2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 6, 2018, to elect the 14 U.S. representatives from the state of Michigan, one from each of the state's 14 congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other offices, including a gubernatorial election, other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The filing deadline for candidates filing for the August 7 primary was April 24, 2018. Unless otherwise indicated, the Cook Political Report rated the congressional races as safe for the party of the incumbent.

Two seats shifted from Republican to Democratic control. In the 8th Congressional District, Elissa Slotkin defeated incumbent Mike Bishop and in an open seat for the 11th Congressional District, Haley Stevens defeated Lena Epstein. This left Michigan's U.S. House delegation in the 116th United States Congress with seven Democrats and seven Republicans until July 4, 2019, when Justin Amash of the 3rd Congressional District left the Republican Party to become an independent, shifting the balance of power in Michigan's House delegation to a Democratic plurality for the first time since 2011.

Results summary Statewide Party Candi-dates Votes Seats No. % No. +/– % Democratic Party 14 2,165,586 52.33% 7 2 50.00% Republican Party 13 1,847,480 44.65% 7 2 50.00% Working Class Party 5 52,879 1.28% 0 0.00% U.S. Taxpayers' Party 4 27,007 0.65% 0 0.00% Independent 3 18,299 0.44% 0 0.00% Green Party 3 14,805 0.36% 0 0.00% Libertarian Party 2 12,095 0.29% 0 0.00%Total 44 4,138,151 100.00% 14 100.00%

District Results of the 2018 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan by district:

DistrictDemocraticRepublicanOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %District 1 145,246 43.68% 187,251 56.32% 0 0.00% 332,497 100.00% Republican holdDistrict 2 131,254 42.97% 168,970 55.32% 5,239 1.72% 305,463 100.00% Republican holdDistrict 3 134,185 43.18% 169,107 54.42% 7,448 2.40% 310,740 100.00% Republican holdDistrict 4 106,540 37.38% 178,510 62.62% 0 0.00% 285,050 100.00% Republican holdDistrict 5 164,502 59.51% 99,265 35.91% 12,646 4.58% 276,413 100.00% Democratic holdDistrict 6 134,082 45.69% 147,436 50.24% 11,920 4.06% 293,438 100.00% Republican holdDistrict 7 136,330 46.20% 158,730 53.80% 0 0.00% 295,060 100.00% Republican holdDistrict 8 172,880 50.61% 159,782 46.78% 8,931 2.61% 341,593 100.00% Democratic gainDistrict 9 181,734 59.67% 112,123 36.81% 10,706 3.52% 304,563 100.00% Democratic holdDistrict 10 106,061 35.00% 182,808 60.32% 14,195 4.68% 303,064 100.00% Republican holdDistrict 11 181,912 51.84% 158,463 45.16% 10,526 3.00% 350,901 100.00% Democratic gainDistrict 12 200,588 68.08% 85,115 28.89% 8,925 3.03% 294,628 100.00% Democratic holdDistrict 13 165,355 84.24% 0 0.00% 30,944 15.76% 196,299 100.00% Democratic holdDistrict 14 214,334 80.88% 45,899 17.32% 4,761 1.80% 264,994 100.00% Democratic holdTotal 2,175,003 52.35% 1,853,459 44.61% 126,241 3.04% 4,154,703 100.00%

District 1

The 1st district consists of the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula including Alpena, Marquette, and Traverse City. This district had a PVI of R+9. The district, which makes up about 44% of the land area of the state of Michigan, is the second-largest congressional district east of the Mississippi River by land area. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who had represented the district since 2017. He was elected to replace retiring representative Dan Benishek with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race "likely Republican".

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Democratic primary Matt Morgan was the only Democrat to file to run. However, he was removed from the ballot because he used a PO box address on his nomination petitions instead of his residential address. Instead, Morgan ran a write-in campaign, hoping to qualify for the ballot by winning at least five percent of the total votes cast in the district for the Democratic gubernatorial primary. Over 4,800 votes were cast in Marquette County, which would have been enough by itself to qualify Morgan for the ballot. According to official results, Democrats cast 29,293 write-in votes in the primary for Morgan, more than seven times the 3,781-vote threshold. On August 24, the Board of State Canvassers placed him on the November ballot. Candidates Nominee Matthew W. Morgan, retired US Marine Corps lieutenant colonel and Iraq War veteran

Withdrawn Dwight Brady, professor

Primary results

General election Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof errorJackBergman (R)MattMorgan (D) UndecidedChange Research (D)Change Research (D)October 27–29, 2018574–54%42%–

