A municipal election was held in Seville on 26 May 2019 to elect the 11th City Council of the municipality. All 31 seats in the City Council were up for election. It was held concurrently with regional elections in twelve autonomous communities and local elections all across Spain, as well as the 2019 European Parliament election.
Overview Under the 1978 Constitution, the governance of municipalities in Spain—part of the country's local government system—was centered on the figure of city councils (), local corporations with independent legal personality composed of a mayor, a government council and an elected legislative assembly.; . The mayor was indirectly elected by the local assembly, requiring an absolute majority; otherwise, the candidate from the most-voted party automatically became mayor (ties were resolved by drawing lots).; . In the case of Seville, the top-tier administrative and governing body was the City Council of Seville..
Date The term of local assemblies in Spain expired four years after the date of their previous election, with election day being fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The election decree was required to be issued no later than 54 days before the scheduled election date and published on the following day in the Official State Gazette (BOE).. The previous local elections were held on 24 May 2015, setting the date for election day on the fourth Sunday of May four years later, which was 26 May 2019.
Local assemblies could not be dissolved before the expiration of their term, except in cases of mismanagement that seriously harmed the public interest and implied a breach of constitutional obligations, in which case the Council of Ministers could—optionally—decide to call a by-election..
Elections to the assemblies of local entities were officially called on 2 April 2019 with the publication of the corresponding decree in the BOE, setting election day for 26 May..
Electoral system Voting for local assemblies was based on universal suffrage, comprising all Spanish nationals over 18 years of age, registered and residing in the municipality and with full political rights (provided that they had not been deprived of the right to vote by a final sentence), as well as resident non-national European citizens, and those whose country of origin allowed reciprocal voting by virtue of a treaty.; ; .
Local councillors were elected using the D'Hondt method and closed-list proportional voting, with a five percent-threshold of valid votes (including blank ballots) in each municipality.. Each municipality was a multi-member constituency, with a number of seats based on the following scale:.
Population Councillors <100 3 101–250 5 251–1,000 7 1,001–2,000 9 2,001–5,000 11 5,001–10,000 13 10,001–20,000 17 20,001–50,000 21 50,001–100,000 25 >100,001 +1 per each 100,000 inhabitants or fraction+1 if total is an even number
The law did not provide for by-elections to fill vacant seats; instead, any vacancies arising after the proclamation of candidates and during the legislative term were filled by the next candidates on the party lists or, when required, by designated substitutes..
Parties and candidates The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, alliances and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form an alliance were required to inform the relevant electoral commission within 10 days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of a determined amount of the electors registered in the municipality for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list. In the case of Seville, as its population was between 300,001 and 1,000,000, at least 5,000 signatures were required.. Additionally, a balanced composition of men and women was required in the electoral lists, so that candidates of either sex made up at least 40 percent of the total composition..
Below is a list of the main parties and alliances which contested the election:
Candidacy Parties andalliances Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Vote % Seats PP Beltrán Pérez ConservatismChristian democracy 33.1% PSOE–A Juan Espadas Social democracy 32.2% Adelante Susana Serrano Andalusian nationalismLeft-wing populismDirect democracy 16.0% Cs Álvaro Pimentel Liberalism 9.3% Vox Cristina Peláez Right-wing populismUltranationalismNational conservatism 0.5%
