This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2002 French legislative elections, which were held in two rounds on 9 and 16 June 2002.

Unless otherwise noted, all polls listed below are compliant with the regulations of the national polling commission (Commission nationale des sondages) and utilize the quota method.

Graphical summary The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the six major French pollsters. The graphs are smoothed 14-day weighted moving averages, using only the most recent poll conducted by any given pollster within that range (each poll weighted based on recency).

First round The BVA poll conducted in October 1998 tested Ecology Generation (GE).

The Ipsos poll of 125 constituencies was conducted in seven categories of constituencies: 36 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 10 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, 21 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the left, 4 constituencies with left-FN duels won by the left in 1997 where the right improved upon its score and could this advance to the second round in 2002, 34 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 7 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, and 13 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the right.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize LO LCR EXG PCF PR/MDC PS PRG/MRG DVG LV ECO CPNT UDF UMP/RPR DL DVD RPF MPF FN MNR/MN EXD REG DIV 2002 election 9 Jun 2002 – 35.58% 1.18% 1.24% 0.32% 4.91% 1.19% 23.78% 1.51% 1.38% 4.44% 1.15% 1.64% 4.79% 33.37% 0.42% 3.89% 0.36% 0.79% 11.12% 1.08% 0.25% 0.36% 0.84% CSA 5–6 Jun 2002 1,004 – 3% 6% 1% 24.5% – 4.5% – 3% 4% 29% 2% 1.5% 15% 1.5% – – 5% Ipsos 5 Jun 2002 1,014 – 3.5% 6% 2% 25% 5% 1% 3% 4% 32% 4% – – 12% 1% – – 1.5% Ipsos 31 May–3 Jun 2002 1,869 – 4% 5.5% 2% 24% 5% 1% 2% 4.5% 32% 3.5% – – 13% 1.5% – – 2% Sofres 31 May–1 Jun 2002 1,000 – 3% 5% 2% 25.5% 6% – – 5% 31% 5% 13% 1.5% – – 3% Ifop 30–31 May 2002 950 – 4.5% 5% 2% 24.5% – 5% 1% – 36% 4% – – 13% 1% – – 4% Ipsos 24–27 May 2002 1,816 – 4% 6% 1.5% 24% 5% 1% 3% 4% 32% 3% – – 13% 1.5% – – 2% Sofres 24–25 May 2002 1,000 – 3.5% 5% 2% 24.5% 6% – – 4% 34% 3% 13% 1.5% – – 3.5% BVA 23–25 May 2002 667 – 3% 6% 2% 26% 6% 1% 4% 6% 27% 5% – – 13% 1% – – – Ipsos 17–18 May 2002 951 – 3% 6% 1.5% 24% 7% 0.5% 2% 4% 35% 1% – – 14% 2% – – – Sofres 17–18 May 2002 1,000 – 2.5% 5% 2% 28% 5.5% – – 5% 31% 3.5% 11.5% 1.5% – – 4.5% CSA 15–16 May 2002 1,005 – 3% 6% 2% 25% – 4% – 3% 35% – 3% 13% 2% – – 4% Ipsos 10–11 May 2002 894 – 3% 7% 3% 25% 7% 0.5% – 41% – – 12% 1.5% – – – CSA 5 May 2002 1,004 – 3% 6% 1% 27% – 5% – 3% 35% – 3% 11% 2% – – 4% BVA 28–30 Mar 2002 684 – 7% 7% – 28% 6% 3% – 5% 23% 4% – 2% – 15% – – – BVA 28 Feb–2 Mar 2002 708 – 7% 7% – 30% 5% 3% – 5% 24% 3% – 3% – 13% – – – Louis Harris 1–2 Feb 2002 844 – 8% 6% – 28% 11% 4% – 9% 18% 6% – 1% – 9% – – – BVA 31 Jan–2 Feb 2002 821 – 6.5% 6.5% – 28% 6% 4% – 6% 22% 4% – 4% – 13% – – – Louis Harris 4–5 Jan 2002 1,003 – 7% 6% – 28% 10% 5% – 7% 22% 3% – 2% – 10% – – – BVA 2–5 Jan 2002 720 – 6% 6% – 30% 9% 3% – 6% 