The 2020 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Trump won Kentucky by a 25.94% margin in this election, down from his margin of 29.84% in 2016. Prior to the election, all 12 news organizations considered this a state Trump would win, or a safe red state. Kentucky has not supported a Democratic nominee since it narrowly supported fellow Southerner Bill Clinton in 1996. Trump's overhaul of Obama-era coal emissions standards helped him win coal-industry households, once again sweeping the historically-Democratic Eastern Kentucky counties. Trump also carried 83% of White evangelical/born-again Christians, per exit polls by the Associated Press.

In addition to Trump's victory in the Commonwealth, Biden became the first Democrat to win the presidency without winning Elliott County since the county was founded in 1869, as well as only the second Democrat to ever lose Elliott County in a presidential election, preceded only by Hillary Clinton four years earlier. This also marks the second consecutive election in which no county in the Eastern Kentucky Coalfield voted Democratic. Furthermore, this is the first time since 1948 that Fayette County, the second-most populous county in the state and home to the city of Lexington, voted to the left of Jefferson County, the most populous county in the state and home to the city of Louisville, in a presidential election.

Primary elections The primary elections were originally scheduled for May 19, 2020. On March 16, they were moved to June 23 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.

Republican primary Incumbent President Donald Trump ran unopposed in the Republican primary. The state had 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.

Democratic primary

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political ReportSeptember 10, 2020Inside ElectionsSeptember 4, 2020Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 14, 2020PoliticoSeptember 8, 2020RCPAugust 3, 2020Niskanen2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020July 26, 2020CNNAugust 3, 2020The EconomistSeptember 2, 2020CBS NewsAugust 16, 2020270towinAugust 2, 2020ABC NewsJuly 31, 2020NPRAugust 3, 2020NBC NewsAugust 6, 2020538September 9, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls +Source of pollaggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoeBiden DonaldTrumpOther/UndecidedMargin270 to WinOctober 17–20, 2020November 3, 202040.0%57.0%3.0%Trump +17.0FiveThirtyEightuntil November 2, 2020November 3, 202039.9%55.6%4.5%Trump +15.7Average40.0%56.3%3.7%Trump +16.4

Polls Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrumpJoeBidenJoJorgensenOtherUndecidedSurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 20 – Nov 2, 20202,009 (LV)± 3%59%40% - – –SwayableOct 23 – Nov 1, 2020383 (LV)± 7.4%55%42%4% – –Bluegrass Community & Technical CollegeOct 12–28, 2020250 (RV) –52%39% – –9%SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–28, 20203,621 (LV) –56%42% – – –Mason-DixonOct 12–15, 2020625 (LV)± 4%56%39% -1%4%SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–30, 20201,479 (LV) –59%39% - –1%Data for Progress (D)Sep 14–19, 2020807 (LV)± 3.5%55% 35% 1% 1% 8%56% 38% - – 6%Quinnipiac UniversitySep 10–14, 20201,164 (LV)± 2.9%58%38% -1%4%SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–31, 20201,231 (LV) –60%38% - –2%Quinnipiac UniversityJul 30 – Aug 3, 2020909 (RV)± 3.3%50%41% -4%5%Morning ConsultJul 24 – Aug 2, 2020793 (LV)± 3.0%59%35% -2%4%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–31, 20201,709 (LV) –62%37% - –1%Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch FundBluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch Fund Jul 25–29, 20203,020 (RV)± 2.0%52%45% - – –Spry Strategies/American Principles ProjectJul 11–16, 2020600 (LV)± 3.7%60%34% - – 6%Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrathJul 7–12, 2020800 (LV) ± 3.5%53%41% - – –SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–30, 2020596 (LV) –60%38% - –2%Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrathJun 2020 – (V) –54%39% - – –Civiqs/Data for ProgressJun 13–15, 2020898 (RV) ± 3.8%57%37% -5%1%Garin-Hart-Yang/Amy McGrathMay 2020 – (V) –57%36% - – –RMG Research/U.S. Term Limits May 21–24, 2020 500 (RV) ± 4.5%53% 36% -6%5%Public Policy Polling May 14–15, 2020 1,104 (V) –55%39% -5%2%Bluegrass Data/Ditch Mitch FundApr 7–12, 20204,000 (RV) –55%34% - – –Fabrizio Ward/AARP Jul 29–31, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 53% 41% - – 4%Gravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 37% - – 6%Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) PeteButtigieg (D) UndecidedGravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) BernieSanders (D) UndecidedGravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 57% 35% 8%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) ElizabethWarren (D) UndecidedGravis Marketing Jun 11–12, 2019 741 (LV) ± 3.6% 60% 28% 12%Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 41% 13%