Opinion polls The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Voting intention estimates The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 16 seats were required for an absolute majority in the City Council of Seville.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 58.8 23.1 39.2 12.5 8.0 14.1 16.1 KeyData/Público 19 May 2019? 70.5 17.8 32.4 16.5 10.6 15.9 14.6 Dataestudios/ABC 13–16 May 2019 600? 22.2 38.1 14.1 5.8 16.2 15.9 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 13–15 May 2019 400? 22.2 37.1 14.1 7.2 16.8 14.9 40dB/El País 3–8 May 2019 800? 22.0 36.6 14.5 7.7 15.4 14.6 April 2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 76.4 17.7 32.7 16.9 13.0 16.3 15.0 CIS 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 497? 25.2 42.3 10.8 2.9 15.7 17.1 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 31 Mar–7 Apr 2019?? 21.4 31.2 14.7 10.6 17.8 9.8 SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva 1–5 Apr 2019 1,002???? ??? ElectoPanel/Electomanía 24–31 Mar 2019?? 20.0 30.9 15.4 11.0 18.4 10.9 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 17–24 Mar 2019?? 19.9 31.0 15.5 11.1 18.4 11.1 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 10–17 Mar 2019?? 20.1 29.5 14.8 13.2 19.0 9.4 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 3–10 Mar 2019?? 19.7 29.0 15.5 13.1 19.3 9.3 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 22 Feb–3 Mar 2019?? 18.0 28.6 16.6 13.1 4.3 12.9 – 10.6 Dialoga Consultores 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 2,200? 27.2 34.5 12.2 8.8 13.9 7.3 Dataestudios/ABC 11–17 Dec 2018?? 17.9 30.6 18.7 9.4 17.6 11.9 2018 regional election 2 Dec 2018 63.1 18.8 25.2 18.8 12.4 18.9 6.3 Dataestudios/ABC 12–18 Jun 2018 606? 18.3 40.4 20.6 – 11.7 19.8 Dataestudios/ABC 1–7 Feb 2018 600? 21.6 35.5 22.2 9.4 5.2 – – 13.3 SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva 9–15 Jun 2017 705? 28.0 33.5 14.3 12.0 6.3 – – 5.5 2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 71.1 34.0 28.0 13.7 0.3 20.9 6.0 2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 74.0 30.3 27.4 13.9 20.4 4.8 0.4 – 2.9 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 59.5 33.1 32.2 9.3 9.0 6.0 0.5 – 0.9
Voting preferences The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size IULV Lead 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 13.5 22.9 7.3 4.6 8.2 41.2 9.4 Dataestudios/ABC 13–16 May 2019 600 18.2 28.8 – – 10.2 – – 10.6 April 2019 general election 28 Apr 2019 13.4 24.8 12.8 9.8 12.3 23.6 11.4 CIS 21 Mar–23 Apr 2019 497 12.7 23.7 6.2 1.6 8.7 36.0 9.3 11.0 SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva 1–5 Apr 2019 1,002 16.7 30.2 6.4 3.7 5.3 – – 13.5 Dialoga Consultores 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 2,200 13.1 25.0 7.1 5.5 10.7 23.3 7.7 11.9 2018 regional election 2 Dec 2018 11.6 15.7 11.7 7.7 11.7 36.9 4.0 2016 general election 26 Jun 2016 24.0 19.8 9.7 0.2 14.7 28.9 4.2 2015 general election 20 Dec 2015 22.2 20.2 10.2 15.0 3.6 0.3 – 26.0 2.0 2015 municipal election 24 May 2015 19.5 19.0 5.5 5.3 3.5 0.3 – 40.5 0.5
Victory likelihood The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a municipal election taking place.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None Lead Dataestudios/ABC 13–16 May 2019 600 11.2 52.7 36.1 41.5
Preferred Mayor The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become mayor of Seville.
Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva 1–5 Apr 2019 1,002 – – 19.0 48.2 – – – – – 32.8 – 29.2 Dialoga Consultores 25 Feb–1 Mar 2019 2,200 – – 12.0 22.4 – 2.5 5.3 – – 57.9 – 10.4 Dataestudios/ABC 11–17 Dec 2018? – – 15.7 23.0 17.2 – – – – – – 5.8 SW Demoscopia/Grupo Viva 9–15 Jun 2017 705 19.8 5.2 2.2 25.9 10.9 7.5 2.4 2.7 5.2 18.2 6.1
Results + ← Summary of the 26 May 2019 City Council of Seville election results → Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats Votes % ±pp Total +/− Spanish Socialist Workers' Party of Andalusia (PSOE–A) 123,933 39.24 +7.08 13 +2 People's Party (PP) 73,101 23.15 −9.90 8 −4 Forward Seville: We Can–United Left–Andalusian Spring (Adelante)1 44,546 14.10 −1.92 4 −1 Citizens–Party of the Citizenry (Cs) 39,331 12.45 +3.16 4 +1 Vox (Vox) 25,122 7.95 +7.49 2 +2 Animalist Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA) 3,521 1.11 +0.09 0 ±0 Andalusia by Herself (AxSí)2 1,083 0.34 −1.07 0 ±0 More With You (CNTG+) 820 0.26 New 0 ±0 Act (PACT) 736 0.23 New 0 ±0 For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 486 0.15 New 0 ±0 Feminist Initiative (IFem) 392 0.12 New 0 ±0 Advancing For You (Avanzamos) 206 0.07 New 0 ±0 Spanish Phalanx of the CNSO (FE de las JONS) 118 0.04 −0.06 0 ±0 Party of the Immigrant in Spain (PADIE) 103 0.03 −0.03 0 ±0 Renaissance and Union of Europe Party (PRUNE) 47 0.01 New 0 ±0 Blank ballots 2,281 0.72 −0.41 Total 315,826 31 ±0 Valid votes 315,826 99.37 +0.15 Invalid votes 2,017 0.63 −0.15 Votes cast / turnout 317,843 58.77 −0.69 Abstentions 223,008 41.23 +0.69 Registered voters 540,851 Sources
Aftermath Government formation Investiture Ballot → 15 June 2019 Required majority → 16 out of 31 Abstentions/Blank ballots Absentees Sources
2022 investiture Investiture Ballot → 3 January 2022 Required majority → 16 out of 31 Absentees Sources
Notes
References Opinion poll sources
Other
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