Opinion polling for the 2017 Chilean general election

Opinion polling was carried out prior to the 2017 Chilean general elections.

President Open-ended question

Question: "Who would you like to be the next president?" Full sample is shown, unless specified.

Polling firm Field dates MEO Goic Guillier F Kast JA Kast Lagos Mayol Ossandón Parisi Piñera Sánchez Others DK/NR Error Adimark November 7–28, 2016 1% 1% 21% 1% 7% 4% 24% 10% 31% 3% Criteria Research November 28-December 7, 2016 2% 25% 0% 0% 4% 5% 2% 27% 35% 3.4% CEP November 25-December 23, 2016 1% 14% 5% 2% 20% 10% 49% 3% CERC-Mori December 7–15, 2016 14% 6% 3% 19% 57% 3% Adimark December 2–28, 2016 2% 26% 5% 4% 29% 11% 23% 3% Criteria Research December 27, 2016 – January 4, 2017 2% 27% 1% 2% 5% 2% 32% 22% 7% 3.4% Adimark January 6–25, 2017 1% 1% 28% 1% 5% 2% 27% 10% 25% 3% Criteria Research January 25-February 2, 2017 1% 28% 3% 5% 3% 28% 32% 3.4% Adimark February 2–28, 2017 1% 1% 25% 1% 1% 4% 2% 1% 29% 10% 25% 3% Cadem March 1–3, 2017 1% 17% 3% 3% 2% 25% 6% 43% 3.7% Criteria Research March 1–10, 2017 3% 25% 7% 4% 5% 23% 33% 3.4% Cadem March 8–10, 2017 1% 1% 17% 1% 2% 4% 2% 26% 6% 40% 3.7% Adimark March 3–28, 2017 2% 2% 23% 1% 3% 4% 27% 2% 7% 29% 3% Cadem March 15–17, 2017 1% 2% 16% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 24% 7% 42% 3.7% Cadem March 22–24, 2017 1% 3% 15% 1% 3% 3% 1% 25% 2% 4% 42% 3.6% Cadem March 29–31, 2017 1% 2% 16% 1% 4% 3% 1% 24% 4% 4% 40% 3.6% CERC-Mori March 28-April 10, 2017 2% 14% 4% 2% 24% 3% 2% 49% 3% Cadem April 5–7, 2017 2% 1% 15% 3% 3% 2% 26% 6% 3% 39% 3.6% Criteria Research April 4–11, 2017 2% 18% 2% 4% 6% 33% 11% 24% 3.4% Cadem April 12–13, 2017 1% 2% 17% 1% 3% 2% 24% 6% 3% 41% 3.6% Adimark April 3–25, 2017 2% 19% 1% 3% 2% 3% 24% 11% 6% 29% 3% Cadem April 20–21, 2017 2% 17% 1% 4% 1% 23% 6% 4% 42% 3.7% Cadem April 26–28, 2017 2% 16% 1% 1% 4% 3% 22% 6% 4% 41% 3.6% Cadem May 3–5, 2017 1% 3% 15% 1% 4% 2% 24% 8% 4% 38% 3.6% Criteria Research May 2–12, 2017 18% 9% 5% 30% 17% 15% 7% 3.4% CEP April 26-May 22, 2017 1.5% 2.1% 12.8% 1.5% 5.4% 23.7% 4.8% 7% 42% 3% Cadem May 10–12, 2017 1% 3% 15% 1% 4% 1% 24% 9% 3% 39% 3.7% Adimark May 3–29, 2017 2% 3% 21% 1% 1% 4% 1% 25% 11% 5% 26% 3% Cadem May 17–19, 2017 1% 3% 14% 1% 1% 4% 2% 26% 8% 4% 36% 3.6% Cadem May 24–26, 2017 1% 3% 13% 1% 4% 2% 24% 9% 4% 39% 3.7% Cadem June 1–2, 2017 1% 2% 14% 1% 4% 1% 24% 10% 5% 38% 3.7% Criteria Research June 1–11, 2017 2% 6% 17% 6% 29% 12% 19% 10% 3.4% Cadem June 7–9, 2017 1% 13% 1% 1% 5% 25% 9% 5% 40% 3.6% Adimark June 2–27, 2017 1% 2% 15% 3% 1% 3% 4% 1% 31% 13% 3% 23% 3% Cadem June 15–16, 2017 1% 2% 13% 2% 2% 6% 1% 25% 9% 5% 34% 3.6% Cadem June 21–23, 2017 2% 12% 3% 3% 6% 1% 24% 9% 6% 34% 3.6% Cadem June 28–29, 2017 1% 1% 9% 5% 1% 3% 7% 1% 22% 11% 4% 35% 3.6% Cadem July 5–7, 2017 1% 9% 1% 1% 2% 1% 30% 15% 5% 35% 3.7% Adimark July 4–26, 2017 1% 1% 16% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 32% 17% 4% 22% 3% Adimarka July 4–26, 2017 1% 1% 21% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 39% 20% 2% 10% 3% Criteria Research July 14–19, 2017 1% 3% 13% 5% 1% 3% 37% 19% 14% 6% 3.4% CEP July 21-August 17, 2017 1.6% 2.2% 14.5% 0.5%0.4%0.1%0.1% 1.1% 1.1% 31.3% 10.2% 1.4%35.5% 3% Criteria Research August 11–17, 2017 2% 4% 15% 2% 35% 17% 18% 7% 3.4% Adimark August 3–29, 2017 1% 5% 16% 1% 2% 34% 15% 4% 22% 3% Adimarkb August 3–29, 2017 1% 7% 21% 1% 2% 40% 16% 2% 10% 3% Criteria Research September 21–24, 2017 3% 3% 17% 3% 34% 17% 18% 5% 3.4%CERC-Mori September 1–12, 2017 2% 2% 20% 1% 31% 8% 35% 3% CEP September 22-October 16, 2017 3.4% 2.3% 13.8% 32.8% 7.0% 4.3% 36.4% 3% Criteria Research October 20–30, 2017 4% 5% 18% 7% 33% 15% 12% 6% 2.5% a Likely voter (52%). b Likely voter (49%).

