Opinion polling for the 2018 Mexican general election

Opinion polling was carried out prior to the 2018 Mexican general election.

The 2018 Mexican election features nine registered political parties, including the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI), National Action Party (PAN), Party of the Democratic Revolution (PRD), and the newly formed National Regeneration Movement (Morena).

Coalition backgrounds Todos por México PRI, which held the presidency from 1929 to 2000 and is currently in power under President Peña Nieto, is primarily a center-right party. It will be contesting the elections in a coalition alongside the Ecological Green Party of Mexico and the New Alliance Party (Mexico) under the coalition "Todos por México" ("Everyone for Mexico").

Por México al Frente PAN is a center-right, Christian democracy party which held the presidency in 2 sexenios from 2000-2012.

PRD grew out of the PRI in 1986 as the leftists who created the Corriente Democrática (Democratic Current) within PRI split off. It came quite close to claiming the presidency in 2006. Surprisingly, the PRD decided to form a coalition with the right-wing PAN, and they will contest the elections alongside Citizens' Movement in a coalition called "Por México al Frente" ("For Mexico, to the Front").

Juntos Haremos Historia MORENA, created in 2014 by Andrés Manuel López Obrador, affectionately called AMLO, is a left-leaning party which split from the PRD. It will contest the elections as a coalition with the Labor Party (PT) and the Social Encounter Party (PES), called "Juntos Haremos Historia" ("Together we'll make history").

By coalitions PollsterDateOtherNoneNot mentionedMitofskyJuly 201721.7%16.7%15.9%5.5%3.0%37.2%MitofskyAugust 201721.2%16.4%14.8%4%3.9%39.7%ParametríaSeptember 201732%23%15%14%16%ReformaSeptember 201724%31%28%8%México EligeOctober 201722.5%36.1%21.8%11.4%8.2%El FinancieroNovember 201718%24%22%21%15%El EconomistaDecember 201723.1%22.6%21.4%7.4%0.6%24.9%ParametríaJanuary 201832%42%26%12%18%Arias ConsultoresJanuary 201818.1%50.1%15.5%6.5%9.8%SABAFeb 4-12, 201812.3%38.5%10.3%11.3%29%Revista 32Feb 15-16, 201818.1%46.2%18.0%5.8%11.8%Revista 32Mar 19-23, 201815.9%44.6%17.8%6.6%15.1%ParametríaMar 23-28, 201825%36%20%7%5%5%2%Revista 32April 23-25, 201818.1%46.9%13.6%4.1%17.3%

By candidates (January–June 2018)

AgencyDateObradorAnayaMeadeZavalaRodríguezOther/NoneParametríaJanuary31%19%20%10%2%19%SDP NoticiasJan 7-938.1%17.7%26.1%7.9%2.9%7.3%MitofskyJanuary23.6%20.4%18.2%10%Focus AsesoresJanuary47%11%11%5%2%28%Arias Consultores56.2%14.3%16.3%6.5%2.5%4.1%El Universal32%26%16%4%2%4.1%El Financiero38%27%22%7%3%3%Parametría34%23%18%7%2%16%Mendoza Blanco30%26%16%3%2%23%SDP Noticias38.4%19.5%25.7%7.2%2.6%6.8%Mitofksy27.1%22.3%18.0%Reforma33%25%14%4%2%22%SABA38.3%12.5%10.3%8.0%1.9%29%Parámetro30.5%23.8%23.3%3.9%2.0%16.5%Fox News40%31%20%9%Revista 3248.2%16.3%17.8%4.2%2.5%10.9%Massive Caller 30.55%24.78%15.4%7.23%2%20.04%El Pais37.8%29.2%23.8%5.7%2.6%Parametría35%21%16%10%5%13%Bloomberg42.2%27.4%20.6%4%1.6%Indemerc44.1%15.1%10.9%8.2%2%19.7%El Financiero42%23%24%7%2%2%Arias Consultores47.8%14.6%18.1%6.2%13.2%Parametría38%20%16%13%Gii 36043%19%13%7%18%Berumen y Asociados42%31.1%21.9%5%SDP Noticias41.9%19.7%22.7%9%2.5%Reforma48%26%18%5%3%Bloomberg47.8%26.6%17.9%5.1%SDP Noticias41.4%24.7%22.2%4.8%3.1%3.8%Revista 3250.9%17.8%13.5%2.2%2.8%13.8%La Silla Rota45%29%18%5%3%Reforma48%30%17%3%2%Varela y Asociados47.5%33.1%16.2%1.7%1.4%El Financiero46%26%20%5%3%Ipsos43%24%16%2%15%SDP Noticias42.4%25.8%24.2%0.6%3.3%3.7%Eje Central49%26%21%4%Reforma52%26%19%4%Parametría54%24%17%3%2%Varela y Asociados50.6%29.5%17.6%2.2%BGC47%29%21%3%De Las Heras Demotecnia50%25%19%5%1%Arias Consultores62%19.8%13.7%3.3%Reforma51%27%19%3%BGC49%26%21%4%El Financiero54%21%22%3%Presidential election53.19%22.28%16.41%0.06%5.23%

