Opinion polling for the 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries

This is a list of nationwide and statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the Republican primaries for the 2020 United States presidential election. The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.

Background

National polling Polling AggregationSource of poll aggregation Dateupdated Datespolled DonaldTrumpBillWeldJoeWalsh Other andundecided270 to Win270 to Win Feb 19, 2020 ,Feb 18 – 19, 202091.0% 5.0% - RealClearPoliticsRealClearPolitics Feb 11, 2020 Dec 10, 2019 – Feb 11, 202089.3% 4.0% 3.5% Average90.2% 4.5% 3.5%1.8%

From February 2020 Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin Rocky DeLa Fuente DonaldTrump BillWeld Other UndecidedEmerson College Mar 18–19 423 (LV) – –94%6% – – Mar 18 Weld withdraws from the race Mar 17 Florida and Illinois primaries; Trump becomes presumptive nominee Mar 11 COVID-19 declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization; national emergency declared Mar 13 Mar 10 Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri and Washington primaries Mar 3 Super TuesdayYouGov/EconomistYouGov/Economist Mar 1–3 232 (LV) –1%94%2%0%2%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/Economist Feb 23–25 385 (LV) –1%92%2%1%3%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/Economist Feb 17–18 358 (LV) –2%91%1%0%5%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Feb 16–18 482 (LV) – –91%9% – –YouGov/Yahoo NewsYouGov/Yahoo News Feb 12–13 610 (LV) – –82% –13%4% Feb 11 New Hampshire primaryYouGov/EconomistYouGov/Economist Feb 9–11 349 (LV) –2%90%5%1%2% Feb 7 Walsh withdraws from the raceMcLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Feb 7–11 479 (LV) – –87%6%0%7%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/Economist Feb 2–4 401 (LV) – 0%89% 1% 3% 7% Feb 3 Iowa caucuses

From December 2019 to January 2020 Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin Rocky DeLa Fuente DonaldTrump JoeWalsh BillWeld Other UndecidedYouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistJan 26–28384 (LV) –1%89%3%2%1%4%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Jan 21–23412 (LV) – –92%2%6% – –YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistJan 19–21459 (LV) –1%89%2%2%2%4%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistJan 11–14362 (LV) –1%88%1%1%1%9%YouGov/The EconomistYouGov/The EconomistJan 5–7399 (LV) –1%87%1%2%1%7%YouGov/The EconomistYouGov/The EconomistDec 28–31359 (LV) –1%89%1%2%1%6%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistDec 22–24415 (LV) –1%91%2%1%0%5%McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Dec 14–18399 (LV) – –83%2%3%0%11%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Dec 15–17 492 (LV) – –90%5%5% – –YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistDec 14–17 354 (LV) –1%88%2%2%0%7%Suffolk UniversitySuffolk UniversityDec 10–14329 (LV) – –88%2%2%0%7%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistDec 7–10422 (LV) – –88%2%2%1%8%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistDec 1–3417 (LV) – –89%2%3% –6%