21% 4% – 4% – 11% – – – BVA 29 Nov–1 Dec 2001 653 – 4% 7% – 27% 10% 4% – 4% 23% 4% – 4% – 13% – – – BVA 25–27 Oct 2001 661 – 6% 6% – 27% 10% 2% – 5% 25% 3% – 4% – 12% – – – BVA 27–29 Sep 2001 764 – 5% 7% – 28% 8% 3% – 6% 22% 4% – 4% – 13% – – – BVA 30 Aug–1 Sep 2001 678 – 6% 6% – 28% 9% 4% – 7% 22% 4% – 5% – 9% – – – BVA 5–7 Jul 2001 917 – 6% 8% – 31% 8% 5% – 6% 21% 3% – 3% – 9% – – – BVA 14–16 Jun 2001 682 – 7% 7% – 30% 9% 3% – 6% 20% 3% – 6% – 9% – – – BVA 10–12 May 2001 645 – 5% 8% – 29% 10% 4% – 7% 21% 3% – 4% – 9% – – – BVA 20–21 Apr 2001 738 – 5% 7% – 28% 12% 3% – 7% 20% 4% – 4% – 10% – – – BVA 22–24 Mar 2001 647 – 6% 6% – 31% 10% 3% – 7% 22% 4% – 3% – 8% – – – BVA 22–24 Feb 2001 634 – 6% 8% – 30% 8% 4% – 6.5% 20% 3.5% – 4% – 10% – – – BVA 1–3 Feb 2001 642 – 5% 8% – 32% 7% 2% – 6.5% 24% 3.5% – 4% – 8% – – – BVA 11–13 Jan 2001 621 – 5% 8% – 31% 6% 3% – 7% 21% 3% – 4% – 12% – – – BVA 30 Nov–2 Dec 2000 945 – 6.5% 7.5% – 29% 8% 3% – 6.5% 19% 4% – 6% – 10.5% – – – Ifop 27 Nov 2000 803 – 3% 8% – 27% 14% – 27% – 8% – – 10% – – – 3% BVA 8–10 Nov 2000 615 – 7% 7% – 30% 7% 3% – 7.5% 22% 2.5% – 4% – 10% – – – BVA 6–8 Oct 2000 601 – 5% 7% – 28% 7% 3% – 6% 22% 4% – 7% – 11% – – – BVA 7–9 Sep 2000 577 – 7% 8% – 24% 7.5% 4% – 7% 21% 3.5% – 8% – 10% – – – BVA 20–22 Jul 2000 681 – 6% 8% – 26% 7% 3% – 6% 23% 4% – 7.5% – 9.5% – – – BVA 15–17 Jun 2000 629 – 4.5% 7% – 29% 7% 4% – 6.5% 23% 3% – 8% – 8% – – – BVA 11–13 May 2000 687 – 5% 9% – 27% 6% 4% – 8% 21% 4% – 9% – 7% – – – Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2000 825 – 3% 9% – 29% – 8% – – 36% – 4% – 9% 2% – – – BVA 13–15 Apr 2000 505 – 4.5% 8.5% – 28% 7% 3% – 8% 20% 3% – 10% – 8% – – – BVA 16–18 Mar 2000 621 – 5% 9% – 27% 7% 4% – 8% 17% 3% – 11% – 9% – – – Ipsos 10–11 Mar 2000 920 – 3% 8% – 29% – 9% – – 35% – 6% – 8% 2% – – – BVA 17–19 Feb 2000 599 – 5% 8% – 28.5% 6.5% 5% – 8% 17.5% 3% – 9.5% – 9% – – – BVA 13–15 Jan 2000 546 – 5.5% 9.5% – 26% 7% 2.5% – 7% 18.5% 2.5% – 11.5% – 10% – – – Sofres 27–29 Dec 1999 995 – 2% 9% – 29% 8% 3% – 25% – 12% – 10% – – – 2% BVA 9–11 Dec 1999 601 – 6.5% 9% – 26% 8% 3% – 8% 19% 3% – 9.5% – 8% – – – BVA 18–20 Nov 1999 926 – 5% 9% – 28% 6% 2% – 9% 17% 4% – 9% – 11% – – – BVA 14–16 Oct 1999 608 – 6% 9% – 26% 6% 2% – 8% 16% 3% – 11% – 13% – – – BVA 16–18 Sep 1999 673 – 5.5% 8% – 26% 7% 3.5% – 6% 17% 3% – 12% – 12% – – – BVA 15–17 Jul 1999 599 – 6% 7% 27% – 7% 3% – 8% 15% 3% – 14% – 10% – – – BVA 17–19 Jun 1999 648 – 6% 8% 27% – 10% 3% – 9% 11% 3% – 16% – 7% – – – BVA 11–13 Mar 1999 609 – 6% 8% – 26% – 8% 2% – 7% 22% 6% – – – 15% – – – – BVA 14–16 Jan 1999 688 – 5% 8% – 29% 7% 2% – 7% 24% 4% – – – 14% – – – – BVA 10–13 Dec 1998 589 – 5% 8% – 29% 7% 3% – 7% 24% 6% – – – 11% – – – – BVA 19–21 Nov 1998 643 – 5% 9% – 30% 6% 3% – 7% 22% 5% – – – 13% – – – – BVA 15–17 Oct 1998 928 – 5% 8% – 31% – 5% 4% – 8% 19% 5% – – – 15% – – – – CSA 27–28 Mar 1998 1,005 – 3.5% 9% 32% 5% 3% – 8% 18% – 5.5% – – 15% – – – 1% 1997 election 25 May 1997 – 32.08% (EXG) (EXG) 2.52% 9.94% (DVG) 23.53% 1.45% 2.81% (ECO) 6.81% – 14.19% 15.69% – 6.63% – (DVD) 14.94% – 0.10% (DIV) 1.39%

