In the run up to the 2018 Turkish general election scheduled to take place on 24 June 2018, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Turkey. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. These polls only include Turkish voters nationwide and do not take into account Turkish expatriates voting abroad. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous general election, held on 1 November 2015, to the present day.
Presidential election
First round Graphical summary
Following candidate selection
DatePollsterSample sizeErdoğanİnceAkşenerDemirtaşKaramollaoğluPerinçekLead #1Lead #2Election – 52.3 30.8 7.4 8.3 0.9 0.2 23 Jun 2018AKAM–44.528.313.511.52.00.214–20 Jun 20182,10051.628.08.510.31.10.517–19 Jun 2018ORC 4,25052.729.28.68.40.90.216–17 Jun 2018Gezici1,81248.229.111.410.01.20.1 14 Jun 2018 13 Jun 2018Plus Mayak –45.828.913.110.21.80.213 Jun 2018AKAM2,46044.529.014.59.32.50.26–13 Jun 2018REMRES5,67443.629.512.311.43.00.211 Jun 2018CHP –45.632.28.210.73.10.2 9-10 Jun 2018Konda 2,72151.928.010.29.00.70.1 8–11 Jun 2018Mediar 2,41048.029.99.210.22.10.8 7–11 Jun 2018Foresight 50050.830.18.010.50.4N/A İYİ Party –42.0 22.4 22.711.01.9 MAK5,40051.524.412.58.82.20.6 Gezici2,81447.127.814.110.00.60.4 SONAR3,00048.331.49.58.22.10.5 REMRES4,48241.726.116.711.43.90.2 ORC3,41053.423.811.58.72.10.5 PİAR2,62039.726.021.211.11.80.1 Gezici6,81148.725.814.410.10.60.4 Konsensus2,00047.926.814.89.70.70.1 Mediar4,26843.522.219.312.81.60.6 REMRES4,27642.224.616.912.33.80.2 MAK5,00051.423.912.39.62.20.6 SONAR3,00042.021.921.011.02.12.0 Politic's2,65052.225.512.38.51.10.4 REMRES3,65342.124.117.112.63.90.2 Election –51.8 38.4 9.8
Prior to candidate selection DatePollsterSample sizeAKPCHPMHPHDPİYİSPOthersLeadREMRES2,58641.2(Erdoğan)21.7(generic)rowspan=8 12.5(Demirtaş)20.6(Akşener)3.9 (Karamollaoğlu)0.1 PİAR – 41.1 (Erdoğan) 20.2(generic) 11.4(Demirtaş) 24.6(Akşener) 2.5 (Karamollaoğlu) 0.2 Mediar 2,660 42.1 (Erdoğan) 20.1(generic) 13.4(Demirtaş) 19.7(Akşener) 3.1 (Karamollaoğlu) 1.6 Konsensus1,00047.6 (Erdoğan)20.5(İnce)7.8(Demirtaş)21.9(Akşener)2.1 (Karamollaoğlu)0.1(Perinçek) 3,864 43.5 (Erdoğan) 9.7(Kılıçdaroğlu) 11.1(Türk) 18.6(Akşener) 1.5 (Karamollaoğlu) 9.5 (Başbuğ)5.3(Gül)0.9(Others) Ankara Analitik 1,619 46.4 (Erdoğan) 12.7 (Kılıçdaroğlu) 12.7(Akşener) rowspan=6 15.2(Gül)7.0 (Şener) PİAR 2,440 43.2 (Erdoğan) 24.0 (generic) 13.1 (generic) 18.2(Akşener) 1.5 SONAR 3,000 46.4 (Erdoğan) 22.5(generic) 9.5(generic) 18.2(Akşener) 3.4 Konsensus – 48.1(generic) 25.1(generic) 11.9(generic) 9.6(generic) 2.9(generic) 2.4 Gezici 4,638 47.8(Erdoğan) 14.0(Kılıçdaroğlu) rowspan=2 38.0(Akşener) rowspan=2 SONAR – 48.2(Erdoğan) 30.1(generic) 8.8(generic) 12.9(Akşener) Election – 51.8(Erdoğan) 38.4(İhsanoğlu) 9.8(Demirtaş)
