Statewide polls for the 2016 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2016, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against a possible Democratic candidate.
Note some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2016.
Alabama 9 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 60%–39%(Republican in 2012) 61%–38%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error News-5/Strategy Poll July 19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 57% 24 4,100 ± 2.0%
Alaska 3 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 59%–38%(Republican in 2012) 55%–41%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Ivan Moore Research June 16–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 670 ? Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research January 2016 Hillary Clinton 44.1% Donald Trump 49.3% 5.2 651 ? Hillary Clinton 37.5% Ted Cruz 56.9% 19.4 Hillary Clinton 37.9% Marco Rubio 56.7% 18.8
Four-way race
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green Party%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of errorMoore InformationAugust 27–29, 2016Hillary Clinton29%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson10%Jill Stein4%10500± 4%Ivan Moore Research June 16–20, 2016Hillary Clinton30%Donald Trump39%Gary Johnson16%Jill Stein6%9670?
Arizona 11 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%(Republican in 2012) 53%–44%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Public Policy Polling August 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 46% 3 837 ± 3.4% CNN/ORC August 18–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 49% 5 809 ± 3.5% Public Policy Polling June 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 44% 4 691 ± 3.7% OH Predictive Insights June 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 1,060 ± 3.01% Greenberg Quinlan Rosner June 11–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 45% 6 300 ± 5.66%Public Policy PollingMay 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4896± 3.3%Bernie Sanders 45% Donald Trump44%1Behavior Research Center April 4–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 35% 7 564 ± 4.2% Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 43% 5 Hillary Clinton 32% John Kasich 44% 12 Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 33% 21 Bernie Sanders 48% Ted Cruz 34% 14 Bernie Sanders 47% John Kasich 33% 14Merrill Poll/WestGroup March 7–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38%Tied 701 ± 3.7% Hillary Clinton 35% Ted Cruz 41% 6 Bernie Sanders 39% Donald Trump 36% 3
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Arizona Republic/Morrison/Cronkite News August 17–31, 2016Hillary Clinton35%Donald Trump34%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein2%1 704 ± 3.3% OH Predictive Insights August 25–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 7% Jill Stein 1%1 728 ±3.63%CNN/ORCAugust 18–23, 2016Hillary Clinton38%Donald Trump45%Gary Johnson12%Jill Stein4%7 809 ± 3.5% CBS News/YouGov August 2–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 44% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 2% 2 1,095 ± 4.8% OH Predictive Insights August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1%2 996 ±3.0% Integrated Web Strategy July 29, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 49% Gary Johnson 3% Jill Stein 1%8 679 ± 3.76% Public Policy Polling May 13–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2%2896± 3.3% Bernie Sanders 42% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 6% Jill Stein 2%3
Arkansas 6 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%(Republican in 2012) 61%–37%
Three-way race
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/ Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of error Talk Business/Hendrix CollegeJune 21, 2016Hillary Clinton36%Donald Trump47%Gary Johnson8%11751 ± 3.6%
California 55 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%(Democratic in 2012) 60%–37%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Field Research June 8 – July 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 58% Donald Trump 28% 30 956 ± 3.2%SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles Times June 7–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 32% 27 1,553 ± 3% CBS News/YouGov May 31 – June 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 33% 15 1,187 ± 3.9% Bernie Sanders 55% Donald Trump 32% 23 USC/Los Angeles Times May 19–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 30% 26 1,500 ± 2.9% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist College May 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 55% Donald Trump 31% 24 1,833 ± 2.3% Bernie Sanders 62% Donald Trump 28% 34 Field Research May 26–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 53% Donald Trump 34% 19 1,002 ± 3.2% Bernie Sanders 60% Donald Trump 31% 29 SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG May 19–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 52% Donald Trump 38% 14 1,383 ± 2.7% Public Policy Institute of California May 13–22, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 1,704 ± 4.3% Bernie Sanders 53% Donald Trump 36% 17 SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG April 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 56% Donald Trump 34% 22 1,683 ± 2.4% Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 29% 28 Hillary Clinton 53% John Kasich 34% 19 SurveyUSA March 30 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 60% Donald Trump 26% 34 1,507 ± 2.6% Hillary Clinton 57% Ted Cruz 32% 25 Hillary Clinton 56% John Kasich 33% 23 Bernie Sanders 63% Donald Trump 24% 39 Bernie Sanders 61% Ted Cruz 26% 35 Bernie Sanders 57% John Kasich 28% 29 Field Research March 24 – April 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 31% 28 1,400 ± 3.2% Hillary Clinton 55% Ted Cruz 32% 23 USC Dornsife College/LA Times March 16–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 59% Donald Trump 28% 31 1,503 ± % Hillary Clinton 59% Ted Cruz 31% 28 Hillary Clinton 54% John Kasich 35% 19
