2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Oklahoma were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the five U.S. representatives from the state of Oklahoma, one from each of the state's five congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections.

Overview DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % 213,700 63.70% 109,641 32.68% 12,130 3.62% 335,471 100.0% Republican hold 216,511 75.04% 63,472 22.00% 8,544 2.96% 288,527 100.0% Republican hold 242,677 78.49% 66,501 21.51% 0 0.00% 309,178 100.0% Republican hold 213,096 67.79% 90,459 28.78% 10,803 3.44% 314,358 100.0% Republican hold 158,191 52.06% 145,658 47.94% 0 0.00% 303,849 100.0% Republican gainTotal 1,044,175 67.31% 475,731 30.66% 31,477 2.03% 1,551,383 100.0%

District 1

The 1st district was located in the Tulsa metropolitan area and included Creek, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner and Washington counties. The incumbent Republican, Kevin Hern, was elected with 59.3% of the vote in 2018. He won reelection with 63.7% of the vote.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Kevin Hern, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Kojo Asamoa-Caesar, entrepreneur

Eliminated in primary Mark A. Keeter, businessman

Endorsements

Primary results

Independents Candidates Declared Evelyn Rogers, perennial candidate

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Kojo Asamoa-Caesar (D) Kevin Hern (R) Evelyn Rogers (I) UndecidedSoonerPollSoonerPollOctober 15–20, 20201,492 (LV)± 1.32%29.83%58.8%5.64%5.8%

Results

District 2

The 2nd district encompassed eastern Oklahoma including Choctaw Country, Muskogee and Tahlequah. The incumbent was Republican Markwayne Mullin, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2018. He was reelected with 75% of the vote.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Markwayne Mullin, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary Rhonda Hopkins, nominee for District 86 of the Oklahoma House of Representatives in 2016 Joseph Silk, state senator

Endorsements

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Danyell Lanier, project analyst

Libertarian primary Candidates Declared Richie Castaldo, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district in 2018

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

District 3

The 3rd district encompassed Northwestern Oklahoma, taking in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Ponca City, Pawnee, Stillwater, as well as the Osage Nation. The incumbent was Republican Frank Lucas, who was re-elected with 73.9% of the vote in 2018. He was reelected with 78.5% of the vote.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Frank D. Lucas, incumbent U.S. Representative

Withdrew Joshua Jantz

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Zoe Midyett, rancher

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

District 4

The 4th district was located in South Central Oklahoma and took in parts of the Oklahoma City suburbs, including in Canadian County and Cleveland County. The incumbent was Republican Tom Cole, who was re-elected with 63.1% of the vote in 2018. He was reelected with 67.8% of the vote.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Tom Cole, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary Gilbert O. Sanders, mental health professional Trevor Sipes, businessman James Taylor, teacher and candidate for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016 and 2018

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Mary Brannon, retired educator and nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2018

Eliminated in primary John D. Argo, metalworker David R. Slemmons, retired librarian

Withdrew Wyndi Brown, activist and entrepreneur Wesley Forbes, energy program assistant

Primary results

Libertarian primary Candidates Declared Bob White, Libertarian nominee for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district in 2016

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

District 5

The 5th district was based in Oklahoma City and its surrounding suburbs. The incumbent was Democrat Kendra Horn, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.7% of the vote in 2018. She lost reelection to Republican challenger Stephanie Bice, who received 52.1% of the vote.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Kendra Horn, incumbent U.S. Representative

Eliminated in primary Tom Guild, perennial candidate

Endorsements

Primary results

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Stephanie Bice, Assistant Majority Floor Leader of the Oklahoma State Senate

Eliminated in runoff Terry Neese, entrepreneur and nominee for Lieutenant Governor in 1990

Eliminated in primary Michael Ballard, veteran Janet Barresi, former Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction David Hill, businessman Shelli Landon, singer Jake A. Merrick, businessman and former Southwestern Christian University professor of philosophy and theology Charles Tuffy Pringle, real estate broker Miles Rahimi, U.S. Navy veteran and community organizer

Withdrew Dan Belcher, entrepreneur David Greene, former horse stall cleaner Merideth VanSant, businesswoman

Declined Kevin Calvey, Oklahoma County commissioner Mick Cornett, former mayor of Oklahoma City and candidate for Governor of Oklahoma in 2018 Carol Hefner, Donald Trump's 2016 Oklahoma campaign manager Bob Mills, businessman and co-chair for Donald Trump's 2016 Campaign in Oklahoma Steve Russell, former U.S. representative Greg Treat, president pro tempore of the Oklahoma Senate

Endorsements

Primary results

Runoff results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report September 11, 2020 Inside Elections September 4, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 2, 2020Politico September 9, 2020Daily Kos April 29, 2020RCP September 14, 2020Niskanen June 7, 2020

Polling

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KendraHorn (D) StephanieBice (R) Other/UndecidedChange ResearchChange ResearchOctober 29 – November 1, 2020607 (LV)± 4.4%47%47%7%Amber IntegratedAmber IntegratedOctober 22–25, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%44%49% 8%Sooner PollSooner PollOctober 15–20, 2020943 (LV) –49%47%4%Cole, Snodgrass & Associates/SoonerPollCole, Snodgrass & Associates/SoonerPollSeptember 25–30, 2020 500 (LV)± 4.3%45%49%6%SoonerPollSoonerPollSeptember 2–10, 2020318 (LV)±  5.49%44%45%11%Normington, Petts & Associates (D)Normington, Petts & Associates (D) August 31 – September 3, 2020400 (LV)±  4.9%52%44%4%DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)DCCC Targeting & Analytics Department (D)August 5–9, 2020500 (LV)±  4.4%51%46%11%

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability. with Generic Republican Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror KendraHorn (D) Generic Republican UndecidedAmber IntegratedAmber Integrated June 1–4, 2020 95 (LV) – 42%41%18%Amber IntegratedAmber Integrated March 5–8, 2020 89 (LV) –40%44%16%Amber Integrated (R)Amber Integrated (R) December 18–20, 2019 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 40%45% 15%

with Generic Opponent Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror KendraHorn (D) Generic Opponent Other UndecidedFabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) December 3–4, 2019 300 (LV) ± 5.66% 37% 49% 2% 12%

with Generic Democrat and Generic Republican Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror Generic Democrat Generic Republican UndecidedFabrizio, Lee & AssociatesFabrizio, Lee & Associates December 3–4, 2019 300 (LV) ± 5.66% 42% 49% 9%

Results

Notes

Partisan clients

References

External links

(state affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Kevin Hern (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates Richie Castaldo (L) for Congress Markwayne Mullin (R) for Congress Danyell Lanier (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates Frank Lucas (R) for Congress Zoe Midyett (D) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates Mary Brannon (D) for Congress Tom Cole (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates Stephanie Bice (R) for Congress Kendra Horn (D) for Congress