Abroad DatePollsterCountrySample sizeErdoğanİnceAkşenerDemirtaşKaramollaoğluPerinçekLead #1Lead #21-5 Jun 2018TAVAK 1,18448.228.79.210.22.80.9
Second round
Official candidates
Erdoğan vs. Akşener
DatePollsterSample size ErdoğanAkşenerLeadREMRES4,27651.2 48.8REMRES3,65350.8 49.22 May 2018 REMRES 2,586 50.1 49.9 PİAR – 49.5 50.5 Konsensus1,00052.447.6 3,864 52.2 47.8 ORC 5,620 59.6 40.4 PİAR 5,620 50.5 49.5 Gezici 4,238 51.4 48.6
Erdoğan vs. İnce
DatePollsterSample size ErdoğanİnceLeadSONAR3,00053.746.3REMRES4,27650.2 49.86–9 May 2018REMRES3,65350.3 49.7 Konsensus 1,000 55.1 44.9
Hypothetical candidates
Erdoğan vs. Gül
DatePollsterSample sizeErdoğanGülLead 28 Apr 2018Abdullah Gül declares he will not run for president 3,864 64.6 35.4 ORC 5,620 67.7 32.3 Optimar 1,500 62.2 37.8
Erdoğan vs. Kılıçdaroğlu
DatePollsterSample sizeErdoğanKılıçdaroğluLead Konsensus 1,000 57.7 42.3 PİAR – 53.0 47.0 29 Apr 2018Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu declares he will not run for presidentORC 5,620 62.0 38.0 PİAR – 52.0 48.0
Parliamentary election Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.
Graphical summary
Party vote
DatePollsterSample size AKPCHPMHPHDPİYİSPOthersLead Election – 42.822.811.211.510.11.30.714–20 Jun 2018 2,10046.726.36.911.26.81.01.217–19 Jun 2018ORC 4,25044.224.510.511.97.40.90.616–17 Jun 2018Gezici1,81243.626.75.312.110.11.80.4 14 Jun 2018 13 Jun 2018Plus Mayak–39.925.47.412.311.42.61.011 Jun 2018CHP–40.327.24.712.310.84.40.38–11 Jun 2018Mediar 2,41041.526.35.812.110.72.31.38–11 Jun 2018 Metropoll 2,88845.0 25.0 6.0 12.3 13.1 3.4 0.29–10 Jun 2018 Konda 2,72145.5 26.1 7.3 11.6 8.51.07 Jun 2018Gezici –43.525.76.211.113.0 0.51–6 Jun 2018MAK5,40043.524.29.29.210.32.21.528 May–3 Jun 2018REMRES4,48240.023.55.110.415.24.21.629 May–1 Jun 2018Sonar3,00042.2 28.2 7.1 10.09.22.11.2PİAR2,62034.823.47.314.117.22.50.71–28 May 2018Konsensus2,00043.8 27.4 7.4 9.711.20.30.223–26 May 2018İEA1,50040.7 22.7 3.8 12.115.72.52.522–23 May 2018Mediar4,26839.6 22.6 5.3 11.417.62.31.2REMRES4,27640.0 23.3 5.3 10.415.14.21.713–20 May 2018MAK5,00045.0 23.5 9.0 9.08.52.22.86–9 May 2018REMRES3,65340.3 23.2 5.3 10.315.54.21.22 May 2018REMRES2,58640.5 22.7 5.6 10.415.24.21.3 – 44.2 23.4 with AKP 12.1 17.5 2.5 0.3 44.0 32.2 with CHP 23.3 with İYİ 0.5 44.7 40.2 14.9 with CHP with CHP 0.2 41.6 23.9 11.4 22.8 