The 2016 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.
The Democratic presidential candidate has won Oregon in every election since 1988. Clinton continued this tradition, carrying the state with 50% of the vote, a slightly reduced margin from Barack Obama in 2012, but with a slightly higher raw vote total, becoming only the second presidential candidate to win more than a million votes in the process. Trump received 39% of the vote, a smaller proportion of the vote compared to that of Mitt Romney in 2012. However, he did achieve a notable feat in carrying Columbia County, becoming the first Republican to do so since Herbert Hoover in 1928.Sullivan, Robert David; ‘How the Red and Blue Map Evolved Over the Past Century’; America Magazine in The National Catholic Review; June 29, 2016 In addition, this was also the first presidential election since 1976 in which Clackamas County backed the losing candidate, with Trump becoming the first Republican ever to win the White House without carrying the county.
Primaries and Caucuses Oregon held its presidential primaries on May 17, 2016.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
Two candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot: Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
The 74 delegates from Oregon were allocated in this way: 41 delegates were allocated based on the popular vote in each congressional district with district 2 split (district 2 was split because of its size with district 2a including the northern part of the district and 2b containing the southern part of the district). Another 20 delegates were allocated proportionally based on the statewide popular vote. The state also had 13 super delegates.
Republican primary
Six candidates appeared on the Republican presidential primary ballot: Jeb Bush (withdrawn) Ben Carson (withdrawn) Ted Cruz (withdrawn) John Kasich (withdrawn) Marco Rubio (withdrawn) Donald Trump
The 28 delegates from Oregon were allocated proportionally based on the statewide popular vote.
Green primary This state's Green Party held its presidential preference vote on May 21.
On May 22, it was announced that Jill Stein had won the preference vote.
+ Oregon Green Party presidential convention, April 17, 2016 Candidate Votes Percentage National delegatesJill Stein - - 6Sedinam Kinamo Christin Moyowasifza Curry - - 1Uncommitted - - 1Total--8
Libertarian primary The Oregon primary was completed on May 27, 2016, the last day to receive mail-in ballots.
+Oregon Libertarian presidential primary, May 27, 2016 Candidate Votes Percentage Gary Johnson 422 57% John McAfee 105 14% Merry Susan Nehls 34 5% Austin Petersen (write-in) 25 3% Darryl Perry 21 3% Keenan Dunham 18 2% Derrick Michael Reid 10 1% Rhett Smith 6 1% NOTA (write-in) 2 0% Other write-ins 91 12% Total742 100%
Independent Party of Oregon primary The Independent Party held a primary election on July 18. The party's ballot included Bernie Sanders (D), Hillary Clinton (D), Donald Trump (R), Ted Cruz (R), John Kasich (R), Gary Johnson (L), Jill Stein (G) and a "none of these candidates" choice. Bernie Sanders won the primary election with 31.5% of the vote, narrowly defeating Donald Trump's 30.08%. Hillary Clinton came in third, with 24.02% of the vote. Members were allowed to select one or more candidates.
+ Independent Party Presidential Ballot, July 18, 2016 Candidate Party Percentage Bernie Sanders Democrat 31.5% Donald Trump Republican 30.08% Hillary Clinton Democrat 24.02% None of the above N/A 9.17% Gary Johnson Libertarian 16.07% Jill Stein Green 9.49% Ted Cruz Republican 5.68% John Kasich Republican 12.27%
General election Predictions SourceRankingAs ofLos Angeles Times November 6, 2016CNNNovember 4, 2016Cook Political ReportNovember 7, 2016Electoral-vote.comNovember 8, 2016 Rothenberg Political Report November 7, 2016Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 7, 2016RealClearPoliticsNovember 8, 2016Fox NewsNovember 7, 2016
Voting history
Besides Lyndon Johnson's landslide victory in 1964, the Republican party's candidate won Oregon in every year from 1948 through 1984. Since then, however, the Democratic candidate has carried the state in every election, including a narrow victory in the 2000 election. The last statewide election won by a Republican candidate was in the 2002 Senate election, all statewide elected officials as of election day were Democrats, and Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by 12.09% in the 2012 election. Generally, Eastern Oregon is more conservative, while Western Oregon is more liberal.
Polling
Democrat Hillary Clinton won every pre-election poll conducted in the state except one and led by margins of 7 to 13 points in most polls. The average of the final 3 polls showed Hillary Clinton leading Trump 44% to 36%.
Results
Hillary Clinton carried the state, lengthening the Democratic streak in Oregon to eight straight contests.
