2022 United States Senate election in New York

The 2022 United States Senate election in New York was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New York.

Incumbent four-term Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer, who had served as Senate Majority Leader since 2021, was first elected in 1998, defeating Republican incumbent Al D'Amato. Schumer ran for a fifth term. Republican Joe Pinion is the first black Senate nominee of any major party in New York history. The filing deadline for the June primary was April 7, 2022. Schumer became the longest-serving U.S. senator in the state's history once his fifth term began in the 118th Congress.

Though Schumer was comfortably re-elected by a margin of 14.01%, he lost significant support on Long Island and Upstate New York compared to his last election in 2016. Pinion flipped the more conservative counties that Schumer had won in his previous runs, as well as some Democratic-leaning counties such as Nassau, Saratoga, Broome, Clinton, and Essex. However, Schumer's lead was large enough in New York City that most media outlets called the race in his favor the moment the polls closed.

Despite Democrats overperforming expectations on a national level during this cycle, this race was the most competitive in Schumer's Senate career since his first election in 1998, when he won by 10.5%, along with being the closest U.S. Senate election from New York since Hillary Clinton won by about 12.3 percentage points in 2000. This was due to an overall Democratic underperformance in New York state despite their overperformance nationally, and Schumer's performance was still the highest margin of victory (aside from Thomas DiNapoli in the concurrent comptroller election) on the statewide ballot.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Leader

Disqualified Moses Mugulusi, regulator Khaled Salem, activist

Declined Alessandra Biaggi, state senator from the 34th district (ran for U.S. House) Jamaal Bowman, U.S. Representative for (ran for re-election) Andrew Cuomo, former governor of New York, former attorney general of New York, and former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Mondaire Jones, U.S. Representative for (ran for re-election) Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative for (ran for re-election) Jumaane Williams, New York City Public Advocate and former New York City Councilor for the 45th district (ran for governor)

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error ChuckSchumer AlexandriaOcasio-Cortez UndecidedZogby AnalyticsZogby AnalyticsMay 7–9, 2020328 (LV)± 5.4%54%21%25%

Republican primary At the 2022 New York State Republican Convention, Joe Pinion was designated as the New York State Republican Party's preferred candidate for U.S. Senate. Pinion became the first Black individual to be backed by a major party in a U.S. Senate election in New York.

Candidates Nominee Joe Pinion, entrepreneur, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018

Disqualified Aleksander Mici, lawyer and candidate for New York City Council in 2021

Declined Andrew Giuliani, former Trump administration official, son of Rudy Giuliani and Newsmax TV contributor (ran for governor) John Katko, U.S. Representative for Tom Reed, former U.S. Representative for Lee Zeldin, U.S. Representative for and former state senator from the 3rd district (ran for governor)

Endorsements

Conservative primary Candidates Nominee Joe Pinion, TV host and candidate for New York State Assembly in 2018

Working Families primary Candidates Nominee Chuck Schumer, incumbent U.S. senator

Other candidates Diane Sare ran on an Independent ballot line labeled "LaRouche."

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 19, 2021 Inside Elections January 7, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 3, 2021PoliticoApril 1, 2022RCPOctober 18, 2022Fox News May 12, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The EconomistSeptember 7, 2022

Endorsements

Polling Aggregate polls Source of pollaggregationDatesadministeredDatesupdatedChuckSchumer (D)JoePinion (R)UndecidedMarginReal Clear PoliticsReal Clear PoliticsOctober 26–31, 2022November 8, 202254.7%39.3%6.0%Schumer +15.4FiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightOctober 12 – November 8, 2022November 8, 202255.7%38.0%6.3%Schumer +17.7270towin270towinOctober 26 – November 7, 2022November 8, 202254.6%38.6%6.8%Schumer +16.0Average55.0%38.6%6.4%Schumer +16.4 Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error ChuckSchumer (D) JoePinion (R) Other UndecidedResearch Co.Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 (LV)± 4.6%55%37%2%6%ActiVote (D)ActiVote (D)August 8 – November 6, 2022279 (LV)± 6.0%60%40%––Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeOctober 28–31, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%55%36%3%6%57%39%4%–The Trafalgar Group (R)The Trafalgar Group (R)October 27–31, 20221,198 (LV)± 2.9%51%40%5%4%KAConsulting (R)KAConsulting (R)October 27–29, 2022501 (LV)± 4.4%50%38%–7%Data for Progress (D)Data for Progress (D)October 26–28, 2022818 (LV)± 3.0%56%39%–5%Long Island UniversityLong Island UniversityOctober 24–26, 20221,001 (A)± 3.0%54%27%9%10%CiviqsCiviqsOctober 22–25, 2022593 (LV)± 5.0%56%41%1%2%Emerson CollegeOctober 20–24, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%51%36%6%8%53%40%8%–SurveyUSASurveyUSAOctober 14–18, 2022702 (LV)± 5.4%52%38%4%6%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac UniversityOctober 12–16, 20221,617 (LV)± 2.4%54%42%1%3%Siena CollegeSiena CollegeOctober 12–14, 2022707 (LV)± 4.9%57%37%1%5%Marist CollegeMarist CollegeOctober 3–6, 2022900 (LV)± 4.4%52%39%1%8%1,117 (RV)± 4.0%54%34%1%11%Siena CollegeSiena CollegeSeptember 16–25, 2022655 (LV)± 3.9%55%36%1%8%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeSeptember 4–6, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%55%31%5%9%McLaughlin & Associates (R)McLaughlin & Associates (R)August 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%51%36%–13%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeJuly 26–28, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%53%31%7%8%Siena CollegeSiena CollegeJuly 24–28, 2022806 (LV)± 3.5%56%35%0%8%

