Opinion polling for the 2015 French departmental elections

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2015 French departmental elections, which were held in two rounds on 22 and 29 March 2015.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

National First round Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize EXG FG EELV PS DVG MoDem UDI UMP DVD FN DIV 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 49.83% 0.07% 6.10% 2.03% 21.46% 7.10% 0.64% 1.29% 27.46% 7.21% 25.24% 1.40% Ifop-Fiducial 18–19 Mar 2015 1,132 53% <0.5% 6% 3% 20% 4% 29% 6% 30% 2% OpinionWay 17–19 Mar 2015 2,274 54% – 6% 3% 22% 4% 0.5% 0.5% 29% 4% 29% 2% Harris Interactive 17–18 Mar 2015 1,015 – <0.5% 7% 2% 19% 5% 1% 28% 8% 29% 1% CSA 16–18 Mar 2015 979 56% <0.5% 7% 3% 20% 4% 3% 27% 5% 28% 3% Ipsos 16–17 Mar 2015 1,038 54% – 7% 2% 21% 5% 0.5% (DVD) 30% 4% 29% 1.5% Ifop 11–13 Mar 2015 1,473 54% <0.5% 6% 3% 19% 5% <0.5% 29% 5% 30% 3% Harris Interactive 10–11 Mar 2015 1,020 – 0.5% 7% 3% 26% 0.5% 32% 29% 2% Odoxa 5–6 Mar 2015 880 – 1% 8% 4% 20% – 29% – 31% 7% Harris Interactive 3–5 Mar 2015 1,030 – 1% 6% 4% 21% 3% 28% 30% 7% OpinionWay 3–5 Mar 2015 977 56% – 7% 2% 21% 5% 1% 1% 29% 5% 28% 1% CSA 2–4 Mar 2015 965 58% <0.5% 6% 2% 21% 4% 5% 25% 5% 29% 3% Odoxa 26–27 Feb 2015 807 – 2% 9% 4% 19% – 27% – 33% 6% Ifop 19–20 Feb 2015 918 57% 2% 6% 7% 20% – – 28% – 30% 7% Ifop-Fiducial 11–13 Feb 2015 900 – 2% 7% 6% 21% – 6% 27% – 29% 2% BVA 29–30 Jan 2015 1,028 – 2% 9% 7% 18% 8% 5% 25% – 26% – Odoxa 22–23 Jan 2015 1,015 – 1% 10% 7% 20% 6% 7% 23% – 26% – Odoxa 11–12 Dec 2014 1,002 – 2% 9% 7% 17% 5% 7% 25% – 28% –

By second round configuration The Ifop poll conducted from 23 to 24 March 2015 tested hypotheses in cantons in which specific configurations were present in the second round; the sample size provided represents the entire poll and not that within each configuration.

Left–right–FN Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Left Right FN Odoxa 11–12 Dec 2014 1,002 – 32% 39% 29% Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 – 35% 34% 31% Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 – 37% 41% 22%

Left–right Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Left Right Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 – 44% 56% Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 – 42% 58%

Left–FN Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Left FN Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 – 54% 46% Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 – 60% 40%

Right–FN Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Right FN Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 – 63% 37% Harris Interactive 22 Mar 2015 991 – 71% 29%

Departmental projections The departmental projections below were constructed for the 93 departments of metropolitan France excluding Corse-du-Sud and Haute-Corse.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Left Right Hung 2015 election 29 Mar 2015 29 64 0 OpinionWay 27 Mar 2015 27 61 5 OpinionWay 23 Mar 2015 25 63 5 OpinionWay 22 Mar 2015 19 71 3 OpinionWay 19 Mar 2015 20 66 7

Cantonal projections Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Left Right FN OpinionWay 27 Mar 2015 – 750–800 1100–1150 60–100 Ifop 23–24 Mar 2015 1,902 560–680 970–1110 50–110

Aisne Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize FG/PCF PS/DVG UMP/UDI FN DIV 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 46.73% 2.63% 28.92% 29.60% 38.67% 0.17% Odoxa 6–10 Mar 2015 814 – 7% 20% 24% 41% 8%

Dordogne Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize FG/PCF PS/PRG DVG/EELV UMP/UDI/MoDem DVD FN 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 39.96% 10.40% 33.67% 4.44% 19.94% 10.18% 21.37% Ifop 11–12 Mar 2015 804 48% 10% 22% 10% 26% 7% 25%

Gard Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize FG PS DVG/EELV UMP/UDI/MoDem DVD/DLF FN 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 46.02% 11.77% 15.78% 9.62% 22.21% 3.48% 35.54% Ifop 16–17 Mar 2015 604 52% 10% 16% 9% 25% 7% 33%

Gironde Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize FG PS/DVG EELV UMP/UDI/MoDem/CPNT DVD FN 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 49.45% 8.05% 33.05% 2.60% 31.84% 1.22% 22.78% Ifop 13–14 Mar 2015 802 50% 7% 24% 11% 28% 9% 21%

Landes Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize FG PS EELV UMP/UDI/MoDem FN 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 42.80% 7.85% 38.79% 1.62% 32.63% 18.67% Ifop 11–12 Mar 2015 802 50% 11% 28% 6% 32% 23%

Pyrénées-Orientales Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS DVG/FG/EELV UMP/UDI FN DIV 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 42.80% 25.02% 7.97% 23.65% 31.42% 11.95% Ifop 16–17 Mar 2015 604 48% 22% 10% 30% 33% 5%

Essonne Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize FG/PCF PS UMP/UDI DVD FN DIV 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 52.58% 5.08% 31.47% 31.57% 8.32% 22.71% 0.85% PollingVox 19 Mar 2015 – – 11% 23% 31% 5% 23% 7% Odoxa 3–5 Mar 2015 807 – 16% 22% 25% 9% 20% 8%

Val-de-Marne Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize FG/PCF PS/DVG EELV UMP/UDI FN 2015 election 22 Mar 2015 – 55.56% 17.20% 21.95% 6.21% 33.33% 17.21% Odoxa 11–13 Mar 2015 813 – 23% 19% 8% 31% 19%

External links Notices of the French polling commission