This article presents detailed opinion polling for the 2016 Hong Kong legislative election.

Overall poll results Overall poll results for each party in geographical constituencies according to each constituency.

Opinion polling By parties

Date(s)conductedPolling sourceSample sizeDABPPLSDCivDPFTULabNPPLPBPACPPPIHKROAHKDOthersLead 4 Sep 2016Election result 16.6% 7.2% 9.6% 9.2% 7.8% 4.7% 7.7% 1.0% 2.3% 7.1% 3.8% 2.3% 20.7% 7% 29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 16% 6% 11% 9% 6% 4% 9% 2% 4% 6% 4% 1% 22% 5% 29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 18% 4% 13% 10% 7% 4% 9% 2% 2% 6% 4% 1% 19% 5% 28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 15% 6% 11% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 4% 7% 3% 1% 20% 4% 21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 16% 6% 12% 10% 7% 4% 9% 2% 4% 7% 4% 1% 19% 4% 27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 15% 6% 11% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 4% 8% 4% 1% 21% 4% 26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 15% 6% 11% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 4% 8% 4% 1% 21% 4% 20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 16% 5% 15% 9% 6% 5% 10% 2% 2% 5% 5% <1% 18% 1% 25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 17% 5% 12% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 3% 9% 4% 1% 19% 5% 24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 16% 6% 13% 10% 7% 3% 9% 1% 3% 9% 4% <1% 19% 3% 23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 15% 6% 14% 10% 7% 3% 8% 2% 3% 7% 5% 1% 19% 1% 22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 15% 6% 14% 10% 7% 4% 8% 2% 4% 6% 5% 1% 18% 1% 21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 16% 6% 15% 10% 7% 3% 9% 2% 3% 6% 4% 1% 18% 1% 20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 14% 6% 15% 9% 6% 3% 10% 2% 4% 7% 4% 1% 19% 1% 19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 15% 5% 14% 9% 7% 3% 10% 2% 4% 6% 5% 1% 18% 1% 18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 16% 5% 14% 9% 6% 3% 11% 2% 4% 7% 4% 1% 19% 2% 17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 14% 4% 15% 8% 6% 4% 13% 1% 3% 7% 5% 1% 18% 1% 16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 13% 4% 15% 7% 7% 5% 12% 2% 4% 7% 5% 1% 19% 2% 30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 17% 5% 16% 8% 6% 5% 10% 2% 2% 5% 5% <1% 19% 1% 15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 14% 4% 14% 8% 7% 6% 11% 2% 3% 6% 4% 1% 20% Tied 14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 12% 4% 14% 7% 6% 6% 11% 2% 3% 7% 5% 1% 21% 2% 13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 12% 5% 14% 8% 6% 6% 10% 2% 3% 6% 6% 1% 21% 2% 12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 14% 6% 13% 7% 5% 6% 11% 2% 3% 6% 4% <1% 22% 1% 11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 14% 6% 15% 7% 5% 5% 10% 1% 4% 6% 5% <1% 22% 1% 10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 14% 5% 15% 8% 6% 3% 11% 1% 4% 6% 5% <1% 21% 1% 8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 15% 5% 15% 7% 7% 3% 11% 1% 4% 6% 4% <1% 22% Tied 8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 15% 4% 14% 7% 7% 4% 13% 1% 4% 6% 4% 1% 20% 1% 7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 13% 5% 16% 8% 6% 5% 11% 1% 4% 6% 5% 1% 21% 3% 6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 15% 5% 15% 8% 6% 5% 11% 1% 3% 6% 4% <1% 21% Tied 5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 14% 6% 14% 7% 6% 6% 10% 1% 3% 5% 5% <1% 22% Tied 4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 14% 6% 14% 8% 5% 7% 12% 1% 3% 6% 5% <1% 19% Tied 3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 14% 5% 17% 7% 5% 6% 13% 2% 4% 5% 3% <1% 19% 3% 2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 15% 5% 16% 8% 6% 7% 12% 1% 4% 5% 3% <1% 19% 1% 1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 14% 4% 15% 9% 6% 6% 13% 1% 4% 5% 3% <1% 19% 1% 31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 14% 4% 16% 9% 6% 7% 13% 1% 4% 5% 3% <1% 18% 2% 30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 13% 3% 17% 9% 7% 7% 11% 1% 4% 6% 3% 1% 18% 4% 14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 16% 4% 16% 8% 6% 6% 9% 3% 2% 5% 2% 1% 21% Tied 20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 15% 5% 18% 7% 6% 5% 10% 3% 3% 4% 3% 1% 20% 3% 9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 20.2% 14.6% 14.1% 13.7% 7.1% 6.2% 3.8% 2.7% 12.3% 5.6%

By camps Date(s)conductedPolling sourceSample sizeAnti-establishmentPro-establishmentLead4 Sep 2016Election result 55.0% 40.2% 14.8% 29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 53% 44% 9% 29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 52% 43% 9% 28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 52% 44% 8% 21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 54% 44% 10% 27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 53% 44% 9% 26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 53% 44% 9% 20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 54% 42% 12% 25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 53% 44% 9% 24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 55% 42% 13% 23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 55% 42% 13% 22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 56% 42% 14% 21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 54% 43% 11% 20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 55% 42% 13% 19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 53% 44% 9% 18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 52% 44% 8% 17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 55% 42% 13% 16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 54% 42% 12% 30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 53% 42% 11% 15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 53% 43% 10% 14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 55% 41% 14% 13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 56% 40% 16% 12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 53% 41% 12% 11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 54% 41% 13% 10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 53% 41% 12% 8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 53% 42% 11% 8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 51% 44% 7% 7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 54% 41% 13% 6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 53% 41% 12% 5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 55% 40% 15% 4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 56% 41% 15% 3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 56% 43% 13% 2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 54% 42% 12% 1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 54% 42% 12% 31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 54% 43% 11% 30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 53% 41% 12% 14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 53% 39% 14% 20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 53% 41% 12% 9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 56.2% 42.7% 13.5%