Chuck Schumer vs. generic opponent Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error ChuckSchumer (D) GenericOpponent UndecidedMcLaughlin & Associates (R)August 7–9, 2022600 (LV)± 4.0%42%48%10%

Results

By county County Chuck SchumerDemocratic Joe PinionRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total # % # % # % # % Albany72,87562.7%42,71936.8%6030.5%30,15625.9%116,197 Allegany4,30627.5%11,27772.0%840.5%-6,971-44.5%15,667 Bronx158,43380.6%37,13018.9%1,0040.5%121,30361.7%196,567 Broome32,58748.1%34,68851.2%4780.7%-2,101-3.1%67,753 Cattaraugus8,67733.7%16,93865.8%1250.5%-8,261-32.1%25,740 Cayuga11,52743.0%15,13956.5%1320.5%-3,612-13.5%26,798 Chautauqua16,78238.8%26,21760.7%2030.4%-9,435-21.9%43,202 Chemung10,50038.1%16,90761.3%1620.6%-6,407-23.2%27,569 Chenango5,77834.6%10,80564.7%1280.8%-5,027-30.1%16,711 Clinton13,34148.9%13,79250.5%1700.6%-451-1.6%27,303 Columbia16,81256.9%12,63342.8%980.4%4,17914.1%29,543 Cortland7,46946.5%8,48552.8%1110.7%-1,016-6.3%16,065 Delaware7,04138.1%11,31661.3%1030.5%-4,275-23.2%18,460 Dutchess57,30650.1%56,35349.3%6170.5%9530.8%114,276 Erie188,97955.6%148,58543.7%2,1560.7%40,39411.9%339,720 Essex7,51449.2%7,65450.2%910.6%-140-1.0%15,259 Franklin6,88545.8%8,07153.6%900.6%-1,186-7.8%15,046 Fulton6,12133.2%12,19166.1%1210.6%-6,070-32.9%18,433 Genesee7,05631.9%14,89767.4%1350.6%-7,841-35.5%22,088 Greene8,02640.4%11,71159.0%1240.6%-19,861-18.6%19,861 Hamilton96934.3%1,83865.1%160.6%-869-30.8%2,823 Herkimer6,99931.6%15,04267.9%1220.5%-8,043-36.3%22,163 Jefferson11,61836.9%19,66762.5%1580.5%-8,049-25.6%31,443 Kings423,86776.1%129,69223.3%3,4460.7%294,17552.8%557,005 Lewis3,00128.8%7,37270.8%370.3%-4,371-42.0%10,410 Livingston9,02937.4%14,95861.9%1710.7%-5,929-24.5%24,158 Madison11,44043.7%14,57355.6%1760.7%-3,133-11.9%26,189 Monroe156,52956.9%117,07542.5%1,5560.6%39,45414.4%275,160 Montgomery5,78337.0%9,76462.5%850.5%-3,981-25.5%15,632 Nassau248,18648.2%265,00451.5%1,4680.2%-16,818-3.3%514,658 New York383,51884.9%65,36614.5%2,7100.6%318,15270.4%451,594 Niagara31,95042.3%43,26157.2%4000.5%-11,311-14.9%75,611 Oneida29,49439.4%44,89960.0%4300.5%-15,405-20.6%74,823 Onondaga99,20558.5%69,37440.9%9860.6%29,83117.6%169,565 Ontario21,62647.0%24,10452.4%2530.5%-2,478-5.4%45,983 Orange58,36447.7%63,29251.8%6040.5%-4,928-4.1%122,260 Orleans3,78828.1%9,60971.3%750.5%-5,821-43.2%13,472 Oswego14,90937.3%24,80262.1%1570.8%-9,893-24.8%39,968 Otsego9,62344.1%12,04255.2%1610.8%-2,419-11.1%21,826 Putnam17,01941.5%23,86358.1%1680.4%-6,844-16.6%41,050 Queens291,90567.5%137,80531.9%2,8780.7%154,10035.6%432,588 Rensselaer30,80949.8%30,66249.5%4360.7%1470.3%61,907 Richmond50,98536.5%88,01563.0%6640.5%-37,030-26.5%139,664 Rockland52,29850.3%51,18349.3%4120.4%1,1151.0%103,893 St. Lawrence14,35142.3%19,38957.1%2120.6%-5,038-14.8%33,952 Saratoga50,71849.1%52,03050.4%5491.3%1,3121.3%103,297 Schenectady29,12454.0%24,44045.3%3650.7%4,6848.7%53,929 Schoharie4,38534.4%8,25464.8%1010.8%-3,869-30.4%12,740 Schuyler2,88337.5%4,75961.9%460.6%-1,876-24.4%7,688 Seneca5,03543.8%6,37555.4%920.8%-1,340-11.6%11,502 Steuben10,61631.0%23,45668.5%1880.5%-12,840-37.5%34,260 Suffolk246,78944.0%311,25455.6%2,2140.4%-64,465-11.6%560,257 Sullivan10,80044.4%13,38555.0%1600.6%-2,585-10.6%24,345 Tioga6,74335.8%11,98163.6%1230.7%-5,238-27.8%18,847 Tompkins25,92873.8%8,95625.5%2690.8%16,97248.3%35,153 Ulster45,66058.9%31,32740.4%5160.7%14,33318.5%77,503 Warren12,26347.5%14,45251.8%1830.6%-1,189-4.3%27,898 Washington8,77340.1%12,98759.3%1390.6%-4,214-19.2%21,899 Wayne11,98335.8%21,32063.7%1640.5%-9,337-27.9%33,467 Westchester205,49662.9%119,89136.7%1,1360.3%85,60526.2%326,523 Wyoming3,83825.4%11,19174.0%870.6%-7,353-48.6%15,116 Yates3,24739.5%4,93460.0%470.6%-1,687-20.5%8,228Totals3,320,56156.74%2,501,15142.73%30,9950.53%819,41014.01%5,852,707

