Opinion polling for the 2024 Belgian elections

In the run up to the 2024 Belgian federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Belgium. The results of nationwide polls are usually numerically split into the three Belgian regions: Flanders, Brussels and Wallonia. Federal seat projections for the Chamber of Representatives are presented together under these regional polls. The federal election was part of a group of elections which also include the regional elections and the European elections held on the same day. Some polls might be undefined voting intentions without differentiating between the elections.

Flanders Federal

The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Flemish Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Flemish Region. Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size NVA VB cd&v Open Vld Vooruit Groen PVDA Others Lead 9 June 2024Federal election25.6% 21.8% 12.8% 8.8% 13.0% 7.5% 8.2% 2.3% 3.8% 42.1% 57.9% 3 – 4 June 2024Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws 2,000 21.0% 25.8% 12.3% 7.0% 15.6% 6.1% 10.2% 2.0% 4.8% 41.0% 59.0% 28 – 31 May 2024Cluster17RTL 1,140 19.6% 27.2% 12.0% 9.2% 13.0% 6.9% 9.3% 2.8% 7.6% 41.1% 58.2% 14 – 20 May 2024Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 2,000 20.6% 26.8% 12.2% 8.2% 14.3% 6.6% 8.9% 2.4% 6.2% 41.3% 58.7% 8 - 18 Apr 2024Kantar La Libre Belgique / RTBF 1016 20.9% 26.0% 11.6% 10.4% 11.5% 6.0% 12.2% 1.4% 5.1% 39.5% 60.5% 11 – 18 Mar 2024Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 20.4% 27.4% 13.1% 8.3% 11.4% 7.8% 9.5% 2.1% 7.0% 40.6% 59.4% 22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024Kantar Knack / Le Vif 1,077 20.6% 25.5% 10.5% 8.0% 14.7% 8.7% 10.9% 1.1% 4.9% 41.8% 58.2% 9 – 22 Jan 2024iVox Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL 2,000 22.7% 26.6% 12.3% 7.6% 12.8% 7.4% 9.3% 1.4% 3.9% 42.6% 57.4% 4 – 11 Dec 2023Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 22.0% 25.1% 11.7% 7.1% 13.8% 9.2% 9.7% 1.4% 3.1% 41.8% 58.2% 23 Nov – 28 Nov 2023iVox Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL 1,000 22.0% 26.5% 11.6% 8.8% 14.3% 7.1% 8.7% 0.9% 4.5% 41.7% 58.3% 10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023Kantar La Libre Belgique / RTBF 566 20.4% 23.3% 13.9% 7.9% 16.1% 8.2% 8.8% 1.4% 2.9% 46.1% 53.9% 18 – 25 Sep 2023Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 20.2% 25.8% 12.2% 8.2% 15.4% 6.4% 9.5% 2.3% 5.6% 42.2% 57.8% 7% 29 May – 6 Jun 2023Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 21.8% 22.7% 10.7% 8.3% 16.8% 7.6% 10.3% 1.8% 0.9% 43.4% 56.6% 20 – 27 Mar 2023Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 21.6% 25.0% 11.8% 9.2% 15.5% 7.4% 8.0% 1.5% 3.4% 43.9% 56.1% 16 – 29 Jan 2023Kantar La Libre Belgique 514 21.5% 24.8% 9.6% 12.1% 15.2% 10.3% 5.7% 0.9% 3.3% 46.9% 53.1% 21 – 29 Nov 2022Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,001 22.0% 25.5% 9.6% 9.3% 16.1% 8.7% 7.4% 1.4% 3.5% 43.7% 56.3% 7 – 13 Sep 2022Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 21.5% 21.6% 9.9% 11.1% 16.8% 8.6% 8.7% 1.8% 0.1% 46.4% 53.6% 6 – 14 Jun 2022Ipsos VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,008 24.9% 22.6% 10.2% 9.3% 14.8% 7.9% 8.5% 1.8% 2.3% 42.2% 57.8% 15 – 22 Mar 2022IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,007 23.4% 22.2% 11.3% 9.8% 14.2% 8.4% 8.9% 1.8% 1.2% 43.7% 56.3% 1 – 8 Dec 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 988 21.6% 24.5% 10.7% 10.3% 13.9% 8.4% 8.9% 1.7% 2.9% 43.3% 56.7% 7 – 14 Sep 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 21.2% 23.6% 12.6% 11.4% 12.3% 9.6% 7.7% 1.6% 2.4% 45.9% 54.1% 25 May – 1 Jun 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,002 21.8% 26.1% 10.0% 11.4% 12.6% 8.3% 7.8% 2.0% 4.3% 42.3% 57.7% 29 Mar – 19 Apr 2021TNSVRT / De Standaard 1,908 21.5% 24.7% 10.0% 11.5% 12.0% 10.9% 7.9% 1.4% 3.2% 44.4% 55.5% 4 – 9 Mar 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,006 20.0% 23.6% 13.2% 12.9% 12.3% 8.2% 8.2% 1.6% 3.6% 46.6% 53.4% 2 – 8 Dec 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,007 19.9% 26.3% 12.4% 12.0% 13.6% 8.1% 6.6% 1.1% 6.4% 46.1% 53.9% 2 – 8 Oct 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,001 22.2% 27.1% 10.6% 10.9% 13.7% 7.6% 6.0% 1.9% 4.9% 42.8% 57.2% 1 Oct 2020De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)10 – 15 Jun 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 951 20.0% 27.7% 11.8% 10.0% 12.5% 9.4% 7.3% 1.3% 7.7% 43.7% 56.3% 9 – 28 Apr 2020TNSVRT / De Standaard 2,040 20.3% 24.5% 11.9% 11.6% 11.0% 11.1% 8.2% 1.4% 4.2% 45.6% 54.4% 4 – 9 Mar 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir / De Morgen 958 20.7% 28.0% 11.7% 10.3% 9.6% 8.8% 9.3% 1.9% 7.3% 40.4% 59.6% 29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019ESOMARVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 999 22.1% 27.3% 11.4% 9.9% 8.9% 10.7% 8.4% 1.3% 5.2% 40.9% 59.1% 2–10 Sep 2019ESOMARVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 22.7% 24.9% 11.7% 13.3% 8.4% 11.0% 6.2% 1.8% 2.2% 44.4% 55.6% 26 May 2019Federal election25.5% 18.6% 14.2% 13.5% 10.8% 9.8% 5.6% 1.9% 6.9% 48.3% 51.6%