Results Statewide results

By county

CountyDonald TrumpRepublicanJoe BidenDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Adair7,27682.98%1,39215.88%1001.14%5,88467.10%8,768Allen7,58781.02%1,64217.54%1351.44%5,94563.48%9,364Anderson9,66172.89%3,34825.26%2451.85%6,31347.63%13,254Ballard3,35679.43%82519.53%441.04%2,53159.90%4,225Barren14,65473.04%5,12725.55%2831.41%9,52747.49%20,064Bath3,98670.84%1,57327.95%681.21%2,41342.89%5,627Bell8,14081.04%1,78917.81%1151.15%6,35163.23%10,044Boone44,81466.89%20,90131.20%1,2831.91%23,91335.69%66,998Bourbon6,19064.16%3,29634.16%1621.68%2,89430.00%9,648Boyd14,29565.72%7,08332.56%3731.72%7,21233.16%21,751Boyle8,87261.28%5,29836.59%3082.13%3,57424.69%14,478Bracken3,39880.03%80018.84%481.13%2,59861.19%4,246Breathitt4,26575.34%1,30122.98%951.68%2,96452.36%5,661Breckinridge7,70175.49%2,35023.04%1501.47%5,35152.45%10,201Bullitt30,70873.12%10,55225.13%7381.75%20,15647.99%41,998Butler4,96080.98%1,07917.62%861.40%3,88163.36%6,125Caldwell4,90676.25%1,43322.27%951.48%3,47353.98%6,434Calloway11,35265.03%5,79733.21%3081.76%5,55531.82%17,457Campbell28,48258.27%19,37439.64%1,0222.09%9,10818.63%48,878Carlisle2,15981.84%46317.55%160.61%1,69664.29%2,638Carroll2,95471.42%1,11626.98%661.60%1,83844.44%4,136Carter8,77575.74%2,64222.80%1691.46%6,13352.94%11,586Casey6,17986.17%91812.80%741.03%5,26173.37%7,171Christian15,08063.19%8,29634.77%4872.04%6,78428.42%23,863Clark11,81165.11%6,00433.10%3241.79%5,80732.01%18,139Clay6,67787.96%83110.95%831.09%5,84677.01%7,591Clinton4,28086.78%60312.23%490.99%3,67774.55%4,932Crittenden3,45181.35%73117.23%601.42%2,72064.12%4,242Cumberland2,76983.68%50815.35%320.97%2,26168.33%3,309Daviess31,02562.95%17,28635.07%9761.98%13,73927.88%49,287Edmonson4,82878.73%1,22720.01%771.26%3,60158.72%6,132Elliott2,24674.99%71223.77%371.24%1,53451.22%2,995Estill5,10077.98%1,35520.72%851.30%3,74557.26%6,540Fayette58,86038.49%90,60059.25%3,4522.26%-31,740-20.76%152,912Fleming5,53478.30%1,47420.85%600.85%4,06057.45%7,068Floyd12,25074.91%3,88423.75%2191.34%8,36651.16%16,353Franklin12,90049.48%12,65248.53%5201.99%2480.95%26,072Fulton1,60666.20%79432.73%261.07%81233.47%2,426Gallatin2,95576.77%82221.36%721.87%2,13355.41%3,849Garrard6,75477.58%1,83021.02%1221.40%4,92456.56%8,706Grant8,72578.55%2,20519.85%1781.60%6,52058.70%11,108Graves13,20677.60%3,56020.92%2531.48%9,64656.68%17,019Grayson9,45378.87%2,40020.03%1321.10%7,05358.84%11,985Green4,83883.24%92015.83%540.93%3,91867.41%5,812Greenup13,06471.88%4,87326.81%2391.31%8,19145.07%18,176Hancock3,14568.56%1,35129.45%911.99%1,79439.11%4,587Hardin29,83260.96%18,10136.99%1,0082.05%11,73123.97%48,941Harlan9,36785.38%1,49413.62%1101.00%7,87371.76%10,971Harrison6,33471.50%2,40027.09%1251.41%3,93444.41%8,859Hart6,34575.81%1,90822.80%1171.39%4,43753.01%8,370Henderson12,73061.51%7,63936.91%3281.58%5,09124.60%20,697Henry5,84372.05%2,14226.41%1251.54%3,70145.64%8,110Hickman1,71477.94%45820.83%271.23%1,25657.11%2,199Hopkins15,75773.25%5,43925.28%3161.47%10,31847.97%21,512Jackson5,45389.20%6059.90%550.90%4,84879.30%6,113Jefferson150,64638.84%228,35858.87%8,8662.29%-77,712-20.03%387,870Jessamine17,09665.05%8,56732.60%6172.35%8,52932.45%26,280Johnson8,45082.91%1,60815.78%1341.31%6,84267.13%10,192Kenton48,12958.55%32,27139.26%1,7982.19%15,85819.29%82,198Knott4,