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district Schumer won 19 of 26 congressional districts, including four that elected Republicans. DistrictSchumerPinionRepresentative 45% 54%Lee Zeldin (117th Congress)Nick LaLota (118th Congress)2nd42%58%Andrew Garbarino48%52%Tom Suozzi (117th Congress)George Santos (118th Congress)50%49%Kathleen Rice (117th Congress)Anthony D'Esposito (118th Congress)5th76%23%Gregory Meeks6th60%39%Grace Meng7th81%18%Nydia Velázquez8th73%27%Hakeem Jeffries9th74%25%Yvette Clarke 85% 15%Jerry Nadler (117th Congress)Dan Goldman (118th Congress)11th40%60%Nicole Malliotakis 83% 16%Carolyn Maloney (117th Congress)Jerry Nadler (118th Congress)13th89%11%Adriano Espaillat14th74%26%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15th83%17%Ritchie Torres16th66%33%Jamaal Bowman 52% 48%Mondaire Jones (117th Congress)Mike Lawler (118th Congress) 51% 48%Sean Patrick Maloney (117th Congress)Pat Ryan (118th Congress) 50% 49%Pat Ryan (117th Congress)Marc Molinaro (118th Congress)20th56%43%Paul Tonko21st41%58%Elise Stefanik 52% 48%Claudia Tenney (117th Congress)Brandon Williams (118th Congress) 39% 60%Joe Sempolinski (117th Congress)Nick Langworthy (118th Congress) 38% 61%John Katko (117th Congress)Claudia Tenney (118th Congress)25th56%43%Joseph Morelle26th60%39%Brian Higgins

See also 2022 United States Senate elections

Notes

Partisan clients

References

External links Official campaign websites Joe Pinion (R) for Senate Chuck Schumer (D) for Senate Diane Sare (LaRouche) for Senate