In 125 constituencies Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize LO LCR EXG PCF PR/MDC PS PRG DVG LV ECO UDF UMP/RPR DL DVD FN MNR Ipsos 10–13 May 2002 689 3% 5% 3% 24% 6% 1% 42% 14% 2%

Second round seat projections Projections marked with an asterisk (*) are for 555 deputies representing metropolitan France. The Ipsos projection on 12 June was constructed using interviews in 198 constituencies where the outcome appeared uncertain.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PCF PS PRG DVG LV UDF UMP DL DVD RPF MPF FN MNR REG DIV 2002 election 16 Jun 2002 – 39.69% 21 140 7 6 3 29 355 2 9 2 1 0 0 1 1 Ipsos* 12 Jun 2002 1,022 – 14–22 115–145 1–5 24–30 384–414 0 – – – CSA 5–6 Jun 2002 1,004 – 16–26 140–196 350–410 0–2 – 3–11 Ipsos* 5 Jun 2002 1,014 – 174–216 339–381 0–4 – – Ipsos* 31 May–3 Jun 2002 1,869 – 158–196 359–397 0–4 – – Sofres* 31 May–1 Jun 2002 1,000 – 164–238 316–388 0–4 – – Ipsos* 24–27 May 2002 1,816 – 167–208 347–388 0–4 – – Sofres* 24–25 May 2002 1,000 – 155–207 348–400 0 – – – Sofres* 17–18 May 2002 1,000 – 198–238 306–372 0 – – – 1997 election 1 Jun 1997 – 29.03% 38 241 12 21 7 106 132 – 13 – (DVD) 1 0 0 1

By second round configuration The Ipsos poll of 125 constituencies was conducted in seven categories of constituencies: 36 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 10 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the left in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, 21 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the left, 4 constituencies with left-FN duels won by the left in 1997 where the right improved upon its score and could this advance to the second round in 2002, 34 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with a weak performance of the FN in 2002, 7 constituencies with left-right duels narrowly won by the right in 1997 with the possibility of the FN advancing to the second round in 2002, and 13 constituencies with triangulaires in 1997 with the FN narrowly won by the right.

Older values provided by Ipsos in 198 uncertain constituencies were constructed using older national polls conducted by the pollster.