with İYİ 0.3 46.8 53.0 with CHP with CHP with CHP 0.2 Mediar 2,660 42.5 22.9 13.2 17.1 3.1 1.2 SONAR – 46.9 23.8 11.3 14.5 with İYİ 24–25 Apr 2018Konsensus1,00049.022.46.721.4with İYİ0.5 42.220.27.87.019.72.50.4 18 Apr 2018 Early elections are called for 24 June 2018 MetroPOLL 2,063 48.2 21.0 5.7 10.5 12.3 1.5 0.8 3,864 45.8 19.7 7.0 9.7 16.3 0.8 0.7 48.2 18.9 with AKP 9.5 23.4 with İYİ 0.0 49.9 18.9 10.5 17.8rowspan=31 2.9 ORC 5,620 56.2 26.5 8.3 7.1 1.9 Ankara Analitik 1,619 52.9 18.4 5.3 12.6 PİAR 5,62039.6 22.2 5.8 12.2 16.9 0.8 44.2 31.1 with AKP 24.3 0.4 53.1 35.4 11.1 0.4 43.2 23.1 11.7 21.7 0.3 ORC 3,420 48.2 24.6 11.2 7.9 5.7 2.4 Optimar 1,500 52.2 22.6 10.7 7.8 4.2 2.5 PİAR 2,440 40.2 25.5 7.3 12.0 13.3 1.7 45.2 25.5 with AKP 13.5 14.0 1.9 ORC – 47.2 25.9 10.8 8.5 5.5 2.1 SONAR 3,000 40.1 25.3 7.1 10.8 14.2 2.5 Konsensus – 48.2 25.4 11.4 9.8 2.9 2.4 İEA 1,537 45.5 21.5 6.7 11.4 12.3 2.3 Gezici 4,238 42.0 20.1 7.3 8.7 20.2 1.7 AAA 40,800 45.8 22.5 12.7 10.3 8.7 0.0 ORC 2,674 48.9 23.9 10.2 7.5 6.7 2.8 AKP – 50.2 23.2 10.7 10.5 5.5 İEA 1,537 47.4 19.2 7.2 12.3 12.2 1.6 Sonar 3,000 38.5 23.5 7.8 10.3 16.1 3.8 Optimar 1,547 50.6 23.3 9.9 7.8 6.4 2.0 4,638 43.8 18.5 8.8 7.0 19.5 2.4 47.1 26.8 13.5 9.8 rowspan=2 2.8 Konda 2,646 50.9 26.0 10.3 10.5 2.3 MAK – 48.8 25.3 8.9 8.2 5.3 3.6 ORC 2,580 47.4 26.3 10.7 7.3 6.2 2.1 Sonar – 38.2 28.4 10.1 10.6 10.8 1.9 4,322 39.9 23.4 4.0 10.1 21.0 1.6 MAK 5,400 50.5 26.5 12.7 8.0 rowspan=2 2.3 Konensus 1,500 54.5 26.8 7.6 8.5 2.6 ORC 2,740 52.4 24.0 15.2 6.3 rowspan=25 rowspan=25 2.1 AKAM 2,032 46.7 31.4 8.8 10.8 2.2 AKAM 8,120 45.2 31.6 9.7 10.3 3.2 MAK 5,400 52.2 24.5 13.4 7.8 2.2 AKAM 4,060 45.2 29.9 11.8 10.7 2.4 THEMİS 1,985 45.6 31.3 8.3 9.6 5.2 – 45.1 26.0 15.1 10.2 3.6 MAK 5,400 51.7 25.6 12.8 7.8 2.3 Konsensus 1,117 53.4 27.2 9.0 7.9 2.5 ORC 2,340 53.0 23.6 15.8 6.5 1.1 Optimar 2,043 52.1 25.8 13.3 6.4 2.4 KHAS 1,000 52.7 27.2 11.9 6.4 1.9 ORC 2,450 52.8 23.4 15.0 7.0 1.8 İVEM 3,650 54.6 24.2 12.4 6.5 2.3 MetroPOLL – 49.5 26.5 11.5 10.7 1.8 MAK 5,400 50.8 24.6 14.5 7.5 2.6 AKAM 4,240 45.6 30.3 11.2 11.4 1.5 ORC – 53.1 25.0 14.2 6.2 1.5 A&G 3,018 54.6 24.8 12.0 7.9 0.7 ORC – 54.7 24.0 14.0 5.8 1.5 Optimar 1,273 53.8 21.5 11.7 10.7 2.3 ORC 2,240 53.5 23.6 12.0 6.9 4.0 MetroPOLL 3,000 49.9 24.1 13.8 11.0 1.2 Optimar 1,508 51.4 24.3 11.6 10.1 2.7 ORC – 53.0 24.0 13.0 7.0 3.0 KamuAR 2,493 48.9 26.4 12.6 8.4 rowspan=17 rowspan=17 3.7 ORC 1,265 52.8 24.0 12.8 7.1 3.3 Sonar – 48.8 25.6 10.8 9.7 5.1 AKAM 1,214 47.2 28.0 10.9 10.6 3.3 KamuAR 3,917 49.1 25.7 12.3 