The 2020 United States presidential election in Kansas was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kansas voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump of Florida, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence of Indiana against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden of Delaware, and his running mate Senator Kamala Harris of California. Kansas has six electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Although Trump won the state, Biden's 41.51 percent vote share represented the highest for a Democratic presidential nominee since Barack Obama's performance in 2008 and among the strongest swings to Biden, relative to Hillary Clinton's performance in 2016, in the nation. His 14.63-point defeat represented the first time since 1916, and only the second time ever, that Kansas voted more Democratic than neighboring Missouri, where his margin of defeat was 15.39 points. This trend repeated in 2024, with Kamala Harris's 16 point defeat in Kansas less than her 18.4 point defeat in Missouri.
Per exit polls by the Associated Press, Trump's strength in Kansas came from white voters, who supported Trump by 59%–38%; white voters with college degrees, however, were tied. This result included a 64% showing for Trump among Protestants and a 74% showing among other Christians. Trump's best margin was 72% in rural areas, while Biden's was 52% in suburban counties.
Primary elections Canceled Republican primary
On September 7, 2019, the Kansas Republican Party became one of several state GOP parties to cancel their respective primaries and caucuses officially. Donald Trump's re-election campaign and GOP officials have cited the fact that Republicans canceled several state primaries when George H. W. Bush and George W. Bush sought a second term in 1992 and 2004, respectively; and Democrats scrapped some of their primaries when Bill Clinton and Barack Obama were seeking reelection in 1996 and 2012, respectively. At its state convention held between January 31 and February 1, 2020, the state party voted to formally bind all 39 of its national pledged delegates to Trump.
Democratic primary
The Kansas Democratic primary was conducted entirely by mail. Votes were counted on May 2, 2020. Joe Biden was declared the winner.
General election
Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political ReportSeptember 10, 2020Inside ElectionsSeptember 4, 2020Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 14, 2020PoliticoOctober 16, 2020RCPAugust 3, 2020Niskanen2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.July 26, 2020CNNAugust 3, 2020The EconomistSeptember 2, 2020CBS NewsAugust 16, 2020270towinAugust 2, 2020ABC NewsJuly 31, 2020NPRAugust 3, 2020NBC NewsAugust 6, 2020538November 2, 2020
Polling
Aggregate polls +Source of pollaggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoeBiden DonaldTrumpOther/UndecidedMargin270 to WinOctober 17–22, 2020November 3, 202043.0%51.7%5.3%Trump +8.7FiveThirtyEightuntil November 2, 2020November 3, 202041.0%53.9%5.1%Trump +12.9Average42.0%52.8%5.2%Trump +10.8
Polls Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrumpJoeBidenJoJorgensenOtherUndecidedSurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 20 – Nov 2, 20202,321 (LV)± 3%55%44% – – –Data For ProgressOct 27 – Nov 1, 20201,121 (LV)± 2.9%55%41%3%2% –SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–28, 20203,442 (LV)± 2.5%51%47% – – –PPP/Protect Our CareOct 19–20, 2020897 (V)± 3.3%54%42% – –4%Siena College/NYT UpshotOct 18–20, 2020755 (LV)± 4%48%41%4%2%6%co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PACOct 18–20, 20202,453 (LV)± 3.7%56%39%2% –3%Fort Hays State UniversitySep 21 – Oct 1, 2020306 (RV)± 4.8%52%38% –11% –SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–30, 20201,135 (LV) –52%47% – –1%Civiqs/Daily KosSep 26–29, 2020677 (LV)± 4.5%52%42% –4%1%Data For Progress (D)Sep 14–19, 2020883 (LV)± 3.3%48%42% 3%1%7%49%45% – –6%co/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PACco/efficient/Keep Kansas Great PACSep 15–16, 2020794 (LV)± 3.5%53%41% – – –SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–31, 2020922 (LV) –54%45% – –1%SurveyUSAAug 5–9, 20201,202 (LV)± 3.3%48%41% –5%6%Public Policy PollingAug 5–6, 2020864 (V)± 3.3%50%43% – –7%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–31, 20201,295 (LV) –51%47% – –2%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–30, 2020466 (LV) –53%45% – –2%Civiqs/Daily Kos May 30 – Jun 1, 2020 699 (RV) ± 4.2%52% 40% – 6% 2%The Progress Campaign (D)The Progress Campaign (D) Apr 15–22, 2020 1,632 (LV) ± 4.7%51% 41% – – 8%Public Policy PollingMar 10–11, 20201,567 (V) –52%40% – – 8%DFM ResearchDFM Research Jan 30 – Feb 6, 2020600 (A)±4%51%43% –3%3%Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) MichaelBloomberg (D) Other UndecidedDFM ResearchJan 30 – Feb 6, 2020600 (A)±4%50%43%2%4%
Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) PeteButtigieg (D) UndecidedThe Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2%51% 40% 10%
Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) BernieSanders (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy PollingMar 10–11, 20201,567 (V) –52%40% – 7%The Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2%63% 26% – 11%DFM ResearchJan 30 – Feb 6, 2020600 (A)±4%53%43%2%1%
Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) ElizabethWarren (D) Other UndecidedThe Progress Campaign (D) Feb 17, 2020 572 (RV) ± 5.2%63% 32% – 5%DFM ResearchJan 30 – Feb 6, 2020600 (A)±4%53%41%3%3%
Results
By county
CountyDonald TrumpRepublicanJoe BidenDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Allen4,21871.59%1,57026.65%1041.77%2,64844.94%5,892Anderson2,92977.24%78220.62%812.14%2,14756.62%3,792Atchison4,90665.94%2,35931.71%1752.35%2,54734.23%7,440Barber2,01485.99%29112.43%371.58%1,72373.57%2,342Barton8,60877.20%2,34020.99%2021.64%6,28856.21%11,130Bourbon5,02375.24%1,54123.08%1121.68%3,48252.16%6,676Brown3,26272.96%1,10424.69%1052.35%2,15848.27%4,471Butler22,63469.60%9,18128.23%7052.17%13,45341.37%32,520Chase1,12375.32%34523.14%231.54%77852.18%1,491Chautauqua1,40285.28%21212.90%301.82%1,19072.38%1,644Cherokee6,76673.94%2,19423.98%1912.09%4,57249.96%9,151Cheyenne1,18382.79%22415.68%221.54%95967.11%1,429Clark90484.72%14313.40%201.87%76171.32%1,067Clay3,17775.97%89421.38%1112.65%2,28354.59%4,182Cloud3,24276.05%92021.58%1012.37%2,32254.47%4,263Coffey3,48976.43%96421.12%1122.45%2,52555.31%4,565Comanche76283.19%12613.76%283.06%63669.43%916Cowley9,65667.85%4,27330.03%3022.12%5,38337.83%14,231Crawford10,04560.08%6,17936.96%4942.95%3,86623.12%16,718Decatur1,26084.11%21814.55%201.34%1,04269.56%1,498Dickinson7,12676.22%2,06022.03%1631.74%5,06654.19%9,349Doniphan2,97680.24%68618.50%471.27%2,29061.74%3,709Douglas17,28628.84%40,78568.04%1,8703.12%-23,499-39.20%59,941Edwards1,14179.73%27118.94%191.33%87060.80%1,431Elk1,14083.76%19514.33%261.91%94569.43%1,361Ellis9,75870.42%3,73726.97%3612.61%6,02143.45%13,856Ellsworth2,14875.29%64822.71%572.00%1,50052.58%2,853Finney7,23661.08%4,32536.51%2852.41%2,91124.57%11,846Ford5,80365.09%2,94733.06%1651.85%2,85632.04%8,915Franklin8,47967.96%3,69029.57%3082.47%4,78938.38%12,477Geary5,32355.43%3,98341.48%2973.09%1,34013.95%9,603Gove1,29187.76%16611.28%140.95%1,12576.48%1,471Graham1,08080.78%22817.05%292.17%85263.72%1,337Grant1,93677.41%51820.71%471.88%1,41856.70%2,501Gray1,91183.52%34114.90%361.57%1,57068.62%2,288Greeley54985.65%7812.17%142.18%47173.48%641Greenwood2,44479.43%56918.49%642.08%1,87560.94%3,077Hamilton69881.26%14116.41%202.33%55764.84%859Harper2,16880.96%46117.21%491.83%1,70763.74%2,678Harvey10,18258.52