Opinion polling for the 2021 Scottish Parliament election

In the run-up to the 2021 Scottish Parliament election, various organisations conducted opinion polls to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed were members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abided by its disclosure rules.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous Scottish Parliament election, held on 5 May 2016, to the 2021 election, held on 6 May 2021.

Graphical summary This graph shows opinion poll results with trendlines for the 30-day moving averages. The SNP led in all polls, with the Conservatives and Labour coming second or third behind them.

Key SNP – Scottish National Party Conservative – Scottish Conservatives Labour – Scottish Labour Lib Dem – Scottish Liberal Democrats Green – Scottish Greens UKIP – UK Independence Party Reform – Reform UK SSP – Scottish Socialist Party Alba – Alba Party AFU – All for Unity

Constituency vote The opinion polls below are gauge voting intentions for the 73 single member constituency seats elected through the plurality voting system.

Graphical summary

Poll results

Pollster Client Date(s)conducted Samplesize SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Ref UK Other Lead 2021 Scottish Parliament election –47.7% 21.9% 21.6% 6.9% 1.3% 0.0% – 0.6%25.8% style="border-right-style:hidden;" BBC Scotland leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and HarvieYouGovThe Times1,14452%20%19%6%2% – –1% 32%Survation The Courier1,00849%21%21%8%1%––1%28%Savanta ComResThe Scotsman1,00142%25%22%8%–––3%17%Ipsos MORISTV News1,50250%20%22%6%2%––1%28%OpiniumSky News 1,01551%23%19%7%––––28%PanelbaseThe Sunday Times 1,09648%21%20%7%3%––1%27%BMGThe Herald 1,02349%19%21%9%– –––28% style="border-right-style:hidden;" Channel 4 News leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and HarvieSavanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,00145%23%23%7%–––1%22%Survation GMB1,00847%21%21%8%–––2%26%PanelbaseScot Goes Pop 1,07545%20%22%8%4%–––23%SurvationThe Sunday Post 1,03750%21%21%7%1%––1%29%Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,00146%25%20%6%–––3%21%YouGovThe Times1,20449%21%21%6%1% – –2% 28% style="border-right-style:hidden;" STV leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and HarviePanelbaseBelieve in Scotland 1,00247%23%20%6%4%–––24%Lord AshcroftN/A2,01749%22%15%8%5%–––27%Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,00749%23%18%6%–––3%26%OpiniumSky News 1,02353%21%18%6%–––1%32%Ipsos MORISTV News1,03853%20%18%6%2%––1%33%PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,00949%22%20%6%2% – – –27% style="border-right-style:hidden;" BBC Scotland leaders' debate between Sarwar, Rennie, Ross, Sturgeon and SlaterSurvationThe Courier1,00049%21%20%9%1%–––28% style="border-right-style:hidden;" Former first minister Alex Salmond launches the Alba PartyFind Out NowDaily Express 1,02250%21%17%5%4%–1%1%29%YouGovThe TimesN/A50%24%17%5%2% – –2% 26%BMGThe Herald 1,02148%21%20%8%1%––1%27%SurvationThe Courier 1,51550%21%20%8%1%–––29%OpiniumSky News 1,09646%24%20%6%4%––1%22%SurvationScotland in Union1,01146%21%23%8%1%––1%23%Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,00948%23%20%8%–––2%25%YouGovThe Times1,10052%22%17%6%2% – –1% 30%PanelbaseThe Sunday Times1,01347%23%20%7%2% – –1%24% style="border-right-style:hidden;" Anas Sarwar is elected leader of Scottish LabourSurvationDaily Record1,01150%21%20%7%3%––2%29%Ipsos MORISTV News1,03152%23%15%5%3%––2%29%Savanta ComResThe Scotsman 1,00250%23%19%6%–––2%27%PanelbaseThe Sunday Times 1,05952%20%17%6%3%–––32%SurvationScot Goes Pop 1,02051%19%19%9%––––32%Savanta ComResThe Scotsman1,01649%20%20%8%–––4%29% style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Brexit Party is re-registered as Reform UKSavanta ComResThe Scotsman1,01352%19%19%7%–––3%33%SurvationN/A1,01053%20%20%6%1%––– 33%Ipsos MORISTV News1,00655%22%14%6%1%––1% 33%Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,020 53%21%18%5%3%––<1%32%YouGovN/A1,08956%19%15%6%2%––– 