Three-way race
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Independent/ Third-party candidate%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of errorField ResearchJune 8 – July 2, 2016Hillary Clinton50%Donald Trump26%Gary Johnson10%24495± 4.4%Hoover Institution/YouGovMay 4–16, 2016Hillary Clinton45%Donald Trump33%Gary Johnson4%121,196± 3.97%
Four-way race
Poll sourceDate administeredDemocrat%Republican%Libertarian%Green%Lead marginSample sizeMargin of errorPublic Policy Institute of CaliforniaJuly 10–19, 2016Hillary Clinton46%Donald Trump30% Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6%161,703± 3.5%SurveyMonkey/USC/Los Angeles TimesJune 7–10, 2016Hillary Clinton51%Donald Trump27%Gary Johnson7%Jill Stein6%241,553± 3%
Colorado 9 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%(Democratic in 2012) 51%–46%
Two-way race Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 39% 10 830 ± 3.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 46% Donald Trump 32% 14 899 ± 3.3% Fox News July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 34% 10 600 ± 4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 35% 8 794 ± 3.5% Harper July 7–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 500 ± 4.38% Gravis Marketing July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 41% 2 1,313 ± 2.7%
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Magellan Strategies August 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 3% 5 500 ± 4.38% Quinnipiac University August 9–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 16% Jill Stein 7% 8 830 ± 3.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist August 4–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 29% Gary Johnson 15% Jill Stein 6% 12 899 ± 3.3% Fox News July 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 28% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 6% 9 600 ± 4% Monmouth University July 7–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 5% Jill Stein 3% 13 404 ± 4.9% NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist July 5–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 13% Jill Stein 4% 6 794 ± 3.5% Gravis Marketing July 7–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 9% Jill Stein 4% 1 1,313 ± 2.7% CBS News/YouGov June 21–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 39% Gary Johnson 4% Jill Stein 1% 1 996 ± 4.3%
Connecticut 7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%(Democratic in 2012) 58%–41%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University June 1–5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 38% 7 1,330 ± 2.7% Bernie Sanders 54% Donald Trump 35% 19 Emerson College April 10–11, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 40% 8 1,043 ± 3% Hillary Clinton 52% Ted Cruz 31% 21 Hillary Clinton 38% John Kasich 49% 11 Bernie Sanders 49% Donald Trump 40% 9 Bernie Sanders 55% Ted Cruz 30% 25 Bernie Sanders 40% John Kasich 48% 8
Four-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Green % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Quinnipiac University June 1–5, 2016Hillary Clinton41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson6% Jill Stein3%5 1,330 ± 2.7%
Delaware 3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%(Democratic in 2012) 59%–40%
Three-way race Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Fairleigh Dickinson University July 20–24, 2016Hillary Clinton42% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 9%10 715 ± 4.1%
District of Columbia 3 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 92%–7%(Democratic in 2012) 91%–7%
No polling was conducted in 2016
Florida
29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%(Democratic in 2012) 50%–49%
Georgia 16 electoral votes (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%(Republican in 2012) 53%–45%
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Atlanta Journal-Constitution August 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 40% 4 847 ± 4.0% Public Policy Polling May 27–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 49% 9 724 ± 3.6% Bernie Sanders 40% Donald Trump 48% 8 Fox 5/Opinion Savvy May 15, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 44% 3 587 ± 4.0% Atlanta Journal-Constitution May 9–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 45% 4 822 ± 4.26% Bernie Sanders 47% Donald Trump 42% 5 Landmark/RosettaStone May 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 42% 1 570 ± 4.1% Lake Research Partners March 31 – April 3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 50% Donald Trump 37% 13 400 ± 4.9% Hillary Clinton 47% Ted Cruz 40% 7 SurveyUSA February 22–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 50% 9 1,261 ± 2.8% Hillary Clinton 43% Marco Rubio 50% 7 Hillary Clinton 42% Ted Cruz 49% 7 Bernie Sanders 41% Donald Trump 49% 8 Bernie Sanders 41% Marco Rubio 49% 8 Bernie Sanders 42% Ted Cruz 48% 6
Three-way race
Poll source Date administered Democrat % Republican % Libertarian % Lead margin Sample size Margin of error Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta August 17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 43% Gary Johnson11% Tied 730 ± 3.6%
Four-way race