Opinion polling for the 2022 Italian general election

In the years running up to the 2022 Italian general election, held on 25 September, various organisations carried out opinion polls to gauge voting intention in Italy. Results of such polls are given in this article. The date range is from after the 2018 Italian general election, held on 4 March, to 9 September 2022. Poll results are reported at the dates when the fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; if such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. Under the Italian par condicio (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of an electoral campaign.

Polling aggregation Polling aggregations are performed by taking weighted or unweighted averages of election polls. They are all from 2022. Party vote Polling firmAdministeredUpdatedM5SPDLegaFIFdIAVS+EA–IVItalexitICNMUPOthersLeadElection results25 Sep–15.419.18.88.126.03.62.87.81.90.60.91.43.96.9Cassandra17 Aug–9 Sep10 Sep13.221.011.87.524.53.41.96.72.71.21.41.22.73.5Termometro Politico4–9 Sep9 Sep13.021.512.27.724.73.57.72.68.83.2BiDiMedia25 Aug–9 Sep9 Sep13.421.512.07.724.83.62.06.82.81.21.51.21.53.3Supermedia YouTrend26 Aug–8 Sep9 Sep13.221.512.17.824.43.72.16.82.81.11.51.11.92.9

Coalition vote Polling firmAdministeredUpdatedCentre-rightM5SCentre-leftA–IVOthers/AbroadLeadElection results25 Sep–43.815.626.17.76.817.7Cassandra17 Aug–9 Sep10 Sep45.513.227.76.76.717.8BiDiMedia25 Aug–9 Sep9 Sep46.013.428.36.85.517.7Supermedia YouTrend26 Aug–8 Sep9 Sep45.813.228.46.85.417.4Supermedia YouTrend24 Aug–1 Sep2 Sep47.211.828.96.25.918.3Supermedia YouTrend11–24 Aug25 Aug48.210.929.55.95.518.7

Seat projections (Chamber of Deputies) Polling firmAdministeredUpdatedCentre-rightM5SCentre-leftA–IVSVP–PATTItalexitOthers/AbroadLeadMajorityElection results25 Sep–237528521302152+36Cassandra17 Aug–9 Sep10 Sep247408818331159+46BiDiMedia15 Aug–9 Sep10 Sep25235831830169+51

Seat projections (Senate of the Republic) Polling firmAdministeredUpdatedCentre-rightM5SCentre-leftA–IVSVP–PATTItalexitOthers/AbroadLeadMajorityElection results 25 Sep–1152844920271+11Cassandra17 Aug–9 Sep10 Sep1252240921185+21

Party vote Parties or lists are ordered according to their share of the vote in 2018. Power to the People and Us with Italy remain active but have been rarely polled after 2019. New parties and lists like Green Europe, We Are Europeans/Action, Cambiamo!, Italia Viva, Italexit, Coraggio Italia, and Together for the Future/Civic Commitment are ordered by foundation date. From May–December 2021, Coraggio Italia replaced Cambiamo! From January–August 2022, most pollers listed together Action and More Europe by their own request.

Starting from the beginning of 2019, some agencies polled Free and Equal (LeU), others The Left (LS), and some others both. The two lists, LeU for the 2018 Italian general election and LS for the 2019 European Parliament election in Italy, have slightly different but partially overlapping compositions: the former included Article One (Art.1), the latter had the Communist Refoundation Party, which was part of Power to the People in 2018, and both included Italian Left (SI). Since May 2021, most pollsters started to give data separately for Art.1 and SI. Starting in late April 2022, Art.1 was sometimes included within the Democratic Party's polling numbers. By August 2022, Art.1 joined the Democratic Party – Democratic and Progressive Italy alliance, while SI formed the Greens and Left Alliance list with Green Europe; both lists are part of the centre-left coalition.