PS/PCF/LV–UMP/UDF Ifop specifically named the PS and UMP. Sofres specifically named the PCF, PS, and LV, and the UMP (UDF, RPR, and DVD). In 2000, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the RPR, UDF, and DL. In the polls conducted from 10 to 11 May 2002 and of 198 constituencies, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the RPR, UDF, and DL. Thereafter, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV, and the UMP and UDF.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS/PCF/LV UMP/UDF Ifop 6–7 Jun 2002 945 44% 56% Ipsos 5 Jun 2002 1,014 48% 52% Ipsos 31 May–3 Jun 2002 1,869 47% 53% Sofres 31 May–1 Jun 2002 1,000 46% 54% Ipsos 24–27 May 2002 1,816 47% 53% Sofres 24–25 May 2002 1,000 45% 55% Ipsos 17–18 May 2002 951 45% 55% Sofres 17–18 May 2002 1,000 48.5% 51.5% Ipsos 10–11 May 2002 894 47% 53% Ipsos 28–29 Apr 2000 825 51% 49% Ipsos 10–11 Mar 2000 920 50% 50%

In 198 constituencies Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS/PCF/LV UMP/UDF Ipsos 12 Jun 2002 1,022 47% 53% Ipsos 9 Jun 2002 – 48% 52% Ipsos 5 Jun 2002 – 50% 50% Ipsos 31 May–3 Jun 2002 – 51% 49%

In 125 constituencies Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS/PCF/LV UMP/UDF Ipsos 10–13 May 2002 689 45% 55%

PS/PCF/LV–UMP/UDF–FN Ifop specifically named the PS, UMP, and FN. Sofres specifically named the PCF, PS, and LV; the UMP (UDF, RPR, and DVD); and the FN and MNR. In the polls conducted from 10 to 11 May 2002 and of 198 constituencies, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV; the RPR, UDF, and DL; and the FN. Thereafter, Ipsos specifically named the PS, PCF, and LV; the UMP and UDF; and the FN.

Ipsos polls, denoted with an asterisk (*), only tested this scenario in constituencies where Jean-Marie Le Pen and Bruno Mégret together obtained at least 12.5% of the vote in the preceding presidential election.

Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS/PCF/LV UMP/UDF FN Ifop 6–7 Jun 2002 945 41% 45% 14% Ipsos* 5 Jun 2002 1,014 39% 45% 16% Ipsos* 31 May–3 Jun 2002 1,869 40% 44% 16% Sofres 31 May–1 Jun 2002 1,000 43% 45% 12% Ipsos* 24–27 May 2002 1,816 39% 44% 17% Sofres 24–25 May 2002 1,000 41% 47% 12% Ipsos* 17–18 May 2002 951 38% 45% 17% Sofres 17–18 May 2002 1,000 44% 45% 11% Ipsos* 10–11 May 2002 894 40% 46% 14%

In 79 of 125 constituencies Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS/PCF/LV UMP/UDF FN Ipsos 10–13 May 2002 689 40% 44% 16%

UMP–FN Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize UMP FN Ifop 6–7 Jun 2002 945 86% 14%

PS–FN Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize PS FN Ifop 6–7 Jun 2002 945 79% 21%

By constituency First round Bouches-du-Rhône's 1st Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Mireille Mavrides Marie-Arlette Carlotti Roger Guichard Roland Blum Marie-Claude Aucouturier Pascal Munier Others 2002 election 9 Jun 2002 – 35.92% 4.24% 25.92% 0.84% 39.89% 18.88% 1.98% 8.25% Sofres 17–18 May 2002 500 – 2% 27% 4% 40% 15% 4% 8%

Bouches-du-Rhône's 3rd Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize Jean-Paul Nostriano Gabriel Malauzat Philippe Sanmarco Yannick Lopez Jean Roatta Jackie Blanc Nicole Cantrel Others 2002 election 9 Jun 2002 – 38.78% 4.76% 21.81% 5.02% 2.38% 36.28% 18.80% 1.70% 9.26% Sofres 17–18 May 2002 500 – 4% 23% 4% 5% 36% 14% 6% 8%

Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th