Regional Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size NVA VB cd&v Open Vld Vooruit Groen PVDA Others Lead 23 Apr – 3 May 2024iVox OVV 1,579 21.4% 26.3% 12.5% 7.7% 13.5% 8.2% 8.8% 1.7% 4.9% 41.9% 58.1% 8 – 22 Jan 2024Kantar VRT / De Standaard 2,029 18.9% 27.8% 11.3% 9.0% 13.7% 8.2% 10.7% 0.5% 8.9% 39.2% 60.8% 10.1% 23 Nov – 28 Nov 2023iVox Het Nieuwsblad / GVA / HBVL 1,000 21.3% 27.5% 12.9% 8.7% 13.2% 6.9% 8.5% 0.9% 6.2% 42.9% 57.1% 13 – 23 Mar 2023VUB, UAVRT / De Standaard 2,092 21.0% 24.6% 9.2% 9.3% 16.9% 7.9% 9.5% 1.6% 3.6% 39.5% 60.5% 14 – 31 Mar 2022VUB, UAVRT / De Standaard 2,064 22.4% 22.9% 8.7% 10.2% 15.5% 9.4% 9.1% 1.8% 0.5% 41.3% 58.7% 26 May 2019Regional election24.8% 18.5% 15.4% 13.1% 10.4% 10.1% 5.3% 2.4% 6.3% 53.3% 46.7%

Wallonia The graph and the table below show the results for the opinion polls conducted in the Walloon Region, as well as for polls conducted nationwide the part of the results related to the Walloon Region.

