2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont

The 2018 United States House of Representatives election in Vermont was held on November 6, 2018, to elect the U.S. representative from the state of Vermont from Vermont's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primary elections were held on August 14. Peter Welch, a Democrat won reelection to a seventh term, defeating Republican Anya Tynio.

Democratic primary Candidates

Declared Daniel Freilich, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, Navy medical doctor, physician at the VA Medical Center Peter Welch, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn Ben Mitchell, Liberty Union nominee for U.S. Senate in 2004, governor of Vermont in 2010 and for lieutenant governor of Vermont in 2012 (Withdrew, endorsed Freilich)

Debates & forums CCTV Channel 17 Forum - Democratic Primary for Representative to Congress 8/7/2018 Vermont Public Radio - Campaign 2018: A Debate With The Democratic Candidates For U.S. House 8/9/2018

Results

Republican primary Candidates

Declared H. Brooke Paige, former CEO of Remmington News Service, perennial candidate Anya Tynio, sales representative for the Newport Daily Express

Debates & forums CCTV Channel 17 Republican Primary Forum for Representative to Congress 7/23/2018

Results

Post-primary H. Brooke Paige, who also won the Republican nominations for U.S. Senate, state attorney general, state secretary of state, state treasurer and state auditor, withdrew from all but the secretary of state race on August 24 in order to allow the Vermont Republican State Committee to name replacement candidates. Anya Tynio, who came in second place in the primary, was nominated to be the Republican nominee.

Progressive primary Candidates

Write-in Daniel Freilich, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, Navy medical doctor, physician at the VA Medical Center (also running in Democratic primary)

Debates & forums BCTV Meet The Candidates forum for Representative to US House 7/10/2018

Results

Liberty Union/Socialist nomination The Liberty Union Party serves as the Vermont affiliate of the Socialist Party for federal-level elections. Candidates Declared Laura S. Potter

Withdrawn Ben Mitchell, Liberty Union nominee for U.S. Senate in 2004, governor of Vermont in 2010 and for lieutenant governor of Vermont in 2012 (also ran in Democratic primary before dropping out)

United States Marijuana nomination Candidates

Declared Cris Ericson, perennial candidate

America First nomination Candidates

Declared Paul Young (failed to appear on ballot)

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 2, 2018

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error PeterWelch (D) AnyaTynio (R) Other UndecidedGravis MarketingGravis Marketing October 30 – November 1, 2018 885 ± 3.3% 66% 28% – 6%Braun ResearchBraun Research October 5–14, 2018 497 ± 4.4% 55% 18% 7%Cris Ericson (I) and Laura Potter (LU) with 3%; none/write in/other with 1% 20%

Results

By county

CountyPeter WelchDemocraticAnya TynioRepublicanVarious candidatesOther parties#%#%#%Addison12,26971.3%4,18624.3%7464.3%Bennington9,72366.5%3,93926.9%9576.6%Caledonia7,08060.7%4,05434.7%5375.7%Chittenden57,23875.8%15,26820.2%2,9974.0%Essex1,10650.5%95843.8%1245.6%Franklin11,04760.8%6,25134.4%8734.9%Grand Isle2,39364.9%1,14131.0%1514.1%Lamoille8,07971.2%2,77124.4%4904.3%Orange8,22465.7%3,61428.9%6715.3%Orleans5,56956.3%3,85038.9%4764.8%Rutland14,23758.5%8,84136.3%1,2665.2%Washington19,76772.6%6,18222.7%1,2814.7%Windham14,20774.8%3,62319.1%1,1736.2%Windsor17,60870.2%6,02724.0%1,4555.8% Totals188,54769.2%70,70526.0%13,1994.8%

References

External links Candidates at Vote Smart Candidates at Ballotpedia Campaign finance at FEC Campaign finance at OpenSecrets

Official campaign websites Cris Ericson (M) for Congress Daniel Freilich (P/D) for Congress Ben Mitchell (S/D) for Congress Anya Tynio (R) for Congress Peter Welch (D) for Congress