2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida

The 2020 United States House of Representatives elections in Florida were held on November 3, 2020, to elect the 27 U.S. representatives from Florida, one from each of the state's 27 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the U.S. Senate, and various state and local elections.

In what was considered an upset, the Republican Party retook the two seats that it lost to the Democrats in 2018, expanding its 14–13 majority to 16–11.

Statewide

District 1

The 1st district encompasses the western Panhandle, and includes all of Escambia, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa, and Walton counties, as well as part of Holmes County. The district includes the cities of Pensacola, Fort Walton Beach, and Navarre. Republican Matt Gaetz, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Matt Gaetz, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Greg Merk, retired United States Air Force officer John Mills, retired United States Navy pilot and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2016 and 2018

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Phil Ehr, retired United States Navy commander and candidate for Florida's 1st congressional district in 2018

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared Albert Oram, lawyer

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 FiveThirtyEight October 15, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

County results Source

Matt GaetzRepublican Phil EhrDemocratic Albert OramIndependent Margin Total County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % VotesEscambia93,07855.10%73,58243.56%2,2681.34%19,49611.54%168,928Holmes4,99288.07%58710.36%891.57%4,40577.72%5,668Okaloosa78,03567.93%34,96630.44%1,8771.63%43,06937.49%114,878Santa Rosa75,07570.87%29,48327.83%1,3801.30%45,59243.04%105,938Walton32,17274.56%10,55424.46%4240.98%21,61850.10%43,150

District 2

The 2nd district is located in northern Florida taking in portions of the Panhandle and the Big Bend, including all or parts of 19 counties. The district includes the cities of Panama City, Marianna, and Lake City. Republican Neal Dunn, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 67% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary Candidates Declared Neal Dunn, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary Candidates Withdrawn Willie Anderson, priest Connor Oswald, teacher Kristy Thripp, activist

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared Kim O'Connor (write-in), candidate for Leon County commission in 2018

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 FiveThirtyEight October 15, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

County results Source

Neal DunnRepublican Kim O'ConnorIndependent Margin Total County Votes % Votes % Votes % VotesBay76,99798.26%1,3661.74%75,63196.51%78,363Calhoun5,66299.74%150.26%5,64799.47%5,677Columbia24,29398.91%2681.09%24,02597.82%24,561Dixie6,99399.42%410.58%6,95298.83%7,034Franklin5,22097.46%1362.54%5,08494.92%5,356Gilchrist8,48499.11%760.89%8,40898.22%8,560Gulf6,80698.92%741.08%6,73297.85%6,880Holmes2,96899.43%170.57%2,95198.86%2,985Jackson18,26299.23%1410.77%18,12198.47%18,403Jefferson58698.16%111.84%57596.31%597Lafayette3,30799.40%200.60%3,28798.80%3,327Leon47,29493.35%3,3696.65%43,92586.70%50,663Levy18,95999.04%1830.96%18,77698.09%19,142Liberty2,97399.63%110.37%2,96299.27%2,984Marion24,88898.50%3791.50%24,50997.00%25,267Suwannee17,97199.14%1560.86%17,81598.28%18,127Taylor8,54199.22%670.78%8,47498.44%8,608Wakulla14,51497.76%3322.24%14,18295.53%14,846Washington10,619100.00%00.00%10,619100.00%10,619

District 3

The 3rd district is located in North Central Florida, and includes Alachua, Clay, Putnam, Bradford, and Union counties, as well as most of Marion County. The district includes the cities of Gainesville, Palatka, and Ocala. Republican Ted Yoho, who had represented the district since 2013, was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2018. On December 10, 2019, Yoho announced he would not run for re-election, honoring his pledge that he would only serve four terms.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Kat Cammack, deputy chief of staff for U.S. representative Ted Yoho

Eliminated in primary Ryan Chamberlin, author Todd Chase, former Gainesville city commissioner Bill Engelbrecht, healthcare executive Joe Millado, businessman and former congressional aide Gavin Rollins, Clay County commissioner Judson Sapp, businessman and candidate for this district in 2018 James St. George, physician David Theus, business consultant Amy Pope Wells, businesswoman

Withdrawn Ed Braddy, former mayor of Gainesville Kent Guinn, mayor of Ocala

Declined Rob Bradley, state senator Keith Perry, state senator Ted Yoho, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KatCammack RyanChamberlin ToddChase James St.George KeithPerry GavinRollins JudsonSapp Amy PopeWells Other UndecidedMeer ResearchMeer Research August 6–8, 2020 317 (RV) ± 5.75%25% 3% 6% 13% – 11% 15% 3% 4% 20%WPA IntelligenceWPA Intelligence June 16–17, 2020 405 (RV) ± 4.9% 10% 1% 5% 4% – 1%12% 1% 5%60%Americana Analytics/Judson SappAmericana Analytics/Judson SappReleased April 20, 2020400 (V)± 5%3% – – – –4%16% – – >70%Clearview ResearchClearview Research December 16–17, 2019 401 (LV) – – – – –35% – 9% 2% 6%48%

with Ted Yoho Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error GavinRollins JudsonSapp AmyPope Wells TedYoho UndecidedMeer ResearchMeer Research November 20, 2019 533 (RV) ± 4.24% 8% 2% 3%71% 16%