Date(s) conducted Polling firm Publisher Sample size PS MR Ecolo PTB LE DéFI Others Lead 28 – 31 May 2024Cluster17RTL 1,000 23.9% 23.0% 8.0% 16.0% 17.9% 4.0% 7.2% 0.9% 54.9% 45.1% 14 – 20 May 2024IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 22.6% 22.6% 8.8% 14.5% 18.1% 4.3% 9.1% 0.0% 54.0% 46.0% 8 - 18 Apr 2024Kantar La Libre Belgique, RTBF 1004 25.4% 20.8% 12.7% 16.0% 13.9% 4.2% 7.0% 4.6% 58.9% 41.1% 11 – 18 Mar 2024IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 21.3% 20.5% 11.9% 14.9% 16.8% 4.8% 9.8% 0.8% 53.7% 46.3% 22 Jan – 8 Feb 2024Kantar Knack / Le Vif 1,004 24.3% 19.9% 13.8% 18.4% 13.2% 4.1% 6.4% 3.1% 58.0% 42.0% 4 – 11 Dec 2023IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 23.9% 20.0% 14.0% 14.0% 13.8% 3.9% 10.4% 3.9% 57.9% 42.1% 10 Sep – 9 Oct 2023Kantar La Libre Belgique, RTBF 436 27.2% 20.6% 11.6% 19.2% 11.1% 4.5% 5.8% 6.6% 59.4% 41.6% 18 – 25 Sep 2023IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 21.8% 19.7% 14.9% 19.8% 13.8% 2.7% 7.3% 2.0% 56.4% 43.6% 29 May – 6 Jun 2023IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 25.7% 19.8% 12.7% 18.9% 10.3% 3.8% 8.8% 5.9% 58.2% 41.8% 20 – 27 Mar 2023IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,000 25.5% 18.5% 12.8% 17.6% 11.1% 4.9% 9.6% 7.0% 56.8% 43.2% 16 – 29 Jan 2023KantarLa Libre Belgique 502 25.8% 19.7% 11.3% 20.1% 9.3% 5.4% 8.5% 5.7% 56.8% 43.2% 21 – 29 Nov 2022IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,002 23.7% 20.4% 13.1% 17.9% 9.1% 5.3% 10.5% 3.3% 57.2% 42.8% 7 – 13 Sep 2022IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,002 22.9% 22.0% 13.6% 18.4% 9.1% 5.6% 8.0% 0.9% 58.5% 41.5% 6 – 14 Jun 2022IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,008 25.3% 19.2% 14.4% 19.1% 8.8% 4.2% 9.0% 5.9% 58.9% 41.1% 15 – 22 Mar 2022IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,009 22.4% 20.1% 15.0% 19.7% 9.5% 3.7% 9.4% 2.3% 57.7% 42.5% 1 – 8 Dec 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 961 24.9% 22.3% 15.5% 18.2% 8.0% 4.2% 9.9% 2.6% 62.7% 37.3% 7 – 14 Sep 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 930 21.4% 20.3% 16.7% 18.7% 10.0% 5.1% 7.8% 1.1% 58.4% 41.6% 25 May – 1 Jun 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 992 24.0% 18.7% 15.0% 19.1% 10.8% 5.1% 7.3% 4.9% 57.7% 42.3% 4 – 9 Mar 2021IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 958 22.8% 20.1% 16.4% 19.0% 8.7% 3.9% 9.1% 2.7% 59.3% 40.7% 2 – 8 Dec 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 995 23.2% 20.6% 15.6% 17.2% 10.3% 3.7% 9.7% 2.6% 59.4% 40.6% 2 – 8 Oct 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 1,001 21.1% 19.2% 17.8% 18.9% 9.7% 3.8% 9.5% 1.9% 58.1% 41.9% 1 Oct 2020De Croo Government formed with Open Vld, sp.a (currently named Vooruit), cd&v, Groen (Flemish), MR, PS and Ecolo (Francophone)10 – 15 Jun 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 986 23.7% 20.5% 15.1% 18.7% 8.1% 4.7% 9.2% 3.2% 59.3% 40.7% 4 – 9 Mar 2020IpsosVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir / De Morgen 974 25.5% 19.6% 15.5% 18.6% 7.5% 5.1% 8.2% 5.9% 60.6% 39.4% 29 Nov – 6 Dec 2019ESOMARVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 983 23.8% 20.5% 17.2% 16.5% 8.8% 4.7% 8.5% 3.3% 61.5% 38.5% 2–10 Sep 2019ESOMARVTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir 992 22.9% 22.6% 16.2% 15.5% 8.5% 5.0% 9.3% 0.3% 61.7% 38.3% 26 May 2019Federal election26.1% 20.5% 14.9% 13.8% 10.7% 4.1% 9.9% 5.6% 61.5% 38.5%

Brussels The graph and the table below show polling results in the Brussels Region (which may be part of a larger, nationwide poll). In September 2022, only polling results for Francophone parties were published for polls conducted for VTM / Het Laatste Nieuws / RTL / Le Soir.