The 2019 Newfoundland and Labrador general election was held on May 16, 2019, to elect members of the 49th General Assembly of Newfoundland and Labrador.
Despite consistent Progressive Conservative leads in polling towards the end of the campaign, including a nine-point lead in the final poll released a day before the election, the Liberal Party led by Dwight Ball won re-election, but nonetheless fell one seat short of retaining their majority after an unexpected loss to the New Democrats in Labrador West originally in the initial count by five votes. This resulted in the Liberals winning 20 seats, exactly half of the House of Assembly. A subsequent recount shortened the margin of victory in Labrador West to just two votes."Cabinet ministers Letto and Hawkins among 9 defeated Liberals" . CBC News Newfoundland and Labrador, May 17, 2019.
Party standings
+ ↓ 20 15 3 2 Liberal Progressive Conservative NDP Ind
Incumbents not running for reelection The following MHAs had announced that they would not be running in this provincial election:
Independent Dale Kirby (Mount Scio)
New Democratic Party Gerry Rogers (St. John's Centre) Lorraine Michael (St. John's East-Quidi Vidi)
Progressive Conservative Party Keith Hutchings (Ferryland) Tracey Perry (Fortune Bay-Cape La Hune)
Timeline
Seat Before ChangeDateMemberPartyReasonDateMemberPartyMount Pearl-SouthlandsMay 19, 2016Paul LaneRemoved from caucusas a result of Lane's disapproval of deficit reduction levyMount Pearl NorthOctober 11, 2017Steve KentResignationbecoming Chief Administrative Officer for the City of Mount PearlNovember 21, 2017Jim LesterHumber-Bay of IslandsApril 26, 2018Eddie JoyceRemoved from caucusamid allegations of harassmentMount ScioApril 30, 2018Dale KirbyRemoved from caucusWindsor LakeAugust 21, 2018Cathy BennettResignationSeptember 20, 2018Ches CrosbieTopsail-ParadiseNovember 1, 2018Paul DavisResignationJanuary 24, 2019Paul Dinn
2015 November 30, 2015 – The Liberal Party of Newfoundland and Labrador wins 31 of the 40 seats in the House of Assembly during the general election ending 12 years of Progressive Conservative rule and defeating incumbent premier Paul Davis. 2016 May 19, 2016 - Liberal MHA Paul Lane is suspended from the Liberal caucus and sits as an independent MHA. October 11, 2016 - Former premier Paul Davis announces he'll resign as Tory leader once his successor is chosen. 2017 July 31, 2017 - A cabinet shuffle takes place after Cathy Bennett resigns as Finance Minister. Dempster and Osborne enter cabinet. September 19, 2017 - NDP Leader Earle McCurdy announced his resignation as Party Leader, effective September 30. September 28, 2017 - NDP MHA Lorraine Michael is named interim leader of the NDP replacing Earle McCurdy who announced his resignation earlier in the month. October 11, 2017 - Mount Pearl North PC MHA Steve Kent resigns to become Chief Administrative Officer of Mount Pearl triggering a by-election. November 21, 2017 - Jim Lester (PC) is elected as MHA for Mount Pearl North. 2018 April 8, 2018 - Gerry Rogers is elected as the leader of the New Democrats, succeeding Lorraine Michael. April 25, 2018 - Municipal Affairs Minister Eddie Joyce is formally accused of inappropriate conduct by another Liberal MHA. He is subsequently removed from cabinet and caucus pending the outcome of an external investigation. April 28, 2018 - Ches Crosbie is elected as the new leader of the Progressive Conservatives, succeeding Paul Davis. April 30, 2018 - Minister of Education and Early Childhood Development Dale Kirby is removed from cabinet and caucus following allegations of harassment. May 13, 2018 - Paul Davis announces his resignation as Leader of the Opposition. Since PC leader Ches Crosbie does not have a seat in the House of Assembly MHA David Brazil was appointed Leader of the Opposition on May 14, 2018. June 16, 2018 - Delegates at the Liberal Party Annual General Meeting vote to endorse the leadership of Dwight Ball with 79% voting against the party holding a leadership convention. August 21, 2018 - Liberal MHA Cathy Bennett resigns her seat of Windsor Lake. August 27, 2018 - CBC releases a copy of a report by the Commissioner for Legislative Standards that clears Eddie Joyce and Dale Kirby of wrongdoing in all the allegations made by fellow Liberal MHA Colin Holloway. September 20, 2018 - Ches