9.6 3.3 Gezici – 56.2 25.8 8.9 7.3 1.8 ORC 4,176 54.0 21.7 11.6 7.8 4.9 MetroPOLL – 49.9 25.3 11.5 10.5 2.8 KONDA 2,150 51.1 24.9 11.7 10.1 2.2 İVEM – 52.4 25.2 11.3 8.4 2.7 ORC 8,320 55.8 20.9 11.3 9.8 2.2 GENAR 4,500 50.8 25.7 11.1 10.2 2.2 1–3 Jan 2016Varyans – 51.9 23.7 11.1 11.0 2.4 1–4 Dec 2015MAK 5,500 53.5 24.6 10.5 9.5 1.9 16–21 Nov 2015MAK 5,670 52.5 24.7 11.1 10.0 1.7 4–9 Nov 2015ORC 3,230 54.0 24.6 10.5 9.1 1.8 2–3 Nov 2015IPSOS 1,614 53.0 25.0 9.0 11.0 2.0 1 Nov 2015–49.3 25.6 12.0 10.6 0.7 1.8 7 Jun 2015–40.725.116.513.0 2.12.6DatePollsterSample size LeadAKPCHPMHPHDPİYİSPOthers
Domestic vote only
Abroad DatePollsterCountrySample size AKPCHPMHPHDPİYİSPOthersLead 1-5 Jun 2018TAVAK 1,18447.115.5with AKP17.98.31.90.2
Alliance vote
Following formation of alliances
DatePollsterSample size CumhurMilletHDP + othersLead Election – 53.733.911.7 + 0.7 23 Jun 2018 AKAM – 45.9 40.4 13.4 + 0.3 17–19 Jun 2018 ORC – 54.7 32.8 11.9 + 0.6 18 Jun 2018 Konsensus 10,000 52 41 7 + 0 16–17 Jun 2018 Gezici 1,812 48.9 38.6 12.1 + 0.4 14 Jun 2018 13 Jun 2018Plus Mayak–47.339.412.3 + 1.013 Jun 2018AKAM2,46045.639.913.6 + 0.96–13 Jun 2018REMRES5,67445.142.512.1 + 0.38–11 Jun 2018MetroPOLL2,88849.438.112.3 + 0.28–11 Jun 2018Mediar 2,410 47.7 39.4 12.1 + 0.811 Jun 2018CHP– 45.0 42.4 12.3 + 0.31–6 Jun 2018MAK5,40052.736.79.2 + 1.5REMRES4,48244.244.011.5 + 0.329 May–1 Jun 2018Sonar3,00049.3 39.5 10.0 + 1.2 ORC3,41052.8 35.610.9 + 0.7PİAR2,62042.143.114.1 + 0.7Konsensus2,00050.4 39.79.6 + 0.3Gezici6,81148.738.911.5 + 0.9İEA1,50044.5 40.513.5 + 1.5Mediar4,26845.6 42.511.4 + 0.5REMRES4,276 43.943.712.1 + 0.3MAK5,000 54.034.29.0 + 2.8REMRES3,653 43.943.512.2 + 0.42 May 2018REMRES2,586 44.243.412.1 + 0.3
Prior to formation of alliances DatePollsterSample size CumhurMilletOthersLead1–3 May 2018CHP, İYİ, SP and DP launch the Millet alliance – 44.2 rowspan=2 55.8 11.6 44.0 56.0 11.544.7 40.2 15.1 41.6 rowspan=14 58.4 16.8 46.8 53.2 6.4Mediar 2,660 42.5 57.5 15.0SONAR – 46.9 53.1 6.224–25 Apr 2018Konsensus1,00049.051.02.03,864 52.8 47.2 49.9 50.1 0.2 48.2 51.8 3.6ORC 5,620 56.2 43.8 Ankara Analitik 1,619 52.9 47.1 PİAR 5,620 45.4 54.6 9.2 44.2 55.8 11.6 53.1 46.9 43.2 56.8 13.6 20 Feb 2018 AKP and MHP launch the Cumhur alliance
Seat projections
Parties
DatePollsterSample size AKPCHPMHPHDPİYİOthersMajority 24 June 2018Result– Mediar 2,660 with AKP PİAR 2,440 Objektif 4,322 1 Nov 2015Snap election– 7 Jun 2015Election–
Alliances
DatePollsterSample size CumhurMilletHDP and othersMajority 24 June 2018Result– Plus Mayak – PİAR –
References