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Adam Christensen, businessman

Eliminated in primary Philip Dodds, sales manager and candidate for this district in 2012 Tom Wells, physicist and candidate for this district in 2018

Endorsements

Primary results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 FiveThirtyEight October 15, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

County results Source

Kat CammackRepublican Adam ChristensenDemocratic Margin Total County Votes % Votes % Votes % VotesAlachua52,91437.86%86,85762.14%-33,943-24.28%139,771Bradford9,96575.11%3,30224.89%6,66350.22%13,267Clay84,22168.89%38,04031.11%46,18137.77%122,261Marion46,09762.94%27,14137.06%18,95625.88%73,238Putnam24,91669.69%10,83530.31%14,08139.39%35,751Union4,96281.17%1,15118.83%3,81162.34%6,113

District 4

The 4th district is located in the First Coast region, and includes all of Nassau County, as well as parts of Duval and St. Johns counties. The district includes the cities of Jacksonville, St. Augustine, and Fernandina Beach. Republican John Rutherford, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee John Rutherford, incumbent U.S. representativehttps://docquery.fec.gov/cgibin/forms/H6FL04105/1313401/

Eliminated in primary Erick Aguilar, professor and United States Navy veteran

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Donna Deegan, former news anchor for First Coast News

Withdrawn Monica DePaul, author

Endorsements

Independent and third-party candidates

Independents

Declared Gary Koniz (write-in), retired journalist and perennial candidate

General election Debate + 2020 Florida's 4th congressional district debate Date Host Moderator Link Republican DemocraticKey: Participant  Absent  Not invited  Invited Withdrawn John Rutherford Donna Deegan1 Oct. 14, 2020 WJXT Kent JusticeYouTube

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 FiveThirtyEight October 15, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JohnRutherford (R) DonnaDeegan (D) Other UndecidedUniversity of North FloridaUniversity of North Florida October 1–4, 2020 863 (LV) ± 3.3%57% 38% 5% 0%St. Pete Polls/Florida PoliticsSt. Pete Polls/Florida Politics September 2, 2020 1,037 (LV) –62%35% –3%

Results

County results Source

John RutherfordRepublican Donna DeeganDemocratic Gary KonizIndependent Margin Total County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % VotesDuval169,85257.51%125,49842.49%170.01%44,35415.08%295,367Nassau42,04572.16%16,22522.84%00.00%25,82044.31%58,270St. Johns96,60063.85%54,70036.15%30.00%41,90027.69%151,303

District 5

The 5th district stretches along the northern border of Florida, and includes all of Baker, Gadsden, Hamilton and Madison counties, as well as parts of Columbia, Duval, Jefferson, and Leon counties. The district includes the city of Quincy, as well as parts of Tallahassee and Jacksonville. The district is majority-minority. Democrat Al Lawson, who had represented the district since 2017, was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2018.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Al Lawson, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Albert Chester, pharmacist LaShonda "LJ" Holloway, former congressional aide and candidate for this district in 2016

Endorsements

Primary results

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Gary Adler, community activist

Eliminated in primary Roger Wagoner, businessman

Primary results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 FiveThirtyEight October 15, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

County results Source

Al LawsonDemocratic Gary AdlerRepublican Margin Total County Votes % Votes % Votes % VotesBaker2,47617.94%11,32982.06%-8,853-64.13%13,805Columbia2,03353.63%1,75846.37%2757.25%3,791Duval127,31166.83%63,19333.17%64,11833.66%190,504Gadsden16,78370.94%6,87529.06%9,90841.88%23,658Hamilton2,13337.34%3,57962.66%-1,446-25.32%5,712Jefferson3,80049.73%3,84150.27%-41-0.54%7,641Leon60,93773.76%21,67426.24%39,26347.53%82,611Florida3,99043.13%5,26156.87%-1,271-13.74%9,251

District 6

The 6th district encompasses the Halifax area, including all of Flagler and Volusia counties, as well as parts of St. Johns and Lake counties. The district includes the cities of Daytona Beach, Palm Coast, and DeLand. Republican Michael Waltz, who had represented the district since 2019, was elected with 56% of the vote in 2018.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Michael Waltz, incumbent U.S. representative

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Clint Curtis, lawyer and nominee for California's 4th congressional district in 2010

Eliminated in primary Richard Thripp, professor

Primary results

Independent and third-party candidates Independents Declared Gerry Nolan (write-in), businessman

Independent Democrats

Declared

Alan Grayson (write-in), former U.S. representative for Florida's 9th congressional district and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report July 2, 2020 FiveThirtyEight October 15, 2020 Inside Elections June 2, 2020 Sabato's Crystal Ball July 2, 2020PoliticoApril 19, 2020Daily Kos June 3, 2020RCPJune 9, 2020NiskanenJune 7, 2020

Results

County results Source