In the lead-up to the 2022 Australian federal election, a number of polling companies conducted regular opinion polls for various news organisations. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, and contained an estimation of the two-party-preferred vote. They also asked questions about the electorates' views on major party leaders. Key polling companies are YouGov, Essential Media Communications, Roy Morgan Research, and Resolve Strategic.

Ipsos polls used to be published in The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and the Australian Financial Review; however following the shock result of the 2019 Australian federal election, when the Coalition won the election against all of the opinion polls' predictions, the Nine Entertainment group decided to discontinue its relationship with that company. The newspapers did not report any Ipsos political polling until 4 Apr 2022, but continued to report the results of other Ipsos polls.

Graphical summary Aggregate data of voting intention from all opinion polling since the last federal election. Local regression trends for each party, weighted by sample size, are shown as solid lines.

Two party preferred

Primary vote

Voting intention

Assessment of polling accuracy Following the ‘polling failure’ of the 2019 Australian federal election, where all the major polling organisations’ final polls erroneously predicted a Labor victory, a great deal of attention was paid to changes in methodology and the accuracy of the polls at the 2022 election.

Post-election, several well-known psephologists undertook assessments of accuracy for the voting results produced by each major pollster’s final poll. These employed differing methods of assessment, but generally determined that the polling industry was more accurate overall than in 2019, though still tended to overstate Labor’s primary vote share.

William Bowe (The Poll Bludger) summed this up by saying, “The 2022 federal election was a much happier experience for the polling industry than 2019, with each of five pollster producing election eve primary vote numbers broadly suggestive of the actual result. However, there was a collective error in favour of Labor, whose actual primary vote came in 2.3% below the pollster consensus while the Coalition landed 0.4% higher”.

Psephologists Dr. Adrian Beaumont of The Conversation found Resolve Strategic’s final poll for the Nine newspapers to be the most accurate.

Dr. Kevin Bonham’s polling blog said YouGov (which conducts Newspoll) was the best poll in three of the five categories, and "made the most useful contributions to forecasting the result". Solely based on the final poll, he shared the honours between Resolve Strategic and Newspoll on the basis that the former performed better on three of the four measures in his analysis, but the latter performed better on the measure he considered to be more important.

2022 DateBrandInterview mode Samplesize Primary vote 2pp vote L/NP ALP GRN ONP UAP OTH UND L/NP ALP 23 May–5 Jun 2022 ANU (Post-Exit Poll) CATI/online 3556 31.9%35.4% 19.8% 12.9% 21 May 2022 Election35.7% 32.6% 12.2% 5.0% 4.1% 10.4% — 47.9% 52.1% 21–25 May 2022 Dynata (Exit Poll)Online142433%41%11%4% 11% 13–19 May 2022Newspoll-YouGov Online 2188 35%36% 12% 5% 3% 9% 47%53% 15–18 May 2022 Ipsos Telephone/online 1996 35%36% 13% 5% 3% 8% 47%53% 12–17 May 2022 Resolve Strategic Telephone/online 204934.4% 31.3% 13.5% 5.8% 4.4% 10.5% 48.8% 51.2% 14–16 May 2022 Essential Online 160036% 35% 9% 4% 3% 6% 7% 46%48% 9–15 May 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 136634%34% 13% 4% 1% 14% 47% 53% 10–13 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1532 35%38% 11% 6% 3% 7% 46% 54% 9 May 2022 Early voting begins 2–8 May 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 1401 34%35.5% 13% 4% 1% 12.5% 45.5% 54.5% 4–7 May 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1523 35%39% 11% 5% 4% 6% 46% 54% 4–7 May 2022 Ipsos Telephone/online 2311 29%35% 12% 4% 3% 10% 7% 43% 57% 25 Apr–1 May 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 148735%35% 13% 3% 1% 13% 44.5% 55.5% 27–30 Apr 2022 Essential Online 150036% 35% 10% 3% 4% 5% 6% 45% 49% 27–30 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1538 36%38% 11% 5% 4% 6% 47% 53% 27–30 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1408 33%34% 15% 5% 5% 8% 46% 54% 18–24 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 139335.5% 35% 12% 4.5% 1.5% 11.5% 45.5% 54.5% 20–23 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1538 36%37% 11% 3% 4% 9% 47% 53% 20–23 Apr 2022 Ipsos Telephone/online 2302 32%34% 12% 4% 3% 8% 8% 45% 55% 19–20 Apr 2022 Essential Online 105237% 35% 9% 3% 4% 5% 7% 46% 47% 11–17 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 138235.5% 35% 14% 4.5% 1.5% 9.5% 45% 55% 14–17 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1510 35%36% 12% 4% 4% 9% 47% 53% 11–16 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 140435% 34% 11% 4% 4% 13% 10 Apr 2022 Australian federal election campaign begins with calling of 21 May election 4–10 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 1384 32.5%36% 12.5% 5% 1.5% 12.5% 43% 57% 6–9 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1506 36%37% 10% 3% 4% 10% 47% 53% 31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1681 34%38% 11% 2% 3% 12% 28 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 1367 33%39.5% 11% 3.5% 1% 12% 43% 57% 31 Mar–3 Apr 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1531 36%38% 10% 3% 3% 10% 46% 54% 30 Mar–2 Apr 2022 Essential Online 108637% 36% 10% 4% 3% 5% 5% 45% 50% 30 Mar–2 Apr 2022 Ipsos Telephone/online 2563 31%35% 10% 4% 2% 8% 7% 42% 51% 21–27 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan Online 1404 33%35.5% 12.5% 3.5% 1% 14.5% 44.5% 55.5% 14–16 Mar 2022 Essential Online 160036% 35% 9% 4% 3% 6% 7% 46%48% 14–20 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 1418 31%37.5% 12% 3% 1% 15.5% 42% 58% 3–13 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 1947 33.5%37% 11.5% 3% 1% 14% 44% 56% 9–12 Mar 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1520 35%41% 8% 3% 3% 10% 45% 55% 2–6 Mar 2022 Essential Online 109336% 35% 10% 3% 3% 4% 7% 44% 49% 24 Feb–3 Mar 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 1141 34%37.5% 11.5% 3.5% 1% 12.5% 43.5% 56.5% 23–26 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1525 35%41% 9% 3% 4% 8% 45% 55% 14–23 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 2261 32.5%37.5% 12.5% 3.5% 1.5% 12.5% 43.5% 56.5% 15–20 Feb 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1604 33%35% 10% 3% 4% 15% 17–20 Feb 2022 Essential Online 1089 35%38% 9% 5% 3% 4% 6% 45% 49% 31 Jan–13 Feb 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 2796 33%38.5% 11.5% 4% 1.5% 11.5% 43% 57% 9–12 Feb 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1526 34%41% 8% 3% 14% 45% 55% 2–6 Feb 2022 Essential Online 106937% 35% 9% 4% 2% 5% 8% 46% 47% 27–30 Jan 2022 Newspoll-YouGov Online 1523 34%41% 11% 3% 11% 44% 56% 17–30 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 2783 33%37.5% 11.5% 3.5% 2% 12.5% 43.5% 56.5% 20–23 Jan 2022 Essential Online 1062 36%37% 8% 3% 9% 8% 43% 50% 4–16 Jan 2022 Roy Morgan Telephone/online 2791 34.5%37% 12% 3% 0.5% 13% 44% 56% 11–15 Jan 2022 Resolve Strategic Online 1607 34%35% 11% 3% 17%

2019–2021