Opinion polling for the 2019 Conservative Party leadership election

Opinion polling for the 2019 Conservative Party leadership election had taken place since 2017. Conservative Party Leader and Prime Minister Theresa May announced on 24 May 2019 that she would resign as leader on 7 June 2019, officially announcing the start of the 2019 Conservative Party leadership election.

Polling via organisations

Jeremy Hunt vs. Boris Johnson

Date(s) administered Poll source Samplesize JeremyHunt BorisJohnsonNot Sure10–12 July 2019Opinium1,141 Conservative Party voters 29%53%18%3–5 July 2019Opinium 2,002 British voters 18%27%55%760 2017 Conservative voters 28%49%24%1–5 July 2019YouGov907 Conservative Party members 26%74%22 June 2019 ComResConservative Party councillors 39%61%21 June 2019YouGov907 Conservative Party members 26%74%16 May 2019YouGov858 Conservative Party members 33%67%

All candidates

Date(s) administered Poll source SamplesizeJeremyHuntBorisJohnsonMichaelGoveMattHancockSajidJavidAndreaLeadsomEstherMcVeyDominicRaabRoryStewart Don't Know Others13–20 June 2019Five ballots are held among Conservative MPs. Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt advance to the members' vote.4-10 June 2019Sam Gyimah, James Cleverly and Kit Malthouse announce they are pulling out of the leadership race ahead of the vote3–4 June 2019YouGov 1,755 British adults 4%19% 5% 1% 6% 4% 2% 3%7%26%3% Sam Gyimah 2%James Cleverly 1%Mark Harper 0% Kit Malthouse 0% 2 June 2019Sam Gyimah announces he will run for the leadership30 May 2019Mark Harper announces he will run for the leadership29 May 2019James Cleverly announces he will run for the leadership 28–30 May 2019 Opinium2,005 British adults 5%19% 6% 1% 5% 4% 2% 5%5% 4%35% Philip Hammond 5%Steve Baker 1%Priti Patel 1%Liz Truss 0%Graham Brady 0%James Cleverly 0%Kit Malthouse 0%Jesse Norman 0%27 May 2019Sajid Javid and Kit Malthouse announce they will run for the leadership26 May 2019 Andrea Leadsom and Michael Gove announce they will run for the leadership25 May 2019Matt Hancock and Dominic Raab announce they will run for the leadership 22–24 May 2019 Survation2,029 British adults 5%27% 5% 2% 9% 4% 2% 2%2% 41%Penny Mordaunt 2%Liz Truss 0%24 May 2019Jeremy Hunt announces he will run for the leadership24 May 2019Theresa May announces her intention to step down as Conservative Leader and Prime Minister 23–24 May 2019 YouGov1,586 British adults 4%21% 4% 1% 10%6% <----McVey---- > 2% 2% 21%26%Penny Mordaunt 2%17 May 2019Boris Johnson announces he will run for the leadership10–16 May 2019YouGov/The Times858 Conservative members8%39%9%1%9%5% <----McVey----> 13%4%Penny Mordaunt 5%9 May 2019Esther McVey announces she will run for the leadership 7–10 May 2019 BMG Research1,541 British adults 2%11% 3% <----Hancock---- > 4%2% <----McVey---- > 1% <----Stewart---- > 27%28% Jacob Rees-Mogg 6%Philip Hammond 4%Ruth Davidson 4%David Davis 4%Amber Rudd 3%Penny Mordaunt 1%Priti Patel 1%Nicky Morgan 0%Andy Street 0%5 May 2019Rory Stewart announces he will run for the leadership 9–12 Apr 2019 Opinium2,007 British adults 2%12% 3%1% 4%2% <----McVey----> 2% <----Stewart----> 26%31% David Davis 4%Philip Hammond 3%Amber Rudd 3%Gavin Williamson 1% 4–8 Apr 2019 Kantar 1,178 British adults 2%10% 3% <----Hancock----> 0%0% <----McVey----> 2% <----Stewart----> 69% 1% Jacob Rees-Mogg 1%David Davis 0%Philip Hammond 0%Amber Rudd 0% 28–30 Mar 2019 Deltapoll1,010 British adults 4%15% 5%1% 6%1% <----McVey----> 2% <----Stewart----> 50% 40% Jacob Rees-Mogg 4%Amber Rudd 4%David Davis 3%David Lidington 2%Liz Truss 1%Mark Harper 1%Gavin Williamson 0%Geoffrey Cox 0%28–29 Mar 2019Opinium2,008 British adults 2%11% 4% <----Hancock----> 4%1% <----McVey----> 3% <----Stewart----> 27% 29% Jacob Rees-Mogg 7%Philip Hammond 4%Amber Rudd 4%David Davis 3%Gavin Williamson 1% 16 Mar 2019Survation 1,007 British adults 8%16% 5% <----Hancock----> 9% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> 3% <----Stewart----> 26% 29% Amber Rudd 5%Liz Truss 1%14–15 Mar 2019YouGov/People's Vote1,823 British adults 3%13% <----Gove----> 0% 5%2%1% 2% <----Stewart----> 32% 40% 14-15 Mar 2019 YouGov1,756 British adults 3%13% 4% <----Hancock----> 8% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> 2% <----Stewart----> 27% 20% Jacob Rees-Mogg 9%Amber Rudd 9%David Davis 4% 12-15 Mar 2019 Opinium2,008 British adults 2%10% 3% <----Hancock----> 4%2% <----McVey----> 2% <----Stewart----> 29% 28% Jacob Rees-Mogg 8%Philip Hammond 4%David Davis 3%Amber Rudd 3%Gavin Williamson 2% 21–22 Feb 2019Deltapoll 1,027 British adults 5%14% 4% <----Hancock----> 9% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> 3% <----Stewart----> 41% 8% Jacob Rees-Mogg 7%Amber Rudd 5%David Davis 4%2019 5 Dec 2018Survation 1,053 British adults 6%17% 6% <----Hancock----> 5% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 44% 2% Jacob Rees-Mogg 8%David Davis 5%Amber Rudd 4%Penny Mordaunt 2% 28–29 Sep 2018BMG Research/HuffPost UK 1,203 British adults <----Hunt----> 20% 2% <----Hancock----> 5% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 26% 15% Jacob Rees-Mogg 7%Ruth Davidson 6%Philip Hammond 4%David Davis 3%Amber Rudd 2% 19–20 Jul 2018YouGov/The Times 1,668 British adults 2%15% 1% <----Hancock----> 4% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 25% 31% Jacob Rees-Mogg 12%Ruth Davidson 8%Penny Mordaunt 1%Gavin Williamson 1% 14 Jul 2018Opinium/Observer 2,005 British adults 4%12% 3% <----Hancock----> <-----Javid-----> 2% <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 23% 25% Jacob Rees-Mogg 10%Penny Mordaunt 7%Philip Hammond 5%5–8 Jul 2018YouGov966 Conservative members4%11%11% <----Hancock----> 17% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 5%Jacob Rees-Mogg 29%Ruth Davidson 20%Penny Mordaunt 2%Gavin Williamson 1% 201820–27 Sep 2017YouGov927 Conservative members <----Hunt----> 23% <----Gove----> <----Hancock----> 1% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> 2% <----Stewart----> 26% Amber Rudd 5%Priti Patel 2% Damian Green 1% Liam Fox 1% Tom Tugendhat 1% Someone else 6%23 September 2017Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,174 British adults <----Hunt----> 21%3% <----Hancock----> <----Javid----> <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 27%24% Jacob Rees-Mogg 6%David Davis 5%Amber Rudd 6%Philip Hammond 7%19–22 Sep 2017Opinium/Observer 1,268 British voters3%23%2% <----Hancock----> 5% <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 15%1% Ruth Davidson 17%David Davis 10%Jacob Rees-Mogg 8%Amber Rudd 8%Philip Hammond 7%31 Aug – 1 September 2017Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,174 British adults <----Hunt----> 21%3% <----Hancock----> <----Javid----> <----Leadsom----> <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 25%29% David Davis 5%Jacob Rees-Mogg 6%Philip Hammond 7% Ruth Davidson 5%Amber Rudd 6%21 Jun–11 Jul 2017YouGov1,002 Conservative members <----Hunt----> 17% <----Gove----> <----Hancock----> <----Javid----> 1% <----McVey----> <----Raab----> <----Stewart----> 26%David Davis 21% Jacob Rees-Mogg 6% Philip Hammond 5%Amber Rudd 4% Liam Fox 1%2017