Graphical summary

2022 Fieldwork datePolling firmSample sizeM5SPDLegaFIFdIAVS+EA–IVItalexitICNMUPOthersLead25 SepElection results–15.419.18.88.126.03.62.87.81.90.60.91.43.96.99 SepPiepoli–11.521.512.09.523.54.02.56.52.02.02.03.02.08–9 SepBiDiMedia3,04513.122.311.86.725.84.01.67.02.40.71.41.22.03.57–9 SepQuorum – YouTrend1,00013.821.212.97.925.33.42.25.52.41.21.11.02.14.16–9 SepSWG1,20012.020.412.16.727.04.02.17.52.91.01.41.01.96.66–9 SepLab21011,00012.024.715.76.023.32.61.26.72.82.12.81.48 SepCluster172,01814.120.811.38.424.43.62.46.83.30.60.71.22.33.67–8 SepIZI1,00115.421.410.08.625.04.21.55.52.90.90.62.02.03.66–8 SepTermometro Politico4,60013.322.213.37.225.22.61.65.12.80.71.11.73.23.06–8 SepTecnè2,00312.221.611.410.225.43.22.06.42.60.91.32.83.87 SepEuromedia80013.021.811.87.224.73.81.77.82.61.01.62.96–7 SepNoto1,00013.519.513.06.924.32.71.37.72.72.22.53.74.86–7 SepIndex Research80014.021.111.07.026.54.02.07.23.00.91.11.01.25.45–7 SepGDC1,63712.321.512.57.324.43.22.37.72.50.93.12.22.95–7 SepEMG1,00013.019.512.08.024.53.03.08.02.51.53.02.05.05–7 SepDemos & Pi1,00113.822.412.07.724.63.42.26.82.05.12.25–7 SepDemopolis3,00012.822.413.56.925.03.57.03.05.92.64–7 SepBiDiMedia12,00012.023.312.36.725.34.11.76.42.50.71.51.32.22.03–7 SepHokuto1,50014.520.211.07.026.83.51.17.23.20.50.54.46.65–6 SepBiDiMedia1,21411.623.712.56.724.74.11.66.62.40.71.51.53.11.04–6 SepIpsos1,00014.520.512.58.025.13.42.56.73.00.81.01.01.04.65 SepEMG1,42312.020.912.38.223.83.12.37.72.91.23.11.11.42.94–5 SepIpsos1,00014.821.611.88.025.53.62.16.53.00.60.50.71.43.91–5 SepTecnè2,00011.921.912.110.424.83.02.16.12.40.91.43.92.931 Aug–5 SepCISE86116.621.49.68.023.05.92.35.33.61.40.92.01.631 Aug–5 SepSWG1,20011.921.412.16.725.84.21.97.23.11.31.51.21.74.42–4 SepQuorum – YouTrend1,00012.121.913.58.124.23.52.25.22.60.91.51.23.12.331 Aug–4 SepGPF3,00013.422.612.78.024.43.91.25.33.60.80.50.82.71.81–2 SepDemopolis2,00412.322.413.67.224.53.57.03.06.52.129 Aug–2 SepIxè1,20913.821.710.97.922.73.52.77.12.50.81.25.21.029 Aug–2 SepLab21011,00011.125.316.86.022.82.81.56.51.92.52.82.531 Aug–1 SepTermometro Politico5,50011.623.013.97.024.82.71.75.12.80.61.11.54.22.830–31 AugIZI1,03713.021.812.08.024.54.52.05.22.60.60.61.43.82.730–31 AugNoto1,00012.520.013.57.523.53.02.08.02.81.52.53.23.530 AugPiepoli–11.022.012.010.023.54.52.06.02.52.01.53.01.529–30 AugBiDiMedia1,20811.024.312.76.624.53.81.96.22.50.71.61.32.90.229–30 AugIpsos1,00013.423.013.48.024.04.12.05.03.00.81.01.11.21.029–30 AugEuromedia80012.323.112.57.024.63.11.57.42.71.02.02.81.529 AugEMG1,52311.721.312.88.423.23.42.17.02.91.33.11.22.61.926–29 AugTecnè2,00010.922.212.910.924.63.12.45.12.60.81.33.22.424–29 AugSWG1,20011.622.312.57.024.84.01.56.83.41.21.63.32.525–28 AugGDC1,09611.122.513.17.324.23.32.75.82.81.13.03.11.724–27 AugQuorum – YouTrend1,00511.122.713.88.724.13.22.95.32.50.71.91.22.01.425 AugPiepoli–11.022.012.58.024.53.02.07.02.51.56.02.525 AugBiDiMedia1,30010.824.113.06.624.73.91.96.12.60.71.50.93.20.624–25 AugTermometro Politico5,30010.723.314.37.224.72.51.94.82.50.81.21.54.61.423–24 AugTecnè2,00010.522.612.711.124.63.32.54.92.90.61.23.12.022–24 AugDemopolis1,40811.022.614.57.024.03.75.83.18.31.410–23 AugLab21011,50010.626.116.95.622.53.01.46.91.63.02.43.620 AugNoto1,00012.520.512.57.525.02.71.37.52.31.02.54.74.513–20 AugLab21011,00010.125.616.75.422.33.31.86.71.73.33.13.319 AugPiepoli–10.522.013.07.524.03.52.06.53.01.56.02.017–18 AugBiDiMedia2,10710.024.213.67.024.03.92.15.22.40.91.80.94.00.217–18 AugTecnè 1,50610.223.512.911.424.33.72.84.82.71.22.50.816–18 AugTermometro Politico4,90011.123.514.37.324.32.61.94.92.40.71.01.54.50.817 AugNoto1,00012.521.512.57.524.52.51.57.51.52.56.03.011–14 AugGDC1,37910.725.912.37.523.43.42.25.13.10.93.22.32.512 AugEnzo Risso–12.824.714.77.522.23.12.04.33.20.80.93.92.56–12 AugLab21011,00010.025.316.35.622.13.42.06.51.83.63.43.210–11 AugDemopolis1,20610.622.815.26.824.34.15.32.68.31.58–11 AugTecnè4,0029.823.813.011.424.23.83.04.72.61.12.60.48–9 AugEMG–10.024.012.58.024.03.03.06.01.53.54.5Tie5–7 Aug1,00010.622.314.08.924.23.91.64.23.21.51.10.73.81.9