%6,74738.78%4702.70%3,43519.74%17,399Haskell1,12279.57%26819.01%201.42%85460.57%1,410Hodgeman87583.73%15414.74%161.53%72169.00%1,045Jackson4,51768.61%1,88128.57%1862.83%2,63640.04%6,584Jefferson6,33464.75%3,19432.65%2542.60%3,14032.10%9,782Jewell1,38785.20%21213.02%291.78%1,17572.17%1,628Johnson155,63144.54%184,25952.74%9,4962.72%-28,628-8.20%349,386Kearny1,16480.00%26718.35%241.65%89761.65%1,455Kingman3,13079.26%75219.04%671.70%2,37860.22%3,949Kiowa98084.12%15613.39%292.49%82470.73%1,165Labette5,73566.97%2,65531.01%1732.02%3,08035.97%8,563Lane76285.14%11512.85%182.01%64772.29%895Leavenworth21,61059.22%13,88638.05%9942.72%7,72421.17%36,490Lincoln1,28381.25%26616.85%301.90%1,01764.41%1,579Linn4,04880.22%89617.76%1022.02%3,15262.47%5,046Logan1,24985.67%18612.76%231.58%1,06372.91%1,458Lyon7,55053.74%6,05543.10%4443.16%1,49510.64%14,049Marion4,46573.06%1,51624.81%1302.13%2,94948.26%6,111Marshall3,72972.92%1,25924.62%1262.46%2,47048.30%5,114McPherson9,96469.01%4,13428.63%3402.35%5,83040.38%14,438Meade1,52383.45%26314.41%392.14%1,26069.04%1,825Miami12,30868.42%5,24729.17%4342.41%7,06139.25%17,989Mitchell2,50480.75%55817.99%391.26%1,94662.75%3,101Montgomery9,93173.97%3,22824.04%2671.99%6,70349.93%13,426Morris2,12473.27%72925.15%461.59%1,39548.12%2,899Morton1,03486.31%15012.52%141.17%88473.79%1,198Nemaha4,66482.05%92716.31%931.64%3,73765.75%5,684Neosho4,97072.27%1,79626.12%1111.61%3,17446.15%6,877Ness1,33988.50%1499.85%251.65%1,19078.65%1,513Norton2,00783.11%36415.07%441.82%1,64368.03%2,415Osage5,70571.00%2,13626.58%1942.41%3,56944.42%8,035Osborne1,62983.75%28114.45%351.80%1,34869.31%1,945Ottawa2,61081.79%50615.86%752.35%2,10465.94%3,191Pawnee2,04574.66%64323.48%511.86%1,40251.19%2,739Phillips2,41886.95%31811.43%451.62%2,10075.51%2,781Pottawatomie9,45272.25%3,31325.32%3182.43%6,13946.92%13,083Pratt3,10875.13%93322.55%962.32%2,17552.57%4,137Rawlins1,26183.84%21414.23%291.93%1,04769.61%1,504Reno18,44365.73%8,88631.67%7312.61%9,55734.06%28,060Republic2,18282.12%42415.96%511.92%1,75866.16%2,657Rice3,26275.53%96522.34%922.13%2,29753.18%4,319Riley11,61046.12%12,76550.71%7963.16%-1,155-4.59%25,171Rooks2,32586.14%33912.56%351.30%1,98673.58%2,699Rush1,35080.50%29517.59%321.91%1,05562.91%1,677Russell2,79080.47%60017.31%772.22%2,19063.17%3,467Saline15,72263.85%8,21433.36%6882.79%7,50830.49%24,624Scott2,01485.56%29912.70%411.74%1,71572.85%2,354Sedgwick122,41654.44%95,87042.64%6,5762.92%26,54611.80%224,862Seward3,37263.69%1,83334.62%891.68%1,53929.07%5,294Shawnee40,44346.96%43,01549.95%2,6643.09%-2,572-2.99%86,122Sheridan1,28288.72%14710.17%161.11%1,13578.55%1,445Sherman2,26983.20%39614.52%622.27%1,87368.68%2,727Smith1,76382.81%33615.78%301.41%1,42767.03%2,129Stafford1,64580.88%35717.55%321.57%1,28863.32%2,034Stanton61479.12%14819.07%141.80%46660.05%776Stevens1,76086.66%23711.67%341.67%1,52374.99%2,031Sumner8,10574.17%2,59123.71%2322.12%5,51450.46%10,928Thomas3,13082.15%62516.40%551.44%2,50565.75%3,810Trego1,36383.62%24214.85%251.53%1,12168.77%1,630Wabaunsee2,84572.91%96424.71%932.38%1,88148.21%3,902Wallace77093.33%445.33%111.33%72688.00%825Washington2,36381.96%47516.48%451.56%1,88865.49%2,883Wichita80883.47%14915.39%111.14%65968.08%968Wilson3,15379.74%72318.29%781.97%2,43061.46%3,954Woodson1,22879.43%29419.02%241.55%93460.41%1,546Wyandotte18,93433.18%36,78864.46%1,3492.36%-17,854-31.28%57,071Totals771,40656.00%570,32341.40%35,7552.60%201,08314.60%1,377,484
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Johnson (largest municipality: Overland Park) Riley (largest municipality: Manhattan) Shawnee (largest municipality: Topeka)
By congressional district Trump won three of Kansas' four congressional districts. District Trump Biden Representative69.7%28.1%Roger MarshallTracey Mann 56.3% 41.3%Steve WatkinsJake LaTurner 43.7% 54.3%Sharice Davids 59.7% 38%Ron Estes
Analysis