Seat projection By parties Date(s)conductedPolling sourceSample sizeDABPPLSDCivDPFTULabNPPLPBPACPPPIHKROAHKDOthersLead 4 Sep 2016Election result 7 2 5 5 3 1 3 0 1 1 2 1 4 2 29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 7 2 5 4 3 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 6 2 29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 7 0 5 4 4 2 3 1 1 1 2 0 5 2 28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 6 2 4 4 3 1 3 0 2 2 1 1 6 2 21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 7 1 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 6 2 27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 7 1 4 5 3 0 3 1 1 3 1 0 6 2 26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 7 1 5 4 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 7 2 20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 7 0 5 4 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 0 6 2 25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 7 0 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 7 2 24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 7 1 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 1 0 6 2 23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 7 1 5 5 3 0 2 1 1 3 2 0 5 2 22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 7 2 5 5 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 0 5 2 21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 7 1 5 4 3 1 3 1 1 3 1 0 5 2 20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 6 1 5 4 3 1 3 1 1 2 2 0 6 1 19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 7 1 5 4 3 0 4 1 1 2 2 0 5 2 18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 7 0 5 4 3 1 4 1 1 3 1 0 5 2 17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 7 0 5 3 2 1 5 0 1 3 1 1 6 2 16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 7 0 5 3 2 2 4 1 1 2 2 1 5 2 30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 7 0 5 4 2 2 4 1 1 1 2 0 6 2 15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 7 0 5 2 2 3 4 1 1 2 2 0 6 2 14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 6 1 4 2 2 2 4 1 1 4 2 0 6 2 13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 6 1 5 2 2 3 4 1 1 2 2 0 6 1 12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 5 1 5 3 2 2 4 1 1 2 2 0 7 Tied 11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 6 2 5 3 2 1 4 0 1 2 2 0 7 1 10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 7 1 5 2 3 0 5 0 1 2 3 0 6 2 8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 8 1 5 2 3 0 4 0 1 3 1 0 7 3 8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 6 1 5 3 2 1 5 0 2 3 1 0 6 2 7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 5 1 5 4 2 2 4 0 1 2 2 0 7 Tied 6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 7 1 5 3 1 2 4 0 1 2 2 0 7 2 5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 7 2 5 2 1 3 4 0 1 1 2 0 7 2 4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 7 2 5 2 1 3 4 0 1 1 1 0 8 2 3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 5 2 5 2 2 2 5 0 2 2 1 0 7 Tied 2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 7 1 5 2 2 3 5 0 1 1 1 0 7 2 1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 7 1 5 3 3 2 5 0 1 1 2 0 5 2 31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 7 1 5 3 2 2 5 0 2 2 0 0 6 2 30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 7 1 5 3 3 2 4 0 2 2 0 0 6 2 14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 7 2 5 4 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 0 6 2 20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 7 2 5 2 2 3 4 1 1 1 1 0 6 2 9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 9 4 5 4 3 3 2 1 1 3 4

By camps Date(s)conductedPolling sourceSample sizeAnti-establishmentPro-establishmentLead4 Sep 2016Election result 19 16 3 29 Aug–2 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 3,164 17 16 1 29 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKRA 2,188 15 18 3 28 Aug–1 Sep 2016 HKUPOP 2,812 17 16 1 21 Aug–1 Sep 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,311 17 16 1 27–31 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,515 16 17 1 26–30 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 2,181 17 16 1 20–29 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,016 17 16 1 25–29 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,975 17 16 1 24–28 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,784 17 16 1 23–27 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,782 18 16 2 22–26 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,783 18 16 2 21–25 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,789 16 17 1 20–24 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,634 17 16 1 19–23 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,482 15 18 3 18–22 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,331 16 17 1 17–21 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,178 17 16 1 16–20 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,042 17 16 1 30 Jul–19 Aug 2016 HKRA 5,023 17 16 1 15–19 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,047 16 17 1 14–18 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,045 17 14 3 13–17 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,048 18 15 3 12–16 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,046 18 14 4 11–15 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,027 18 15 3 10–14 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,025 16 17 1 8–13 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,028 16 17 1 8–12 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,030 17 16 1 7–11 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,031 20 13 7 6–10 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,033 19 14 5 5–9 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,032 19 14 5 4–8 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,024 18 14 4 3–7 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,100 18 15 3 2–6 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,187 16 16 Tied 1–5 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,072 16 17 1 31 Jul–4 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,158 16 17 1 30 Jul–3 Aug 2016 HKUPOP 1,056 16 17 1 14–29 Jul 2016 HKRA 5,011 19 14 5 20 Jun–7 Jul 2016 PD/HKUPOP 5,084 17 16 1 9 Sep 2012 Last election results 1,815,448 18 17 1

Opinion polls by constituency Key: 1 seat or 2 seats secured for anti-establishment; 1 seat or 2 seats secured for pro-establishment; secured for non-aligned independent.

Hong Kong Island