June 2019 to November 2019 Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin MarkSanford DonaldTrump JoeWalsh BillWeld Other UndecidedYouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistNov 24–26402 (LV) – –89%2%3%1%6%RealClear Opinion ResearchRealClear Opinion ResearchNov 15–21780 (LV) – –89% 6% 1% – 11%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Nov 17–20426 (LV) – –93%4%3%––YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistNov 17–19383 (LV) – –90%2%1% –7% Nov 12 Sanford withdraws from the raceYouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistNov 10–12352 (LV) –3%89%1%1%1%5%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistNov 3–5402 (LV) –1%87%1%3%1%8%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistOct 27–29464 (LV) –3%83%2%2%1%9%Suffolk University/USA TodaySuffolk University/USA TodayOct 23–26323 (LV)± 5.5%1%85%1%2% –11%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistOct 20–22404 (LV) –3%87%1%1%1%8%McLaughlin and AssociatesMcLaughlin and Associates Oct 17–22411 –1%76%1%2%9%12%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeOct 18–21378± 4.9%3%91%2%5%––IpsosIpsosOct 17–18507 ± 5.7%1%79%1%1%8%11%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistOct 10–13354 –2%86%2%3%–5%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistOct 6–8473± 2.9%1%84%3%3%–8%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistSep 28 – Oct 1360± 2.6%3%86%2%2%–7%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University Sep 19–23568± 4.9%2%80%2%2%1%12%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Sep 21–23363± 5.1%3%89%5%4%––Fox NewsFox NewsSep 15–17341± 5.0%2%86%2%2%1%5%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistSep 14–17416± 2.7%2%86%1%5%1%5%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeSep 13–16208± 3.3%6%86%4%4%––Public Religion Research InstitutePublic Religion Research InstituteAug 22 – Sep 15957± 2.8% –74% – 10% 13% 3%HarrisXSep 9–121,175–2%76%2%2%4%14%Democracy CorpsDemocracy CorpsSep 7–11315–4%85%5%2%1%4%YouGov/EconomistYouGov/EconomistSep 8–10393± 2.7%3%82%1%4%2%7%McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Sep 7–10416–3%76%1%3%–17% Sep 8 Sanford announces his candidacyEmerson CollegeEmerson College Aug 24–26482± 2.5%–84%–16%––HarrisXAug 23–261,194––76%5%3%6%10% Aug 25 Walsh announces his candidacySuffolk UniversitySuffolk UniversityAug 20–25289––90%–5%–5%McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Jul 23–28415± 4.0%4%81%–2%–14%Democracy CorpsDemocracy CorpsJul 18–28354± 4.0%4%89%–4%–3%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Jun 21–24 407 ± 4.9% –83%– 17% – –McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Jun 18–24 417 - –79%– 7% – 13%Suffolk University/USA TodaySuffolk University/USA Today Jun 11–15 326– –90%– 5% – 5%