78076.46%1,41222.58%600.96%3,36853.88%6,252Knox11,01282.97%2,11415.93%1471.10%8,89867.04%13,273LaRue5,68577.87%1,50420.60%1121.53%4,18157.27%7,301Laurel23,23782.66%4,47515.92%3991.42%18,76266.74%28,111Lawrence5,63380.99%1,23817.80%841.21%4,39563.19%6,955Lee2,27381.15%48117.17%471.68%1,79263.98%2,801Leslie4,32189.78%4469.27%460.95%3,87580.51%4,813Letcher7,22679.10%1,79919.69%1101.21%5,42759.41%9,135Lewis4,98684.75%82313.99%741.26%4,16370.76%5,883Lincoln8,48977.78%2,25420.65%1711.57%7,23557.13%10,914Livingston4,01080.14%93918.76%551.10%3,07161.38%5,004Logan9,06773.42%3,09425.05%1891.53%5,97348.37%12,350Lyon3,10073.32%1,09225.83%360.85%2,00847.49%4,228McCracken21,82065.04%11,19533.37%5341.59%10,62531.67%33,549McCreary5,66487.98%72511.26%490.76%4,93976.72%6,438McLean3,63375.97%1,07422.46%751.57%2,55953.51%4,782Madison27,35662.23%15,58135.45%1,0202.32%11,77526.78%43,957Magoffin4,17476.63%1,21422.29%591.08%2,96054.34%5,447Marion6,11368.47%2,72230.49%931.04%3,39137.98%8,928Marshall13,29775.54%4,07123.13%2351.33%9,22652.41%17,603Martin3,49688.82%40310.24%370.94%3,09378.71%3,936Mason5,47768.82%2,36229.68%1191.50%3,11539.14%7,958Meade10,18572.17%3,63225.74%2962.09%6,55346.43%14,113Menifee2,31174.50%75024.18%411.32%1,56150.32%3,102Mercer8,50672.48%3,03325.85%1961.67%5,47346.63%11,735Metcalfe3,95978.99%97519.45%781.56%2,98459.54%5,012Monroe4,62886.83%65712.33%450.84%3,97174.50%5,330Montgomery8,99370.03%3,63028.27%2191.70%5,36341.76%12,842Morgan4,30177.58%1,17521.19%681.23%3,12656.39%5,544Muhlenberg10,49773.74%3,54524.90%1931.36%6,95248.84%14,235Nelson15,70367.52%7,18830.91%3651.57%8,51536.61%23,256Nicholas2,40870.91%95528.12%330.97%1,45342.79%3,396Ohio8,58277.11%2,40421.60%1431.29%6,17855.51%11,129Oldham22,65459.65%14,50538.20%8172.15%8,14921.45%37,976Owen4,29278.64%1,09820.12%681.24%3,19458.52%5,458Owsley1,67188.13%21611.39%90.48%1,45576.74%1,896Pendleton5,51579.64%1,32219.09%881.27%4,19360.55%6,925Perry8,12976.50%2,35622.17%1411.33%5,77354.33%10,626Pike20,28479.87%4,86619.16%2450.97%15,41860.71%25,395Powell4,04173.41%1,36724.83%971.76%2,67448.58%5,505Pulaski25,44280.62%5,66617.95%4491.43%19,77662.67%31,557Robertson88477.14%25322.08%90.78%63155.06%1,146Rockcastle6,57784.49%1,13414.57%730.94%5,44369.92%7,784Rowan5,99459.55%3,88038.55%1911.90%2,11421.00%10,065Russell7,51983.96%1,33114.86%1051.18%6,18869.10%8,955Scott17,76761.33%10,56736.48%6352.19%7,20024.85%28,969Shelby15,05563.93%8,07734.30%4181.77%6,97829.63%23,550Simpson5,88867.43%2,68130.70%1631.87%3,20736.73%8,732Spencer8,73776.42%2,53022.13%1661.45%6,20754.29%11,433Taylor9,37674.91%2,96323.67%1781.42%6,41351.24%12,517Todd4,06275.74%1,20522.47%961.79%2,85753.27%5,363Trigg5,48774.39%1,79124.28%981.33%3,69650.11%7,376Trimble3,22774.70%1,01223.43%811.87%2,21551.27%4,320Union4,96575.49%1,52923.25%831.26%3,43652.24%6,577Warren31,79157.38%22,47940.58%1,1312.04%9,31216.80%55,401Washington4,48272.00%1,64426.41%991.59%3,83845.59%6,225Wayne7,43080.41%1,70018.40%1101.19%5,73062.01%9,240Webster4,50675.19%1,41223.56%751.25%3,09451.63%5,993Whitley12,56781.84%2,55216.62%2371.54%10,01565.22%15,356Wolfe2,09770.39%83928.16%431.45%1,25842.23%2,979Woodford8,36254.97%6,53042.93%3192.10%1,83212.04%15,211Totals1,326,64662.05%772,47436.13%38,8891.82%554,17225.92%2,138,009

By congressional district