37%SurvationN/A 1,071 54% 19% 18% 8% – – – 2% 35%Ipsos MORISTV News1,04558%19%13%8%1%––2% 39%Savanta ComResN/A1,00350%23%18%6%–––2% 27%JL PartnersPolitico1,01658%19%13%8%2%––<1% 39%SurvationN/A 1,018 53% 20% 18% 7% – – – 2% 33%Savanta ComResN/A1,00851%24%17%6% – – –2% 27%YouGovThe Times 1,14257%20%14%8%1%––1% 37% style="border-right-style:hidden;" Douglas Ross becomes leader of the Scottish ConservativesPanelbase The Sunday Times 1,026 55% 20% 15% 6% 3% – – <1% 35%Panelbase Scot Goes Pop1,02253%21%16%6%3%––<1% 32% PanelbaseWings Over Scotland1,08653%23%15%5%3%––1% 30%YouGovN/A1,09554%23%12%8%2%––1% 31%Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,023 51% 26% 14% 6% 3% – – <1% 25% style="border-right-style:hidden;" Jackson Carlaw is elected leader of the Scottish ConservativesPanelbase Scot Goes Pop 1,016 50% 26% 14% 7% 3% – – <1% 24%SurvationProgress Scotland 1,019 51% 23% 17% 7% – – – 1% 28% style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2019 United Kingdom general election PanelbaseThe Sunday Times 1,020 43% 26% 19% 8% 2% – 2% <1% 17% YouGovThe Times 1,002 46% 26% 14% 11% 1% – 0% 0% Change UK on 0%. 20%PanelbaseThe Sunday Times 1,009 43% 26% 17% 9% 2% – 3% <1% 17% Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,003 42% 21% 19% 10% 3% <1% 4% <1% 21% YouGovThe Times 1,059 45% 23% 13% 12% 2% – 3% 1% 22% style="border-right-style:hidden;" Shetland by-election style="border-right-style:hidden;" Lorna Slater is elected co-leader of the Scottish Greens alongside Patrick Harvie Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,024 42% 20% 16% 11% 3% <1% 7% <1% Change UK on less than 1%. 22% style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2019 European Parliament electionPanelbase The Sunday Times 1,021 41% 20% 18% 8% 3% 1% 7% 1% Change UK on 1%. 21% YouGovThe Times 1,029 46% 22% 16% 7% 3% – 4% 1% 24% Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,018 40% 22% 20% 6% 3% 1% 5% 2% Change UK on 2%. 18% PanelbaseWings Over Scotland 1,002 41% 27% 19% 8% 3% 2% – <1% 14% SurvationScottish Daily Mail 1,011 43% 24% 22% 9% – – – 2% 19% Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,028 41% 25% 23% 6% 3% 1% – <1% 16% Panelbase Constitutional Commission 1,050 39% 27% 24% 6% 3% 1% – <1% 12% SurvationDaily Record 1,017 38% 26% 25% 9% 1% – – 0% 12% Survation/SNPN/A 1,013 44% 24% 23% 8% – – – 1% 20% Panelbase The Sunday Times 1,024 41% 26% 21% 6% 3% 2% – <1% 15% SurvationThe Sunday Post 1,036 43% 24% 23% 9% – – – 2% 19% SurvationDaily Record 1,004 44% 24% 21% 9% – – – 3% 20% PanelbaseWings Over Scotland 1,018 41% 27% 22% 6% 2% 1% – <1% 14% PanelbaseThe Sunday Times 1,021 40% 28% 24% 6% 2% <1% – <1% 12% YouGovThe Times 1,075 41% 27% 22% 6% 2% 1% – 1% 14% PanelbaseThe Sunday Times 1,037 40% 28% 22% 6% 3% <1% – <1% 12% SurvationDaily Record 1,029 42% 25% 25% 6% – – – 2% 17% YouGovThe Times 1,002 38% 26% 23% 7% 3% 2% – 0% 12% PanelbaseWings Over Scotland 1,022 39% 26% 25% 6% 2% <1% – <1% 13% SurvationThe Sunday Post 1,006 39% 24% 28% 7% – – – 2% 11% SurvationDaily Record 1,017 39% 24% 25% 8% – – – 3% 14% style="border-right-style:hidden;" Richard Leonard is elected leader of Scottish Labour YouGovThe Times 1,135 42% 25% 25% 5% 2% 1% – 0% 17% SurvationScottish Daily Mail 1,016 42% 26% 25% 7% – – – 2% 16% PanelbaseThe Sunday Times 1,021 42% 28% 22% 6% 2% <1% – <1% 14% style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2017 United Kingdom general election style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2017 Scottish local elections YouGovThe Times 1,028 51% 24% 14% 6% 4% 1% – 1% 27% YouGovThe Times 1,134 48% 25% 15% 6% 3% 1% – 0% 23% BMGN/A 1,010 51% 21% 18% 7% – – – 3% 30% YouGovThe Times 1,039 52% 21% 16% 5% 3% 2% – 0% 31% SurvationScottish Daily Mail 1,055 50% 21% 18% 8% – – – 4% 29% 2016 Scottish Parliament election – 46.5% 22.0% 22.6% 7.8% 0.6% – – 0.5% 23.9%

Regional vote The opinion polls below are gauge voting intentions for the 56 regional list seats elected through the additional member system.

Graphical summary

Poll results