Crosbie (PC) is elected as MHA for Windsor Lake. October 18, 2018 - Paul Davis (PC) announces his intention to resign as MHA for Topsail-Paradise on November 2. October 20, 2018 - MHA Dale Kirby leaks the results of the Commissioner for Legislative Standards report regarding MHA Pam Parsons’ complaint against him to the public. Kirby was cleared on all complaints, except making an inappropriate comment to Parsons at the 2016 Liberal Party AGM; the report recommended a sanction by the House of Assembly on that count. October 21, 2018 - The Joyce report is leaked to the public which found that Joyce had broken the code of conduct for elected officials when he lobbied Minister Gambin-Walsh to hire a friend of his for a government job; Joyce was cleared on all other allegations. October 30, 2018 - PC party president Graydon Pelley resigns and creates a new political party, the NL Alliance. November 8, 2018 - Cabinet shuffle takes place MHAs Davis, Haley, and Letto promoted to cabinet. November 16, 2018 - MHA Eddie Joyce confirms he has been denied re-entry into the Liberal caucus. 2019 January 24, 2019 - Paul Dinn (PC) is elected as MHA for Topsail-Paradise. February 12, 2019 - NDP Leader Gerry Rogers announced she would be stepping down as leader and not seeking re-election in 2019. March 5, 2019 - Alison Coffin is acclaimed leader of the NDP. April 12, 2019 - The NL Alliance is officially registered as a political party in Newfoundland and Labrador. April 16, 2019 - Budget is tabled in the House of Assembly. April 17, 2019 - Premier Ball visits Lt. Gov. Judy Foote and the writ is dropped. June 21, 2019 - A judicial recount confirms Jordan Brown as MHA for Labrador West by a two-vote margin.
Opinion polls
Polling FirmLast Day of PollingLink Liberal PC NDP NLAForum ResearchMay 15, 2019PDF38477Mainstreet ResearchMay 14, 2019HTML414583Abacus DataMay 5, 2019HTML 374215Forum ResearchMay 4, 2019PDF404213MQO ResearchMay 4, 2019PDF4836112Corporate Research Associates Inc.February 24, 2019PDF 453816MQO ResearchJanuary 28, 2019PDF444212Mainstreet ResearchJanuary 14, 2019HTML42 43.311.5Corporate Research Associates Inc.November 24, 2018PDF 463517Mainstreet ResearchNovember 1, 2018HTML44.639.112.8MQO ResearchOctober 26, 2018PDF473516Corporate Research Associates Inc.August 30, 2018PDF 433519MQO ResearchAugust 2, 2018PDF443816Mainstreet ResearchJuly 17, 2018HTML45.835.612.5Abacus DataMay 27, 2018HTML 384022Corporate Research Associates Inc.May 17, 2018PDF364222MQO ResearchMay 13, 2018PDF443616Mainstreet ResearchMay 3, 2018HTML41.735.718.4Corporate Research Associates Inc.February 28, 2018PDF 413324MQO ResearchJanuary 25, 2018PDF433816Corporate Research Associates Inc.November 30, 2017PDF 443319MQO ResearchOctober 19, 2017PDF523115Corporate Research Associates Inc.September 13, 2017PDF 403324MQO ResearchJuly 19, 2017PDF354816Corporate Research Associates Inc.June 1, 2017PDF 344024MQO ResearchApril 26, 2017PDF373923Corporate Research Associates Inc.February 28, 2017PDF 333926MQO ResearchJanuary 23, 2017PDF433620Corporate Research Associates Inc.December 1, 2016PDF 423423Abacus DataOctober 29, 2016PDF 362934MQO ResearchOctober 22, 2016PDF403127Corporate Research Associates Inc.August 31, 2016PDF 343332MQO ResearchJuly 27, 2016PDF303733Corporate Research Associates Inc.May 30, 2016PDF 273438MQO ResearchApril 21, 2016PDF373031Corporate Research Associates Inc.March 9, 2016PDF 662311Election 2015November 30, 2015–57.230.112.1
Results by region Party NameSt. John'sAvalon/St. John's MetroCentral/EasternWesternLabradorTotalParties winning seats in the legislature:Liberal Seats:4365220 Popular Vote:15,98924,88429,04019,3444,48993,746Progressive Conservative Seats:1751115 Popular Vote:11,57836,64228,13611,4612,87390,690New Democratic Seats:200013 Popular Vote:9,7041,32101,0431,36413,432Others Seats:010102 Popular Vote:4066,7032,4824,98860315,182
Candidates by district All candidate names are those on the official list of confirmed candidates; names in media or on party website may differ slightly. Names in boldface type represent party leaders. † represents that the incumbent is not running again. § represents that the incumbent was defeated for nomination. ₰ represents that the incumbent ran in another district and lost the nomination ‡ represents that the incumbent is running in a different district.