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018

Results

District 2

The 2nd district is located in West Michigan and is anchored by the suburbs of Grand Rapids such as Kentwood and Wyoming, other cities include Holland and Muskegon. This district had a PVI of R+9. The incumbent was Republican Bill Huizenga, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 63% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Rob Davidson, ER doctor

Failed to qualify Nick Schiller, political newcomer

Primary results

General election Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror BillHuizenga (R) RobDavidson (D) UndecidedLake Research Partners (D-Davidson)Lake Research Partners (D-Davidson) October 11–15, 2018 400 ± 4.9% 48% 42% 7%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018

Results

District 3

The 3rd district is located in inland West Michigan, centered on the city of Grand Rapids, and extends down to Battle Creek and Marshall. This district had a PVI of R+6. The incumbent was Republican Justin Amash, who had represented the district since 2011. He was re-elected to a fourth term with 59% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Justin Amash, incumbent U.S. representative

Failed to qualify Joe Farrington Matt Hall

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Cathy Albro, educator

Eliminated in primary Fred Wooden, pastor

Primary results

General election Endorsements

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018

Results

District 4

The 4th district is located in Northern and Central Michigan including portions of the Tri-Cities region, specifically Midland, other cities include Mount Pleasant and the northern suburbs of Lansing. This district had a PVI of R+10. The incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar, who had represented the district since 2015. He was re-elected to a second term with 62% of the vote in 2016.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Jerry Hilliard

Eliminated in primary Zigmond Kozicki

Failed to qualify Dion Adams

Primary results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Results

District 5

The 5th district is located along the eastern coast of Michigan, centered on the Tri-Cities region of Mid Michigan, such as Bay City and Saginaw, and stretches down into Flint. This district had a PVI of D+5. The incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee, who had represented the district since 2013. He was re-elected to a third term with 61% of the vote in 2016. Kildee considered running for governor in 2018, but decided to run for re-election instead.

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Republican primary Michigan's 5th district was included on the initial list of Democratic held seats being targeted by the National Republican Congressional Committee in 2018. There was one Republican candidate, Durand resident Travis Wines, who lived outside the district.

Candidates Nominee Travis Wines

Primary results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018CNNOctober 31, 2018PoliticoNovember 4, 2018

Endorsements

Results

District 6

The 6th district is located in Southwestern corner of Michigan, specifically the Michiana region. The district is anchored by Kalamazoo and the surrounding areas including Benton Harbor and Niles. This district had a PVI of R+4. The incumbent was Republican Fred Upton, who had represented the district since 1993 and previously represented the 4th district from 1987 to 1993. He was re-elected to a sixteenth term with 59% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican".

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Matt Longjohn, physician and former National Health Officer for the YMCA

Eliminated in primary David Benac, professor Rich Eichholz, businessman and biologist George Franklin, former Kellogg Company executive Failed to qualify Paul Clements, professor and nominee for this seat in 2014 and 2016 Eponine Garrod, local activist and quality control chemist

Declined Mark Schauer, former U.S. Representative and nominee for governor in 2014

Endorsements

Primary results

General election Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error FredUpton (R) MattLongjohn (D) StephenYoung (T) UndecidedChange Research (D)November 2–4, 2018460–40%42%3%14%Change Research (D)October 27–29, 2018466–46%43%––DCCC (D)DCCC (D) October 9–10, 2018 605 ± 4.2% 49% 46% – –Public Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) September 4–5, 2018 750 – 45% 41% – –Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn)Global Strategy Group (D-Longjohn) August 24–29, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 47% 41% 3% 9%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin oferror FredUpton (R) Democraticopponent (D) Other UndecidedPublic Policy Polling (D)Public Policy Polling (D) November 8–9, 2017 681 ± 3.8% 42% 41% – 17%

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political ReportNovember 5, 2018 Inside ElectionsNovember 5, 2018 Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 5, 2018RCPNovember 5, 2018Daily KosNovember 5, 2018538November 7, 2018

Results

District 7

The 7th district is located in Southern Michigan including downtown Lansing and the western suburbs of Ann Arbor including Lodi and Milan, other cities include Adrian, Coldwater, and Jackson. This district had a PVI of R+7. The incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg, who had represented the district since 2011 and previously represented the district from 2007 to 2009. He was re-elected to a fourth consecutive and fifth total term with 55% of the vote in 2016. The Cook Political Report rated this race as "likely Republican".

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. representative

Primary results

Democratic primary Michigan's 7th district was included on the initial list of Republican held seats being targeted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee in 2018.