Nationwide opinion polling for the 2016 United States presidential election by demographic

This page lists nationwide public opinion polling among demographics that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election between prospective Democratic and Republican candidates. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016. The general election occurred on Tuesday, November 8, 2016.

Two-way race

By race or ethnicity

African Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Undecided Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Politico/Morning Consult November 4–5, 2016 80% 11% 69% 1,482 likely voters ± 3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 86% 7% 79% 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% McClatchy/Marist College November 1–3, 2016 86% 7% 79% 940 likely voters ±3.2% American Research Group October 17–20, 2016 88% 4% 6% 84% 1,006 likely voters ±3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 2016 86% 9% 77% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% Pew Research September 27-October 10, 2016 69% 15% 54% 4,132 respondents ±2.8% American Research Group September 17–20, 2016 87% 2% 8% 85% 990 registered voters ±3.2% NBC News/Wall Street Journal September 16–19, 2016 81% 7% 74% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 89% 6% 83% 1,753 adults ±3.0% Morning Consult September 6–8, 2016 73% 7% 66% 1,961 registered voters ±2.0% YouGov/The Economist September 4–6, 2016 82% 11% 5% 71% 1300 adults ±4.4% USA Today/Suffolk University August 24–29, 2016 92% 4% 88% 1,000 voters ±3% Morning Consult August 24–26, 2016 79% 5% 16% 74% 2,007 registered voters ±2% USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times July 4 – August 4, 2016 80% 14.6% 65.4% Culturintel June 1 – July 1, 2016 52% 26% 22% 26% SurveyUSA September 2–3, 2015 59% 25% 16% 34% 108 African American registered voters ± 3.3%

Asian Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Other Undecided Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error National Asian American SurveyAsian American Voices in the 2016 Election. (PDF). 5 October 2016. August 10–September 29, 2016 59% 16% 10% 16% 43% 2,543 ± 3.5% USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times September 2–3, 2015 45.2% 39.8% 5.4% SurveyUSA September 2–3, 2015 39% 41% 20% 2% 63 registered voters ± 3.3%

Hispanic Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Undecided Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Politico/Morning Consult November 4–5, 2016 61% 27% 34% 1,482 likely voters ± 3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 65% 20% 45% 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% Pew Research September 27-October 10, 2016 56% 24% 32% 4,132 respondents ±2.8% Wall Street Journal/NBC News/Telemundo September 15–20, 2016 63% 16% 47% 300 Hispanic registered voters ±5.66% YouGov/The Economist September 4–6, 2016 63% 21% 16% 42% 1,300 adults ±4.4% Morning Consult September 1–2, 2016 61% 21% 40% 2,001 registered voters ±2% USA Today/Suffolk University August 24–29, 2016 65% 24% 41% 1,000 voters ±3% USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times July 4 – August 4, 2016 59.1% 27.8% 31.3% SurveyUSA September 2–3, 2015 50% 31% 19% 19% 171 Hispanic American registered voters ± 3.3%

White Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Undecided Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co November 4–6, 2016 38% 50% 12% 799 likely voters ± 3.5% ABC News/Washington Post November 3–6, 2016 38% 53% 15% 2,220 likely voters ± 2.5% Politico/Morning Consult November 4–5, 2016 39% 49% 10% 1,482 likely voters ± 3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 38% 53% 15% 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% McClatchy/Marist College November 1–3, 2016 37% 49% 12% 940 likely voters ± 3.2% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 20–23, 2016 42% 54% 3% 12% 779 likely voters ±4.0% American Research Group October 17–20, 2016 42% 50% 3% 8% 1,006 likely voters ±3.0% Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co October 14–17, 2016 40% 49% 9% 1,006 likely voters ±3.1% PRRI/Brookings October 12–17, 2016 40% 43% 3% 692 likely voters ±4.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 2016 40% 51% 11% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% Pew Research September 27-October 10, 2016 33% 42% 9% 4,132 respondents ±2.8% American Research Group September 17–20, 2016 39% 50% 5% 11% 990 registered voters ±3.2% McClatchy/Marist College September 15–20, 2016 37% 53% 2% 16% 1,298 adults ±2.7% Ipsos/Reuters September 15–19, 2016 33% 42% 8% 9% 1,098 White American registered voters ±3.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal September 16–18, 2016 41% 49% 8% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% Morning Consult September 6–8, 2016 35% 44% 9% 1,710 likely voters ±2% ABC News/Washington Post September 5–8, 2016 36% 50% 14% 1,002 adults ±3.5% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 1–4, 2016 34% 55% 21% 1,001 adults ±3.5% Ipsos/Reuters August 25–29, 2016 35% 44% 7% 9% 1,946 Americans ±2.5% SurveyUSA September 2–3, 2015 34% 51% 14% 17% 603 White American registered voters ± 3.3%

Non-white/Minority Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Undecided Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co November 4–6, 2016 63% 26% 37% 799 likely voters ± 3.5% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 20–23, 2016 72% 21% 51% 779 likely voters ±8.0% Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co October 14–17, 2016 74% 21% 53% 1,006 likely voters ±3.1% PRRI/Brookings October 12–17, 2016 76% 17% 59% 692 likely voters ±4.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 2016 76% 16% 60% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% Ipsos/Reuters September 22–26, 2016 67% 17% 6% 50% 345 minority American registered voters ±6.0%

By education

White Americans with a college degree Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Politico/Morning Consult November 4–5, 2016 48% 41% 7% 1,482 likely voters ± 3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 51% 41% 10% 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% McClatchy/Marist College November 1–3, 2016 50% 40% 10% 940 likely voters ± 3.2% PRRI/Brookings October 12–17, 2016 53% 34% 19% 692 likely voters ±4.4% NBC News/Wall Street Journal September 16–19, 2016 49% 43% 5% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 51% 40% 11% 1,753 adults ±3.0%

White Americans without a college degree Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 30% 60% 30% 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% McClatchy/Marist College November 1–3, 2016 27% 57% 30% 940 likely voters ± 3.2% NBC News/Wall Street Journal September 16–19, 2016 35% 53% 18% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 32% 58% 26% 1,753 adults ±3.0%

By gender

Male Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co November 4–6, 2016 39% 50% 11% 799 likely voters ± 3.5% Politico/Morning Consult November 4–5, 2016 43% 44% 1% 1,482 likely voters ± 3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 42% 47% 5% 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% McClatchy/Marist College November 1–3, 2016 38% 50% 12% 940 likely voters ± 3.2% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 20–23, 2016 46% 49% 3% 779 likely voters ±5.0% Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co October 14–17, 2016 46% 44% 2% 1,006 likely voters ±3.1% NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 201645% 48% 3% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% Pew Research September 27-October 10, 201634% 41% 7% 4,132 respondents ±2.8% PRRI/The Atlantic October 5–9, 201637% 48% 11% 886 likely voters Ipsos/Reuters September 22–26, 2016 43% 40% 3% 562 registered voters ±4.7% American Research Group September 17–20, 2016 38% 55% 17% 990 registered voters ±3.2% Ipsos/Reuters September 15–19, 2016 40% 37% 3% 649 registered voters ±4.4% CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 39% 50% 11% 1,753 adults ±3.0% Quinnipiac University September 8–13, 2016 41% 50% 9% 960 likely voters ±3.2% YouGov/The Economist September 4–6, 2016 43% 44% 1% 1,300 adults ±4.4% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 1–4, 2016 32% 54% 22% 1,001 adults ±3.5% Ipsos/Reuters August 25–29, 2016 42% 40% 2% 1,946 Americans ±2.5% Quinnipiac University August 18–24, 2016 42% 48% 6% 1,498 likely voters ±2.5% ABC News/Washington Post July 11–14, 2016 41% 49% 8% 816 registered voters ±4.0%

