This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2019 Guatemalan general election, which was held in on 16 June 2019. Because no candidate won a majority, a run-off occurred on 11 August 2019.
Second round
Polling Firm Date Sample size Giammattei Torres None Lead 11 August— 57.95 42.05— 15.90 Average 6,02153.23 46.76 (N/A) 6.47 CID-Gallup 1.21654.9 45.1 -- -- Prodatos 27 July–3 August 1.20150.3 32.1 17.6 18.2 24–26 July 2.400 44.749.1 6.1 4.4 CID-Gallup 9–14 July 1.20440.6 33.4 25.9 7.2 16 June — 12.122.1 — 10.0 CID-Gallup 1–7 June 1.20411.6 22.6 22.9 1.0 Prodatos 27 May–5 June 1.00454.0 32.0 14.0 22.0
Alternative scenarios Polling firm Date Sample size Arzú Mulet Torres None Lead 16 June — —11.2 25.5— 14.3 16 June —6.1 — 25.5— 19.4 Prodatos 13 June 1,004 — 42.0 36.0 22.0 6.0 Prodatos 13 June 1,00446.0 — 33.0 21.0 13.0 CID-Gallup 1–7 June 1,20436.0 — 33.0 31.0 3.0
First round After resolutions
Polling firm Date Sample size Others None Lead 16 June —25.5413.956.08 11.2110.375.903.133.75 ProdatosSegunda Encuesta Libre (junio de 2019) 13 June 1,00420.2 14.4 8.0 8.5 7.6 3.2 3.0 2.8 16.6 15.7 5.8 CID-GallupSegunda Encuesta Electoral (junio de 2019) 30 May–7 June 1,20422.6 11.6 9.2 6.4 5.5 2.8 2.8 1.3 15.1 22.7 11.0 CID-Gallup 21 May-25 May 1,20221.0 12.0 9.0 7.0 5.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 10.0 28.0 9.0 OPol ConsultoresTorres, Arzú, Giammattei y Mulet lideran intención de votos, según estudio. 20 May-23 May 2,20023.36 10.77 13.18 8.63 3.22 1.72 0.63 1.22 11.99 25.28 10.18
Before resolutions
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Arzú Escobar Giammattei Torres Ríos N/A Others Lead CID-GallupEstos son los resultados de la reciente encuesta de Cid Gallup 15 May 1,747 8.0 8.0 2.0 9.0 21.0 14.0 24.0 22.0 7.0 On May 15, 2019, Thelma Aldana is out of the elections. On May 13, 2019, Zury Rios is out of the elections. TResearch 15 April 1,000 23.7 — — 10.8 17.1 15.7 — 32.7 6.6 TResearch 14 April 1,000 24.1 — — 11.0 16.5 16.0 — 32.4 7.6 TResearch 13 April 1,000 24.4 — — 11.5 16.3 15.7 — 32.1 8.1 TResearch 12 April 1,000 24.1 — — 11.5 14.8 16.2 — 33.4 7.9 TResearch 11 April 1,000 24.5 — — 10.8 14.8 16.1 — 33.8 8.4 TResearch 10 April 1,000 24.6 — — 11.7 14.1 15.8 — 33.8 8.8 TResearch 9 April 1,000 24.9 — — 11.8 14.2 15.7 — 33.4 9.2 TResearch 8 April 1,000 25.2 — — 12.1 14.8 15.6 — 32.3 9.6 TResearch 7 April 1,000 25.1 — — 11.7 14.4 15.4 — 33.4 9.7 TResearch 6 April 1,000 25.3 — — 11.8 14.3 14.7 — 33.9 10.6 TResearch 5 April 1,000 25.0 — — 11.6 14.7 14.3 — 34.6 10.3 TResearch 4 April 1,000 25.1 — — 11.6 15.3 13.8 — 34.2 9.6 TResearch 3 April 1,000 24.6 — — 12.0 14.5 13.5 — 35.4 10.1 TResearch 2 April 1,000 24.2 — — 12.2 15.0 13.4 — 35.2 9.2 TResearch 1 April 1,000 23.8 — — 12.5 15.5 13.3 — 34.9 8.3 ProdatosCuatro candidatos acaparan mayor intención de voto 19–27 March 1,200 9.5 3.8 1.1 7.420.7 15.9 26.1 24 4.8 March 18, 2019, the electoral campaign begins. CID-GallupNueva encuesta electoral de Cid-Gallup hasta finales de febrero 16–25 February 1,258 10.7 2.8 3.1 5.817.7 7.9 40.9 11.1 7 Consulta Mitofsky 8–11 February 1,000 28.1 — — 14.4 6.1 17.6 8.5 21.2 10.5 CID-Gallup 24 January–4 February 1,815 10 2 3 5 17 7 46 10 7
Favorable or unfavorable opinions Favorable opinions Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Arzú Escobar Estrada Galdámez Giammattei Montenegro Torres Ríos Consulta Mitofsky 8–11 February 1,000 36 8 — 11 2 22 12 9 31
Unfavorable opinions Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Arzú Escobar Estrada Galdámez Giammattei Montenegro Mulet Torres Ríos Consulta Mitofsky 8–11 February 1,000 27 56 — 30 62 25 32 —66 28
Most favorite for president Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Arzú Escobar Galdámez Giammattei Montenegro Mulet Torres Ríos Consulta Mitofsky 8–11 February 1,000 35 — — — — — — 9 —
Least favorite for president
Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample size Aldana Arzú Escobar Galdámez Giammattei Torres Ríos CID-Gallup 1–7 June 1,204 — 3.3 — 1.8 2.2 34.1 — CID-Gallup 8–13 May 1,747 10 2 — — —28 3 CID-Gallup 16–25 February 1,258 6.2 3.5 — 3.2 3.421.2 6.5 Consulta Mitofsky 8–11 February 1,000 12.6 — — — 2.040 4.4
References