November 2018 to May 2019 Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin JebBush BobCorker TedCruz JamieDimon JeffFlake NikkiHaley LarryHogan JohnKasich MikePence MittRomney PaulRyan BenSasse DonaldTrump BillWeld Other UndecidedHarrisX May 23–25 785 ± 4.0% – – – – – – – – – – – –73% 7% 5% 13%Change ResearchChange Research May 18–21 1,248 ± 2.8% – 2% – – – – – – – – – –94% – – 4% – – – – – 7% – – – – – –87% – – 6% – – – – – – – 3% – – – –94% – – 3% May 16 De La Fuente announces his candidacyEmerson CollegeEmerson College May 10–13 384 ± 5.0% – – – – – – – – – – – –86% 14% – –McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates May 7–11 330 – – – – – – – 1% 5% – – – –77% 3% – 14%Zogby AnalyticsZogby Analytics May 2–9 463 – – – – – – – – – – – – –81% 4% 10% 6%Quinnipiac UniversityQuinnipiac University Apr 26–29 419 ± 5.6% – – – – – – 3% – – – – –84% 3% 1% 8%HarrisXHarrisX Apr 26–28 641 ± 4.0% – – – – – – – – – – – –75% 7% 4% 11%Morning Consult Apr 19–21 641 ± 4.0% – – – – – – – – – – – –78% 7% – 15%Ipsos/ReutersIpsos/Reuters Apr 18–19 344 ± 5.9% – – – 1% 1% 5% – 4% 10% – – –60% – 2% 16% Apr 15 Weld announces his candidacy (exploratory committee on Feb 15, 2019)Emerson CollegeEmerson College Apr 11–14 324 ± 5.4% – – – – – – – – – – – –85% 15% – –Ipsos/ReutersIpsos/Reuters Mar 25–26 362 ± 5.9% – – – 1% 0% 3% – 5% 8% – – –63% – 4% 16%Morning Consult Mar 22–24 638 ± 4.0% – – – – – – 9% – – – – –73% – – 18% – – – – – – – 13% – – – –72% – – 16% – – – – – – – – – – – –74% 8% – 18%McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Mar 20–24 418 – – – – – – – – 5% – – – –80% 1% – 14%Emerson College Mar 17–18 483 – – – – – – – – – – – – –90% 10% – –Ipsos/Reuters Mar 5–11 756 ± 4.1% – 1% – 0% 0% 3% – 3% – 9% – 0%69% – 2% 13%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Mar 1–4 339 ± 5.3% – – – – – – 6% – – – – –75% – – 16% – – – – – – – – – – – –74% 8% – 18%Ipsos/Reuters Feb 26 – Mar 4 1,086 ± 3.4% – 1% – 0% 1% 5% – 3% – 9% – 1%66% – 3% 13%Ipsos/Reuters Feb 19–25 1,138 ± 3.3% – 0% – 1% 1% 4% – 4% – 8% – 1%65% – 3% 14%Ipsos/Reuters Feb 12–18 1,040 ± 3.5% – 0% – 1% 1% 3% – 4% – 8% – 1%69% – 2% 12%Emerson CollegeEmerson College Feb 14–16 366 ± 5.1% – – – – – – – – – – – –85% 15% – –FOX NewsFOX NewsFeb 10–12432 (A)±4.5% – – – – – – – – – – – –72% –17%11%McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Feb 6–10 413 – – – – – – – – 6% – 10% – –72% – – 11%Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Jan 25–27 335 ± 5.4% – – 21% – – – – – – – – –66% – – 9% – – – – – – – 14% – – – –73% – – 11%Zogby AnalyticsZogby Analytics Jan 18–20 307 ± 5.6% 2% – – – 1% 6% – 8% – 9% – –64% – 4% 6%HarrisXHarrisX Jan 4–5 320 – – – – – – – – – – 17% – –70% – – 13%2019McLaughlin & AssociatesMcLaughlin & Associates Dec 10–14 392 – – – – – 2% – – 5% – 9% – –72% – – 12%Harvard-HarrisHarvard-Harris Nov 27–28 819 – 3% – 5% – 2% 2% – 6% – 6% 5% 1%44% – 2% 16%HarrisXHarrisX Nov 16–17 320 – – – 17% – – – – – – – – –66% – – 17% – – – – 9% – – – – – – –70% – – 21% – – – – – 13% – – – – – –69% – – 18% – – – – – – – 14% – – – –67% – – 19% – – – – – – – – – 19% – –69% – – 12% – – – – – – – – – – 20% –65% – – 15% – – – – – – – – – – – 8%70% – – 21%

Before November 2018 Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin BobCorker TomCotton TedCruz JeffFlake NikkiHaley JohnKasich MikePence MittRomney MarcoRubio BenSasse DonaldTrump Other UndecidedHarvard-HarrisHarvard-Harris Jun 24–25 430 – 15% – – – – – – – – – 85% – –GQR ResearchGQR Research Jan 6–11 374 – – – 4% 1% 4% 3% 11% 5% 5% – 62% 0% 5% 2018Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Dec 11–12 – – – – 21% – – – – – – – 64% – 15% – – – 16% – – – – – – 74% – 10% – – – – – 19% – – – – 70% – 11% – – – – – – 22% – – – 62% – 15%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Oct 27–29 – – – – 27% – – – – – – – 57% – 16% – – – 14% – – – – – – 70% – 16% – – – – – 24% – – – – 66% – 11% – – – – – – 28% – – – 53% – 19%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Sep 22–25 – – – – 15% – – – – – – – 68% – 17% – – – – – 18% – – – – 68% – 13% – – – – – – 21% – – – 59% – 21%Fabrizio LeeFabrizio Lee Aug 2017 1,500 ± 2.5% – 1% 13% – – 10% – – – 1% 54% – 20%Public Policy PollingPublic Policy Polling Aug 18–21 – – – – 22% – – – – – – – 62% – 17% – – – – – 21% – – – – 68% – 11% – – – – – – 24% – – – 52% – 23%Opinion Savvy Aug 16–17 220 ± 6.6% – – 8% – – 17% – – – – 68% – 7% 221 ± 6.6% – – 12% – – 15% 65% – – – – – 8%Marist CollegeMarist College Aug 8–12 361 ± 5.2% – – – – – 23% – – – – 64% – 10% – – – – – – 33% – – – 56% – 8%