Female Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co November 4–6, 2016 51% 36% 15% 799 likely voters ± 3.5% Politico/Morning Consult November 4–5, 2016 47% 41% 6% 1,482 likely voters ± 3.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal November 3–5, 2016 53% 38% 15% 1,282 likely voters ± 2.7% McClatchy/Marist College November 1–3, 2016 48% 37% 11% 940 likely voters ± 3.2% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 20–23, 2016 54% 41% 13% 779 likely voters ±5.0% Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co October 14–17, 2016 55% 38% 17% 1,006 likely voters ±3.1% NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 2016 55% 35% 20% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% Ipsos/Reuters September 22–26, 2016 45% 32% 13% 849 registered voters ±3.8% Ipsos/Reuters September 15–19, 2016 42% 33% 9% 808 registered voters ±3.9% CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 52% 39% 13% 1,753 adults ±3% Quinnipiac University September 8–13, 2016 54% 36% 18% 960 likely voters ±3.2% Morning Consult September 6–8, 2016 41% 36% 5% 1,710 likely voters ±2% YouGov/The Economist September 4–6, 2016 45% 40% 5% 1,300 adults ±4.4% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 1–4, 2016 53% 38% 15% 1,001 adults ±3.5% Ipsos/Reuters August 25–29, 2016 40% 35% 5% 1,946 Americans ±2.5% USA Today/Suffolk University August 24–29, 2016 54% 38% 16% 1,000 voters ±3% Morning Consult August 24–26, 2016 44% 35% 9% 2,007 registered voters ±2% The McClatchy Company/Marist College July 5–9, 2016 51% 33% 18% 1,249 American adults ±3.0%

Other criteria

Independent voters

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Bloomberg Politics/Selzer & Co November 4–6, 2016 38% 44% 6% 799 likely voters ± 3.5% Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights October 28–31, 2016 39% 35% 4% 601 likely voters who identify as independent ± 4.0% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation October 20–23, 2016 43% 48% 5% 779 likely voters ±6.0% NBC News/Wall Street Journal October 10–13, 2016 36% 41% 5% 1,000 registered voters ±3.1% Emerson College September 11–13, 2016 36% 41% 5% 600 likely voters ±3.9% CBS News/New York Times September 9–13, 2016 39% 42% 4% 1,753 adults ±3.0% Quinnipiac University September 8–13, 2016 40% 45% 5% 960 likely voters ±3.2% Morning Consult September 6–8, 2016 26% 35% 9% 1,710 likely voters ±2% ABC News/Washington Post September 5–8, 2016 39% 37% 2% 1,002 adults ±3.5% CNN/Opinion Research Corporation September 1–4, 2016 29% 49% 20% 1,001 adults ±3.5% Public Policy Polling August 26–28, 2016 41% 45% 4% 881 likely voters ±3.3% Monmouth University August 25–28, 2016 37% 32% 5% 802 registered voters ±3.5% NBC News/SurveyMonkey August 22–28, 2016 37% 33% 4% 24,104 adults ±1.0%

LGBT Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Whitman Insight Strategies March 29 – April 2, 2016 84% 16% 68% 338 LGBT likely voters ± 5.3%

Young Americans

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Harvard University Institute of Politics October 7–17, 2016 59% 25% 34% 1,054 18 to 29 year old American likely voters ±3.11%

Americans with household incomes of $100,000 or more

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Leadingby % Samplesize Marginof error Bloomberg Politics/Purple Insights September 16–19, 2016 46% 42% 4% 600 likely voters with household incomes of $100,000 or more ±4.0%

Three-way race

Independent voters

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Samplesize Marginof error Public Policy Polling October 20–21, 2016 32% 36% 13% 990 likely voters Fox News June, 2016 22% 32% 23%

Four-way race

By race or ethnicity

African Americans