1.5 11.0 33.0 5.0 7.5 1.0 10.0 6.0 6.0 28 Oct 2019 Affaritaliani.it– 31.7 34.5 5.0 7.4 6.5 2.8 20 Sep 2019 Il Resto del Carlino – 44.543.6 8.5 0.9 6–12 Sep 2019 SWG 1,000 33.5 2.0 4.5 33.5 4.0 5.5 1.5 13.0 Tie 6–10 Jul 2019 GPF 1,200 14.9 15.8 3.0 2.2 6.1 2.6 32.5 0.9 3 Jul–21 Dec 2018 Ipsos 1,440 17.0 23.0 3.0 15.0 4.0 38.0 6.0 23 Nov 2014 Election results – 44.5 6.9 – 1.9 19.4 8.4 1.9 – 13.3 3.6 – 25.1
Results