By candidates (April–December 2017) PollstersDateObradorZavalaChongManceraRodríguezAnayaÁvilaValleNuñoMeadeOtherNoneNot mentionedEl FinancieroApril 201729%32%27%8%4%El UniversalApril 201733%27%13%6%4%32%16%6%20%32%26%6%13%GEA-ISAJune 201718%6%4%2%7%5%4%ReformaJuly 201731%26%15%7%1%15%5%30%26%14%6%5%1%14%4%30%27%14%9%1%14%5%32%17%8%17%1%20%5%33%17%16%8%1%19%6%El FinancieroJuly 201730%28%24%10%8%MitofskyAugust 201725.9%19.7%14.8%4.4%4.6%24.9%15.4%5.2%3.8%20.5%26.3%15.7%4.5%4.9%19.8%25.9%18.7%5.1%5%13.6%26.2%19.3%5%4.5%12.8%25.6%4.9%5.2%20.1%13.1%México EligeOctober 201736.7%14.7%19.6%5.3%2.2%ReformaNovember 201731%8%2%19%17%1%10%12%GCEDecember 201727.8%9.7%6.3%4.2%9.2%21.5%0.3%7.5%13.5%Massive CallerDecember 201727.2%9%9%18.1%20.4%4.3%18.2%

By political parties PollsterDateOtherNo-oneNot mentionedParametría August 201529%23%9%21%8%5%2%3%GEA-ISAMarch 201633%16%7%7%4%17%18%MitofskyMarch 201621.5%16.4%10.8%11.7%0.6%1.1%1.8%0.6%0.5%4.3%14%16.7%MitofskyMay 201622.3%18.6%8.7%12.1%0.8%1.2%1.9%0.7%0.9%4.6%28.2%GEA-ISAJune 201628%19%5%11%6%11%21%El FinancieroJune 201629%28%8%19%1%3%2%3%1%6%MitofskyJuly 201619.620%8.1%12.2%1.1%1.3%1.9%1%1.1%2.8%30.9%ReformaAugust 201622%27%6%18%5%3%11%8%GEA-ISASeptember 201622%23%8%9%7%15%15%ParametríaSeptember 201627%30%10%21%2%5%1%2%2%3%MitofskySeptember 201619.5%20.2%7.8%12.1%1.1%1.3%1.6%0.9%1%3.3%31.2%El FinancieroNovember 201628%29%11%18%5%ReformaDecember 201622%27%5%22%3%5%11%5%Massive Caller January 201712.8%20.48%5.5%21.68%1.6%8.5%5.2%23.9%ReformaJanuary 201717%24%10%27%2%4%10%6%El FinancieroFebruary 201722%25%9%25%3%3%3%3%1%6%MitofskyFebruary 201713%18.8%5.1%15.9%0.8%1.4%1.7%1.1%0.7%3.0%38.5%México EligeFebruary 201712.4%21.0%1.2%36.9%0.2%0.4%3%0.5%0.6%14.5%GEA-ISAMarch 201719%20%7%15%5%17%18%El FinancieroApril 201728%29%10%21%1%3%2%1%1%4%ExcelsiorApril 201719%21%8%26%2%24%El UniversalApril 201713%27%6%33%4%El UniversalApril 201713%23%6%24%3%4%4%4%2%17%ParametríaJanuary 201825%24%5%30%12%18%SDP Noticias20.6%13.6%2.8%36.0%1.1%2.7%3.1%2.4%1.3%11.2%5.4%SABA9.4%9.9%1.7%30.4%0.4%0.8%1.6%0.1%8.4%0.6%15.7%16.8%Parametría15%15%5%29%3%2%3%3%1%6%1%2%15%Gii 360March 30-April 3, 201812%14%2%34%1%1%2%1%1%6%26%

References

External links National Electoral Institute (in Spanish)