Against unnamed primary challenger Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump Other UndecidedRasmussen ReportsRasmussen Reports May 10–11, 2020 < 1000 (LV) –70%23%7%Morning Consult/PoliticoFeb 28 - Mar 1 2020718 (LV) –91%7%2%Morning Consult/PoliticoJan 4–5, 2020700 (RV) –87%10%3%ABC News/Washington PostABC News/Washington PostOct 27–30388 (A)±6%67%30%3%FOX NewsOct 27–30388 (A)±6%78%15%7%FOX NewsFOX NewsOct 6–8367-376(LV)±6%77%17%6%Morning Consult Jun 29 – Jul 1 483 ± 4.0% 83% 15% 3%Morning Consult Jun 29 – Jul 1 541 ± 4.0% 83% 15% 2%Morning Consult Jun 21–24 698 ± 4.0% 87% 12% 1%Morning Consult Jun 20–23 639 ± 4.0% 87% 10% 3%Morning Consult Jun 14–16 693 ± 4.0% 86% 13% 2%Morning Consult Jun 7–9 659 ± 4.0% 84% 13% 3%Morning Consult May 31 – Jun 2 672 ± 4.0% 83% 14% 3%Change Research May 18–21 1,248 ± 2.8% 95% 4% –Morning Consult May 10–12 695 ± 4.0% 84% 15% 3%Morning ConsultMorning Consult May 3–6 680 ± 4.0% 85% 13% 2%Morning Consult Apr 28–29 692 ± 4.0% 84% 13% 2%Morning Consult Apr 19–21 641 ± 4.0% 79% 18% 4%Morning Consult Apr 12–14 367 – 83% 15% 2% 358 – 82% 15% 3%Morning Consult Apr 1–7 11,986 ± 1.0% 76% 20% –Morning Consult Mar 25–31 11,549 ± 1.0% 78% 20% –Morning Consult Mar 18–24 12,090 ± 1.0% 77% 19% –Morning Consult Mar 11–17 11,542 ± 1.0% 78% 20% –Morning Consult Mar 4–10 13,682 ± 1.0% 77% 20% –Morning Consult Feb 25 – Mar 3 11,154 ± 1.0% 77% 20% –Morning Consult Feb 18–24 13,782 ± 1.0% 77% 20% –Morning Consult Feb 11–17 13,974 ± 1.0% 77% 21% –Morning Consult Feb 4–10 10,685 ± 1.0% 77% 20% – 2019Public Religion Research InstitutePublic Religion Research Institute Sep 17 – Oct 1 927 – 66% 33% 1%Saint Leo UniversitySaint Leo University May 25–31 – – 63% 24% 13%USC Dornsife/LATUSC Dornsife/LAT Dec 15 – Jan 15 1,530 ± 3.0% 75% 25% –Emerson CollegeEmerson College Jan 8–11 198 – 68% 18% 14% 2018Public Policy Polling Dec 11–12 – – 70% 24% 6%Public Religion Research InstitutePublic Religion Research Institute Oct 18–30 846 – 59% 34% 7%Public Policy Polling Oct 27–29 – – 57% 36% 8%Public Policy Polling Sep 22–25 – – 61% 27% 12%Public Policy Polling Aug 18–21 – – 57% 29% 13%

Statewide polling