By county County Hillary ClintonDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % Baker 1,797 20.47% 6,218 70.83% 764 8.70% -4,421 -50.36% 8,779 Benton 29,193 59.88% 13,445 27.58% 6,115 12.54% 15,748 32.30% 48,753 Clackamas 102,095 47.70% 88,392 41.30% 23,552 11.00% 20,703 6.40% 214,039 Clatsop 9,252 47.05% 8,138 41.39% 2,274 11.56% 1,114 5.66% 19,664 Columbia 10,167 38.20% 13,217 49.65% 3,234 12.15% -3,050 -11.45% 26,618 Coos 10,448 33.37% 17,865 57.05% 3,000 9.58% -7,417 -23.68% 31,313 Crook 2,637 21.66% 8,511 69.92% 1,024 8.42% -5,874 -48.26% 12,172 Curry 4,300 34.10% 7,212 57.19% 1,099 8.71% -2,912 -23.09% 12,611 Deschutes 42,444 43.07% 45,692 46.36% 10,421 10.57% -3,248 -3.29% 98,557 Douglas 14,096 26.34% 34,582 64.61% 4,843 9.05% -20,486 -38.27% 53,521 Gilliam 239 23.45% 671 65.85% 109 10.70% -432 -42.40% 1,019 Grant 739 17.03% 3,210 73.96% 391 9.01% -2,471 -56.93% 4,340 Harney 683 17.19% 2,912 73.28% 379 9.53% -2,229 -56.09% 3,974 Hood River 6,510 59.67% 3,272 29.99% 1,128 10.34% 3,238 29.68% 10,910 Jackson 44,447 40.66% 53,870 49.27% 11,010 10.07% -9,423 -8.61% 109,327 Jefferson 2,980 31.50% 5,483 57.97% 996 10.53% -2,503 -26.47% 9,459 Josephine 13,453 30.19% 26,923 60.42% 4,184 9.39% -13,470 -30.23% 44,560 Klamath 7,210 23.63% 20,435 66.98% 2,862 9.39% -13,225 -43.35% 30,507 Lake 639 16.26% 3,022 76.90% 269 6.84% -2,383 -60.64% 3,930 Lane 102,753 53.53% 67,141 34.98% 22,056 11.49% 35,612 18.55% 191,950 Lincoln 12,501 49.50% 10,039 39.75% 2,716 10.75% 2,462 9.75% 25,256 Linn 17,995 30.65% 33,488 57.03% 7,236 12.32% -15,493 -26.38% 58,719 Malheur 2,246 21.52% 7,194 68.94% 995 9.54% -4,948 -47.42% 10,435 Marion 57,788 42.23% 63,377 46.31% 15,675 11.46% -5,589 -4.08% 136,840 Morrow 1,017 24.41% 2,721 65.30% 429 10.29% -1,704 -40.89% 4,167 Multnomah 292,561 73.30% 67,954 17.03% 38,588 9.67% 224,607 56.27% 399,103 Polk 16,420 40.75% 18,940 47.00% 4,935 12.25% -2,520 -6.25% 40,295 Sherman 202 19.86% 732 71.98% 83 8.16% -530 -52.12% 1,017 Tillamook 5,768 41.79% 6,538 47.37% 1,497 10.84% -770 -5.58% 13,803 Umatilla 7,673 27.80% 17,059 61.81% 2,865 10.39% -9,386 -34.01% 27,597 Union 3,249 25.05% 8,431 65.01% 1,288 9.94% -5,182 -39.96% 12,968 Wallowa 1,116 25.56% 2,848 65.23% 402 9.21% -1,732 -39.67% 4,366 Wasco 4,781 39.96% 5,833 48.75% 1,350 11.29% -1,052 -8.79% 11,964 Washington 153,251 56.92% 83,197 30.90% 32,784 12.18% 70,054 26.02% 269,232 Wheeler 155 18.95% 591 72.25% 72 8.80% -436 -53.30% 818 Yamhill 19,301 39.59% 23,250 47.69% 6,202 12.72% -3,949 -8.10% 48,753Total1,002,10650.07%782,40339.09%216,82710.84%219,70310.98%2,001,336
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Columbia (largest city: St. Helens) Tillamook (largest city: Tillamook)
By congressional district Clinton won four of five congressional districts. District Clinton Trump Representative 55% 33%Suzanne Bonamici 35% 55%Greg Walden 68% 22%Earl Blumenauer 45% 44%Peter DeFazio 46% 42%Kurt Schrader
See also United States presidential elections in Oregon First presidency of Donald Trump 2016 Democratic Party presidential debates and forums 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2016 Republican Party presidential debates and forums 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries
References
External links RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions