Opinion polling for the 2017 Iranian presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls in connection with the 2017 Iranian presidential election, which were held on 19 May 2017, with a run-off the week after if no candidate secures an absolute majority of the vote in the first round.

Polls 2017 Fieldwork date Poll source Samplesize Margin of error UndecidedWon't sayOthers Rouhani Raisi Ghalibaf Mir-Salim Jahangiri Hashemitaba17 May 2017iPPO1,203[±2.83,±4.06]35.9%18%2.3%0.5%0.2%0%16.4%20%7%16 May: Jahangiri drops out in favor of Rouhani16 May 2017IranPoll1,007±3.09%60.4%39.6%58%36.4%<2%<2%<2%15–16 May 2017iPPO1,194[±2.83,±3.89]30%13%5%1%<1%1%24%22%10%15 May: Ghalibaf drops out in favor of Raisi13–15 May 2017iPPO1,376[±2.64,±3.92]27%10%8%1%1%<1%24%22%4%11–14 May 2017iPPO1,122[±2.93,±4.30]28%12%9%1%1%<1%24%22%4%10–13 May 2017iPPO1,012[±3.08,±4.73]29.1%10.7%12%0.6%0.3%0.1%25.5%13.1%8.7%9–12 May 2017iPPO1,199[±2.83,±3.75]30%11%12%1%<1%<1%25%11%9%8–11 May 2017iPPO1,212[±2.81,±3.74]29%11% 12%<1%1%<1%28%10%10%7–10 May 2017iPPO1,189[±2.82,±3.75]28%10%10%<1%<1%<1%30%8%14%6–9 May 2017iPPO1,189[±2.84,±3.82]23%9%11%1%<1%<1%33%10%14%5–8 May 2017iPPO1,076[±2.99,±3.91] 24.4%6.9%10.3%0.7%0.7%0.1%35.6%9.7%11.6%4–7 May 2017iPPO1,000[±3.10,±3.90]24.5%4.6%10.5%0.8%1.3%0.4%36.3%9.3%12.3%4–7 May 2017iPPO947[±3.18,±3.90]26%5.5%11.8%0.8%1.4%0.2%38.9%10.3%5.1%

Iran-based pollsters According to the Al-Monitor, "it’s not unusual in Iran for news outlets to publish reports of nonscientific surveys. Without further details, such polls shouldn’t be considered reliable if they lack the disclosure of basic methodological information". A persistent problem in Iranian pollsters, they also do not report the standard disclosure items for legitimate surveys including sample size or margin of error. Fieldwork date Poll source No answerNone of them Rouhani Ghalibaf Raisi Jahangiri Mir-Salim Hashemitaba15 May 2017APCAF Porsesh55.47%28.46%3.66%2.18%1.41%6.26%13 May 2017ISPA47.2%19.5%25.2%3.1%2.1%1.4%43.2%21.7%24.7%3.6%2.8%1.7%49.9%41.3%2.3%4.8%7–8 May 2017ISPA41.6%24.6%26.7%3.2%2.8%1.2%47.7%38.7%44.8%44.1%23–24 April 2017ISPA43.5%22.6%17.4%3.6%2.1%2.8%8.1% 52.9%32.4%3.5%11.2%49%37.7%3.7%9.6%Before 24 April 2017IRIB (Alef report in Persian)1st2nd3rd43.3%27%40.9%34.6%36.5%27%

Pre-2017 polls Fieldwork date Poll source Samplesize Margin of error Other Rouhani Ahmadinejad Ghalibaf Jalili10–24 December 2016CISSM, IranPoll1,000±3.248.5%31.8%10.7% , 9% 47.2%25.1%11.3%6.7% , 9.7% 57.3%21.8%8.6% , 12.3% Late October 2016"An academic institute in Iran" (Original Source in Persian) Undisclosed ±3.264%19%53%32%17–27 June 2016CISSM, IranPoll1,007 ±3.253.6%30.1%6.6% , 9.7% 40.6%31%15.3%6% , 7.1% 45%36.7%9.5% , 8.7% 11–24 March 2016iPOS1,077 ±341%29%15% , 15% 12–28 May 2015UTCPOR, CISSM, IranPoll1,009±3.224.6%8.8%6.2%0.4%15.5% , 46% 53.4%26.6%11.3% , 8.7% 14–15 February 2015iPOS735 ±3.628%24%23% , 25% 27%21%9%4%37%

Approval ratings 2017 Poll source Samplesize Fieldwork date Margin of error Approval ratingsIranPoll1,00514 April±3.09%

Turnout Poll source Samplesize Fieldwork date Margin of errorVery likelySomewhat likelyNot very likelyNot likely at allDon't knowiPPO9474–7 May 2017 [±3.18,±3.90] 71.6%16.1%4.9%IRIB38,000 30 April–2 May 2017 63.5%7.1%1.2% 23.6%4.6%ISPA4,50023–24 April 2017 48%22%7% 10%12%ISPA9005–6 March 2017 41.9%18.8%11% 16%12%CISSM, IranPoll1,000 10–24 December 2016 ±3.2 66.6%15.8%8.9%7.4%1.3%CISSM, IranPoll1,007 17–27 June 2016 ±3.2 65.8%15.3%10.6%7.1%1.1%

References