The 2004 United States presidential election in Arizona took place on November 2, 2004, and was part of the 2004 United States presidential election. Voters chose 10 representatives, or electors, to the Electoral College, who voted for president and vice president.

Arizona was won by incumbent George W. Bush by 10.5%. Prior to the election, 12 news organizations considered this a state Bush would win, or otherwise considered as a likely red state. Neither major party tickets campaigned here in the fall election. Arizona hosted the third presidential debate on October 13, 2004, in the city of Tempe.

, this is the last time Arizona was won by a double-digit margin of victory. This was the first election in which any candidate won more than a million votes as well as in which Maricopa County cast more than a million ballots.

Primaries 2004 Arizona Democratic primary

Campaign Predictions There were 12 news organizations who made state-by-state predictions of the election. Here are their last predictions before election day.

+SourceRankingD.C. Political ReportAssociated PressCNNCook Political ReportNewsweekNew York TimesRasmussen ReportsResearch 2000Washington PostWashington TimesZogby InternationalWashington Dispatch

Polling

Throughout several polls taken in the state in 2004, just one showed Kerry leading. The final 3 pre-election polls showed that Bush was leading with 51% to Kerry's 43%.

Fundraising Bush raised $3,196,692. Kerry raised $1,525,930.

Advertising and visits Neither campaign advertised or visited this state during the fall campaign.

Analysis The exit polls showed that Bush was going to be the clear winner of the state, based on the fact that Bush won among both genders. A major key factor was how 55% of the people thought the state economy was good, and 70% of those people voted for Bush. Also, 55% of the state approved of Bush.

The key to Bush's victory was winning the highly populated Maricopa County with almost 57%. However, Kerry did win portions of the state such as Arizona's 4th congressional district and Arizona's 7th congressional district and 4 counties. 50% of the voting age population came out to vote.

Results 2004 United States presidential election in ArizonaPartyCandidateVotesPercentageElectoral votes Republican George W. Bush (incumbent) 1,104,294 54.77% 10 Democratic John Kerry 893,524 44.32% 0 Libertarian Michael Badnarik 11,856 0.59% 0 Write In Write-in candidate 3,517 0.17% 0 Write In Ralph Nader 2,773 0.14% 0 Write In David Cobb 138 0.01% 0 Totals 2,012,585 100.00% 10 Voter turnout (voting age) 49.6%

By county County George W. BushOur campaigns; AZ US President Race, November 02, 2004Republican John KerryDemocratic Michael BadnarikLibertarian Various candidatesWrite-ins Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % # %Apache 8,384 34.65% 15,658 64.71% 142 0.59% 14 0.06% −7,274 −30.06% 24,198Cochise 26,556 59.55% 17,514 39.27% 318 0.71% 207 0.46% 9,042 20.28% 44,595Coconino 22,526 43.00% 29,243 55.82% 377 0.72% 245 0.47% −6,717 −12.82% 52,391Gila 12,343 59.12% 8,314 39.82% 155 0.74% 65 0.31% 4,029 19.30% 20,877Graham 7,467 69.65% 3,185 29.71% 66 0.62% 2 0.02% 4,282 39.94% 10,720Greenlee 1,899 61.92% 1,146 37.37% 19 0.62% 3 0.10% 753 24.55% 3,067La Paz 3,158 62.42% 1,849 36.55% 45 0.89% 7 0.14% 1,309 25.87% 5,059Maricopa 679,455 56.86% 504,849 42.25% 6,776 0.57% 3,881 0.32% 174,606 14.61% 1,194,961Mohave 36,794 63.53% 20,503 35.40% 393 0.68% 225 0.39% 16,291 28.13% 57,915Navajo 17,277 53.32% 14,815 45.72% 224 0.69% 88 0.27% 2,462 7.60% 32,404Pima 171,109 46.56% 193,128 52.55% 2,109 0.57% 1,146 0.31% −22,019 −5.99% 367,492Pinal 37,006 57.27% 27,252 42.17% 333 0.52% 31 0.05% 9,754 15.10% 64,622Santa Cruz 4,668 39.93% 6,909 59.11% 80 0.68% 32 0.27% −2,241 −19.18% 11,689Yavapai 53,468 61.05% 33,127 37.82% 612 0.70% 376 0.43% 20,341 23.23% 87,583Yuma 22,184 57.58% 16,032 41.61% 207 0.54% 106 0.28% 6,152 15.97% 38,529Totals1,104,29454.77%893,52444.32%11,8560.59%6,4280.32%210,77010.45%2,016,102

By congressional district Bush won six of eight congressional districts. District Bush Kerry Representative 54% 46%Rick Renzi 61% 38%Trent Franks 58% 41%John Shadegg 38% 62%Ed Pastor 54% 45%J. D. Hayworth 64% 35%Jeff Flake 43% 57%Raul Grijalva 53% 46%Jim Kolbe

Electors

Technically the voters of Arizona cast their ballots for electors: representatives to the Electoral College. Arizona is allocated 10 electors because it has 8 congressional districts and 2 senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot or qualify to receive write-in votes must submit a list of 10 electors, who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the majority of votes in the state is awarded all 10 electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector.

The electors of each state and the District of Columbia met on December 13, 2004, to cast their votes for president and vice president. The Electoral College itself never meets as one body. Instead the electors from each state and the District of Columbia met in their respective capitols.

The following were the members of the Electoral College from this state. All were pledged to and voted for George W. Bush and Dick Cheney. Linda Barber Malcolm Barrett Jim Click Cynthia J. Collins Webb Crockett Elizabeth Wilkinson Fannin Ross Farnsworth Ira A. Fulton Bernice C. Roberts Phillip Townsend

Notes

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