Opinion polling for the 2020 Croatian parliamentary election

In the run-up to the 2020 Croatian parliamentary election, various organisations have been carrying out monthly opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Croatia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range is from after the previous parliamentary election, held on 11 September 2016, to 5 July 2020 when 2020 elections were held.

Polling average

Graph

The following graph depicts the evolution of standings of the two main political parties and other parties in the poll average since last parliamentary elections.

Table +Polling averageSourceDate updatedRestartHDZDPMŠMostŽZOthers/UndecidedLeadPromocija plus 2 Jul 2020 30.0% 29.8% 10.5% 5.4% 1.5% 23.2%0.2%2x1 komunikacije 29 Jun 2020 45.0% 36.4% 12.1% 4.3% 0.0% 2.1%8.6%IPSOS PULS 4 Jul 2020 25.9%27.8% 11.6% 6.7% 0.4% 27.6%1.9%Average 33.6% 31.3% 11.4% 5.4% 0.6% 17.7%2.3%

Coalition standings Poll results published by major national televisions are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading coalition's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two coalitions with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a coalition, the coalition's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty. Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart DPMŠ Most Green-Left ŽZ-PH HNS BM 365 IDS P-F SIP IP NHR Others Undecided Lead26 Jun 2020IPSOS26.724.611.16.84.53.30.60.54.1 -3.812.52.17 Jun 2020Promocija plus 26.6 28.613.54.12.41.71.11.01.81.41.9 -4.011.92.025 May 2020IPSOS28.024.913.54.82.61.90.70.71.82.42.42.2 -3.810.33.120 May 2020Promocija plus29.7 32.89.94.3 -0.81.41.01.61.71.1 - 0.61.412.03.110 May 2020Promocija plus 30.2 31.510.74.0 -1.11.61.11.91.00.90.50.51.911.51.3

Seat projections

National (excluding electoral districts XI and XII)

Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 IDS P-IP NS–R NLMP Lead5 Jul 2020Final Results 66411687 -1 - 31 25 5 Jul 2020 IPSOS 19:00 UTC+2 61441688 - - - 3 - 17Average53 571874 - - - 1 - 44 Jul 2020IPSOS 52511896 - - - 31 12 Jul 2020Promocija plus55 5618631 - - 1 - 129 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije51 631762 -1 - - - 1227 Jun 2020Promocija plus54 6018521 - - - - 613 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije52 64158 - -1 - - - 1215 May 20202x1 komunikacije54 64143 - - -13 - -110

Per electoral district Electoral district I Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage4 5112 - - -113 Jul 2020IPSOS 4 4113 - - -1Tie30 Jun 2020Promocija plus4 5112 - - -1130 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije5 61 -2 - - - -127 Jun 2020Promocija plus4 6211 - - - -413 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije4 811 - - - - -48 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije5 711 - - - - -215 May 20202x1 komunikacije5 81 - - - - - -3

Electoral district II Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage5 621 - - - - -13 Jul 2020IPSOS6521 - - - - -130 Jun 2020Promocija plus5 621 - - - - -130 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije5 621 - - - - -124 Jun 2020Promocija plus5 621 - - - - -113 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije5 621 - - - - -18 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije5 621 - - - - -115 May 20202x1 komunikacije 6 61 - - - - 1 -Tie

Electoral district III Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP NS–R NLMP LeadAverage4 9 1 - - - - - - -51 Jul 2020IPSOS3 82 - - - - - -151 Jul 2020Promocija plus4 91 - - - - - - -530 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije3 10 -1 - - - - - -724 Jun 2020Promocija plus4 91 - - - - - - -513 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije3 10 -1 - - - - - -78 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije3 11 - - - - - - - -815 May 20202x1 komunikacije4 9 - - - - - - - - 15

Electoral district IV Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage644 - - - - - -21 Jul 2020IPSOS6431 - - - - -21 Jul 2020Promocija plus743 - - - - - -430 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije544 - - -1 - -124 Jun 2020Promocija plus644 - - - - - -313 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije 5 53 - - -1 - -Tie15 May 20202x1 komunikacije5 63 - - - - - -1

Electoral district V Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage743 - - - - - -31 Jul 2020IPSOS6341 - - - - -21 Jul 2020Promocija plus743 - - - - - -430 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije7 4 3 - - - - - -325 Jun 2020Promocija plus7 4 3 - - - - - -313 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije7 4 3 - - - - - -315 May 20202x1 komunikacije6 5 3 - - - - - -1

Electoral district VI Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage5 6 2 1 - - - - -14 Jul 2020IPSOS5 6 1 1 1 - - - -130 Jun 2020Promocija plus6521 - - - - -130 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije5 7 1 1 - - - - -225 Jun 2020Promocija plus5 6 2 1 - - - - -113 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije 6 6 1 1 - - - - -Tie15 May 20202x1 komunikacije 6 7 1 - - - - - -1

Electoral district VII Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage5 6 2 1 1 - - - -14 Jul 2020IPSOS5 6 1 1 1 - - - -130 Jun 2020Promocija plus 5 5211 - - - -Tie30 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije5 7 1 1 - - - - -225 Jun 2020Promocija plus5 6 2 - 1 - - - -113 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije 6 6 1 1 - - - - -Tie15 May 20202x1 komunikacije6 71 - - - - - -1

Electoral district VIII Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 IDS P-IP LeadAverage4 10 - - - - - - -62 Jul 2020IPSOS3 81 -1 - - -152 Jul 2020Promocija plus4 10 - - - - - - -630 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije3 10 -1 - - - - -726 Jun 2020Promocija plus4 10 - - - - - - -613 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije3 10 -1 - - - - -78 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije3 10 -1 - - - - -715 May 20202x1 komunikacije 3 7 - 1 - - - - 3 -4

Electoral district IX Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage7421 - - - - -32 Jul 2020IPSOS7421 - - - - -32 Jul 2020Promocija plus7321 -1 - - -430 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije7421 - - - - -326 Jun 2020Promocija plus7411 -1 - - -313 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije7421 - - - - -38 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije7511 - - - - -215 May 20202x1 komunikacije7 4 2 1 - - - - -3

Electoral district X Date of publication Polling Firm HDZ Restart Coalition DPMŠ-led coalition Most Green-Left ŽZ HNS BM 365 P-IP LeadAverage6 5 2 1 - - - - -12 Jul 2020IPSOS7 3 1 2 - - - - 142 Jul 2020Promocija plus6 5 2 1 - - - - -130 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije6 5 2 1 - - - - -126 Jun 2020Promocija plus7 5 1 1 - - - - -213 Jun 20202x1 komunikacije6 5 2 1 - - - - -115 May 20202x1 komunikacije6 5 2 1 - - - - -1

Individual party standings Poll results published by major national televisions are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date of publication. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.