St. John's
| style="background:whitesmoke;"| Mount Scio54.51% turnout || |Sarah Stoodley1,98141.68% | |Lloyd Power1,76937.21% | |Jason R. Mercer59712.56% | |Graydon Pelley4068.54% || |Dale Kirby† |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. John's Centre48.60% turnout | |Seamus O'Keefe1,20725.54% | |Jonathan Galgay1,30127.53% || |Jim Dinn2,21846.93%
|Gerry Rogers† |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. John's East-Quidi Vidi58.03% turnout | |George Murphy2,07233.38% | |David Porter1,43623.14% || |Alison Coffin2,69943.48%
| Lorraine Michael† |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|St. John's West57.31% turnout || |Siobhan Coady2,39345.69% | |Shane Skinner2,21142.22% | |Brenda Walsh63312.09%
|Siobhan Coady |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Virginia Waters-Pleasantville63.64% turnout || |Bernard Davis2,76144.25% | |Beth Crosbie2,21735.53% | |Jenn Deon1,26220.22%
|Bernard Davis |- |style="background-color:whitesmoke"|Waterford Valley52.54% turnout || |Tom Osborne3,48768.56%
|Matthew Cooper1,59931.44%
|Tom Osborne |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Windsor Lake59.65% turnout | | Bob Osborne2,08838.47% || |Ches Crosbie2,64448.71% | |Tomás Shea69612.82%
|Ches Crosbie
St. John's suburbs
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Cape St. Francis71.40% turnout | | Michael Duffy1,11517.75% || |Kevin Parsons4,53972.24% | |Peter Beck3966.30% | |Ryan Lane2333.71%
|Kevin Parsons |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay East – Bell Island55.56% turnout | | Cyril Hayden1,55126.22% || |David Brazil4,36573.78%
|David Brazil |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Conception Bay South61.85% turnout | | Kevin Baker1,25622.78% || |Barry Petten3,44762.52%
|Warrick Butler81014.69%
|Barry Petten |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl North57.88% turnout | |Nicole Kieley2,19637.20% || |Jim Lester2,90749.24% | |Carol Reade3586.06% | |William Neville4437.50%
|Jim Lester |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Mount Pearl-Southlands65.71% turnout | |Hasan Hai1,82628.30% | |Gillian Pearson1,59024.64% | |David Brake2143.32%
|Paul Lane (Ind.)2,82343.75% || |Paul Lane |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Topsail-Paradise54.75% turnout | |Patricia Hynes-Coates1,65028.95% || |Paul Dinn3,47660.98%
|Lori Best-Moore57410.07%
|Paul Dinn
Avalon Peninsula
| style="background:whitesmoke;"|Carbonear-Trinity-Bay de Verde66.57% turnout || |Steve Crocker4,29260.28% | |Jason Oliver2,42234.02% | |Kathleen Burt3534.96% | |Edward Thomas Cole (Ind.)530.74% || |Steve Crocker |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Ferryland69.27% turnout | |Janice Ryan2,35034.95% || |Loyola O'Driscoll4,07460.59%
|Chris Molloy (Ind.)3004.46% || |Keith Hutchings† |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Harbour Grace-Port de Grave71.18% turnout || | Pam Parsons3,75852.24% | |Glenn Littlejohn3,40847.56%
|Pam Parsons |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Harbour Main69.85% turnout | |Betty Parsley2,12630.64% || |Helen Conway-Ottenheimer4,16960.08%
| Mike Cooze (NL Alliance)6439.27% || |Betty Parsley |- | style="background:whitesmoke;"|Placentia-St. Mary's65.69% turnout || |Sherry Gambin-Walsh2,76447.39% | |Hilda Whelan2,24538.49%
|Steve Thorne (Ind.)82414.13% || |Sherry Gambin-Walsh
Eastern Newfoundland