Head to head polling

Davis vs Rudd

Date(s) administered Poll source SamplesizeDavidDavisAmberRudd Would not vote Don't Know 20–27 September 2017 YouGov 927 Conservative members 51% 32% 8% 9%

Johnson head-to-heads

Date(s) administered Poll source SamplesizeBorisJohnsonMichaelGoveJeremyHuntSajidJavidPennyMordauntDominicRaabMatt HancockRory StewartAndrea Leadsom 10–16 May 2019 YouGov/The Times 858 Conservative members 66% 34% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 67% <----Gove----> 33% <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 66% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> 34% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 69% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> 31% <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 59% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> 41% <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 74% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> 26% <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 75% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> 25% <----Leadsom----> 70% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> 30%5–8 Jul 2018YouGov966 Conservative members 45% 55% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 56% <----Gove----> 44% <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 45% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> 55% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 59% <----Gove----> <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> 41% <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom---->

Gove head-to-heads

Date(s) administered Poll source SamplesizeMichaelGoveJeremyHuntSajidJavidPennyMordauntDominicRaabMattHancockRoryStewartAndreaLeadsom 10–16 May 2019 YouGov/The Times 858 Conservative members 50% 50% <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 51% <----Hunt----> 49% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 53% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> 47% <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 42% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> 58% <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 66% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> 34% <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 71% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> 29% <----Leadsom----> 51% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> 49%5–8 Jul 2018YouGov966 Conservative members 61%39% <----Javid----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 44% <----Hunt----> 56% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> 66% <----Hunt----> <----Javid----> 44% <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom---->

Javid head-to-heads

Date(s) administered Poll source SamplesizeJeremyHuntSajidJavidPennyMordauntDominicRaabMattHancockRoryStewartAndreaLeadsom 10–16 May 2019 YouGov/The Times 858 Conservative members 49% 51% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> 51% 49% <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> 41% <----Mordaunt----> 59% <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> 71% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> 29% <----Stewart----> <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> 74% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> 26% <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> 50% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> <----Stewart----> 50%

Stewart head-to-heads

Date(s) administered Poll source SamplesizeJeremyHuntPennyMordauntDominicRaabMattHancockRoryStewartAndreaLeadsom 10–16 May 2019 YouGov/The Times 858 Conservative members 74% <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> 26% <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> 30% 70% <----Hunt----> <----Mordaunt----> 73% <----Hancock----> 27% <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> <----Mordaunt----> <----Raab----> 62%38% <----Leadsom----> <----Hunt----> 71% <----Raab----> <----Hancock----> 29% <----Leadsom---->

Hunt head-to-heads