First round

Question: "Given the following list of candidates, who would you vote for?"

Legend — Not on the list Wins election May win election Runoff May go to a runoff Polling firm Field dates ArtésMEO Goic Guillier JA Kast Navarro Piñera Sánchez Others DK/NR Error Sample CERC-Mori December 7–15, 2016 — 5% — 19% — — 23% — 19% 34% % Total (n=1200) CERC-Mori March 28-April 10, 2017 — 3% 2% 14% 0% 0% 26% 4% 51% % Total (n=1200) Criteria Research May 2–12, 2017 — 3% 3% 19% 3% — 33% 21% 7% 12% % Total (n=810) Activa Research June 2–9, 2017 — 1.6% 2.1% 13.9% <1% <1% 21.4% 7.1% 11.8% 42.1% % Total (n=1395) Criteria Research June 1–11, 2017 — 5% 6% 19% 2% — 36% 18% 1% 13% % Total (n=814) CERC-Mori June 6–15, 2017 — 3% 5% 18% — 1% 26% 10% 38% % Total (n=1200) Cadem July 5–7, 2017 — 2% 3% 16% 4% — 38% 26% 3% 8% % Likely voter (45%, n=324) Activa Research July 7–12, 2017 — 0.6% 1.3% 14.0% 2.4% <1% 28.3% 12.0% 3.9% 37.5% % Total (n=1440) Cadem July 12–14, 2017 — 2% 2% 20% 4% — 40% 23% 3% 6% % Likely voter (45%, n=326) Criteria Research July 14–19, 2017 — 5% 5% 14% 3% — 38% 23% 5% 7% % Total (n=825) Cadem July 19–21, 2017 — 2% 2% 21% 4% — 40% 21% 2% 8% % Likely voter (44%, n=310) Cadem July 26–28, 2017 — 4% 3% 22% 5% — 42% 19% 1% 4% % Likely voter (43%, n=345) CEPa July 21-August 17, 2017 — 2.4% 5.3% 17.8% 3.3% — 39.7% 17.9% 2.9% 10.7% % Will "surely" go to vote (40%, n=569) Criteria Research August 11–17, 2017 — 2% 8% 18% 9% — 38% 22% 3% % Likely voter (45%, n=365) Cadem August 3–25, 2017 0% 2% 5% 19% 4% 0% 42% 19% 9% % Likely voter (44%, n=1228) Activa Research August 11–18, 2017 <1% 1.7% 1% 17.9% 1.1% <1% 44.4% 19.2% 1.5% 13.2% % Likely voter (42.4%, n=673) CERC-Mori September 1–12, 2017 0% 4% 8% 30% 2% 1% 44% 11% % Likely voter (45%, n=540) Cadem August 30-September 29, 2017 0% 3% 5% 20% 4% 0% 43% 15% 10% % Likely voter (47%, n=1782) Criteria Research September 21–24, 2017 0% 1% 8% 19% 6% 0% 36% 24% 6% % Likely voter (49%, n=430) Activa Research September 21–28, 2017 <0.5% 6.1% 2.2% 11.2% 8.6% <0.5% 45.2% 15.5% 10.7% % Likely voter (32.9%, n=487)CEPa September 22-October 16, 2017 0.1% 4.6% 3.9% 19.7% 2.7% 0.5% 44.4% 8.5% 15.6% %b Likely voter (44%, n=627b)Cadem October 4–26, 2017 0% 4% 4% 21% 5% 0% 43% 13% 10% % Likely voter (49%, n=2964) Criteria Research October 20–30, 2017 1% 5% 6% 24% 6% 0% 39% 15% 4% % Likely voter (46%, n=724) Cadem October 31-November 2, 2017 1% 6% 5% 20% 6% 1% 42% 13% 7% % Likely voter (48%, n=796) Cadem November 8–10, 2017 0.5% 7% 6% 20% 7% 0.5% 39% 13% 7% N/A% Likely voter (48%, n=N/A) Activa Research November 8–17, 2017 0.5% 5.5% 3.9% 21.1% 5.4% 0.1% 35.1% 14.0% 14.3% % Likely voter (48.9%, n=989) Cadem November 14–16, 2017 0.5% 5% 6% 21% 6% 0.5% 40% 13% 8% % Likely voter (46%, n=727) a Ballot-box vote. b Estimated.

Second round

Question: "If the following two candidates proceed to a runoff election, who would you vote for?"

Legend — Not on the list Wins election May win election